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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

MLB Lagniappe 7/11

Cubs (44-49) @ Baltimore (57-35)
— Steele is 1-0, 2.06 in his last five starts.
— Chicago is 4-9 in his starts.
— under 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 2-13
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-6
— He is 1-1, 4.09 in two starts vs Baltimore.
— Thursday is Steele’s 29th birthday

— Cubs are 5-1 in their last six games.
— They’re 19-28 on road.
— under 4-1 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 20-93
— record in first 5 innings: 35-42-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3-3

— Suarez is 2-0, 1.50 in his last two starts.
— Orioles are 7-4 in his starts.
— under 9-2
— allowed run in first inning: 2-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-4-1
— He is 0-1, 2.25 in 2 games (1 start) vs Chicago.

— Baltimore is 8-5 in its last 13 games.
— Orioles are 29-19 at home.
— over 6-4 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 21-92
— record in first 5 innings: 50-31-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-5-3

Old Post 07-11-24 09:32 PM
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Miami (32-60) @ Houston (48-44)
— bullpen game

— Marlins are 3-8 in their last 11 games.
— Miami is 14-29 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine games.
— scored run in first inning: 21-92
— record in first 5 innings: 27-55-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2.2-5

— bullpen game

— Houston won 15 of last 19 games.
— Astros are 26-19 at home.
— over 8-4 last 12 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-92
— record in first 5 innings: 43-38-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-2

Old Post 07-11-24 09:32 PM
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Toronto (42-50) @ San Francisco (45-48)
— Gausman is 1-4, 6.92 in his last five starts.
— Toronto is 6-3 in his road starts.
— over 13-5
— allowed run in first inning: 4-18
— record in first 5 innings: 9-9
— He is 0-2, 3.38 in three starts vs San Francisco.

— Toronto is 9-16 in its last 25 games.
— Blue Jays are 21-26 on road.
— over 16-6 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 19-92
— record in first 5 innings: 40-41-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1.1-4

— Hicks is 0-4, 5.97 in his last seven starts.
— San Francisco is 3-6 in his home starts.
— over 8-3 last 11 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-2
— He gave up 11 runs in 6 IP in 4 games (1 start) vs Toronto.

— San Francisco is 9-5 in its last 14 games.
— Giants are 26-20 at home.
— over 9-4 last 13 home games
— scored run in first inning: 19-93
— record in first 5 innings: 35-44-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-4

Old Post 07-11-24 09:32 PM
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Bronx (56-38) @ Tampa Bay (45-47)
— Cortes is 0-2, 3.64 in his last three starts.
— New York is 2-6 in his last eight starts.
— under 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 7-9-3
— He is 2-4, 4.19 in nine starts vs Tampa Bay.

— New York is 7-17 in its last 24 games.
— They’re 31-19 on road.
— over 16-6 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 32-94
— record in first 5 innings: 49-33-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-4-4.2

— Baz gave up 3 runs in 6 IP in his first ’24 start.
— In his career, he is 3-3, 4.08 in ten starts.
— Rays are 0-1 in his starts this year.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He is 0-0, 2.45 in two starts vs New York.

— Tampa Bay is 2-5 in its last seven games.
— Rays are 24-26 at home.
— under 8-4 last 12 games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-92
— record in first 5 innings: 31-47-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3.1-2

Old Post 07-11-24 09:34 PM
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Oakland (35-58) @ Boston (50-41)
— Medina is 1-0, 1.64 in his last two starts.
— Oakland is 2-5 in his starts.
— under 5-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1
— He is 1-0, 3.09 in 2 games (1 start) vs Boston.

— A’s are 5-3 in last eight games.
— Oakland is 3-17 in last 20 road games.
— under 5-3 last eight road games
— scored run in first inning: 19-93
— record in first 5 innings: 31-57-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-6.1-3.1

— Houck is 0-1, 6.30 in his last four starts.
— Boston is 8-1 in his last nine starts.
— over 5-2 last nine starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-2
— He is 1-0, 0.00 in 2 games (1 start) vs Oakland.

— Red Sox won seven of last nine games.
— They’re 21-24 at home.
— over 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-91
— record in first 5 innings: 47-34-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-2.1

Old Post 07-11-24 09:34 PM
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Seattle (51-43) @ LA Angels (38-54)
— Castillo is 0-4, 7.08 in his last four road starts.
— Seattle is 9-10 in his starts
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 7-11-1
— He is 4-1, 3.30 in seven starts vs Anaheim.

— Seattle is 4-2 in its last six games.
— Mariners are 21-25 on road.
— Mariners are 6-9 in road series openers.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 23-94
— record in first 5 innings: 41-39-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-1.1-3

— bullpen game

— Angels lost eight of last ten games.
— They’re 19-28 at home.
— Angels are 7-9 in home series openers.
— over 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 21-92
— record in first 5 innings: 31-53-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.1-7-4.2

Old Post 07-11-24 09:34 PM
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Atlanta (51-40) @ Arizona (46-47)
— Fried is 1-1, 3.09 in his last four starts.
— Braves are 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— under 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-5
— He is 1-0, 4.84 in four starts vs Arizona.

— Braves won four of last five games.
— They’re 6-10 in last 16 road games.
— under 16-6 last 22 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-91
— record in first 5 innings: 44-34-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5.2-3.2-1.2

— Pfaadt is 1-0, 3.24 in his last three starts.
— Arizona won his last four home starts.
— over 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 8-6-4
— He gave up 5 runs in 5.2 IP, in his one start vs Atlanta.

— Arizona is 7-4 in its last 11 games.
— Diamondbacks are 23-23 at home.
— over 12-3 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-93
— record in first 5 innings: 41-36-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3.2-5

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(951) COLORADO (33-60) at (952) CINCINNATI (44-49)
Trend: COL bad vs. NL Central/East (10-25, -10.19 units)
System Match: FADE COLORADO (+164 at CIN)

(953) WASHINGTON (42-51) at (954) NEW YORK-NL (46-45)
Trend: NYM more Over vs. LH starters (17-9 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(955) PITTSBURGH (44-48) at (956) MILWAUKEE (54-39)
Trend: MIL better at home (28-14, +10.79 units) and 7-5 record as a home underdog
System Match: PLAY MILWAUKEE (+100 vs PIT)

(957) LOS ANGELES-NL (55-38) at (958) PHILADELPHIA (60-32)
Trend: LAD just 1-5 as a road underdog this season
System Match: FADE LA DODGERS (+124 at PHI)

(961) CLEVELAND (57-34) at (962) DETROIT (44-49)
Trend: CLE good during the day (24-9, +14.96 units)
System Match: PLAY CLEVELAND (+110 at DET)

Old Post 07-11-24 10:16 PM
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(965) OAKLAND (35-59) at (966) BOSTON (50-41)
Trend: OAK worse on the road (13-34, -10.37 units)
System Match: FADE OAKLAND (+180 at BOS)

(967) SEATTLE (51-43) at (968) LOS ANGELES-AL (38-54)
Trend: SEA good start in divisional play (17-5, +10.06 units)
System Match: PLAY SEATTLE (-166 at LAA)

(969) TORONTO (42-50) at (970) SAN FRANCISCO (45-48)
Trend: SF trending Over during the day (26-13 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 7.5)

(973) MIAMI (32-60) at (974) HOUSTON (48-44)
Trend: MIA trending Under on the road (15-28 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8.5)

Old Post 07-11-24 10:16 PM
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(951) COLORADO (33-60) at (952) CINCINNATI (44-49)
Trend: COL is 3-8 (-5.51 units) vs. NL Central opponents with starter Austin Gomber last three seasons
System Match: FADE COLORADO (+164 at CIN)

(953) WASHINGTON (42-51) at (954) NEW YORK-NL (46-45)
Trend: MacKenzie Gore is 7-11 (-2.28 units) vs. NL East opponents in his career
System Match: FADE WASHINGTON (+114 at NYM)

(955) PITTSBURGH (44-48) at (956) MILWAUKEE (54-39)
Trend: Aaron Civale is 0-10 (-10.92 units) in home day games as a -122 favorite or worse (including underdog) in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE MILWAUKEE (+100 vs PIT)

(957) LOS ANGELES-NL (55-38) at (958) PHILADELPHIA (60-32)
Trend: PHI is 23-4 (+16.45 units) as a home favorite from -150 to -198 with starter Aaron Nola in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA (*if they fall into this line range, -148 currently)

Trend: PHI is 1-5 (-4.14 units) vs. LA Dodgers with starter Aaron Nola in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE PHILADELPHIA (-148 vs. LAD)

(959) ATLANTA (51-40) at (960) ARIZONA (46-47)
Trend: ATL is 16-3 (+11.41 units) in road games with starter Max Fried in the last seasons
System Match: PLAY ATLANTA (-125 at AZ)

(969) TORONTO (42-50) at (970) SAN FRANCISCO (45-48)
Trend: Kevin Gausman is 11-0 (+11.30 units) on the road vs. NL West opponents within line range of +125 or higher in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY TORONTO (+102 at SF)

Old Post 07-11-24 10:17 PM
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