Miami (45-75) @ Philadelphia (69-50)
Cabrera is 1-0, 1.06 in his last three starts.
Marlins are 6-6 in his starts.
over 9-3
allowed run in first inning: 1-12
record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1
He is 1-1, 2.84 in four starts against the Phillies.
Marlins are 6-9 in their last 15 games.
Miami is 21-36 on road.
over 6-2 last eight games.
scored run in first inning: 29-120
record in first 5 innings: 42-66-12
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-x-2
Phillips is 4-1, 5.20 in five starts.
Phillies are 4-1 in his starts.
over 3-2
allowed run in first inning: 2-5
record in first 5 innings: 3-2
He hasnt pitched against Miami.
Phillies are 8-18 in their last 26 games.
Theyre 38-22 at home.
over 10-4 last fourteen games
scored run in first inning: 44-119
record in first 5 innings: 67-41-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-x-5
St Louis (60-60) @ Cincinnati (59-61)
Gibson is 0-1, 4.08 in his last five starts.
Cardinals are 7-4 in his road starts.
over 12-3 last 15
allowed run in first inning: 7-22
record in first 5 innings: 8-11-3
He is 2-0, 5.40- in three starts vs Cincinnati.
Cardinals are 1-4 in last five games.
Theyre 29-33 on road.
under 6-3 last nine games
scored run in first inning: 28-120
record in first 5 innings: 45-56-19
bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-2
bullpen game
Reds are 6-3 in their last eight games.
Theyre 30-31 at home.
under 4-0 last four games
scored run in first inning: 33-120
record in first 5 innings: 55-48-17
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-2.1-2
Los Angeles (71-49) @ Milwaukee (67-52)
Buehler is 0-1, 10.50 in his last three starts.
His last start was June 18th.
Dodgers are 4-4 in his starts.
under 5-3
allowed run in first inning: 4-8
record in first 5 innings: 3-5
He is 1-1, 1.50 in two starts vs Milwaukee.
Dodgers are 8-2 in their last ten games.
Dodgers are 6-11 in last 17 road games.
over 12-6 last eighteen games.
scored run in first inning: 43-120
record in first 5 innings: 63-46-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-4
Montas is 1-0, 6.00 in two starts for Milwaukee.
Brewers are 2-0 in his starts.
over 6-0 last six starts
allowed run in first inning: 5-21
record in first 5 innings: 7-12-2
He is 0-2, 11.57 in three starts vs Los Angeles.
Brewers won five of their last eight games.
Theyre 33-24 at home.
over 11-5-1 last 17 games
scored run in first inning: 32-119
record in first 5 innings: 53-50-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3-3
Colorado (44-77) @ Arizona (68-53)
Gordon is 0-3, 6.15 in five starts.
Colorado is 1-4 in his starts.
over 3-2
allowed run in first inning: 2-5
record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
He hasnt pitched against Arizona.
Rockies are 6-12 in their last 18 games.
Theyre 17-45 on road.
over 12-6 last 18 road games
scored run in first inning: 31-121
record in first 5 innings: 44-60-17
bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-2.1-2.2
Montgomery is 0-1, 7.11 in his last three starts.
Arizona is 10-7 in his starts.
under 4-2 last six
allowed run in first inning: 4-17
record in first 5 innings: 11-4-2
He gave up a run in 5.2 IP, in his one start vs Colorado.
Arizona is 23-6 in its last 29 games.
Diamondbacks are 36-26 at home.
over 14-3 last 17 games
scored run in first inning: 39-121
record in first 5 innings: 57-44-20
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-4
Pittsburgh (56-63) @ San Diego (68-53)
Keller is 0-1, 4.32 in his last five starts.
Pittsburgh is 13-3 in his last 16 starts.
over 6-2 last eight
allowed run in first inning: 6-23
record in first 5 innings: 11-8-4
He is 2-2, 3.86 in four starts vs San Diego.
Pirates are 1-11 in their last 12 games.
Theyre 29-32 on road.
over 9-6 last fifteen games
scored run in first inning: 23-119
record in first 5 innings: 47-50-22
bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-2-3
Perez is 0-0, 2.08 in two starts for San Diego.
Pirates traded him to San Diego July 30th.
San Diego is 2-0 in his starts.
under 5-2 last seven starts
allowed run in first inning: 4-18
record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
He is 2-1, 4.00 in three starts vs Pittsburgh.
Padres won 18 of last 21 games.
Theyre 32-29 at home.
under 4-1 last five home games
scored run in first inning: 33-121
record in first 5 innings: 53-51-17
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.2-3
Atlanta (63-56) @ San Francisco (61-61)
Holmes is 0-0, 5.79 in three starts.
Atlanta is 0-3 in his starts.
over 2-1
allowed run in first inning: 0-3
record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
This is his first start against San Francisco.
Braves lost seven of last ten games.
Theyre 31-30 on road.
over 6-2 last eight games
scored run in first inning: 33-119
record in first 5 innings: 55-47-17
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-4
Ray is 2-1, 3.98 in four starts.
Giants are 3-1 in his starts.
over 2-2
allowed run in first inning: 0-4
record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
He is 1-3, 4.85 in seven starts vs Atlanta.
Giants lost their last three games.
Giants are 35-26 at home.
under 8-2 last ten home games
scored run in first inning: 29-122
record in first 5 innings: 49-54-19
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-3.2-5
Washington (55-65) @ Baltimore (70-50)
Herz is 1-1, 3.57 in his last four starts.
Washington is 4-7 in his starts.
over 5-3 last eight starts
allowed run in first inning: 2-11
record in first 5 innings: 5-4-2
He hasnt pitched against Baltimore.
Nationals are 6-4 in last ten games.
Theyre 27-33 on road.
over 12-5 last 17 games
scored run in first inning: 23-120
record in first 5 innings: 47-60-13
bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-5-3
Kremer is 0-4, 6.97 in his last four starts.
Orioles are 2-7 in his last nine starts.
over 12-4
allowed run in first inning: 2-16
record in first 5 innings: 7-8-1
He is 2-0, 2.31 in two starts vs Washington.
Baltimore is 5-4 in its last nine games.
Orioles are 34-26 at home.
over 20-5 last 25 games
scored run in first inning: 33-120
record in first 5 innings: 64-44-12
bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.1-x-4
Cubs (59-62) @ Cleveland (71-49)
Taillon is 1-1, 7.05 in his last three starts.
Chicago is 4-6 in his road starts.
over 5-2 last seven starts.
allowed run in first inning: 5-20
record in first 5 innings: 11-8-1
He is 1-2, 4.71 in four starts vs Cleveland.
Cubs are 10-6 in their last 16 games.
Theyre 27-35 on road.
over 8-4 last dozen games
scored run in first inning: 27-121
record in first 5 innings: 49-52-20
bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-4
Cobb gave up 5 runs in 4.2 IP in his first 24 start.
Cleveland lost his only start.
In his career, he is 77-76, 3.86 in 231 starts.
over 1-0
allowed run in first inning: 1-1
record in first 5 innings: 0-1
He is 0-1, 1.40 in two starts vs Chicago.
Cleveland won its last four games.
Guardians are 37-20 at home.
over 8-1 last nine home games
scored run in first inning: 31-120
record in first 5 innings: 55-48-17
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-5.1-3.2
Oakland (51-69) @ NY Mets (61-58)
Estes is 1-0, 3.24 in his last three starts.
Oakland is 8-7 in his starts.
over 4-1 last five
allowed run in first inning: 6-15
record in first 5 innings: 8-6-1
He hasnt pitched against the Mets.
As are 14-8 since All-Star break.
Oakland is 10-5 in last 15 road games.
under 6-2 last eight games
scored run in first inning: 27-120
record in first 5 innings: 45-68-7
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-5
Peterson is 1-1, 3.94 in his last three starts.
Mets are 9-3 in his starts.
under 4-2 last six starts
allowed run in first inning: 1-12
record in first 5 innings: 8-2-2
He hasnt pitched against Oakland.
New York is 3-7 in its last ten games.
Mets are 30-30 at home.
under 8-2 last ten games
scored run in first inning: 29-119
record in first 5 innings: 50-51-18
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-5
Trend: Home teams are 6-20 (23.1%, -20.50 units) in the last 26 games between the Los Angeles Angels and Toronto Blue Jays. The ROI on this trend is -78.8%.
System Matches: FADE LA ANGELS (-115 vs. TOR)
Trend: FAVORITES are 20-2 (90.9%, +15.60 units) in the last 22 games between Milwaukee and LA Dodgers
The ROI on this trend is 70.9%
System Matches: PLAY LA DODGERS (-135 at MIL)
Trend: Under the total is 7-2 in STL-CIN head-to-head series this season (including 5-0 at CIN)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 9.5)
(951) COLORADO (44-77) at (952) ARIZONA (68-53)
Trend: COL bad on the road (17-45, -15.71 units)
System Match: FADE COLORADO (+170 at AZ)
(955) MIAMI (45-75) at (956) PHILADELPHIA (69-50)
Trend: MIA more Under on the road (22-34 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 9)
(957) ST LOUIS (60-60) at (958) CINCINNATI (59-61)
Trend: Under the total is 7-2 in the head-to-head series this season (including 5-0 at CIN)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 9.5)
(959) LOS ANGELES-NL (71-49) at (960) MILWAUKEE (67-52)
Trend: MIL is 16-24 (-13.35 units) vs. NL East/West this season
System Match: FADE MILWAUKEE (+105 vs LAD)
(961) ATLANTA (63-56) at (962) SAN FRANCISCO (61-61)
Trend: ATL slightly better vs. LH starters (22-13, +1.26 units)
System Match: PLAY ATLANTA (-105 at SF)
(963) KANSAS CITY (65-55) at (964) MINNESOTA (67-52)
Trend: MIN leads head-to-head series (7-2 record, 5-1 at home) this season
System Match: PLAY MINNESOTA (-110 vs KC)
(967) SEATTLE (63-57) at (968) DETROIT (57-63)
Trend: DET more Over vs. AL teams (46-33 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8)
(971) NEW YORK-AL (71-50) at (972) CHICAGO-AL (29-92)
Trend: CWS bad at night (19-54, -25.74 units)
System Match: FADE CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+200 vs. NYY)
(973) TORONTO (56-64) at (974) LOS ANGELES-AL (52-68)
Trend: LAA just 7-11 as a home favorite this season
System Match: FADE LA ANGELS (-115 vs TOR)
(975) WASHINGTON (55-65) at (976) BALTIMORE (70-50)
Trend: BAL hasnt been good vs. NL teams this season (14-19, -13.92 units)
System Match: FADE BALTIMORE (-180 vs WSH)
(979) OAKLAND (51-69) at (980) NEW YORK-NL (61-58)
Trend: NYM better at night (39-28, +9.04 units)
System Match: PLAY NY METS (-185 vs. OAK)
(955) MIAMI (45-75) at (956) PHILADELPHIA (69-50)
Trend: MIA is 3-7 (-3.46 units) against teams with a >57% win pct with starter Edward Cabrera in the last three seasons
System Match: FADE MIAMI (+150 at PHI)
(959) LOS ANGELES-NL (71-49) at (960) MILWAUKEE (67-52)
Trend: LAD is 4-8 (-6.60 units) as a short favorite (in line range -120 to -145) with starter Walker Buehler in since 2019
System Match: FADE LA DODGERS (-125 at MIL)
(975) WASHINGTON (55-65) at (976) BALTIMORE (70-50)
Trend: BAL is 26-10 (+13.89 units) in the last 2+ seasons in home games with starter Dean Kremer
System Match: PLAY BALTIMORE (-180 vs WSH)
(977) CHICAGO-NL (59-62) at (978) CLEVELAND (71-49)
Trend: CHC is 13-4 (+7.38 units) against AL Central by starter Jameson Taillon
System Match: PLAY CHICAGO CUBS (+120 at CLE)
Trend: Alex Cobb is 9-1 (+7.85 units) in his last 10 HOME starts
System Match: PLAY CLEVELAND (-142 vs. CHC)