San Diego (66-52) @ Miami (43-75)
— Cease is 4-0, 0.31 in his last five starts.
— San Diego is 7-2 in his last nine starts.
— under 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 9-24
— record in first 5 innings: 12-9-3
— He gave up a run in 6 IP, in his one start vs Miami.

— Padres won 16 of last 18 games.
— They’re 36-23 on road.
— over 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-118
— record in first 5 innings: 52-50-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-5.2

— Meyer is 0-2, 9.00 in his last three starts.
— Marlins are 3-3 in his starts.
— over 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego

— Marlins are 3-7 in their last ten games.
— Miami is 23-39 at home.
— over 9-1 last ten home games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-118
— record in first 5 innings: 40-66-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-3-5

Cincinnati (56-61) @ Milwaukee (67-49)
— Lodolo is 1-1, 6.00 in his last five starts.
— Reds are 8-4 in his last 12 starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-2
— He is 1-0, 2.89 in three starts vs Milwaukee.

— Reds are 1-3 in their last four games.
— They’re 28-30 on road.
— over 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 32-117
— record in first 5 innings: 52-48-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-1

— Brewers haven’t named a starter.

— Brewers won last five games, scoring 43 runs.
— They’re 33-21 at home.
— over 10-3-1 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-116
— record in first 5 innings: 53-47-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2.2-1.1

Atlanta (61-55) @ Colorado (43-75)
— Schwellenbach is 1-2, 7.65 in his last four starts.
— Atlanta is 4-6 in his starts.
— under 6-4
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 3-6-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado.

— Braves lost six of last seven games.
— They’re 29-29 on road.
— over 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 32-116
— record in first 5 innings: 53-47-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.1-3-4

— Freeland is 3-1, 4.77 in his last five starts.
— Colorado is 7-5 in his starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-12
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-1
— He is 1-4, 6.26 in eight starts vs Atlanta.

— Rockies are 5-10 in their last 15 games.
— They’re 26-32 at home.
— under 12-5 last 17 home games
— scored run in first inning: 31-118
— record in first 5 innings: 42-59-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-4-6.1

Philadelphia (69-48) @ Arizona (65-53)
— Sanchez is 1-3, 4.70 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 3-7 in his road starts.
— under 6-2 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-22
— record in first 5 innings: 10-11-1
— He is 1-1, 5.19 in three games (1 start) vs Arizona

— Phillies are 8-16 in their last 24 games.
— They’re 31-27 on road.
— over 9-3 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 43-117
— record in first 5 innings: 67-39-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-3

— Kelly is 2-0, 2.19 in four starts.
— Hs last start was April 15th.
— Arizona is 2-2 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-1
— He is 1-1, 2.75 in three starts vs Philly.

— Arizona is 20-6 in its last 26 games.
— Diamondbacks are 33-26 at home.
— over 12-2 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-118
— record in first 5 innings: 56-42-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-1.2-4.2

Pittsburgh (56-60) @ Los Angeles (68-49)
— Falter is 2-2, 5.40 in his last five starts.
— Pittsburgh is 8-11 in his starts.
— under 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 7-11-1
— He is 0-1, 6.43 in two games (1 start) vs Los Angeles.

— Pirates are 1-8 in their last nine games.
— They’re 29-29 on road.
— over 8-4 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 23-116
— record in first 5 innings: 47-48-21
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-2

— Glasnow is 1-1, 4.00 in his last three starts.
— Dodgers are 5-2 in his last seven starts.
— over 6-0 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-21
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9-2
— He gave up a run in 6 IP in his one start vs Pittsburgh.
— He pitched for the Pirates from 2016-18.

— Dodgers are 5-2 in their last seven games.
— Dodgers are 13-5 in last 18 home games.
— over 10-5 last fifteen games.
— scored run in first inning: 42-117
— record in first 5 innings: 60-46-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-4.1

Cleveland (68-49) @ Minnesota (65-51)
— Bibee is 2-0, 1.62 in his last three starts.
— Guardians are 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— under 11-6 last 17 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-22
— record in first 5 innings: 13-5-4
— He is 1-0, 2.96 in five starts vs Minnesota.

— Cleveland lost seven of last eight games.
— Guardians are 33-29 on road.
— over 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 31-117
— record in first 5 innings: 54-48-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-5.2-3

— Festa is 1-1, 1.80 in his last two starts.
— Twins are 2-2 in his starts.
— over 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Cleveland.

— Twins won seven of last ten games.
— Twins are 34-22 at home.
— over 14-6 last 20 games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-116
— record in first 5 innings: 53-50-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-7.1-2

Baltimore (70-48) @ Tampa Bay (57-58)
— Suarez is 2-2, 4.13 in his last six starts.
— Orioles are 3-5 in his road starts.
— under 11-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-2
— He is 0-0, 3.72 in two starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Baltimore is 9-5 in its last 14 games.
— Orioles are 36-23 on road.
— over 19-4 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-118
— record in first 5 innings: 63-43-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-2-3

— Springs is 0-1, 6.23 in two starts.
— Rays are 1-1 in his starts.
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He is 3-0, 2.45 in 12 games (2 starts) vs Baltimore.

— Tampa Bay is 3-6 in its last nine games.
— Rays are 30-31 at home.
— under 9-4 last 13 games.
— scored run in first inning: 30-116
— record in first 5 innings: 41-58-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-4-8

Oakland (49-69) @ Toronto (54-63)
— Sears is 2-0, 0.64 in his last two starts.
— Oakland is 6-1 in his last seven starts.
— under 9-4 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 7-23
— record in first 5 innings: 11-11-1
— He is 1-0, 1.50 in two games (1 start) vs Toronto.

— A’s are 12-8 since All-Star break.
— Oakland is 8-5 in last 13 road games.
— under 6-0 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 25-118
— record in first 5 innings: 43-68-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.1-3

— Bassitt is 1-3, 6.05 in his last four starts.
— Toronto is 3-8 in his last 11 starts.
— over 5-3 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-23
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-7
— He is 2-0, 2.31 in five starts vs Oakland.
— He pitched for the A’s from 2015-21.

— Toronto is 5-7 in its last 12 games.
— Blue Jays are 29-30 at home.
— over 32-10 last 42 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-117
— record in first 5 innings: 49-52-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-2-3.1

Houston (61-55) @ Boston (61-54)
— Brown is 3-1, 2.73 in his last five starts
— Astros are 8-3 in his last 11 starts.
— under 11-3 last 14 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-22
— record in first 5 innings: 12-8-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Boston.

— Houston is 9-3 in its last 12 games.
— Astros are 29-29 on road.
— under 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 36-116
— record in first 5 innings: 52-49-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-5-2

— Paxton is 9-3, 4.42 in 20 starts this year.
— He is 1-1, 6.97 in two starts for Boston.
— Red Sox are 1-1 in his starts.
— over 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-1
— He is 8-5, 3.72 in 15 starts vs Houston.

— Red Sox lost their last three games.
— They’re 27-30 at home.
— over 16-3 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-115
— record in first 5 innings: 60-41-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-6

Texas (55-62) @ Bronx (69-49)
— Heaney is 0-1, 6.46 in his last three starts.
— Rangers are 1-5 in his last six road starts.
— under 9-4 last 13 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-22
— record in first 5 innings: 6-13-3
— He is 1-3, 5.29 in six starts vs New York.

— Rangers are 5-9 in last 14 games.
— Texas is 24-35 on road.
— over 12-4 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-117
— record in first 5 innings: 48-50-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-x-9

— Stroman is 0-3, 9.15 in his last five starts.
— New York is 15-7 in his starts.
— over 10-1 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-22
— record in first 5 innings: 9-10-4
— He is 2-3, 6.00 in five starts vs Texas.

— New York won nine of its last 13 games.
— They’re 31-27 at home.
— over 31-12 last 43 games
— scored run in first inning: 41-118
— record in first 5 innings: 59-45-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-x-7

LA Angels (51-66) @ Washington (54-64)
— bullpen game

— Angels are 4-6 in their last 10 games.
— They’re 25-31 on road.
— under 12-6 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-117
— record in first 5 innings: 42-63-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-2.2

— Gore is 1-1, 8.22 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 4-2 in his last six starts.
— over 11-2 last 13 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-23
— record in first 5 innings: 10-12-1
— He gave up two runs in 3.2 IP, in his one start vs Anaheim.

— Nationals are 7-11 in last 18 games.
— They’re 28-31 at home.
— over 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-118
— record in first 5 innings: 46-59-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 7.1-3.2-6

Detroit (55-63) @ San Francisco (60-58)
— Montero is 1-4, 6.59 in his last five starts.
— Detroit is 4-4 in his starts.
— over 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against the Giants.

— Detroit is 3-9 in its last 12 games.
— Tigers are 29-32 on road.
— under 6-1 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 35-118
— record in first 5 innings: 47-52-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-4-3

— Birdsong is 2-1, 5.16 in his last five starts.
— Giants are 4-3 in his starts.
— under 6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit

— San Francisco is 12-3 in its last 15 games.
— Giants are 35-23 at home.
— over 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 28-119
— record in first 5 innings: 49-52-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3-2

NY Mets (61-56) @ Seattle (62-56)
— Severino is 0-2, 9.00 in his last three starts.
— Mets are 3-4 in his last seven starts.
— under 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-22
— record in first 5 innings: 12-8-2
— He is 2-1, 3.44 in three starts vs Seattle.

— New York split its last 12 games.
— They got shut out the last two nights.
— Mets are 31-27 on road.
— under 11-3 last 14 road games
— scored run in first inning: 29-117
— record in first 5 innings: 50-49-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2.1-5

— Castillo is 2-2, 2.61 in his last five starts.
— Seattle is 4-7 in his last 11 starts.
— under 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-24
— record in first 5 innings: 10-13-1
— He is 1-1, 4.44 in four starts vs New York.

— Seattle won its last three games.
— Mariners are 6-10 in last 16 home games.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 32-118
— record in first 5 innings: 53-49-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3-2

Detroit (55-63) @ San Francisco (60-58)
— Montero is 1-4, 6.59 in his last five starts.
— Detroit is 4-4 in his starts.
— over 5-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against the Giants.

— Detroit is 3-9 in its last 12 games.
— Tigers are 29-32 on road.
— under 6-1 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 35-118
— record in first 5 innings: 47-52-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-4-3

— Birdsong is 2-1, 5.16 in his last five starts.
— Giants are 4-3 in his starts.
— under 6-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit

— San Francisco is 12-3 in its last 15 games.
— Giants are 35-23 at home.
— over 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 28-119
— record in first 5 innings: 49-52-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-3-2

Umpires
— SD-Mia- Home underdogs are 4-5 in Whitson games.
— Cin-Milw- Home favorites are 11-2 in Cuzzi games.
— Atl-Colo- Under is 13-9 in Valentine games.
— Phil-Ariz- Over is 15-9 in Barksdale games.
— Pitt-LA- Since 2022, under is 38-28 in Livensparger games.

— A’s-Tor- Over is 20-3 in Fletcher games
— Hst-Bos- Over is 13-8 in Baker games
— Clev-Minn- Home favorites are 11-6 in Barber games.
— Balt-TB- Over is 14-10 in Walsh games.

— LAA-Wsh- Under is 15-8 in Wendelstedt games.
— Det-SF- Over is 14-10 in Ramos games.
— NY-Sea- Home favorites are 11-2 in Blaser games.

Trend: Atlanta has won 14 of the last 16 games against Colorado (87.5%, +8.98 units)
– The ROI on this trend is 56.1%
System Matches: PLAY ATLANTA (-175 at COL)

Trend: Chris Bassitt is 25-6 (+15.92 units) in day games vs teams with a losing record in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY TORONTO (-155 vs. OAK)

Trend: Luis Severino is 6-15 (-7.83 units) as an underdog in the last two seasons
System Match: FADE NY METS (+110 at SEA)

Trend: CIN not good during the day (18-29, -14.20 units)
System Match: FADE CINCINNATI (-115 at MIL)

(901) SAN DIEGO (66-52) at (902) MIAMI (43-75)
Trend: MIA trending Over at home (42-16 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 7.5)

(903) CINCINNATI (56-61) at (904) MILWAUKEE (67-49)
Trend: CIN not good during the day (18-29, -14.20 units)
System Match: FADE CINCINNATI (-115 at MIL)

(905) ATLANTA (61-55) at (906) COLORADO (43-75)
Trend: ATL better vs. LH starters (20-12, +1.01 units)
System Match: PLAY ATLANTA (-175 at COL)

(907) PHILADELPHIA (69-48) at (908) ARIZONA (65-53)
Trend: AZ worse vs. LH starters (20-22, -7.30 units)
System Match: FADE ARIZONA (+105 vs PHI)

(913) TEXAS (55-62) at (914) NEW YORK-AL (69-49)
Trend: NYY not as good bet vs. LH starters (12-17, -16.44 units)
System Match: FADE NY YANKEES (-148 vs TEX)

(915) OAKLAND (49-69) at (916) TORONTO (54-63)
Trend: TOR slight Over during the day (30-20 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(917) BALTIMORE (70-48) at (918) TAMPA BAY (58-58)
Trend: BAL better vs. divisional teams (26-12, +10.55 units)
System Match: PLAY BALTIMORE (-110 at TB)

(919) CLEVELAND (68-49) at (920) MINNESOTA (65-51)
Trend: Under the total is 6-2 in head-to-head series this season
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8)

(921) LOS ANGELES-AL (51-66) at (922) WASHINGTON (54-64)
Trend: LAA slight Under during the day (14-22 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 9)

(923) DETROIT (55-63) at (924) SAN FRANCISCO (61-58)
Trend: SF trending Over during the day (31-18 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8)

(925) NEW YORK-NL (61-56) at (926) SEATTLE (62-56)
Trend: SEA more Under at home (19-40 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 7.5)

(901) SAN DIEGO (66-52) at (902) MIAMI (43-75)
Trend: Dylan Cease is 11-2 (+6.82 units) in the last five seasons as a large road favorite (-170 or higher)
System Match: PLAY SAN DIEGO (-205 at MIA)

(903) CINCINNATI (56-61) at (904) MILWAUKEE (67-49)
Trend: Nick Lodolo is 3-0 vs. Milwaukee (+4.05 units)
System Match: PLAY CINCINNATI (-115 at MIL)

(905) ATLANTA (61-55) at (906) COLORADO (43-75)
Trend: COL is 9-18 (-5.50 units) in the underdog line range of +125 to +150 with starter Kyle Freeland in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE COLORADO (+145 vs ATL)

(907) PHILADELPHIA (69-48) at (908) ARIZONA (65-53)
Trend: PHI is 8-15 (-10.28 units) in line range of -145 or worse with starter Cristopher Sanchez the last 2+ seasons
System Match: FADE PHILADELPHIA (-125 at AZ)

(909) PITTSBURGH (56-60) at (910) LOS ANGELES-NL (68-49)
Trend: Tyler Glasnow is 35-9 (+12.65 units) as a favorite of -166 or higher in the last five seasons (including 21-5 (+6.72 units) in home starts)
System Match: PLAY LA DODGERS (-270 vs PIT)

(911) HOUSTON (61-55) at (912) BOSTON (61-54)
Trend: HOU is 3-7 (-5.75 units) as a short favorite (-115 to -130 line range) with starter Hunter Brown
System Match: FADE HOUSTON (-135 at BOS)

(913) TEXAS (55-62) at (914) NEW YORK-AL (69-49)
Trend: Andrew Heaney is 19-31 (-14.80 units) vs teams with a >53% win percentage in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE TEXAS (+124 at NYY)

(915) OAKLAND (49-69) at (916) TORONTO (54-63)
Trend: OAK is 8-20 (-8.40 units) in day game starts by JP Sears in the last three years
System Match: FADE OAKLAND (+130 at TOR)

Trend: Chris Bassitt is 11-3 (+8.15 units) in July/Aug/Sept day games in the last two seasons
System Match: PLAY TORONTO (-155 vs OAK)

Trend: Chris Bassitt is 25-6 (+15.92 units) in day games vs teams with a losing record in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY TORONTO (-155 vs OAK)

(919) CLEVELAND (68-49) at (920) MINNESOTA (65-51)
Trend: CLE is 15-3 (+12.10 units) in the -135 to +110 line range by starter Tanner Bibee in the last two seasons
System Match: PLAY CLEVELAND (-105 at MIN)

(921) LOS ANGELES-AL (51-66) at (922) WASHINGTON (54-64)
Trend: MacKenzie Gore is 5-11 (-8.15 units) in HOME games vs teams with losing records in the last two seasons
System Match: FADE WASHINGTON (-155 vs. LAA)

(925) NEW YORK-NL (61-56) at (926) SEATTLE (62-56)
Trend: Luis Severino is 6-15 (-7.83 units) as an underdog in the last two seasons
System Match: FADE NY METS (+110 at SEA)