The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
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msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
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Market Moves 9/01
2:10 p.m. ET: New York Mets (-175, 7.5) at Chicago White Sox
The Mets (72-64) have taken the first two games of this three-game Interleague series, winning the opener 5-1 as -220 road favorites and then winning again yesterday 5-3 as -200 road favorites. In this afternoon’s series finale, the Mets start lefty Sean Manaea (10-5, 3.51 ERA) and the White Sox (31-106) go with fellow southpaw Garrett Crochet (6-9, 3.64 ERA). This line opened with New York listed as a -165 road favorite and Chicago a +150 home dog. Sharps are riding the hot hand and have laid the chalk with the Mets to complete the sweep, driving New York up from -165 to -175. The Mets are receiving over 90% of moneyline bets and dollars, evidence of heavy public and sharp support in addition to a 10-cent line move in their direction. Non-division road favorites off a win are 164-115 (59%) with a 4% ROI this season. New York has correlative betting value as a favorite in a low total game (7.5), with the fewer amount of expected runs scored more likely to come from the better team who is expected to win. The Mets have a big edge at the plate, hitting .249 with 174 homers and 649 runs scored compared to the White Sox hitting .220 with only 109 homers and 420 runs scored. New York is 37-31 on the road. Chicago is 18-53 at home, the worst home record in MLB. The Mets are hitting .257 against lefties this season, ranking 8th. The White Sox are hitting .225 against lefties, ranking 29th. The Mets are 10-2 in Manaea’s last 12 starts. Crochet posted a 6.91 ERA in five August starts, allowing 11 earned runs in 14.1 innings pitched.
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09-01-24 08:24 PM |
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