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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
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MLB Lagniappe 8/05

NY Mets (58-53) @ St Louis (57-55)
— Manaea is 2-1, 3.80 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 6-1 in his last seven starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-21
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-4
— He is 1-0, 4.91 in two games (1 start) vs St Louis

— New York is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— Mets are 28-24 on road.
— Mets are 12-2 in last 14 series openers.
— under 5-3 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 27-111
— record in first 5 innings: 48-46-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-3

— Pallante is 0-2, 4.15 in his last three starts
— Cardinals are 5-5 in his starts.
— under 6-4
— allowed run in first inning: 1-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3-3
— This is his first start against the Mets.

— Cardinals are 4-7 in last 11 games.
— They’re 29-25 at home.
— Cardinals are 0-7 in last seven series openers.
— over 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 25-112
— record in first 5 innings: 41-52-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-4

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Cincinnati (53-58) @ Miami (42-70)
— Martinez is 0-3, 8.17 in five starts.
— Reds are 2-3 in his starts.
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 0-4-1
— He is 1-1, 3.10 in 13 games (2 starts) vs San Francisco.

— Reds are 1-3 in their last four games.
— They’re 25-27 on road.
— Reds are 9-3 in last 12 series openers.
— under 8-4 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 30-111
— record in first 5 innings: 50-46-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-3-3.1

— Munoz is 0-2, 6.05 in his last four starts.
— Marlins are 4-8 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 6-12
— record in first 5 innings: 4-8
— He hasn’t pitched against Cincinnati

— Marlins are 10-7 in their last 17 games.
— Miami is 22-34 at home.
— Marlins are 8-12 in home series openers.
— under 4-0 last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-112
— record in first 5 innings: 37-64-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-6.2-4

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San Francisco (56-57) @ Washington (51-61)
— Webb is 1-1, 3.60 in his last three starts.
— Giants are 3-10 in his road starts.
— under 5-2 last seven road starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 8-23
— record in first 5 innings: 9-10-4
— He is 3-1, 4.88 in five starts vs Washington

— San Francisco is 7-2 in its last nine games.
— Giants are 23-34 on road.
— Giants are 8-9 in road series openers.
— under 12-6 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-113
— record in first 5 innings: 46-50-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.1-4

— Corbin is 1-3, 8.14 in his last four starts.
— Washington is 2-11 in his last 13 starts.
— over 10-4 last 14 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-22
— record in first 5 innings: 6-15-1
— He is 9-11, 3.58 in 27 starts vs San Francisco.

— Nationals are 4-8 in last 12 games.
— They’re 25-28 at home.
— Nationals are 2-7 in last nine home series openers.
— over 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 20-112
— record in first 5 innings: 45-55-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4-3

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Philadelphia (66-45) @ Los Angeles (65-47)
— Nola is 2-0, 3.45 in his last five starts.
— Phillies are 4-5 in his last nine starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 5-22
— record in first 5 innings: 15-3-4
— He is 3-1, 4.12 in 10 starts vs Los Angeles.

— Phillies are 5-13 in their last 18 games.
— They’re 28-24 on road.
— Phillies are 0-6 in last six series openers.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 42-111
— record in first 5 innings: 66-34-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.1-5.2-1

— Glasnow is 0-1, 6.43 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 5-7 in his last 12 starts.
— over 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 3-20
— record in first 5 innings: 8-10-2
— He is 0-0, 6.23 in 3 games (1 start) vs Philadelphia.

— Dodgers are 3-5 in last eight games.
— Dodgers are 10-3 in last 13 home games.
— Dodgers are 11-5 in home series openers.
— over 7-3 last ten games.
— scored run in first inning: 39-112
— record in first 5 innings: 56-45-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-4.1

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Houston (57-54) @ Texas (53-59)
— Brown is 3-1, 3.04 in his last four starts.
— Astros are 8-2 in his last ten starts.
— under 10-3 last 13 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-21
— record in first 5 innings: 12-8-1
— He is 1-1, 7.00 in two starts vs Texas TY.

— Houston lost five of last seven games.
— Astros are 25-28 on road.
— Astros are 8-9 in road series openers.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 33-111
— record in first 5 innings: 50-48-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4-3

— Heaney is 1-2, 4.81 in his last five starts.
— Texas is 6-15 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 6-21
— record in first 5 innings: 6-13-2
— He is 4-6, 3.87 in 18 starts vs Houston.

— Rangers lost seven of last nine games.
— Texas is 9-4 in last 13 home games.
— Rangers are 5-7 in last 12 home series openers.
— over 10-1 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 38-112
— record in first 5 innings: 48-47-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-5.2-4

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Boston (59-51) @ Kansas City (63-50)
— Paxton is 1-1, 7.00 in his last four starts.
— Boston is 0-1 in his starts.
— over 9-3 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-7-2
— He is 4-1, 2.57 in nine starts vs Kansas City.

— Red Sox are 4-2 in last six games.
— They’re 32-23 on road.
— Red Sox are 6-4 in last 10 road series openers.
— over 12-2 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-110
— record in first 5 innings: 59-40-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3-4.1

— Singer is 3-0, 1.29 in his last three starts.
— Royals are 5-2 in his last seven starts.
— under 5-2 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-22
— record in first 5 innings: 9-10-3
— He is 2-1, 4.11 in three starts vs Boston.

— Royals won six of last seven games.
— Royals are 36-22 at home
— Royals are 12-5 in home series openers.
— over 7-4 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 31-113
— record in first 5 innings: 53-43-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-5-3

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White Sox (27-87) @ Oakland (46-67)
— Chicago hasn’t announced a starter.

— White Sox have lost 20 games in a row.
— Chicago is 10-47 on road.
— White Sox are 1-17 in road series openers.
— over 9-2 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-114
— record in first 5 innings: 43-56-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.1-4-6.1

— Sears is 4-1, 3.77 in his last five starts.
— Oakland is 5-1 in his last six starts.
— under 8-4 last 12
— allowed run in first inning: 7-22
— record in first 5 innings: 10-11-1
— He is 0-2, 13;50 in two starts vs Chicago.

— A’s are 1-3 in last four games.
— Oakland is 9-6 in last 15 home games.
— A’s are 7-1 in last eight home series openers.
— over 9-2 last 11 home games
— scored run in first inning: 24-113
— record in first 5 innings: 42-66-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-3

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Arizona (60-52) @ Cleveland (67-44)
— Gallen is 3-0, 2.12 in his last three starts.
— Arizona is 5-2 in his last seven starts.
— over 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-5-3
— He is 2-0, 2.84 in four starts vs Cleveland.

— Arizona is 15-5 in its last 20 games.
— Diamondbacks are 29-27 on road.
— Diamondbacks are 5-1 in last six series openers.
— over 7-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 35-112
— record in first 5 innings: 51-41-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5-4

— Allen is 0-1, 8.49 in his last three starts.
— His last start was July 6th.
— Cleveland is 7-3 in his last 10 starts.
— over 13-5
— allowed run in first inning: 7-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-5-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Cleveland is 8-4 in its last 12 games.
— Guardians are 35-17 at home.
— Guardians are in 12-5 in home series openers.
— over 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 29-111
— record in first 5 innings: 52-44-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-5-5

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Minnesota (62-48) @ Cubs (55-59)
— Festa is 1-2, 8.40 in three starts.
— Twins are 1-2 in his starts.
— over 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He hasn’t pitched against the Cubs.

— Twins won their last four games.
— Twins are 30-27 on road.
— Twins are 3-9 in last 12 road series openers.
— over 11-3 last 14 games.
— scored run in first inning: 31-110
— record in first 5 innings: 50-47-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-2-5

— Hendricks is 2-2, 4.91 in his last four starts.
— Chicago is 5-10 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five starts.
— allowed run in first inning: 1-15
— record in first 5 innings: 5-10
— He is 1-2, 4.34 in three starts vs Minnesota.

— Cubs are 6-3 in their last nine games.
— They’re 30-26 at home.
— Cubs are 5-9 in last 14 home series openers.
— under 10-6 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-114
— record in first 5 innings: 46-50-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-2.1

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Trend: Kyle Hendricks not good in the short underdog role, +100 to +128 range, 3-14 (-10.75 units)
System Match: FADE CHICAGO CUBS (+100 vs. MIN)

Trend: Over the total is 7-1 when CLE is a home underdog this season
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

Trend: PHI is 10-21 (-9.68 units) as an underdog with Aaron Nola in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE PHILADELPHIA (+114 at LAD)

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(901) NEW YORK-NL (58-53) at (902) ST LOUIS (57-55)
Trend: STL is 12-6 as a home underdog this season
System Match: PLAY ST LOUIS (-105 vs. NYM)

(903) CINCINNATI (53-58) at (904) MIAMI (42-70)
Trend: MIA trending Over at home (37-16 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(905) SAN FRANCISCO (56-57) at (906) WASHINGTON (51-61)
Trend: SF not as good vs. LH starters (14-21, -11.36 units)
System Match: FADE SAN FRANCISCO (-170 at WSH)

(907) PHILADELPHIA (66-45) at (908) LOS ANGELES-NL (65-47)
Trend: Over the total is 10-3 when PHI is a road underdog this season
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 7.5)

(911) BOSTON (59-51) at (912) KANSAS CITY (63-50)
Trend: KC is great at home (36-22, +11.12 units)
System Match: PLAY KANSAS CITY (-135 vs. BOS)

(913) CHICAGO-AL (27-87) at (914) OAKLAND (46-67)
Trend: OAK is 9-3 as a home favorite this season
System Match: PLAY OAKLAND (-180 vs. CWS)

(915) ARIZONA (60-52) at (916) CLEVELAND (67-44)
Trend: Over the total is 7-1 when CLE is a home underdog this season
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(917) MINNESOTA (62-48) at (918) CHICAGO-NL (55-59)
Trend: CHC pretty good vs. AL teams (17-9, +9.63 units)
System Match: PLAY CHICAGO CUBS (+100 vs. MIN)

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(905) SAN FRANCISCO (56-57) at (906) WASHINGTON (51-61)
Trend: SF is 15-4 (+7.42 units) as a night favorite of -160 or higher with starter Logan Webb in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY SAN FRANCISCO (-170 at WSH)

(907) PHILADELPHIA (66-45) at (908) LOS ANGELES-NL (65-47)
Trend: PHI is 2-5 (-3.14 units) vs. LA Dodgers with starter Aaron Nola in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE PHILADELPHIA (+114 at LAD)

Trend: PHI is 10-21 (-9.68 units) as an underdog with Aaron Nola in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE PHILADELPHIA (+114 at LAD)

Trend: Tyler Glasnow is 10-2 (+4.50 units) vs NL East teams in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY LA DODGERS (-135 vs. PHI)

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Best OVER teams this MLB season

Orioles 63-40-10
Yankees 62-46-5
Brewers 60-45-6
Tigers 62-49-2
Dbacks 61-48-3
Blue Jays 61-48-3

Best UNDER teams

Braves 66-40-5
Astros 63-44-4
Royals 62-48-3
Cubs 59-48-7
Mariners 59-49-5
Reds 57-49-5

Old Post 08-05-24 11:18 PM
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