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msudogs
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MLB Lagniappe 8/07

White Sox (28-88) @ Oakland (47-68)
— bullpen game

— White Sox lost 21 of last 22 games.
— Chicago is 11-48 on road.
— over 9-4 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-116
— record in first 5 innings: 44-57-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.1-4-3

— Estes is 2-0, 3.57 in his last three starts.
— Oakland is 7-7 in his starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 6-14
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago.

— A’s are 2-4 in last six games.
— Oakland is 10-7 in last 17 home games.
— over 9-4 last 13 home games
— scored run in first inning: 25-115
— record in first 5 innings: 43-67-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-3.2

Old Post 08-07-24 09:18 PM
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LA Angels (49-63) @ Bronx (67-46)
— Daniel is 1-2, 5.32 in four starts.
— Angels are 1-3 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against New York.

— Fulmer is 0-0, 3.48 in four starts.
— Angels are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-2
— This is his first start against New York.

— Angels are 4-3 in last seven games.
— They’re 23-28 on road.
— Angels are 9-8 in road series openers.
— under 9-4 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-112
— record in first 5 innings: 38-62-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-x

— Gil is 2-0, 2.76 in his last three starts.
— New York is 2-5 in his last seven starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-21
— record in first 5 innings: 14-4-3
— He gave up a run in 8 IP, in his one start vs Anaheim.

— Warren gave up 4 runs in 5.1 IP in his first ‘24 start.
— New York is 1-0 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Anaheim.

— New York won seven of its last eight games.
— They’re 29-24 at home.
— New York is 1-5 in its last six home series openers.
— over 28-10 last 38 games
— scored run in first inning: 39-113
— record in first 5 innings: 57-43-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-x-x

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Arizona (61-52) @ Cleveland (67-45)
— Rodriguez is making his first ’24 start.
— Last year, he was 13-9, 3.30 in 26 starts for Detroit.
— In his career, he is 82-53, 4.03 in 196 starts.
— He is 6-0, 2.28 in eight starts vs Cleveland.

— Pfaadt is 2-0, 2.86 in his last five starts.
— Arizona is 6-1 in his last seven starts.
— over 7-4 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-22
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Cleveland.

— Arizona is 16-5 in its last 21 games.
— Diamondbacks are 30-27 on road.
— over 8-1 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 36-113
— record in first 5 innings: 51-42-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-x

— Lively is 2-0, 2.25 in his last two starts.
— Cleveland is 12-7 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-19
— record in first 5 innings: 12-5-2
— He is 0-2, 7.50 in four starts vs Arizona.

— Carrasco is 0-3, 7.36 in his last four starts.
— Cleveland is 8-12 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 5-14-1
— He is 2-0, 0.82 in three starts vs Arizona.

— Cleveland is 8-5 in its last 13 games.
— Guardians are 35-18 at home.
— over 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 30-112
— record in first 5 innings: 53-44-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-5-x

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Tampa Bay (57-55) @ St Louis (58-56)
— Bradley is 3-1, 1.44 in his last four starts
— Rays are 7-2 in his last nine starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-2
— He hasn’t pitched against St Louis

— Tampa Bay is 13-9 in its last 22 games.
— Rays are 27-26 on road.
— under 7-2 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 29-112
— record in first 5 innings: 41-54-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 9-x-3

— Fedde is 0-2, 5.87 in his last three starts
— Cardinals lost his first start for them.
— over 7-4 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-22
— record in first 5 innings: 11-8-3
— He gave up 2 runs in 8.1 IP, in his one start vs Tampa Bay.

— Cardinals are 5-8 in last 13 games.
— They’re 30-26 at home.
— over 8-4 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 25-114
— record in first 5 innings: 42-53-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.1-2

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Minnesota (63-49) @ Cubs (56-60)
— Ryan is 1-1, 4.42 in his last three starts.
— Twins are 4-7 in his last 11 starts.
— over 7-0 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 8-22
— record in first 5 innings: 11-8-3
— He is 2-1, 2.81 in three starts against the Cubs.

— Twins won five of last six games.
— Twins are 31-28 on road.
— over 12-4 last 16 games.
— scored run in first inning: 31-112
— record in first 5 innings: 51-48-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-3

— Assad is 1-1, 4.95 in his last five starts.
— Chicago is 9-5 in his last 14 starts.
— over 6-3 last nine starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 10-8-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota.

— Cubs are 7-4 in their last 11 games.
— They’re 31-27 at home.
— over 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 25-116
— record in first 5 innings: 47-51-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-2

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Cincinnati (55-58) @ Miami (42-72)
— Abbott is 0-2, 6.38 in his last four starts.
— Reds are 6-6 in his road starts.
— under 16-5
— allowed run in first inning: 7-21
— record in first 5 innings: 11-8-2
— He gave up 5 runs in 3.1 IP, in his one start vs Miami.

— Reds are 3-1 in their last four games.
— They’re 27-27 on road.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 31-113
— record in first 5 innings: 52-46-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4-3

— Bellozo is 0-1, 4.20 in three starts.
— Marlins are 0-3 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati

— Marlins are 2-4 in their last six games.
— Miami is 22-36 at home.
— under 4-2 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-114
— record in first 5 innings: 37-66-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5.1-5

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San Francisco (57-58) @ Washington (52-62)
— Snell is 1-0, 0.55 in his last five starts.
— He threw a no-hitter in his last start Friday.
— Giants are 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— under 5-0 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-2
— He is 2-1, 3.00 in six starts vs Washington

— San Francisco is 8-3 in its last 11 games.
— Giants are 24-35 on road.
— under 13-7 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-115
— record in first 5 innings: 47-51-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.1-6

— Irvin is 1-3, 6.75 in his last five starts.
— Washington is 3-6 in his home starts.
— over 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-23
— record in first 5 innings: 6-11-6
— He is 2-0, 2.08 in two starts vs San Francisco.

— Nationals are 5-9 in last 14 games.
— They’re 26-29 at home.
— over 8-3 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-114
— record in first 5 innings: 46-56-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-4

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Milwaukee (63-49) @ Atlanta (60-52)
— Peralta is 0-2, 4.43 in his last four starts.
— Brewers are 1-4 in his last five starts.
— over 12-3 last 15 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-22
— record in first 5 innings: 9-12-1
— He is 3-2, 4.19 in six starts vs Atlanta

— Brewers are 4-6 in their last ten games.
— They’re 32-28 on road.
— over 7-2-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 30-112
— record in first 5 innings: 51-46-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-2

— Sale is 3-0, 2.45 in his last five starts.
— Atlanta is 14-6 in his starts.
— over 7-4 last 11
— allowed run in first inning: 9-20
— record in first 5 innings: 15-4-1
— He is 1-0, 1.66 in three starts vs Milwaukee

— Braves are 6-4 in their last ten games.
— They’re 32-24 at home.
— under 26-12 last 38 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-112
— record in first 5 innings: 51-45-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-x-5.1

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NY Mets (59-54) @ Colorado (42-72)
— Blackburn is 2-0, 4.09 in his last two starts.
— Mets are 1-0 in his starts for them.
— under 6-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4
— He gave up two runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs Colorado

— New York is 4-6 in its last ten games.
— Mets are 29-25 on road.
— under 7-3 last ten road games
— scored run in first inning: 27-113
— record in first 5 innings: 49-47-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-3

— Feltner is 0-3, 3.94 in his last five starts.
— Colorado is 1-6 in his last seven starts.
— under 5-2 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 9-22
— record in first 5 innings: 8-12-2
— He is 0-2, 7.71 in three starts vs New York.

— Rockies are 4-7 in their last 11 games.
— They’re 25-29 at home.
— under 10-3 last 13 home games
— scored run in first inning: 30-114
— record in first 5 innings: 41-57-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-x-4.1

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Philadelphia (67-46) @ Los Angeles (66-48)
— Phillips is 3-1, 4.76 in four starts.
— Phillies are 3-1 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Los Angeles.

— Phillies are 6-14 in their last 20 games.
— They’re 29-25 on road.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 42-113
— record in first 5 innings: 67-35-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-2-3

— Stone is 0-3, 7.15 in his last five starts.
— Dodgers are 1-4 in his last five starts.
— under 11-4 last 15 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 9-8-3
— He is 0-1, 8.31 in two starts vs Philadelphia.

— Dodgers won three of last four games.
— Dodgers are 11-4 in last 15 home games.
— over 8-4 last dozen games.
— scored run in first inning: 39-114
— record in first 5 innings: 57-46-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3-4.1

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Baltimore (67-47) @ Toronto (52-61)
— Rogers gave up 5 runs in 4.1 IP, in his first start for Baltimore.
— He is 1-1, 4.62 in his last five starts.
— Orioles are 0-1 in his starts.
— over 11-11
— allowed run in first inning: 7-22
— record in first 5 innings: 6-14-2
— He gave up three runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Toronto.

— Baltimore is 6-4 in its last ten games.
— Orioles are 33-22 on road.
— over 16-3 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-114
— record in first 5 innings: 61-41-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-4-3

— bullpen game

— Toronto is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— Blue Jays are 27-28 at home.
— over 30-8 last 38 games
— scored run in first inning: 28-113
— record in first 5 innings: 47-52-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-x-2

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Boston (61-51) @ Kansas City (63-52)
— Crawford is 1-1, 9.60 in his last three starts.
— Boston is 5-3 in his last eight starts.
— over 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-22
— record in first 5 innings: 9-8-5
— He is 1-2, 4.70 in three starts vs Kansas City.

— Red Sox are 6-2 in last eight games.
— They’re 34-23 on road.
— over 14-2 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-112
— record in first 5 innings: 59-40-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-3-4.1

— Ragans is 3-1, 3.70 in his last four starts.
— Royals are 8-5 in his home starts.
— over 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-23
— record in first 5 innings: 11-7-5
— He is 1-0, 1.32 in two starts vs Boston.

— Royals won six of last nine games.
— Royals are 36-24 at home
— over 9-4 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-115
— record in first 5 innings: 53-43-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-3.2

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Detroit (54-60) @ Seattle (59-55)
— Skubal is 3-1, 2.97 in his last five starts.
— Detroit is 14-8 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 5-22
— record in first 5 innings: 13-5-4
— He gave up two runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Seattle

— Detroit is 5-10 in its last 15 games.
— Tigers are 28-29 on road.
— under 3-0 last three road games
— scored run in first inning: 34-114
— record in first 5 innings: 44-51-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 9-x-3

— Kirby is 1-0, 1.47 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 1-5 in his last six starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-23
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9-4
— He is 1-2, 6.43 in three starts vs Detroit.

— Seattle is 3-4 in its last seven games.
— Mariners are 3-9 in last 12 home games.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 31-114
— record in first 5 innings: 51-47-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-3-3

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Umpires
— Cin-Mia- Favorites are 13-7 in Barber games.
— SD-Pitt- Over is 19-3 in Fletcher games.
— Mil-Atl- Favorites are 15-9 in Walsh games.
— SF-Wsh- Over is 12-8 in Baker games.
— NY-Colo- Over is 3-1 in Jean games.
— Phil-LA- Home favorites are 2-3 in Ballou games.

— Balt-Tor- Home underdogs are 4-4 in Vanover games
— Hst-Tex- Over is 14-9 in Barksdale games
— Bos-KC- Underdogs are 10-9 in Edwin Jimenez games.
— Chi-A’s- Home favorites are 3-10 in Hanahan games.
— Det-Sea- Since 2022, under is 38-27 in Livensparger games.

— TB-StL- Home favorites are 10-2 in Blaser games.
— Minn-Chi- Under is 13-7 in Tosi games.

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Trend: BOS is 5-14 (-10.30 units) in the months of August/September by starter Kutter Crawford
System Match: FADE BOSTON (+120 at KC)

Trend: CLE solid vs. LH starters (25-8, +15.93 units)
System Match: PLAY CLEVELAND GAME 2 (+110 vs AZ)

Trend: MIA trending Over at home (39-16 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

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(901) SAN DIEGO (62-52) at (902) PITTSBURGH (56-56)
Trend: SD slight Under vs. LH starters (15-23 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8)

(903) CINCINNATI (55-58) at (904) MIAMI (42-72)
Trend: MIA trending Over at home (39-16 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

Trend: MIA awful vs. LH starters (8-31, -22.08 units)
System Match: FADE MIAMI (+110 vs CIN)

(905) SAN FRANCISCO (57-58) at (906) WASHINGTON (52-62)
Trend: WSH trending Over vs. NL Central/West (29-19 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8)

(907) MILWAUKEE (63-49) at (908) ATLANTA (60-52)
Trend: MIL not as good vs. LH starters (14-17, -6.55 units)
System Match: FADE MILWAUKEE (+136 at ATL)

(909) NEW YORK-NL (59-54) at (910) COLORADO (42-72)
Trend: NYM slight Over on the road (29-20 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 11)

(911) PHILADELPHIA (67-46) at (912) LOS ANGELES-NL (66-48)
Trend: Over the total is 10-3 when PHI is a road underdog this season
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 9)

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(913) HOUSTON (58-55) at (914) TEXAS (54-60)
Trend: TEX slight Under at home (19-36 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 9)

(915) CHICAGO-AL (28-88) at (916) OAKLAND (47-68)
Trend: OAK is 10-4 as a home favorite this season
System Match: PLAY OAKLAND (-192 vs CWS)

(917) LOS ANGELES-AL (49-63) at (918) NEW YORK-AL (67-46)
(DH Game #1)
Trend: LAA not as good vs. RH starters (39-52, -6.90 units)
System Match: FADE LA ANGELS (+250 at NYY)

(919) BALTIMORE (67-47) at (920) TORONTO (52-61)
Trend: TOR more Over vs. divisional teams (26-13 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 9.5)

(923) DETROIT (54-60) at (924) SEATTLE (59-55)
Trend: SEA trending Under at home (18-37 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 6)

(927) MINNESOTA (63-49) at (928) CHICAGO-NL (56-60)
Trend: CHC pretty good vs. AL teams (18-10, +9.63 units)
System Match: PLAY CHICAGO CUBS (+120 vs MIN)

(929) TAMPA BAY (57-55) at (930) ST LOUIS (58-56)
Trend: STL slight Over vs. AL teams (17-9 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 7.5)

(933) ARIZONA (61-52) at (934) CLEVELAND (67-45) (DH Game #2)
Trend: CLE solid vs. LH starters (25-8, +15.93 units)
System Match: PLAY CLEVELAND (+110 vs AZ)

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(919) BALTIMORE (67-47) at (920) TORONTO (52-61)
Trend: Trevor Rogers is 13-28 (-9.08 units) on the road since 2020
System Match: FADE BALTIMORE (-135 at TOR)

(921) BOSTON (61-51) at (922) KANSAS CITY (63-52)
Trend: BOS is 5-14 (-10.30 units) in the months of August/September by starter Kutter Crawford
System Match: FADE BOSTON (+120 at KC)

(923) DETROIT (54-60) at (924) SEATTLE (59-55)
Trend: SEA is 10-3 (+6.13 units) as a short home favorite (between -111 and -140) with George Kirby in last two seasons
System Match: PLAY SEATTLE (-135 vs DET)

(925) ARIZONA (61-52) at (926) CLEVELAND (67-45) (DH Game #1)
Trend: AZ is 11-6 (+4.64 units) in day games with start by Brandon Pfaadt in last two seasons
System Match: PLAY ARIZONA (-105 at CLE)

(929) TAMPA BAY (57-55) at (930) ST LOUIS (58-56)
Trend: TB is 3-5 (-3.95 units) vs. NL teams with starter Taj Bradley in the last two seasons
System Match: FADE TAMPA BAY (+100 at STL)

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