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msudogs
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MLB Lagniappe 8/13

Miami (44-75) @ Philadelphia (69-49)
— Bellozo is 1-1, 3.05 in four starts (20.2 IP).
— Marlins are 1-3 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against the Phillies.

— Marlins are 5-9 in their last 14 games.
— Miami is 20-36 on road.
— Marlins are 4-14 in road series openers.
— over 6-1 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-119
— record in first 5 innings: 41-66-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2.2-x

— Walker is 0-3, 6.49 in his last five starts.
— His last start was June 21st.
— Phillies are 4-6 in his starts.
— under 4-0 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-4-2
— He is 6-2, 3.26 in 12 starts vs Miami.

— Phillies are 8-17 in their last 25 games.
— They’re 38-21 at home.
— Phillies are 1-7 in last eight series openers.
— over 10-3 last thirteen games
— scored run in first inning: 44-118
— record in first 5 innings: 67-40-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-x

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St Louis (60-59) @ Cincinnati (58-61)
— Fedde is 1-1, 5.40 in two starts for St Louis.
— Cardinals are 1-1 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-23
— record in first 5 innings: 12-8-3
— He is 1-0, 6.05 in four starts vs Cincinnati.

— Cardinals are 1-3 in last four games.
— They’re 29-32 on road.
— over 11-6 last seventeen games
— scored run in first inning: 28-119
— record in first 5 innings: 45-55-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-x-3

— Greene is 3-0, 0.92 in his last six starts.
— Reds won four of his last five starts.
— over 7-5 last 12 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-23
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-6
— He is 1-4, 3.57 in eight starts vs St Louis.

— Reds are 5-3 in their last eight games.
— They’re 29-31 at home.
— over 8-4 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 32-119
— record in first 5 innings: 54-48-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-3.1-2.1

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Los Angeles (70-49) @ Milwaukee (67-51)
— Stone is 0-3, 6.29 in his last five starts.
— Dodgers are 1-5 in his last six starts.
— under 11-5 last 16 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Milwaukee.

— Dodgers are 7-2 in their last nine games.
— Dodgers are 5-11 in last 16 road games.
— over 11-6 last seventeen games.
— scored run in first inning: 43-119
— record in first 5 innings: 62-46-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3-3.1

— Rea is 1-0, 1.54 in his last four starts.
— Brewers are 8-2 in his last ten starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 7-22
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-6
— He is 1-0, 5.32 in three starts vs Los Angeles.

— Brewers won five of their last seven games.
— They’re 33-23 at home.
— over 10-5-1 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-118
— record in first 5 innings: 53-49-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.1-4.1-3

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Colorado (44-76) @ Arizona (67-53)
— Gomber is 1-3, 6.66 in his last five starts.
— Colorado is 1-6 in his last seven road starts.
— over 6-6 road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 10-22
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-4
— He is 0-0, 5.06 in two starts vs Arizona TY.

— Rockies are 6-11 in their last 17 games.
— They’re 17-44 on road.
— over 12-5 last 17 road games
— scored run in first inning: 31-120
— record in first 5 innings: 43-60-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.1-5.1-2.1

— Rodriguez gave up 3 runs in 5.2 IP in his first ‘24 start.
— Arizona is 1-0 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He is 1-0, 6.55 in two starts vs Colorado.

— Arizona is 22-6 in its last 28 games.
— Diamondbacks are 35-26 at home.
— over 14-2 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-120
— record in first 5 innings: 57-43-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-4-2

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Pittsburgh (56-62) @ San Diego (67-53)
— Ortiz is 0-0, 7.16 in his last three starts.
— Pittsburgh is 3-4 in his starts.
— under 6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-2
— He is 0-0, 6.75 in two starts vs San Diego.

— Pirates are 1-10 in their last eleven games.
— They’re 29-31 on road.
— over 9-5 last fourteen games
— scored run in first inning: 23-118
— record in first 5 innings: 47-49-22
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5.2-2

— King is 2-0, 3.44 in his last three starts.
— San Diego is 11-5 in his last 16 starts.
— over 6-3 home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-22
— record in first 5 innings: 12-7-3
— He gave up 4 runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Pittsburgh.

— Padres won 17 of last 20 games.
— They’re 31-29 at home.
— over 11-6 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-120
— record in first 5 innings: 52-51-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-3-4.2

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Atlanta (62-56) @ San Francisco (61-60)
— Morton is 1-2, 8.83 in his last four starts.
— Atlanta is 5-9 in his last 14 starts.
— over 6-4 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 9-8-5
— He is 4-7, 2.89 in 17 starts vs San Francisco.

— Braves lost seven of last nine games.
— They’re 30-30 on road.
— over 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 33-118
— record in first 5 innings: 54-47-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-3

— Harrison is 1-1, 5.40 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 13-7 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.

— San Francisco is 12-5 in its last 17 games.
— Giants are 35-25 at home.
— under 7-2 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 29-121
— record in first 5 innings: 49-53-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4.2-3.2

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Houston (63-55) @ Tampa Bay (59-59)
— Kikuchi is 1-0, 3.27 in two starts for Houston.
— Astros are 2-0 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 8-24
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He is 5-2, 3.67 in ten starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Houston is 11-3 in its last 14 games.
— Astros are 31-29 on road.
— under 8-4 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-118
— record in first 5 innings: 54-49-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.1-3.1

— Baz is 0-1, 4.34 in six starts.
— Rays are 3-3 in his starts.
— over 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-2
— He gave up two runs in 5.1 IP at Houston August 2nd.

— Tampa Bay is 4-7 in its last eleven games.
— Rays are 31-32 at home.
— under 11-4 last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-118
— record in first 5 innings: 41-60-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 8-4-4.2

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Texas (55-64) @ Boston (62-55)
— Urena is 1-4, 6.95 in his last five starts.
— Rangers are 3-5 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-6
— He is 0-2, 5.56 in four starts vs Boston.

— Rangers are 5-11 in last 16 games.
— Texas is 24-37 on road.
— over 14-4 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-119
— record in first 5 innings: 48-52-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 9-3.1-5

— Crawford is 1-1, 10.54 in his last three starts.
— Red Sox are 5-11 in his last 16 starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 9-24
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9-6
— He is 1-0, 5.19 in three starts vs Texas.

— Red Sox lost four of last five games.
— They’re 28-31 at home.
— over 18-3 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-117
— record in first 5 innings: 61-42-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-8.1-4

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Seattle (63-56) @ Detroit (56-63)
— Kirby is 1-1, 2.31 in his last four starts.
— Seattle is 1-6 in his last seven starts.
— under 6-3 last nine starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-24
— record in first 5 innings: 10-10-4
— He is 1-3, 6.16 in four starts vs Detroit.

— Seattle won its last four games.
— Mariners are 26-30 on the road.
— Mariners are 8-10 in road series openers.
— over 5-1 last six road games
— scored run in first inning: 32-119
— record in first 5 innings: 54-49-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-x

— Skubal is 4-1, 2.90 in his last six starts.
— Detroit is 15-8 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 6-23
— record in first 5 innings: 13-6-4
— He is 2-0, 3.00 in two starts vs Seattle.

— Detroit is 6-12 in its last 18 games.
— Tigers are 26-31 at home.
— Tigers are 6-12 in home series openers.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 36-119
— record in first 5 innings: 48-52-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-4

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Kansas City (65-54) @ Minnesota (66-52)
— Lugo is 2-2, 4.34 in his last four starts.
— Royals are 3-5 in his last eight starts.
— under 7-2 last nine starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-24
— record in first 5 innings: 14-6-4
— He is 1-0, 0.75 in two starts vs Minnesota TY.

— Royals are 8-5 in last thirteen games.
— Royals are 27-29 on road
— over 13-4 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 34-119
— record in first 5 innings: 55-45-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-3

— Minnesota hasn’t named a starter.

— Twins are 8-4 in their last 12 games.
— Twins are 35-23 at home.
— under 3-2 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-118
— record in first 5 innings: 54-50-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5.2-3

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Bronx (70-50) @ White Sox (29-91)
— Cortes is 1-1, 7.98 in his last three starts.
— New York is 1-7 in his last eight starts.
— over 5-0 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-24
— record in first 5 innings: 8-13-3
— He is 5-0, 2.03 in five games (4 starts) vs Chicago.

— New York won 10 of its last 15 games.
— They’re 38-23 on road.
— over 33-12 last 45 games
— scored run in first inning: 43-120
— record in first 5 innings: 60-46-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-4-4

— Cannon is 1-1, 1.89 in his last three starts.
— Chicago is 4-8 in his starts.
— under 7-5
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— White Sox lost 24 of last 26 games.
— Chicago is 18-42 at home.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 23-120
— record in first 5 innings: 46-58-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.2-5-4.1

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Toronto (55-64) @ LA Angels (52-67)
— Gausman is 4-0, 4.08 in his last five starts.
— Toronto won his last five starts.
— over 8-1 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 7-23
— record in first 5 innings: 13-9-1
— He is 4-3, 4.42 in nine starts vs Anaheim.

— Toronto is 6-8 in its last 14 games.
— Blue Jays are 26-33 on road.
— over 33-11 last 44 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-119
— record in first 5 innings: 50-53-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-5-2

— Fulmer is 0-0, 3.48 in four starts.
— Angels are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-2
— He gave up 3 runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Toronto

— Angels are 1-3 in their last four games.
— They’re 26-36 at home.
— under 13-7 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-119
— record in first 5 innings: 43-64-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-1.1-4

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Washington (54-65) @ Baltimore (70-49)
— Irvin is 1-4, 7.09 in his last six starts.
— Washington is 5-2 in his last seven road starts.
— over 5-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-24
— record in first 5 innings: 6-12-6
— He hasn’t pitched against Baltimore.

— Nationals are 5-4 in last nine games.
— They’re 26-33 on road.
— Nationals are 10-9 in road series openers.
— over 11-5 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-119
— record in first 5 innings: 46-60-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-6-5

— Rogers is 0-1, 7.72 in two starts for Baltimore.
— Orioles are 1-1 in his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He is 0-2, 3.75 in two starts vs Washington TY.

— Baltimore is 5-3 in its last eight games.
— Orioles are 34-25 at home.
— Orioles are 11-8 in home series openers.
— over 19-5 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-119
— record in first 5 innings: 64-43-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1.1-x

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Cubs (59-61) @ Cleveland (70-49)
— Assad is 1-1, 4.88 in his last six starts.
— Chicago won his four starts.
— over 7-3 last ten starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 11-8-2
— This is his first start against Cleveland.

— Cubs are 10-5 in their last 15 games.
— They’re 27-34 on road.
— over 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 27-120
— record in first 5 innings: 49-52-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-3

— Boyd is making his first ‘24 start.
— He was 5-5, 5.45 in 15 starts for Detroit last year.
— In his career, he is 44-67, 4.94 in 160 starts.
— He is 0-1, 6.75 in two games (1 start) vs Chicago.

— Cleveland won its last three games.
— Guardians are 36-20 at home.
— over 8-0 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 31-119
— record in first 5 innings: 55-48-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-5.1

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Oakland (50-69) @ NY Mets (61-57)
— Stripling is 1-6, 9.66 in his last seven starts.
— Oakland is 3-11 in his starts.
— under 8-6
— allowed run in first inning: 5-14
— record in first 5 innings: 2-12
— He is 0-0, 3.46 in three starts vs New York.

— A’s are 13-8 since All-Star break.
— Oakland is 9-5 in last 14 road games.
— A’s are 11-4 in last 15 series openers.
— under 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 26-119
— record in first 5 innings: 44-68-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-2

— Blackburn is 1-0, 2.25 in two starts for the Mets.
— Mets are 2-0 in his starts.
— under 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-1
— He pitched for Oakland from 2017-24
— A’s traded him to the Mets July 30th.

— New York is 3-6 in its last nine games.
— Mets won last seven home series openers.
— Mets are 30-29 at home.
— under 8-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 29-118
— record in first 5 innings: 50-50-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-x

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Trend: Under the total is 12-0 (100%, +12 units) in the last 12 games between Washington and Baltimore
– The ROI on this trend is 100%
System Matches: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 9)

Trend: Home teams are 6-19 (24%, -19.45 units) in the last 25 games between the Los Angeles Angels and Toronto Blue Jays.
– The ROI on this trend is -77.8%.
System Matches: FADE LA ANGELS (+124 vs. TOR)

Trend: Colin Rea has been amazing in the -120 to +135 line range (19-3 record, +17.78 units) in the last two seasons
System Match: PLAY MILWAUKEE (+110 vs. LAD)

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The over is 18-5 in Kevin Gausman starts this season

A $100 bettor taking the over in every Gausman start would be up $1,236, the highest of any pitcher in baseball

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(901) MIAMI (44-75) at (902) PHILADELPHIA (69-49)
Trend: PHI better at home (38-20, +3.99 units)
System Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA (-180 vs. MIA)

(903) ST LOUIS (60-59) at (904) CINCINNATI (58-61)
Trend: Under the total is 6-2 in the head-to-head series this season (including 4-0 at CIN)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 9)

(905) LOS ANGELES-NL (70-49) at (906) MILWAUKEE (67-51)
Trend: MIL is 16-23 (-12.30 units) vs. NL East/West this season
System Match: FADE MILWAUKEE (+110 vs LAD)

(907) COLORADO (44-76) at (908) ARIZONA (67-53)
Trend: COL bad on the road (17-44, -14.71 units)
System Match: FADE COLORADO (+200 at AZ)

(909) PITTSBURGH (56-62) at (910) SAN DIEGO (67-53)
Trend: SD trending Over at home (35-23 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8)

(911) ATLANTA (62-56) at (912) SAN FRANCISCO (61-60)
Trend: ATL slightly better vs. LH starters (21-13, +0.26 units)
System Match: PLAY ATLANTA (-112 at SF)

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(913) SEATTLE (63-56) at (914) DETROIT (56-63)
Trend: DET more Over vs. AL teams (45-33 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 7)

(915) HOUSTON (63-55) at (916) TAMPA BAY (59-59)
Trend: TB decent vs. LH starters (18-12, +4.03 units)
System Match: PLAY TAMPA BAY (+114 vs HOU)

(919) KANSAS CITY (65-54) at (920) MINNESOTA (66-52)
Trend: MIN leads head-to-head series (6-2 record, 4-1 at home) this season
System Match: PLAY MINNESOTA (-112 vs. KC)

(921) NEW YORK-AL (70-50) at (922) CHICAGO-AL (29-91)
Trend: CWS bad at night (19-53, -24.74 units)
System Match: FADE CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+245 vs. NYY)

(923) TORONTO (55-64) at (924) LOS ANGELES-AL (52-67)
Trend: Under the total is 11-6 when TOR is a road favorite this season
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(925) WASHINGTON (54-65) at (926) BALTIMORE (70-49)
Trend: BAL hasn’t been good vs. NL teams this season (14-18, -11.94 units)
System Match: FADE BALTIMORE (-175 vs WSH)

(927) CHICAGO-NL (59-61) at (928) CLEVELAND (70-49)
Trend: CHC good vs. AL teams (21-11, +11.61 units)
System Match: PLAY CHICAGO CUBS (+110 at CLE)

(929) OAKLAND (50-69) at (930) NEW YORK-NL (61-57)
Trend: NYM better at NIGHT (39-27, +11.02 units)
System Match: PLAY NY METS (-148 vs. OAK)

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(901) MIAMI (44-75) at (902) PHILADELPHIA (69-49)
Trend: Taijuan Walker is 8-3 (+3.45 units) vs Miami in the last four seasons
System Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA (-180 vs. MIA)

Trend: Taijuan Walker is 19-5 (+11.06 units) as a home favorite of -130 or higher in the last four seasons
System Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA (-180 vs. MIA)

(903) ST LOUIS (60-59) at (904) CINCINNATI (58-61)
Trend: Erick Fedde is 17-6 (+11.42 units) in the -115 to +110 line range in his career
System Match: PLAY ST LOUIS (+110 at CIN)

Trend: CIN is 7-19 (-12.85 units) vs. divisional foes with starter Hunter Greene
System Match: FADE CINCINNATI (-130 vs. STL)

(905) LOS ANGELES-NL (70-49) at (906) MILWAUKEE (67-51)
Trend: Colin Rea has been amazing in the -120 to +135 line range (19-3 record, +17.78 units) in the last two seasons
System Match: PLAY MILWAUKEE (+110 vs LAD)

(907) COLORADO (44-76) at (908) ARIZONA (67-53)
Trend: COL is 6-2 (+5.10 units) vs Arizona with starter Austin Gomber in the last three seasons
System Match: PLAY COLORADO (+200 at AZ)

Old Post 08-13-24 10:46 PM
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