MLB favorites led 7-4 on Monday w/ upsets by CIN +140 vs. HOU, PIT +135 at CHC, OAK +124 vs. SEA & CLE -101 at KC; home teams led 6-5; Overs 7-4; faves lead 1,128-854 on season w/ 45 pick-ems; home teams 1,055-965 w/ 7 neutrals; Overs 986-963-76 w/ 2 no-action
Washington (61-76) @ Miami (51-86)
Corbin is 2-0, 1.65 in his last three starts.
Washington is 5-13 in his last 18 starts.
under 4-1 last five starts
allowed run in first inning: 6-27
record in first 5 innings: 8-18-1
He is 5-7, 4.22 in 19 starts vs Miami
Nationals are 3-6 in last nine games.
Theyre 29-39 on road.
Nationals are 2-8 in last 10 series openers
under 11-4 last fifteen games
scored run in first inning: 26-137
record in first 5 innings: 55-68-14
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3-x
Meyer is 0-2, 7.20 in his last three starts.
Miami is 1-5 in his last six starts.
over 6-4
allowed run in first inning: 2-10
record in first 5 innings: 4-5-1
He hasnt pitched against Washington
Marlins are 5-3 in their last eight games.
Miami is 25-44 at home.
Marlins are 8-15 in home series openers
over 14-3 last 17 home games.
scored run in first inning: 32-137
record in first 5 innings: 46-75-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.2-5
Colorado (51-87) @ Atlanta (74-63)
Freeland is 1-2, 7.13 in his last three starts.
Colorado is 8-3 in his last 11 starts.
under 4-2 last six
allowed run in first inning: 6-16
record in first 5 innings: 6-9-1
He is 1-4, 6.34 in nine starts vs Atlanta.
Rockies are 4-8 in their last 12 games.
Theyre 19-50 on road.
Rockies are 6-16 in road series openers
over 3-1 last four road games
scored run in first inning: 35-138
record in first 5 innings: 49-69-20
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-5-x
Sale is 2-0, 1.73 in his last four starts.
Atlanta is 10-3 in his last thirteen starts.
under 3-1 last four
allowed run in first inning: 8-25
record in first 5 innings: 18-5-2
He is 0-0, 1.74 in three games (1 start) vs Colorado.
Braves lost three of last four games.
Theyre 36-28 at home.
Braves are 8-4 in last 12 home series openers
under 6-0 last six home games
scored run in first inning: 38-137
record in first 5 innings: 65-52-20
bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-3-x
St Louis (69-69) @ Milwaukee (81-57)
Matz is 1-2, 7.07 in six starts.
His last start was April 30th.
Cardinals are 2-4 in his starts.
over 4-1-1
allowed run in first inning: 1-6
record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1
He is 5-2, 2.89 in seven starts vs Milwaukee.
Cardinals are 8-5 in last 13 games.
Theyre 33-37 on road.
over 6-2 last eight games
scored run in first inning: 30-138
record in first 5 innings: 54-63-20
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-2.1
Civale is 3-0, 1.93 in his last four starts.
Brewers won his last four starts.
over 7-2
allowed run in first inning: 3-9
record in first 5 innings: 6-2-1
He gave up five runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs St Louis.
Brewers are 14-5 in their last 19 games.
Theyre 41-25 at home.
over 7-4 last eleven games
scored run in first inning: 37-138
record in first 5 innings: 65-53-20
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5-4
Pittsburgh (64-73) @ Cubs (71-67)
Skenes is 2-0, 2.65 in his last three starts.
Pirates are 11-7 in his starts.
over 10-8
allowed run in first inning: 5-18
record in first 5 innings: 11-3-4
He is 1-0, 3.60 in three starts vs Chicago TY.
Pirates lost six of last nine games.
Theyre 32-37 on road.
over 7-3 last ten games
scored run in first inning: 27-137
record in first 5 innings: 54-60-23
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.2-2.2
Hendricks is 0-1, 7.41 in his last four starts.
Chicago is 8-11 in his starts.
over 4-1 last five
allowed run in first inning: 3-19
record in first 5 innings: 7-11-1
He is 0-1, 13.09 in three starts vs Pittsburgh TY.
Cubs are 9-2 in their last 11 games.
Theyre 36-30 at home.
over 10-2 last 12 games
scored run in first inning: 31-138
record in first 5 innings: 60-57-21
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-2
Arizona (77-61) @ San Francisco (68-70)
Nelson is 1-0, 2.39 in his last four starts.
Arizona is 10-3 in his last 13 starts.
over 8-3 last 11
allowed run in first inning: 3-24
record in first 5 innings: 12-9-3
He is 0-0, 1.93 in two starts vs San Francisco TY.
Arizona is 2-5 in its last six games.
Diamondbacks are 38-30 on road.
Diamondbacks are 8-4 in last 12 road series openers
over 27-7 last 34 games
scored run in first inning: 46-138
record in first 5 innings: 65-51-22
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3.1-5
Giants havent named a starter
Giants are 3-7 in their last ten games.
Giants are 39-30 at home.
Giants are 8-2 in last 10 home series openers
under 5-3 last eight games
scored run in first inning: 34-138
record in first 5 innings: 56-59-23
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-x
White Sox (31-108) @ Baltimore (80-59)
Nastrini is 0-6, 7.63 in seven starts.
White Sox are 1-6 in his starts.
under 4-3
allowed run in first inning: 1-7
record in first 5 innings: 1-6
He hasnt pitched against Baltimore.
White Sox lost their last 11 games.
Chicago is 13-54 on road.
under 6-1 last seven games
scored run in first inning: 29-139
record in first 5 innings: 49-69-21
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5.2-4.2
Povich is 0-5, 8.51 in his last six starts.
Orioles are 4-7 in his starts.
over 6-5
allowed run in first inning: 4-11
record in first 5 innings: 3-6-2
He hasnt pitched against Chicago.
Baltimore is 10-11 in its last 21 games.
Orioles are 40-30 at home.
under 12-7 last 19 games
scored run in first inning: 38-139
record in first 5 innings: 71-52-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-2-4
Cleveland (78-59) @ Kansas City (75-63)
Bibee is 0-2, 6.32 in his last three starts.
Cleveland is 7-4 in his last 11 starts.
under 7-3 last 10 road starts
allowed run in first inning: 9-26
record in first 5 innings: 13-8-5
He is 1-0, 5.63 in three starts vs Kansas City TY.
Cleveland is 7-10 in its last 17 games.
Guardians are 36-34 on road.
under 6-2 last eight games
scored run in first inning: 37-138
record in first 5 innings: 61-59-18
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-2
Singer is 1-1, 3.71 in his last three starts.
Royals are 1-4 in his last five starts.
over 5-1 last six
allowed run in first inning: 4-27
record in first 5 innings: 10-13-4
He is 2-2, 4.98 in 12 starts vs Cleveland.
Royals lost their last six games.
Royals are 41-29 at home.
under 3-1 last four games
scored run in first inning: 37-139
record in first 5 innings: 66-52-21
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-4
Minnesota (75-62) @ Tampa Bay (67-70)
Festa is 0-2, 4.00 in his last four starts.
Minnesota is 3-5 in his starts.
under 6-0 last six
allowed run in first inning: 1-8
record in first 5 innings: 2-5-1
He hasnt pitched against Tampa Bay.
Twins are 3-1 in last four games.
Twins are 36-32 on road.
under 6-3 last nine games.
scored run in first inning: 39-137
record in first 5 innings: 62-59-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-3-5.1
Springs is 1-1, 2.41 in his last four starts.
Rays are 4-2 in his starts.
under 5-1
allowed run in first inning: 1-6
record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1
He is 1-0, 0.00 in two games (6.1 IP) (1 start) vs Minnesota
Tampa Bay is 3-8 in its last 11 games.
Rays are 35-37 at home.
over 4-1 last five games.
scored run in first inning: 35-137
record in first 5 innings: 45-72-20
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-6-5
Bronx (80-58) @ Texas (65-73)
Rodon is 1-2, 5.40 in his last three starts.
New York is 5-2 in his last seven starts.
under 4-0 last four
allowed run in first inning: 11-27
record in first 5 innings: 14-11-2
He is 2-1, 3.96 in six starts vs Texas.
New York is 4-5 in its last nine games.
Theyre 43-27 on road.
under 6-1 last seven road games
scored run in first inning: 49-138
record in first 5 innings: 68-54-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-5-3
Heaney is 0-3, 4.91 in his last six starts.
Texas is 9-17 in his starts.
under 4-1 last five
allowed run in first inning: 7-26
record in first 5 innings: 6-15-5
He is 1-4, 5.35 in seven starts vs New York.
Rangers are 9-5 in last 14 games.
Texas is 36-33 at home.
under 11-6 last seventeen games
scored run in first inning: 42-138
record in first 5 innings: 54-61-23
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5.1-4
Seattle (69-69) @ Oakland (60-78)
Castillo is 1-1, 5.82 in his last three starts.
Seattle is 7-8 in his last 15 starts.
over 5-1 last six
allowed run in first inning: 10-28
record in first 5 innings: 12-15-1
He is 4-2, 3.38 in six starts vs Oakland.
Seattle lost its last three games.
Mariners are 28-41 on road.
under 6-4 last ten games
scored run in first inning: 38-138
record in first 5 innings: 62-57-19
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3.1-2.2
bullpen game
As are 6-7 in last 13 games.
Oakland is 34-35 at home.
over 5-1 last six games
scored run in first inning: 32-138
record in first 5 innings: 53-76-9
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4.2-3.2
Philadelphia (81-56) @ Toronto (67-72)
Phillips is 4-1, 5.91 in six starts.
Phillies are 5-1 in his starts.
over 4-2
allowed run in first inning: 3-6
record in first 5 innings: 4-2
He hasnt pitched against Toronto.
Phillies are 7-2 in their last nine games.
Theyre 34-31 on road.
Phillies are 1-6 in last seven road series openers
over 5-3 last eight road games
scored run in first inning: 47-137
record in first 5 innings: 74-50-13
bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2-3
Bassitt is 0-3, 6.23 in his last four starts.
Blue Jays are 2-6 in his last eight starts.
under 4-2 last six starts
allowed run in first inning: 10-27
record in first 5 innings: 8-12-7
He is 4-0, 1.86 in five starts vs Philly.
Toronto is 2-4 in its last six games.
Blue Jays are 34-33 at home.
Blue Jays are 10-11 in home series openers
under 5-1 last six games
scored run in first inning: 38-139
record in first 5 innings: 61-60-18
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-6-x
Boston (70-68) @ NY Mets (74-64)
Crawford is 0-3, 3.71 in his last three starts.
Red Sox are 2-6 in his last eight starts.
under 3-0 last three starts
allowed run in first inning: 9-27
record in first 5 innings: 10-12-5
He gave up four runs in 4 iP, in his one start against the Mets.
Red Sox are 3-9 in last 12 games.
Theyre 39-30 on road.
under 7-2 last nine games
scored run in first inning: 46-138
record in first 5 innings: 69-51-18
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-2.2
Peterson is 3-0, 2.20 in his last five starts.
Mets are 13-3 in his starts.
under 4-2 last six starts
allowed run in first inning: 1-16
record in first 5 innings: 11-4-1
He is 1-1, 3.38 in two starts vs Boston.
New York is 13-6 in its last 19 games.
Mets are 36-33 at home.
under 5-1 last six home games
scored run in first inning: 34-137
record in first 5 innings: 64-54-20
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-2
Los Angeles (83-55) @ LA Angels (57-80)
Buehler is 0-0, 10.13 in his last four starts.
Dodgers are 6-5 in his starts.
over 3-0-1 last four
allowed run in first inning: 5-11
record in first 5 innings: 4-7
He is 1-0, 4.02 in three starts vs Anaheim.
Dodgers are 20-8 in their last 28 games.
Dodgers are 38-31 on road.
Dodgers are 7-1 in last eight series openers
over 8-3 last eleven games.
scored run in first inning: 48-138
record in first 5 innings: 71-52-15
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.2-3.1
Detmers is 0-2, 9.68 in his last four starts.
His last start was June 1st.
Angels are 1-7 in his last eight starts.
over 7-0 last seven
allowed run in first inning: 0-12
record in first 5 innings: 4-6-2
He is 0-3, 7.58 in four starts against the Dodgers
Angels are 3-1 in their last four games.
Theyre 29-41 at home.
Angels are 2-6 in last eight home series openers
under 7-4 last 11 games
scored run in first inning: 29-137
record in first 5 innings: 46-77-14
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-x
Umpires
Pitt-Chi Home favorites are 12-6 in Eddings games.
StL-Mil Over is 16-11 in Barrett games.
Chi-Balt Under is 17-10 in Wendelstedt games.
Minn-TB Road team is 17-9 in Clemons games.
Clev-KC Favorites are 12-10 in Ceja games.
NYY-Tex Over is 14-6 in Wegner games.
Sea-As Under is 15-9 in Gonzalez games.
Bos-NYM Home favorites are 7-11 in Segal games.
(951) WASHINGTON (61-76) at (952) MIAMI (51-86)
Trend: MIA awful vs. LH starters (9-38, -28.06 units)
System Match: FADE MIAMI (-118 vs. WSH)
(953) COLORADO (51-87) at (954) ATLANTA (74-63)
Trend: COL worse vs. LH starters (13-29, -10.50 units)
System Match: FADE COLORADO (+280 at ATL)
(957) ST LOUIS (69-69) at (958) MILWAUKEE (81-57)
Trend: MIL trending Over at home (37-22 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)
(959) ARIZONA (77-61) at (960) SAN FRANCISCO (68-70)
Trend: AZ trending Over vs. divisional teams (28-11 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 7.5)
(961) CHICAGO-AL (31-108) at (962) BALTIMORE (80-59)
Trend: BAL slight Over vs. AL Central/West (32-18 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)
(963) MINNESOTA (75-62) at (964) TAMPA BAY (67-70)
Trend: TB trending Under vs. AL Central/West (20-33 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 7.5)
(967) NEW YORK-AL (80-58) at (968) TEXAS (65-73)
Trend: NYY not as good vs. LH starters (17-22, -22.49 units)
System Match: FADE NY YANKEES (-135 at TEX)
(969) SEATTLE (69-69) at (970) OAKLAND (60-78)
Trend: SEA bad on the road (28-41, -21.37 units)
System Match: FADE SEATTLE (-155 at OAK)
(971) PHILADELPHIA (81-56) at (972) TORONTO (67-72)
Trend: Over the total is 15-7 when PHI is a road underdog this season
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)
(973) BOSTON (70-68) at (974) NEW YORK-NL (74-64)
Trend: BOS worse vs. LH starters (15-23, -11.27 units)
System Match: FADE BOSTON (+114 at NYM)
(975) LOS ANGELES-NL (83-55) at (976) LOS ANGELES-AL (57-80)
Trend: LAD better vs. LH starters (31-14, +4.06 units)
System Match: PLAY LA DODGERS (-192 at LAA)
(951) WASHINGTON (61-76) at (952) MIAMI (51-86)
Trend: WSH is 3-9 (-5.96 units) as a night underdog between line range of -105 to +120 with Patrick Corbin in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE WASHINGTON (-102 at MIA)
Trend: WSH is 10-39 (-27.66 units) vs. Divisional opponents with starter Patrick Corbin since 2020
System Match: FADE WASHINGTON (-102 at MIA)
(953) COLORADO (51-87) at (954) ATLANTA (74-63)
Trend: COL is 6-16 (-6.06 units) on the road with starter Kyle Freeland in last two seasons
System Match: FADE COLORADO (+280 at ATL)
(955) PITTSBURGH (64-73) at (956) CHICAGO-NL (71-67)
Trend: Kyle Hendricks not good in the short underdog role, +100 to +128 range, 3-15 (-11.75 units)
System Match: FADE CHICAGO CUBS (+114 vs. PIT)
(957) ST LOUIS (69-69) at (958) MILWAUKEE (81-57)
Trend: Aaron Civale is 19-8 (+4.07 units) in home night games as a favorite in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY MILWAUKEE (-148 vs. STL)
(965) CLEVELAND (79-59) at (966) KANSAS CITY (75-64)
Trend: CLE is 16-4 (+12.10 units) in the -135 to +110 line range by starter Tanner Bibee in the last two seasons
System Match: PLAY CLEVELAND (-115 at KC)
(967) NEW YORK-AL (80-58) at (968) TEXAS (65-73)
Trend: Andrew Heaney is 19-33 (-17.05 units) vs teams with a >53% win percentage in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE TEXAS (+114 vs. NYY)
(971) PHILADELPHIA (81-56) at (972) TORONTO (67-72)
Trend: Chris Bassitt is 13-4 (+8.02 units) vs. NL East opponents in the last six seasons
System Match: PLAY TORONTO (-112 vs PHI)
(973) BOSTON (70-68) at (974) NEW YORK-NL (74-64)
Trend: BOS is 6-18 (-13.90 units) in the months of August/September by starter Kutter Crawford
System Match: FADE BOSTON (+114 at NYM)
(975) LOS ANGELES-NL (83-55) at (976) LOS ANGELES-AL (57-80)
Trend: Walker Buehler is 9-2 vs. AL teams (+5.64 units) since 2019
System Match: PLAY LA DODGERS (-192 at LAA)
Trend: LAA is 0-4 (-4.00 units) vs. LA Dodgers with starter Reid Detmers
System Match: FADE LA ANGELS (+160 vs. LAD)