San Diego (64-52) @ Miami (43-73)
— Perez gave up a run in 6 IP, in his first start for San Diego.
— San Diego is 1-0 in his starts.
— under 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 5-7-5
— He is 1-1, 3.12 in three starts vs Miami.

— Padres won 14 of last 16 games.
— They’re 34-23 on road.
— Padres are 11-8 in road series openers.
— over 9-4 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-116
— record in first 5 innings: 52-48-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 8-5-3.1

— Cabrera is 1-0, 2.93 in his last three starts.
— Marlins are 6-5 in his starts.
— over 9-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5-1
— He threw 4 scoreless IP, in his one start vs San Diego

— Marlins are 3-5 in their last eight games.
— Miami is 23-37 at home.
— Marlins are 7-5 in last 12 home series openers.
— over 8-0 last eight home games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-116
— record in first 5 innings: 38-66-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3.1-5.2

Cincinnati (56-59) @ Milwaukee (65-49)
— Spiers is 2-1, 2.87 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 4-3 in his starts.
— over 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1
— This is his first start vs Milwaukee.

— Reds are 4-2 in their last six games.
— They’re 28-28 on road.
— Reds are 10-3 in last 13 series openers.
— over 7-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 32-115
— record in first 5 innings: 52-47-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-4

— Civale is 0-2, 6.12 in five starts for Milwaukee.
— Brewers are 1-4 in his starts.
— Brewers are 1-0 in his starts.
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1
— He gave up a run in 7 IP, in his one start vs Cincinnati.

— Brewers won last three games, scoring 34 runs.
— They’re 31-21 at home.
— Brewers are 10-7 in home series openers.
— over 9-2-1 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 31-114
— record in first 5 innings: 52-47-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-5

Atlanta (60-54) @ Colorado (42-74)
— Holmes is 0-0, 4.00 in two starts.
— Atlanta is 0-2 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado.

— Braves lost their last five games.
— They’re 28-28 on road.
— Braves are 6-9 in last 15 road series openers.
— over 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 31-114
— record in first 5 innings: 52-46-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-4.1-6.1

— Gordon is 0-3, 6.75 in four starts.
— Colorado is 0-4 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Atlanta.

— Rockies are 4-9 in their last 13 games.
— They’re 25-31 at home.
— Rockies are 5-0 in last five home series openers.
— under 12-3 last 15 home games
— scored run in first inning: 31-116
— record in first 5 innings: 41-58-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-8-6

Philadelphia (69-46) @ Arizona (63-53)
— Wheeler is 2-1, 2.88 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 13-5 in his last 18 starts.
— over 5-3 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-22
— record in first 5 innings: 14-6-2
— He is 7-3, 2.81 in 12 starts vs Arizona

— Phillies are 8-14 in their last 22 games.
— They’re 31-25 on road.
— over 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 43-115
— record in first 5 innings: 67-37-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-4

— Nelson is 2-0, 3.42 in his last four starts.
— Arizona is 8-1 in his last nine starts.
— over 6-1 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-2
— He is 0-1, 5.40 in two starts vs Philly.

— Arizona is 18-6 in its last 24 games.
— Diamondbacks are 31-26 at home.
— over 11-1 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 36-116
— record in first 5 innings: 54-42-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-6-3.1

Pittsburgh (56-58) @ Los Angeles (66-49)
— Keller is 0-0, 2.14 in his last four starts.
— Pittsburgh is 7-1 in his last eight starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 4-22
— record in first 5 innings: 11-7-5
— He is 2-2, 5.79 in four starts vs Los Angeles.

— Pirates are 1-6 in their last seven games.
— They’re 29-27 on road.
— Pirates are 9-9 in road series openers.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 23-114
— record in first 5 innings: 47-46-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7-5.1-3

— Flaherty threw 6 shutout IP in his first start for LA.
— Dodgers are 1-0 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-5-4
— He is 9-1, 2.52 in 15 starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Dodgers are 3-2 in their last five games.
— Dodgers are 11-5 in last 16 home games.
— Dodgers are 7-1 in last eight home series openers.
— over 9-4 last thirteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 40-115
— record in first 5 innings: 58-46-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-4.1-x

Cleveland (67-47) @ Minnesota (63-50)
— Cobb is making his first 2024 start.
— He was 7-7, 3.87 in 28 starts for the Giants LY.
— In his career, he is 77-75, 3.85 in 230 starts.
— He is 4-3, 4.86 in ten starts vs Minnesota.

— bullpen game

— Cleveland lost its last five games.
— Guardians are 32-27 on road.
— Guardians are 11-8 in road series openers.
— over 7-0 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 30-114
— record in first 5 innings: 53-46-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-8.2-x

— Ober is 3-0, 1.64 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 7-2 in his last nine starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 8-21
— record in first 5 innings: 12-8-1
— He is 1-2, 2.53 in six starts vs Cleveland.

— Varland is 0-4, 7.77 in five starts.
— His last start was June 11th.
— Twins are 0-5 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 0-4-1
— He is 0-1, 4.50 in two games (1 start) vs Cleveland.

— Twins won five of last seven games.
— Twins are 32-21 at home.
— Twins are 11-3 in last 14 home series openers.
— over 13-4 last 17 games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-113
— record in first 5 innings: 51-49-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-6-x

Baltimore (68-48) @ Tampa Bay (57-56)
— Eflin is 2-0, 3.65 in two starts for Baltimore.
— Orioles got him in a trade with the Rays.
— Orioles are 2-0 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9-3
— He is 0-1, 4.91 in two games (1 start) vs Tampa Bay.
— He was traded by Rays to Baltimore July 26th.

— Baltimore is 7-5 in its last dozen games.
— Orioles are 34-23 on road.
— Orioles are 10-8 in road series openers.
— over 18-3 last 21 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-116
— record in first 5 innings: 61-43-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-3.2

— Littell is 2-0, 0.71 in his last two starts
— Rays are 5-3 in his last eight starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 7-22
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-6
— He is 0-1, 4.50 in two starts vs Baltimore TY.

— Tampa Bay is 3-4 in its last seven games.
— Rays are 30-29 at home.
— Rays are 6-1 in last seven home series openers.
— under 8-3 last eleven games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-114
— record in first 5 innings: 41-56-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-4.2

Oakland (48-68) @ Toronto (53-62)
— Spence is 2-1, 2.65 in his last three starts.
— Oakland is 4-10 in his starts.
— over 8-2 last ten
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-1
— He gave up 2 runs in 7 IP vs Toronto June 9th.

— A’s are 11-7 since All-Star break.
— Oakland is 7-4 in last 11 road games.
— A’s are 7-0 in last seven series openers.
— under 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 25-116
— record in first 5 innings: 43-68-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.2-4

— Berrios is 1-3, 6.53 in his last four starts.
— Toronto is 9-6 in his last 15 starts.
— over 8-1 last nine starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-23
— record in first 5 innings: 8-13-2
— He is 2-3, 3.72 in ten starts vs Oakland.

— Toronto is 4-6 in its last ten games.
— Blue Jays are 28-29 at home.
— Blue Jays are 8-10 in home series openers.
— over 32-8 last 40 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-115
— record in first 5 innings: 49-52-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-1

Houston (59-55) @ Boston (61-52)
— Blanco is 0-3, 5.14 in his last four starts
— Astros are 14-7 in his starts.
— under 15-6
— allowed run in first inning: 7-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Boston.

— Houston is 7-3 in its last ten games.
— Astros are 27-29 on road.
— Astros are 8-10 in road series openers.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 34-114
— record in first 5 innings: 52-48-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-0.1-3.2

— Houck is 0-2, 7.41 in his last three starts.
— Boston is 7-5 in his home starts.
— over 5-2 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-22
— record in first 5 innings: 11-8-4
— He is 0-1, 3.52 in three games (1 start) vs Houston.

— Red Sox are 6-3 in last nine games.
— They’re 27-28 at home.
— Red Sox are 5-13 in home series openers.
— over 15-2 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-113
— record in first 5 innings: 59-41-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-4.1-x

Texas (54-61) @ Bronx (68-48)
— Bradford is 3-0, 2.78 in four starts.
— Three of those four starts were in April.
— Rangers are 4-0 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 4-0
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Rangers are 4-8 in last 12 games.
— Texas is 23-34 on road.
— Rangers are 3-12 in last 15 road series openers.
— over 11-3 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-115
— record in first 5 innings: 48-49-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-5

— Rodon is 3-0, 2.89 in his last three starts.
— New York is 14-9 in his starts.
— over 15-3 last 18 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 9-23
— record in first 5 innings: 12-9-2
— He is 1-1, 4.70 in five starts vs Texas.

— New York won eight of its last 11 games.
— They’re 30-26 at home.
— New York is 4-7 in last 11 home series openers.
— over 30-11 last 41 games
— scored run in first inning: 40-116
— record in first 5 innings: 58-45-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-8.2-4.1

LA Angels (51-64) @ Washington (52-64)
— Soriano is 2-0, 3.22 in his last four starts.
— Angels are 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-8-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Washington.

— Angels are 6-4 in last ten games.
— They’re 25-29 on road.
— Angels are 2-8 in last 10 series openers.
— under 10-6 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-115
— record in first 5 innings: 40-63-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-8.2-3

— Parker is 1-0, 1.64 in his last two starts.
— Washington is 10-10 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 8-10-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Anaheim.

— Nationals are 5-11 in last 16 games.
— They’re 26-31 at home.
— Nationals are 2-8 in last ten home series openers.
— over 10-3 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-116
— record in first 5 innings: 46-57-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-7.1

Cubs (57-60) @ White Sox (28-89)
— Taillon is 0-2, 4.08 in his last three starts.
— Chicago is 5-10 in his last 15 starts.
— over 4-2 last six starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-1
— He is 0-0, 3.58 in five starts against the White Sox.

— Cubs are 8-4 in their last 12 games.
— They’re 25-33 on road.
— Cubs are 2-9 in last 11 road series openers.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 26-117
— record in first 5 innings: 48-51-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-x

— Crochet is 0-2, 5.29 in his last five starts (17 IP)
— Chicago lost his last eight starts.
— over 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-23
— record in first 5 innings: 7-11-5
— This is his first start against the Cubs.

— White Sox lost 22 of last 23 games.
— Chicago is 17-40 at home.
— White Sox are 0-8 in last eight series openers.
— under 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 22-117
— record in first 5 innings: 45-57-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-x

St Louis (59-57) @ Kansas City (64-52)
— Mikolas is 1-1, 5.06 in his last three starts
— Cardinals are 7-6 in his road starts.
— under 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-23
— record in first 5 innings: 6-14-3
— He is 2-0, 0.00 in two starts (17 IP) vs Kansas City.

— Cardinals are 6-9 in last 15 games.
— They’re 28-30 on road.
— Cardinals are 0-8 in last eight series openers.
— over 9-5 last fourteen games
— scored run in first inning: 27-116
— record in first 5 innings: 44-53-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4-3

— Lorenzen gave up a run in 5.2 IP, in his first start for KC.
— Royals are 0-1 in his starts.
— over 5-3 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-4
— He is 4-3, 2.22 in 35 games (2 starts) vs St Louis.

— Royals are 7-3 in last ten games.
— Royals are 37-24 at home
— Royals are 13-6 in home series openers.
— over 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-116
— record in first 5 innings: 54-43-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3.2-2.2

Detroit (55-61) @ San Francisco (59-58)
— Detroit hasn’t named a starter

— Detroit is 3-2 in its last five games.
— Tigers are 29-30 on road.
— Tigers are 11-8 in road series openers.
— under 4-1 last five road games
— scored run in first inning: 35-116
— record in first 5 innings: 46-51-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-4.1

— Ray is 2-1, 4.40 in three starts.
— Giants are 2-1 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He is 0-1, 4.15 in two starts vs Detroit

— San Francisco is 10-3 in its last 13 games.
— Giants are 33-23 at home.
— Giants are 8-3 in last 11 home series openers.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 28-117
— record in first 5 innings: 48-51-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-3-5.1

NY Mets (61-54) @ Seattle (60-56)
— Quintana is 2-1, 2.81 in his last three starts.
— Mets are 7-3 in his last ten starts.
— under 5-1 last six road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-22
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-5
— He is 2-1, 3.19 in eight starts vs Seattle.

— New York is 6-4 in its last ten games.
— Mets are 31-25 on road.
— New York is 13-3 in last 16 series openers.
— under 9-3 last dozen road games
— scored run in first inning: 29-115
— record in first 5 innings: 50-47-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-4

— Miller is 2-0, 2.70 in his last four starts.
— Seattle is 8-4 in his last 12 starts.
— over 11-5 last 16 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-22
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-4
— He is 2-0, 0.00 in two starts (12 IP) vs Detroit.

— Seattle is 4-5 in its last nine games.
— Mariners are 4-10 in last 14 home games.
— Mariners are 15-5 in home series openers.
— over 8-4 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-115
— record in first 5 innings: 51-49-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-2.1

Trend: Atlanta has won 13 of the last 14 games against Colorado (92.9%, +9.60 units)
– The ROI on this trend is 68.6%
System Matches: PLAY ATLANTA (-162 at COL)

Hitting a lot of home runs has a carryover effect for home favorites
Home favorites coming off a game in which they hit four or more home runs have proven to be a very good investment for baseball bettors over the last 4+ seasons, going 300-151 (66.5%) for +37.40 units and an ROI of 8.3%!
System Matches (PLAY): MILWAUKEE (-135 vs. CIN)

Trend: Jose Berrios is 9-24 (-22.14 units) in night games as short favorite within line range of -120 to -145 in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE TORONTO (-135 vs. OAK)

Trend: MIA awful vs. LH starters (9-31, -21.06 units)
System Match: FADE MIAMI (+105 vs. SD)

(901) SAN DIEGO (64-52) at (902) MIAMI (43-73)
Trend: MIA awful vs. LH starters (9-31, -21.06 units)
System Match: FADE MIAMI (+105 vs SD)

(903) CINCINNATI (56-59) at (904) MILWAUKEE (65-49)
Trend: MIL pretty good vs. divisional teams (23-13, +7.66 units)
System Match: PLAY MILWAUKEE (-142 vs CIN)

(905) ATLANTA (60-54) at (906) COLORADO (42-74)
Trend: ATL more Under at night (21-45 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 10.5)

(909) PITTSBURGH (56-58) at (910) LOS ANGELES-NL (66-49)
Trend: LAD slight Over at home (32-23 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8)

(911) CLEVELAND (67-47) at (912) MINNESOTA (63-50) (DH Game #1)
Trend: MIN better during the day (33-19, +8.78 units)
System Match: PLAY MINNESOTA (-142 vs CLE)

(913) BALTIMORE (68-48) at (914) TAMPA BAY (58-56)
Trend: BAL better vs. divisional teams (24-12, +8.55 units)
System Match: PLAY BALTIMORE (-135 at TB)

(915) TEXAS (54-61) at (916) NEW YORK-AL (68-48)
Trend: NYY good vs. AL West/Central (30-10, +11.04 units)
System Match: PLAY NY YANKEES (-180 vs TEX)

(917) OAKLAND (48-68) at (918) TORONTO (53-62)
Trend: OAK worse on the road (19-38, -5.70 units)
System Match: FADE OAKLAND (+114 at TOR)

(919) HOUSTON (59-55) at (920) BOSTON (61-52)
Trend: HOU slight Under vs. AL East/Central (16-24 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 10)

(925) ST LOUIS (59-57) at (926) KANSAS CITY (64-52)
Trend: KC better at home (37-24, +9.57 units)
System Match: PLAY KANSAS CITY (-122 vs STL)

(927) CHICAGO-NL (57-60) at (928) CHICAGO-AL (28-89)
Trend: CWS terrible at night (18-51, -25.59 units)
System Match: FADE CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+120 vs CHC)

(929) NEW YORK-NL (61-54) at (930) SEATTLE (60-56)
Trend: SEA more Under at home (19-38 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8)

(901) SAN DIEGO (64-52) at (902) MIAMI (43-73)
Trend: MIA is 10-5 (+6.54 units) as shorter underdog -105 to +135 with starter Edward Cabrera in the last three seasons
System Match: PLAY MIAMI (+105 vs SD)

(903) CINCINNATI (56-59) at (904) MILWAUKEE (65-49)
Trend: Aaron Civale is 18-8 (+3.07 units) in home night games as a favorite in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY MILWAUKEE (-135 vs CIN)

(913) BALTIMORE (68-48) at (914) TAMPA BAY (58-56)
Trend: Zach Eflin is 18-5 (+12.01 units) in the last five seasons as a road pick ’em/short favorite between -110 to -140 line range
System Match: PLAY BALTIMORE (-135 at TB)

Trend: Zach Eflin is 15-7 (+6.03 units) vs. AL East opponents since 2020
System Match: PLAY BALTIMORE (-135 at TB)

(915) TEXAS (54-61) at (916) NEW YORK-AL (68-48)
Trend: Carlos Rodon not good in -185 to -210 favorite line range, going 1-10 (-18.20 units) in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE NY YANKEES (*if they fall into this line range, -180 currently*)

(917) OAKLAND (48-68) at (918) TORONTO (53-62)
Trend: Jose Berrios is 9-24 (-22.14 units) in night games as short favorite within line range of -120 to -145 in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE TORONTO (-135 vs OAK)

(921) CLEVELAND (67-47) at (922) MINNESOTA (63-50) (DH Game #2)
Trend: Alex Cobb is 2-11 (-10.85 units) in road games in AUG/SEP/OCT in the last three seasons
System Match: FADE CLEVELAND (-108 at MIN)

(927) CHICAGO-NL (57-60) at (928) CHICAGO-AL (28-89)
Trend: CHC is 12-4 (+6.38 units) against AL Central by starter Jameson Taillon
System Match: PLAY CHICAGO CUBS (-142 at CWS)

Trend: CHC is 13-3 (+8.38 units) as a favorite in the -145 to -165 range by starter Jameson Taillon in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY CHICAGO CUBS (*if they fall into this line range, -142 currently)