The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
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msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
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Market Moves 8/10
4:10 p.m. ET: San Diego Padres (-190, 8.5) at Miami Marlins
The Padres (65-52) took last night’s series opener 6-2 in extra innings, cashing as -135 road favorites. In tonight’s rematch, the Padres hand the ball to righty Matt Waldron (7-9, 3.79 ERA) and the Marlins (43-74) turn to fellow righty Roddery Munoz (2-6, 5.68 ERA). This line opened with San Diego listed as a -165 road favorite and Miami a +150 home dog. Sharps aren’t scared off by the expensive chalk and have gotten down hard on the Padres, steaming San Diego up from -165 to -190. The Padres are receiving 89% of moneyline bets and 95% of moneyline dollars, signaling heavy one-way “low bets, higher dollars” support from both Pros and Joes in addition to 25-cent steam move in their favor. Road favorites receiving 10-cents of steam or more are 65-37 (64%) with a 7% ROI this season. Saturday favorites with a winning record are 106-68 (61%) with a 4% ROI. Non-division road favorites off a win are 135-97 (58%) with a 3% ROI. The Padres have the better bats, hitting .265 with 134 homers and 554 runs scored compared to the Marlins hitting just .237 with 105 homers and 425 runs scored. San Diego is 35-23 on the road. Miami is 23-38 at home. Waldron has a 3.11 ERA on the road compared to 4.52 at home. Munoz has a 6.82 ERA at home compared to 4.74 on the road. The Padres are 8-2 over their last ten games, hitting .281 with a 3.42 ERA. The Marlins are 4-6 over their last ten games, hitting .228 with a 4.70 ERA.
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08-10-24 08:11 PM |
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