Cubs (51-56) @ Cincinnati (50-55)
— Taillon is 3-1, 2.77 in his last four starts.
— Chicago is 3-5 in his road starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-1
— He is 5-5, 4.79 in 16 starts vs Cincinnati.

— Cubs are 5-7 in their last 12 games.
— They’re 24-31 on road.
— Cubs are 2-8 in last 10 road series openers.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 23-107
— record in first 5 innings: 42-48-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.1-3

— Spiers is 3-2, 5.27 in five starts.
— Cincinnati is 3-2 in his starts.
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2
— He is 0-0, 2.79 in 2 games (1 start) vs Chicago

— Reds are 3-6 in their last nine games.
— They’re 25-28 at home.
— Reds are 8-2 in last ten series openers.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 29-105
— record in first 5 innings: 47-44-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4-1

Atlanta (56-48) @ Milwaukee (60-45)
— bullpen game

— Braves are 5-9 in their last 14 games.
— They’re 26-27 on road.
— Braves are 10-8 in road series openers.
— under 21-9 last 30 games
— scored run in first inning: 28-104
— record in first 5 innings: 48-42-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-2-5

— Rea is 1-1, 3.57 in his last four starts.
— Milwaukee is 8-2 in his home starts.
— under 5-3 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 6-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-4
— He is 1-0, 5.09 in three starts vs Atlanta

— Brewers are 6-3 in their last nine games.
— They’re 30-19 at home.
— Brewers are 1-5 in last six series openers.
— under 3-2-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 28-105
— record in first 5 innings: 50-42-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3.2-5

Washington (49-57) @ Arizona (55-51)
— Parker is 0-2, 6.75 in his last four starts.
— Washington is 6-5 in his last 11 starts.
— over 3-1 last four road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Nationals are 2-4 in last six games.
— They’re 26-30 on road.
— Nationals are 10-8 in road series openers.
— over 4-1 last five road games
— scored run in first inning: 17-106
— record in first 5 innings: 42-54-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3.2-3

— Montgomery is 4-1, 5.55 in his last five starts.
— Arizona is 9-5 in his starts.
— over 7-3 last 10
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 10-3-1
— He is 1-0, 1.32 in two starts vs Washington

— Arizona is 10-4 in its last 14 games.
— Diamondbacks are 28-25 at home.
— Diamondbacks are 6-2 in last eight home series openers.
— over 7-2 last nine home games
— scored run in first inning: 33-106
— record in first 5 innings: 49-39-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-5

Toronto (49-56) @ Baltimore (62-43)
— Rodriguez is 1-1, 3.22 in his last four starts.
— Toronto is 5-4 in his starts.
— over 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Texas.

— Francis is 0-2, 9.00 in three starts.
— Toronto is 1-2 in his starts.
— over 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— This is his first start vs Texas.

— Toronto is 10-7 in its last 17 games.
— Blue Jays are 26-28 at home.
— Blue Jays are 7-10 in home series openers.
— over 25-5 last 30 games
— scored run in first inning: 25-105
— record in first 5 innings: 44-48-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-x-2

— Eflin is making his debut for the Orioles here.
— He was 0-2, 4.58 in his last three starts for Tampa Bay.
— under 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-2
— He is 0-1, 6.11 in three starts vs Toronto TY.
— He just pitched in Toronto five days ago.

— Povich is 1-3, 8.47 in his last four starts.
— Orioles are 3-4 in his starts.
— over 4-3
— allowed run in first inning: 4-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1
— He gave up six runs in 5.1 IP at Toronto June 6th.

— Baltimore lost five of last seven games.
— Orioles are 31-24 at home.
— Orioles are 1-5 in last six home series openers.
— over 9-1 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 24-105
— record in first 5 innings: 56-38-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-4.1

Cleveland (63-42) @ Detroit (52-55)
— Bibee is 1-1, 2.55 in his last three starts.
— Guardians are 16-5 in his starts.
— under 9-4 last 13
— allowed run in first inning: 7-21
— record in first 5 innings: 12-5-4
— He is 0-1, 5.06 in three starts vs Detroit TY.

— Cleveland is 4-2 in its last six games.
— Guardians are 30-27 on road.
— Guardians are 9-9 in road series openers.
— under 11-2 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-105
— record in first 5 innings: 48-42-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.1-5.2

— Flaherty is 2-0, 2.04 in his last three starts.
— Detroit is 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— under 5-3 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-4
— He is 1-1, 2.00 in three starts vs Cleveland TY.

— Detroit is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— Tigers are 25-26 at home.
— Tigers are 6-10 in home series openers.
— over 7-3 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 33-107
— record in first 5 innings: 43-46-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-4

Seattle (56-51) @ Boston (55-49)
— Gilbert is 1-1, 3.38 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 6-5 in his road starts.
— under 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-21
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-5
— He is 0-0, 3.12 in four starts vs Boston.

— Seattle won its last three games.
— Mariners are 25-28 on road.
— Mariners are 8-9 in road series openers.
— over 5-2 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 29-107
— record in first 5 innings: 48-43-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-5-2.2

— Pivetta is 0-2, 4.91 in his last four starts.
— Boston is 1-4 in his last five starts.
— over 5-3 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-1
— He is 1-2, 3.65 in four starts vs Seattle.

— Red Sox lost seven of last nine games.
— They’re 25-27 at home.
— Red Sox are 4-13 in home series openers.
— over 7-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 33-104
— record in first 5 innings: 55-38-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5.1-3

Kansas City (57-48) @ White Sox (27-80)
— Marsh is 1-2, 8.36 in his last three starts.
— Kansas City is 1-4 in his last five starts.
— over 8-3 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9-1
— He is 1-0, 3.60 in three games (1 start) vs Chicago

— Royals lost four of last five games.
— Royals are 36-22 at home.
— Royals are 7-2 in last nine series openers.
— under 9-4 last 13 road games
— scored run in first inning: 29-106
— record in first 5 innings: 50-41-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2.2-3.1

— Flexen is 0-4, 6.55 in his last six starts.
— Chicago lost his last 14 starts.
— under 5-3 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 7-20
— record in first 5 innings: 6-11-3
— He is 2-2, 4.38 in four starts vs Kansas City.

— White Sox are 1-17 in last 18 games.
— Chicago is 17-37 at home.
— White Sox are 5-13 in home series openers.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 20-108
— record in first 5 innings: 42-52-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 8.1-5-6

Bronx (62-45) @ Philadelphia (65-40)
— Gil is 1-1, 1.53 in his last three starts.
— New York is 1-5 in his last six starts.
— under 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-20
— record in first 5 innings: 13-4-3
— He hasn’t pitched against the Phillies.

— New York is 12-23 in its last 35 games.
— They’re 35-22 on road.
— New York is 2-8 in last 10 series openers.
— over 23-9 last 32 games
— scored run in first inning: 35-107
— record in first 5 innings: 54-40-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-6.2-2.2

— Wheeler is 1-0, 1.90 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 12-4 in his last seven starts.
— over 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-20
— record in first 5 innings: 13-5-2
— He is 1-1, 5.91 in four starts vs New York

— Phillies are 4-8 in their last 12 games.
— They’re 38-18 at home.
— Phillies are 1-4 in last five home series openers.
— under 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 39-105
— record in first 5 innings: 63-31-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-5

Minnesota (58-46) @ NY Mets (55-50)
— Woods-Richardson is 0-0, 2.86 in his last four starts.
— Twins are 4-1 in his last five starts.
— under 3-0 last three starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-6
— He hasn’t pitched against the Mets.
— He was a 2nd round draft pick by the Mets in 2018.

— Twins are 4-2 in their last six games.
— Twins are 29-25 on road.
— Twins are 3-8 in last 11 road series openers.
— over 6-2 last eight games.
— scored run in first inning: 28-104
— record in first 5 innings: 46-45-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-1

— Quintana is 4-1, 2.35 in his last seven starts.
— New York are 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— over 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-20
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-5
— He is 7-8, 4.05 in 21 starts vs Minnesota

— New York is 13-6 in its last 19 games.
— Mets are 28-28 at home.
— Mets are 10-2 in last 12 series openers.
— over 5-2 last seven home games
— scored run in first inning: 26-105
— record in first 5 innings: 45-43-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-4

Texas (51-55) @ St Louis (54-51)
— Eovaldi is 3-1, 3.00 in his last five starts.
— Texas is 2-4 in his road starts.
— over 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-6
— He is 0-2, 3.42 in four starts vs St Louis.

— Rangers lost their last three games.
— They’re 22-32 on road.
— Rangers are in road 1-10 in last 11 road series openers.
— over 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 36-106
— record in first 5 innings: 46-43-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-7.1-5.2

— Pallante is 1-1, 2.19 in his last four starts.
— St Louis is 5-4 in his starts.
— under 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-3
— This is his first start vs Texas

— Cardinals are 2-4 in last six games.
— They’re 27-24 at home.
— Cardinals lost their last five series openers.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 22-105
— record in first 5 innings: 39-48-18
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-4-3

Pittsburgh (53-52) @ Houston (54-51)
— Skenes is 3-1, 1.32 in his last seven starts.
— Pittsburgh is 8-4 in his starts.
— under 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 3-12
— record in first 5 innings: 7-1-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Pirates are 11-5 in their last 16 games.
— They’re 27-26 on road.
— Pirates are 8-9 in road series openers.
— under 9-4 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-105
— record in first 5 innings: 44-41-20
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-5.2-3

— Bloss is 0-1, 6.94 in three starts.
— Houston is 2-1 in his starts.
— over 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Pittsburgh.

— Houston is 9-6 in its last 15 games.
— Astros are 30-22 at home.
— Astros are 11-1 in last 12 home series openers.
— over 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 33-105
— record in first 5 innings: 49-44-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-4.2-3

NYY LETDOWN after series vs. BOSTON: 15-15 (51.7%) -11.32 units, ROI: -35%
System Matches: FADE NY YANKEES (+120 at PHI)

Trend: Jose Quintana is 16-3 (+12.10 units) in the shorter line favorite (-120 to -135) range in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY NY METS (-120 vs MIN)

Trend: Over the total is 13-1 (92.9%, +12.00 units) since 2019 in SEA-BOS h2h games in Boston
– The ROI on this trend is 85.7%
System Matches: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(951) CHICAGO-NL (51-56) at (952) CINCINNATI (50-55)
Trend: Under the total is 6-2 in the last eight head-to-head meetings in Cincinnati
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 9.5)

(953) ATLANTA (56-48) at (954) MILWAUKEE (60-45)
Trend: ATL is 11-4 in the last 15 head-to-head meetings vs. MIL
System Match: PLAY ATLANTA (-102 at MIL)

(955) WASHINGTON (49-57) at (956) ARIZONA (55-51)
Trend: AZ not as good vs. LH starters (16-21, -10.00 units)
System Match: FADE ARIZONA (-162 vs WSH)

(957) TORONTO (49-56) at (958) BALTIMORE (62-43) (DH Game #1)
Trend: BAL trending Over during the day (24-13 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(959) TORONTO (49-56) at (960) BALTIMORE (62-43) (DH Game #2)
Trend: TOR trending Over vs. divisional teams (21-10 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 9.5)

(961) CLEVELAND (63-42) at (962) DETROIT (52-55)
Trend: Over the total is 5-2 in the last seven head-to-head meetings in Detroit
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 7)

(965) KANSAS CITY (57-49) at (966) CHICAGO-AL (27-81)
Trend: CWS awful vs. RH starters (20-67, -39.32 units)
System Match: FADE CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+142 vs KC)

(967) NEW YORK-AL (62-45) at (968) PHILADELPHIA (65-40)
Trend: PHI good at night (44-22, +9.79 units)
System Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA (-142 vs NYY)

(973) PITTSBURGH (53-52) at (974) HOUSTON (55-50)
Trend: Under the total is 5-2 this season when HOU is home underdog
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 7.5)

(953) ATLANTA (56-48) at (954) MILWAUKEE (60-45)
Trend: MIL is much better in the -120 to +135 line range with starter Colin Rea (17-3 record, +15.64 units) in the last two seasons
System Match: PLAY MILWAUKEE (-118 vs. ATL)

(957) TORONTO (49-56) at (958) BALTIMORE (62-43) (DH Game #1)
Trend: Zach Eflin is 14-7 (+5.03 units) vs. AL East opponents since 2020
System Match: PLAY BALTIMORE (-185 vs TOR)

(961) CLEVELAND (63-42) at (962) DETROIT (52-55)
Trend: CLE is 15-3 (+12.10 units) in the -135 to +110 line range by starter Tanner Bibee in last two seasons
System Match: PLAY CLEVELAND (-122 at DET)

(963) SEATTLE (56-51) at (964) BOSTON (55-49)
Trend: SEA is 29-13 (+21.20 units) as an underdog with Logan Gilbert in the last three seasons, including 14-5 (+10.21 units) on the ROAD within -105 to +115 line range
System Match: PLAY SEATTLE (+102 at BOS)

(969) MINNESOTA (58-46) at (970) NEW YORK-NL (55-50)
Trend: Jose Quintana is 16-3 (+12.10 units) in the shorter line favorite (-120 to -135) range in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY NY METS (-120 vs MIN)