Women's Wimbledon Final betting at BetMGM

Barbora Krejcikova open -150, now -135
▪️ 34% of bets, 35% of money on Krejcikova

Jasmine Paolini open +125, now +115
▪️ 66% of bets, 65% of money on Paolini

Barbora Krejcikova vs. Jasmine Paolini Odds
Moneyline: Krejcikova -140, Paolini +115

Spread: Krejcikova -1.5 Games (-115), Paolini +1.5 Games (-110)

Total: Over 22.5 Games (-110), Under 22.5 Games (-115)

Krejcikova’s win over Elena Rybakina is being billed as a huge upset, but it really wasn’t all that crazy. Krejcikova is a former top-five player and she’s only 28 years old. That elite level is in there and her health is the only thing standing in the way of us seeing it consistently. Krejcikova was also 2-0 against Rybakina heading into that match, so she has proven that she likes that matchup. Now, Krejcikova is a favorite to win the Wimbledon final, despite being the world No. 32 and going up against the seventh-ranked player on the WTA Tour.

I wouldn’t be surprised if the public pounces on Paolini at a plus-money number here. She’s a top-10 player that is coming off a run to the French Open final and she’s also pretty easy to root for. But I really like Krejcikova to win this match. Paolini is undoubtedly a great defensive player, and her forehand is a massive weapon. But Krejcikova is a genius when it comes to constructing points. She’s going to move Paolini all around the court with her slice shots and baseline precision. And when she gets Paolini in a vulnerable position, she’ll put away points — whether it’s with a baseline winner or a net rush. Krejcikova is also just a little more trustworthy as a server. The Czech star holds at nearly 80.0% on grass, while Paolini is at just about 70.0%. That is what helped her get through a gauntlet that included Danielle Collins, Jelena Ostapenko and Rybakina.

The only thing I’m really worried about here is that Krejcikova could be a little fatigued. Not only is she deep in a major for the first time in a while, but she also played four doubles matches in this tournament. However, Krejcikova only grew stronger throughout her match against Rybakina, so I’m going to trust that her body will hold up here. And honestly, Paolini stated that she was exhausted and heading right to the ice bath after her epic three-set win over Donna Vekic in the semifinals. So, perhaps the Italian will be the one that struggles to find her legs.

Bet: Krejcikova ML (-140)