Record: 33-0 since July 16th

I'm considering the following series chases, but I still need to process the stats. I'm considering too many series this week, but I have a reason to take a look at each one. The pitching match-up will likely eliminate several of the teams being consisered.

LAA @ SEA - 1st place team in a race against TEX
NYY @ BAL - 1st place team versus last place team

CHW @ MIN - Chicago was previously swept, but this time they will be bringing the top of their rotation.

TEX at home vs. TOR - TEX is in the divisional and wild card chase. Plus, the Rangers have been playing well with the young pitching.

BOS @ TB - This chase will depend on the pitching match-ups and injuries.

LAD at home vs ARI - LAD is a 1st place team playing a bottom 5 team, but the Dodgers starting pitching has been lack luster.

SD at home vs WAS - I know this one is goofy, but I've got to at least consider fading the worst team in the league.

COL at home vs NYM - COL is a surging Top 5 team versus the injury riddled mets. After watching the Mets play on Saturday, I've concluded that they are done for the season. They are going to let the starters try to work out of jams.

STL at home vs MIL - STL is a top 3 team and is tied with the best NL home record.

I think it's best time to quit betting on bases since rosters expand and very weird results may happen in September.

But if you still like to go, my first advice is to focus on home teams and teams on wild card hunt.

Can't really see Cards, Dodgers and Cowboys getting swept at home. I may chase these three this weekend.

GL!

im playing Texas to win 1 game, dodgers to win 1 game and St Louis to win 1 game.
Thats it for my series starting mon/tue

LAA at SEA

LAA (#2 in the AL, 4-6 in last 10 games, 38-26 on the road)
vs
SEA (#7 in the AL, 6-4 in last 10 games, 37-29 at home)

My first reaction is: Same as last week, the Angels have been struggling with starting pitching lately. Bell has a WHIP of 2.51 overall in 3 starts. I don't think that LAA will get swept, but I'm not overly confident in their recent performance, and I don't like the Game 3 matchup. I'll have to think about this chase throughout the day. For Seattle, I've been impressed with their performance this season. I may have to think about this one before committing.


Starting Pitchers
Game 1
Saunders (10-7, 5.27 era, Last 3: 2-1, 7.82 era, Road: 5-4, 6.12 era, LAA is 6-4 in Saunders' last 10 starts) versus
French (4-3, 3.92 era, L3: 2-1, 5.26 era, Home: 2-2, 2.84 era, SEA is 4-1 in French's starts this season)

Game 2
Santana (7-7, 5.94 era, L3: 2-1, 4.00 era, Road: 6-2, 4.50 era, LAA is 7-3 in Santana's last 10 starts) versus
Fister (1-1, 3.42 era, L3: 1-1, 4.66 era, Home: 1-1, 3.60 era, SEA is 1-3 in Fisters's starts)

Game 3
Bell (1-0, 10.80, L3: 1-1, 13.03 era, Road: 1-1, 11.87 era, LAA is 3-1 in Bell's starts) versus
Hernandez (13-5, 2.77 era, L3: 1-1, 3.15 era, Home: 5-3, 3.68 era, SEA is 7-3 in Hernandez's last 10 starts)


Bullpen ERA: LAA 4.7 SEA 3.77

Off. Power Rating: LAA 1.103(season) 1.067(last 20 games)
SEA 0.878(season) 0.880(last 20)

NYY at BAL

NYY (#1 in the AL, 7-3 in last 10 games, 37-28 on the road)
vs
BAL (#13 in the AL, 5-5 in last 10 games, 32-33 at home)

My first reaction is: The Yankees should dominate the starting pitching and offensive production.


Starting Pitchers
Game 1
Pettitte (11-6, 4.18 era, Last 3: 2-0, 4.50 era, Road: 6-2, 3.58 era, NYY is 6-4 in Pettitte's last 10 starts) versus
Guthrie (9-12, 5.26 era, L3: 2-0, 4.12 era, Home: 4-6, 5.31 era, BAL is 4-6 in Guthrie's last 10 starts this season)

Game 2
Burnett (10-8, 4.10 era, L3: 0-3, 7.11 era, Road: 6-6, 4.78 era, NYY is 6-4 in Burnett's last 10 starts) versus
Hernandez (4-6, 4.24 era, L3: 0-2, 5.87 era, Home: 2-3, 4.01 era, BAL is 4-6 Hernandez's last 10 starts)

Game 3
Sabathia (15-7, 3.56, L3: 3-0, 2.91 era, Road: 6-2, 3.58 era, NYY is 8-2 in CC's last 10 starts) versus
Berken (4-11, 6.33 era, L3: 2-1, 4.96 era, Home: 2-6, 5.29 era, BAL is 3-7 in Berken's last 10 starts)


Bullpen ERA: NYY 4.23 BAL 4.57

Off. Power Rating: NYY 1.208(season) 1.234(last 20 games)
BAL 0.970(season) 1.047(last 20)

CHW at MIN


CHW (#9 in the AL, 2-8 in last 10 games, 28-37 on the road)
vs
MIN (#8 in the AL, 7-3 in last 10 games, 37-29 at home)

My first reaction is: Why am I looking at this game? MIN is bringing less that stellar starting pitching, but CHW has not been winning recently. However, Chicago's last 7 games were against the Yankees and Red Sox.

Starting Pitchers
Game 1
Floyd (10-8, 3.95 era, Last 3: 1-1, 3.10 era, Road: 5-5, 5.22 era, CHW is 5-5 in Floyd's last 10 starts) versus
Gabino(0-0, 12.50, MIN is 1-0 in Gabino's 4 ER, 2.2 inning start this season)

Game 2
Danks (128, 3.82 era, L3: 2-0, 2.29 era, Road: 5-5, 3.98 era, CHW is 6-4 in Danks' last 10 starts) versus
Blackburn (8-9, 4.29 era, L3: 0-2, 7.20 era, Home: 5-3, 4.50 era, MIN is 3-7 in Blackburn's last 10 starts)

Game 3
Buehrle (11-3, 3.89 era, L3: 0-1, 5.71 era, Road: 4-3, 4.12 era, CHW is 3-7 in Buehrle's last 10 starts) versus
Duensing (2-1, 4.37 era, L3: 2-0, 2.65 era, Home: 1-0, 4.54 era, MIN is 3-7 in Duensing's last 10 starts)


Bullpen ERA: CHW 4.05 MIN 4.16

Off. Power Rating: CHW 0.820(season) 0.951(last 20 games)
MIN 1.114(season) 1.009(last 20)

TEX at home versus TOR


TOR (#10 in the AL, 3-7 in last 10 games, 24-38 on the road)
vs
TEX (#4 in the AL, 5-5 in last 10 games, 41-24 at home)

My first reaction is: The Rangers can smell a playoff spot as the Angels are only 5 games ahead and BOS is 3.5 games ahead. The Jays are done for the season. Plus, Haladay won't be pitching in this series.

Starting Pitchers
Game 1
Cecil (5-3, 4.96 era, Last 3: 0-2, 8.25 era, Road: 3-1, 5.45 era, TOR is 4-5 in Cecil's last 9 starts) versus
Holland (7-8, 4.95 era, L3: 2-1, 4.50 era, Home: 5-4, 5.70 era, TEX is 6-4 in Hollands's last 10 starts this season)

Game 2
Rzepczynski (2-3, 3.58 era, L3: 1-0, 1.96 era, Road: 0-1, 4.05 era, TOR is 4-6 in Rz' last 10 starts) versus
Nippert (4-2, 4.02 era, L3: 1-1, 4.91 era, Home: 3-0, 1.76 era, TEX is 3-3 in Nippert's starts)

Game 3
Romero (11-3, 3.95 era, L3: 1-1, 6.00 era, Road: 4-3, 3.86 era, TOR is 4-6 in Romero's last 10 starts) versus
Feldman (14-4, 3.72 era, L3: 2-0, 2.45 era, Home: 4-3, 4.56 era, TEX is 7-3 in Feldman's last 10 starts)


Bullpen ERA: TOR 4.02 TEX 3.87

Off. Power Rating: TOR 1.008(season) 0.938(last 20 games)
TEX 1.023(season) 1.020(last 20)

Cecil is nothing but a joke! Rangers should be able to finish the job in Game-1.

PS: Be careful, TOR-TEX series are 4-game series.

I'm passing on LAA, CHW, and SD.

Monday's card:

NYY -165 BAL
TEX -165 TOR
LAD -178 ARI

NYY over BAL Win




Tuesday:

TEX -145 TOR - Game 2
LAD -190 ARI - Game 2
BOS -156 TB
STL -190 MIL
COL -225 NYM

With 5 more wins last night, the record is 39-0 since July 16th.

Nice record. Keep it going.

Kinda tough having baseball winding down now, with that success rate.

Good Luck with your plays!!!