YRFI -110 (Play to -120)

Starting Pitchers: Logan Webb vs. Patrick Corbin

Anecdotally, I feel like we've had poor results taking YRFIs against Patrick Corbin, but there's nothing in his numbers that suggests it's a bad idea.

He comes into this contest with a 5.88 ERA overall that "falls" to 5.44 his first time through the order. His xFIP numbers are better but still well over 4.00 in both scenarios.

He's taking on a Giants team that ranks fourth in the majors in wRC+ against lefties. Plus, the game will be played in Washington, which has a top-10 park for hitters. That's a tough combination all around.

YRFI +110 (Play to -105)

Starting Pitchers: Tyler Glasnow vs. Aaron Nola

This game is tricky to handicap, as we have two very strong pitchers facing off with two very good offenses.

The biggest factor in choosing to take this one is the plus-money odds on the YRFI throughout the industry. That's somewhat uncommon for a game with an eight-run total in general, especially one involving these two lineups.

The Dodgers are a bit limited without Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman but still have three above-average hitters in their first four. It's the same story for the Phillies, whose top four all own a wRC+ mark of at least 130.

For what it's worth, Phillies starter Aaron Nola also has slightly worse splits the first time through the order (both ERA and xFIP) as well, which only helps our case here.

Best NRFI teams this MLB season

Pirates 73-38
Mets 71-40
Cubs 71-43
Nationals 72-40
Cardinals 67-45
Mariners 67-46
White Sox 67-47
Reds 66-45
Orioles 65-48
Blue Jays 63-49
Giants 63-50
Royals 62-51
Braves 62-49
Angels 60-52