NY Mets (42-44) @ Pittsburgh (42-45)
— Peterson is 3-0, 3.54 in his last five starts.
— Mets are 5-1 in his starts.
— over 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1
— He is 0-0, 3.00 in 2 games (1 start) vs Pittsburgh.

— New York lost its last three games.
— Mets are 21-19 on road.
— over 12-5 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-86
— record in first 5 innings: 36-36-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-1-2

— Falter is 1-4, 6.00 in his last five starts.
— Pirates are 4-9 in his last 13 starts.
— under 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-16
— record in first 5 innings: 6-9-1
— He is 1-2, 2.95 in four starts against the Mets.

— Pirates are 17-15 in their last 32 games.
— They’re 21-22 at home.
— over 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 17-87
— record in first 5 innings: 38-34-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-2

St Louis (46-41) @ Washington (41-47)
— Lynn is 2-0, 0.71 in his last two starts.
— St Louis is 5-1 in his last six starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 24-17
— record in first 5 innings: 4-9-4
— He is 3-2, 2.90 in five starts vs Washington.

— Cardinals are 18-10 in their last 28 games.
— They’re 22-23 on road.
— over 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 17-86
— record in first 5 innings: 32-41-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-6

— Gore is 0-2, 5.74 in his last three starts.
— Washington is 5-2 in his last seven home starts.
— over 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 2-17
— record in first 5 innings: 8-9
— He gave up 5 runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs St Louis

— Nationals are 6-11 in their last 17 games.
— They’re 19-22 at home.
— over 9-5 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 13-88
— record in first 5 innings: 36-44-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-1-6

Philadelphia (58-30) @ Atlanta (47-39)
— Suarez is 0-1, 4.70 in his last four starts.
— Phillies are 14-3 in his starts.
— under 6-2 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 12-4-1
— He is 2-2, 3.23 in eight starts vs Atlanta.

— Phillies are 6-4 in their last ten games.
— They’re 25-16 on road.
— over 9-3 last dozen road games
— scored run in first inning: 33-88
— record in first 5 innings: 56-25-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-3

— Schwellenback is 1-4, 5.68 in six starts.
— Braves are 1-5 in his starts.
— under 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Philly.

— Braves are 1-4 in last five games.
— They’re 9-5 in last 14 home games.
— under 13-4 last 17 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-86
— record in first 5 innings: 41-33-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3.2-3

Arizona (43-45) @ San Diego (49-43)
— Pfaadt is 1-1, 3.86 in his last three starts.
— Arizona is 6-3 in his last nine starts.
— under 5-3 last eight road starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-4
— He is 0-2, 4.13 in four starts vs San Diego.

— Arizona is 4-2 in its last six games.
— Diamondbacks are 21-24 on road.
— over 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 29-88
— record in first 5 innings: 40-34-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-5-3.1

— Waldron is 2-2, 2.97 in his last five starts.
— Padres are 6-3 in his last nine starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 8-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-3
— He is 1-2, 8.36 in three starts vs Arizona.

— Padres won 12 of last 15 games.
— They’re 25-22 at home.
— over 11-3 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 26-92
— record in first 5 innings: 39-39-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3.2-2.2

Milwaukee (52-37) @ Los Angeles (54-35)
— Peralta is 2-0, 1.50 in his last three starts.
— Brewers are 5-1 in his last six starts.
— over 8-2 last 10
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-8
— He is 2-1, 1.80 in four starts against the Dodgers.

— Brewers won eight of last 12 games.
— They’re 25-24 on road.
— over 10-5 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 22-89
— record in first 5 innings: 43-36-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2-3

— Paxton is 2-0, 2.45 in his last three home starts.
— Dodgers are 11-4 in his starts overall.
— over 7-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Milwaukee.

— Dodgers are 3-4 in their last seven games.
— Dodgers are 27-18 at home.
— over 7-0 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 32-89
— record in first 5 innings: 45-34-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-4.2-3

Boston (48-39) @ Bronx (54-36)
— Winckowski is 1-0, 1.15 in four starts (15.2 IP).
— Boston is 3-1 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0-1
— He is 0-2, 6.52 in two starts vs New York.

— Red Sox won their last five games.
— They’re 28-16 on road.
— over 8-2 last ten games
— scored run in first inning: 26-87
— record in first 5 innings: 46-32-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-5-6.2

— Cole is 1-1, 5.54 in three starts.
— New York is 1-2 in his starts.
— over 3-0
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2
— He is 7-5, 4.68 in 17 starts vs Boston.

— New York is 5-15 in its last 20 games.
— They’re 24-18 at home.
— over 14-4 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 30-90
— record in first 5 innings: 47-31-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-4-4

Tampa Bay (44-44) @ Texas (40-48)
— Bradley is 2-0, 1.93 in his last four starts.
— Rays are 6-4 in his starts.
— under 9-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 1-7-2
— He is 0-2, 6.23 in two starts vs Texas.

— Tampa Bay is 10-5 in its last 15 games.
— Rays are 21-19 on road.
— under 9-3 last dozen games.
— scored run in first inning: 23-88
— record in first 5 innings: 30-44-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-2

— Heaney is 1-1, 3.50 in his last three starts.
— Texas is 4-12 in his starts.
— under 6-1 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 3-11-2
— He is 0-5, 3.68 in seven starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Rangers lost eight of last 11 games.
— They’re 22-21 at home.
— under 5-1 last six home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-88
— record in first 5 innings: 37-37-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-2.2-4

Houston (46-42) @ Minnesota (49-39)
— Brown is 5-0, 0.29 in his last five starts.
— Houston is 3-4 in his road starts
— under 8-0 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 5-16
— record in first 5 innings: 9-6-1
— He is 1-1, 4.08 in three starts vs Minnesota

— Houston won 13 of last 15 games.
— Astros are 22-23 on road.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 29-88
— record in first 5 innings: 41-37-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-3-9

— Ryan is 0-0, 3.71 in his last three starts.
— Minnesota is 3-5 in his home starts
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 6-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-3
— He is 1-3, 8.53 in four starts vs Houston.

— Twins are 14-7 in their last 21 games.
— Twins are 25-18 at home.
— over 17-5 last 22 games.
— scored run in first inning: 24-88
— record in first 5 innings: 40-39-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-1-4

Baltimore (56-32) @ Oakland (33-56)
— Povich is 1-2, 4.05 in five starts.
— Orioles are 3-2 in his starts.
— over 3-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Oakland.

— Baltimore won seven of its last nine games.
— Orioles are 27-15 on road.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 20-88
— record in first 5 innings: 49-28-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-3

— Medina is 1-1, 3.68 in his last three starts.
— Oakland is 1-5 in his starts.
— under 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1
— This is his first start vs Baltimore.

— A’s won three of last four games.
— Oakland is 21-24 at home.
— under 8-3 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 17-89
— record in first 5 innings: 29-55-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-4

Toronto (39-49) @ Seattle (49-41)
— Rodriguez is 0-3, 5.18 in seven starts.
— Toronto is 3-3 in his starts.
— under 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.

— Toronto is 6-15 in its last 21 games.
— Blue Jays are 18-25 on road.
— over 13-5 last 18 games
— scored run in first inning: 19-88
— record in first 5 innings: 39-39-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4-2

— Hancock is 0-1, 6.75 in his last three starts.
— His last start was May 13th,
— Seattle is 5-3 in his starts
— under 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto.

— Seattle is 5-10 in its last 15 games.
— Mariners are 30-16 at home.
— under 10-3 last 13 home games
— scored run in first inning: 22-90
— record in first 5 innings: 38-38-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-3.1-2.1

LA Angels (36-51) @ Cubs (41-48)
— Anderson is 1-2, 5.40 in his last three starts.
— Angels are 4-3 in his road starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 7-8-2
— He is 5-3, 4.18 in 10 starts against the Cubs.

— Angels lost last five games, scored one run the last three days.
— They’re 18-25 on road.
— under 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 20-87
— record in first 5 innings: 29-51-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-5.1-3.2

— Hendricks is 1-3, 7.84 in his last four starts.
— Chicago is 3-7 in his starts.
— over 9-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-10
— record in first 5 innings: 3-7
— He gave up 3 runs in 5 IP, in his one start against the Angels.

— Cubs are 10-17 in their last 27 games.
— They’re 24-20 at home.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 19-89
— record in first 5 innings: 33-40-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-x

White Sox (26-64) @ Miami (30-58)
— Crochet is 1-1, 2.56 in his last five starts.
— Chicago is 3-4 in his road starts
— under 14-4
— allowed run in first inning: 1-18
— record in first 5 innings: 7-6-5
— This is his first start against Miami.

— White Sox are 5-3 in last eight games.
— Chicago is 10-35 on road.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 17-90
— record in first 5 innings: 38-41-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-2.2

— Chirinos is 0-0, 3.77 in three starts.
— Miami is 2-1 in his starts
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-1
— He is 1-1, 0.50 in four games (1 start) vs Chicago

— Marlins are 1-6 in their last seven games.
— Miami is 16-32 at home.
— over 4-1-1 last six games.
— scored run in first inning: 20-88
— record in first 5 innings: 27-51-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-6.2-6

Detroit (40-48) @ Cincinnati (42-46)
— Detroit hasn’t named a starter.

— Detroit is 9-17 in its last 26 games.
— Tigers are 21-26 on road.
— over 6-0 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 27-88
— record in first 5 innings: 36-37-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-2.1-3.1

— Greene is 0-2, 4.20 in his last three starts.
— Reds are 5-12 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 3-17
— record in first 5 innings: 6-6-5
— He hasn’t pitched against Detroit.

— Reds are 5-3 in last eight games.
— They’re 20-24 at home.
— over 4-1 last five home games
— scored run in first inning: 24-88
— record in first 5 innings: 37-39-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-4-4.1

San Francisco (44-45) @ Cleveland (54-32)
— Harrison is 0-2, 4.67 in his last three starts.
— His last start was June 10th.
— San Francisco is 9-2 in his last 11 starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-14
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-3
— He gave up 5 runs in 4 IP in his one start vs Cleveland.

— San Francisco is 8-3 in its last 11 games.
— Giants are 19-26 on road.
— under 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 18-89
— record in first 5 innings: 33-43-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-9

— Allen is 1-1, 8.10 in his last three starts.
— Guardians are 6-3 in his last nine starts.
— over 12-5
— allowed run in first inning: 7-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-5-3
— He gave up a run in 5 IP, in his one start against the Giants.

— Cleveland is 3-6 in its last nine games.
— Guardians are 28-11 at home.
— over 8-2 last ten home games
— scored run in first inning: 24-86
— record in first 5 innings: 43-32-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3-4.1

Kansas City (48-42) @ Colorado (31-57)
— Lugo is 2-0, 1.48 in his last four starts.
— Royals are 12-6 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 2-18
— record in first 5 innings: 13-3-2
— He is 3-0, 2.68 in five starts vs Colorado.

— Royals are 6-4 in their last ten games.
— Royals are 1-6 in last seven road games.
— under 11-4 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 23-89
— record in first 5 innings: 40-36-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-6

— Gomber is 0-3, 9.00 in his last five starts.
— Colorado is 4-9 in his last 13 starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 8-16
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-3
— He is 2-0, 2.11 in four starts vs Kansas City

— Rockies are 10-22 in their last 32 games.
— They’re 19-26 at home.
— under 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 25-88
— record in first 5 innings: 35-42-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-4-2

Umpires
— NY-Pitt- Favorites are 12-4 in Tumpane games.
— StL-Wash- Over is 13-3 in Dreckman games
— Phil-Atl- Favorites are 12-6 in Gibson games.
— Ariz-SD- Home favorites are 8-6 in Miller games.
— Mil-LA- Over is 11-6 in Moscoso games

— Bos-NY- Under is 11-6 in Marquez games.
— TB-Tex- Over is 15-2 in Fletcher games.
— Hst-Minn- Favorites are 14-4 in Eddings games.
— LAA-A’s- Favorites are 10-4 in O’Nora games.
— Tor-Sea- Under is 12-6 in Merzel games.

— LAA-Chi- Underdogs are 8-8 in Emil Jimenez games.
— CWS-Mia- Under is 11-7 in DeJesus games.
— Det-Cin- Over is 9-7 in Beck games
— SF-Clev- Over is 10-5 in Blakney games
— KC-Colo- Home underdogs are 3-3 in Vanover games

Saturday MLB betting at BetMGM

Most bet teams

1. Red Sox +155
2. Phillies -105
3. Astros +115
4. Guardians -125
5. Pirates +115

Most bet teams $

1. Cardinals +105
2. Yankees -190
3. Mets -135
4. Astros +115
5. Phillies -105

Trend: Favorites are 15-1 (93.8%, +13.52 units) in the last 16 games between Pittsburgh and NY Mets
– The ROI on this trend is 84.5%
System Matches: PLAY NY METS (-135 at PIT)

Trend: Favorites are 17-1 (94.4%, +14.4 units) in the last 18 games between Milwaukee and LA Dodgers
– The ROI on this trend is 80%
System Matches: PLAY LA DODGERS (-112 vs. MIL)

Hitting a lot of home runs has a carryover effect for home favorites
Home favorites coming off a game in which they hit four or more home runs have proven to be a very good investment for baseball bettors over the last 4+ seasons, going 291-142 (67.2%) for +42.83 units and an ROI of 9.9%!
System Matches (PLAY): LA DODGERS (-112 vs MIL)

Unusually poor pitching performances provide motivation for hosts
Home teams coming off unusually bad team pitching performances where they allowed 16 hits or more in a game are on a run of 266-219 (54.8%) for +44.17 units and an ROI of 9.1% since the start of the 2018 season.
System Matches (PLAY): MINNESOTA (-135 vs. HOU)

(901) NEW YORK-NL (42-44) at (902) PITTSBURGH (42-45)
Trend: PIT trending Over vs. LH starters (17-9 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 9.5)

(903) ST LOUIS (46-41) at (904) WASHINGTON (41-47)
Trend: STL trending Under during the day (12-23 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 9)

(905) PHILADELPHIA (58-30) at (906) ATLANTA (47-39)
Trend: ATL trending Under at night (15-36 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(907) MILWAUKEE (52-37) at (908) LOS ANGELES-NL (54-35)
Trend: MIL not as good vs. NL East/West (8-13, -6.44 units)
System Match: FADE MILWAUKEE (-108 at LAD)

(909) ARIZONA (43-45) at (910) SAN DIEGO (49-43)
Trend: H2H on a 6-2 Over run this season
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 7)

(913) HOUSTON (46-42) at (914) MINNESOTA (49-39)
Trend: MIN better during the day (25-15, +6.24 units)
System Match: PLAY MINNESOTA (-135 vs. HOU)