Monday, 03/27/2023 (49) COLORADO vs. (50) ANAHEIM
Favoring: ANAHEIM on the money line.
Play Against - Road Favorites of -200 or higher against the money line (COLORADO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more, with a winning record on the season
(49-46 since 1997.) (51.6%, +49.7 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-6 -1.7 units).

Monday, 03/27/2023 (49) COLORADO vs. (50) ANAHEIM
Favoring: ANAHEIM on the money line.
Play Against - Road Favorites of -200 or higher against the money line (COLORADO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more, with a winning record on the season playing a losing team
(47-44 since 1997.) (51.6%, +48 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-6 -1.7 units).

Monday, 03/27/2023 (49) COLORADO vs. (50) ANAHEIM
Favoring: ANAHEIM on the money line.
Play Against - Road Favorites of -200 or higher against the money line (COLORADO) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more
(53-53 since 1997.) (50.0%, +50.3 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-8 -3.7 units).

Monday, 03/27/2023 (45) NEW JERSEY vs. (46) NY ISLANDERS
Favoring: NEW JERSEY on the money line.
Play On - Road teams against the money line (NEW JERSEY) - horrible power play killing team-opp score on more than 19% of chances in the 2nd half of the season, hot offensive team - 5 straight games with 30 or more shots on goal
(120-66 over the last 5 seasons.) (64.5%, +61.4 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (22-18 +1.8 units).

Monday, 03/27/2023 (49) COLORADO vs. (50) ANAHEIM
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a bad team (30% to 40%) in the 2nd half of the season
(38-12 since 1997.) (76.0%, +25.6 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-2 +0.7 units).

Monday, 03/27/2023 (49) COLORADO vs. (50) ANAHEIM
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams where the total is 6 or more (COLORADO) - after having won 5 or 6 of their last 7 games, a good team (60% to 70%) playing a bad team (30% to 40%) in the 2nd half of the season
(38-14 since 1997.) (73.1%, +23.7 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-4 -1.4 units).

Monday, 03/27/2023 (51) EDMONTON vs. (52) ARIZONA
Favoring: ARIZONA on the money line.
ARIZONA is 13-6 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in home games against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances in the 2nd half of the year this season.
The average score was ARIZONA 3.3, OPPONENT 2.9 - (Rating = 4*)

Monday, 03/27/2023 (51) EDMONTON vs. (52) ARIZONA
Favoring: ARIZONA on the money line.
ARIZONA is 10-5 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in home games against good offensive teams - scoring 2.85+ goals/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was ARIZONA 3.3, OPPONENT 3 - (Rating = 4*)

Monday, 03/27/2023 (51) EDMONTON vs. (52) ARIZONA
Favoring: ARIZONA on the money line.
ARIZONA is 13-6 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in home games against mistake free teams - opponents average <=4 power plays/game in the 2nd half of the year this season.
The average score was ARIZONA 3.3, OPPONENT 2.9 - (Rating = 4*)

Monday, 03/27/2023 (51) EDMONTON vs. (52) ARIZONA
Favoring: ARIZONA on the money line.
ARIZONA is 18-12 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in home games against excellent power play teams- scoring on >17.5% of their chances this season.
The average score was ARIZONA 3.2, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 4*)

Monday, 03/27/2023 (51) EDMONTON vs. (52) ARIZONA
Favoring: Over on the total.
EDMONTON is 37-12 OVER (+23.9 Units) against horrible power play killing teams-opp score on >19% of chances this season.
The average score was EDMONTON 4.1, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 5*)

Monday, 03/27/2023 (51) EDMONTON vs. (52) ARIZONA
Favoring: Over on the total.
EDMONTON is 42-14 OVER (+26.7 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances this season.
The average score was EDMONTON 4.1, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 5*

Monday, 03/27/2023 (43) MONTREAL vs. (44) BUFFALO
Favoring: Over on the total.
BUFFALO is 12-1 OVER (+10.9 Units) against poor possession teams-averaging 3+ less shots on goal than opp this season.
The average score was BUFFALO 5, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 5*)

Monday, 03/27/2023 (51) EDMONTON vs. (52) ARIZONA
Favoring: Over on the total.
EDMONTON is 22-6 OVER (+15.4 Units) against poor power play killing teams - opp score on >17.5% of chances in the 2nd half of the year this season.
The average score was EDMONTON 4.5, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 4*)

Monday, 03/27/2023 (51) EDMONTON vs. (52) ARIZONA
Favoring: Over on the total.
EDMONTON is 22-6 OVER (+15.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
The average score was EDMONTON 4.3, OPPONENT 3.3 - (Rating = 4*)

Monday, 03/27/2023 (51) EDMONTON vs. (52) ARIZONA
Favoring: Over on the total.
EDMONTON is 49-21 OVER (+26.1 Units) in all games this season.
The average score was EDMONTON 3.9, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 4*)

Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators
Ottawa created some false hope for the playoffs by winning six of seven games between February 25th and March 9th, but they’ve lost seven of their last nine games and their big trade deadline acquisition, defenseman Jakob Chychrun, is sidelined for the next few weeks due to a lower body injury.

Similarly, Florida has started to slide. The Panthers are 6-3-1 in their last 10 games, but they’ve lost three in a row and their playoff chances have taken a hit as a result. Florida sits three points back of Pittsburgh for the final wild card spot in the Eastern Conference. They’ll pick up two points on Monday in Ottawa more often than not, but not enough to lay -135.

New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders

When the Islanders acquired Bo Horvat ahead of the trade deadline, they envisioned having Mat Barzal in the lineup down the stretch. However, the forward has missed the last 15 games due to a lower body injury and, according to the team, he is not currently skating. Reading between the lines, it looks like there’s a good chance that Barzal will miss the remainder of the regular season.

At first glance, it looks as if the Islanders have improved, even without Barzal in the lineup, but I wouldn’t go that far because New York has had one of the easiest schedules in the league. The Islanders have only played five Eastern Conference playoff teams since Jan. 27th and the Devils are the toughest team they’ve played (on the road) since losing to Boston on February 18th by a score of 6-2.

New Jersey should be priced around -120 assuming the starting goaltenders are Vitek Vanecek and Ilya Sorokin. The latter has been confirmed as the starter for the home team.

Colorado Avalanche at Anaheim Ducks
With both Troy Terry and Frank Vatrano possibly out Monday due to personal reasons, a weak Ducks’ offense could be even weaker when they host the Avalanche. Anaheim ranks 26th on offense in the month of March (Colorado ranks sixth) and even with Joonas Johansen in goal, the Avalanche are still very likely to come out on top. That said, I think a fair price for the road team, who are playing the second on the half of a back-to-back, is around -260, which isn’t enough to justify a bet.