The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
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patfrat
Registered: Mar 2003
Posts: 214
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Comments...
Like your ATL +9. TB might be in disarray with Garcia benched last week and a bum ankle this week -- one never knows how many guys are on his "side" with his leadership from last year still in their minds. Could cause division in the ranks of a normally well-coached team. In any case, I think 9 points is too much, even for ATL (who might have something to prove in their own right). Aside from last year's dismal performance in both games, in 6 out of their last 8 games going back to '03, 9 points puts ATL in the neighborhood of an ATS win. I still think 9 is to much and would back your ATL. (I got 'em at 8.5.)
I know it's not on your final board, but there's no way I see Cleveland pulling this one out. I know that PIT doesn't have the passing game that DAL has, though it's not much of a drop off, and their defense 'ain't that bad (with all due respect, Tex), and CLE looks terrible on the D-side of the ball. PIT to pound and pound all day with Parker and wear the questionable CLE defense out. I've just seen this script play itself out time and time again. (I live in Cleve-OH!) I got an early line at 5.5, and, though it kills me, I'm on PIT-5.5. I'd be wary of anything higher, though and nearing 7 points, I'd stay off. In any case, it think it's going to be a long evening in Cleveland. PIT has dominated since the Browns came back, Stallworth is hurt, Pool questionable, Holly out... DA is going to be running around the field like a chicken with his head cut off. Just don't see it for CLE tonight.
Just my two cents. GL all.
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09-14-08 02:19 PM |
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