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msudogs
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MLB Lagniappe 6/22

San Francisco (36-40) @ St Louis (37-37)
— Hicks is 0-2, 4.82 in his last four starts.
— Giants won his last four road starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-15
— record in first 5 innings: 8-5-2
— He hasn’t pitched against St Louis.
— Hicks pitched for the Cardinals from 2018-23.

— San Francisco is 2-5 in its last seven games.
— Giants are 16-23 on road.
— over 13-5 last 18 road games
— scored run in first inning: 14-76
— record in first 5 innings: 28-37-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 9-5.1-x

— Mikolas is 2-0, 1.40 in his last three starts.
— St Louis is 5-2 in his last seven starts.
— under 11-4
— allowed run in first inning: 3-15
— record in first 5 innings: 3-10-2
— He is 3-1, 2.22 in four starts vs San Francisco.

— Cardinals are 9-6 in their last 15 games.
— They’re 18-15 at home.
— under 17-7 last 24 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-74
— record in first 5 innings: 25-36-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-3.1-x

Old Post 06-22-24 08:30 AM
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NY Mets (36-38) @ Cubs (36-40)
— Megill is 2-1, 4.03 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 2-4 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— He gave up 6 runs in 3.2 IP, in his one start vs Chicago.

— New York is 14-5 in its last 19 games.
— Mets are 18-15 on road.
— over 13-5 last 18 road games
— scored run in first inning: 22-74
— record in first 5 innings: 31-31-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-x-2.2

— Taillon is 0-1, 1.50 in his last two starts.
— Chicago is 1-6 in his last seven starts.
— under 6-5
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5
— He is 3-0, 2.10 in five starts against the Mets.

— Cubs are 5-9 in their last 14 games.
— They’re 21-17 at home.
— under 10-3 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 16-76
— record in first 5 innings: 27-34-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-x-6

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Arizona (38-38) @ Philadelphia (49-26)
— Henry is 1-2, 5.72 in six starts.
— His last start was April 29.
— Arizona is 3-3 in his starts.
— over 5-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3
— He is 1-1, 8.79 in three starts vs Philly.

— Arizona is 13-6 in its last 19 games.
— Diamondbacks are 19-20 on road.
— over 13-7 last 20 games
— scored run in first inning: 24-76
— record in first 5 innings: 36-28-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.2-2-3

— Wheeler is 4-1, 3.23 in his last six starts.
— Phillies are 8-2 in his last ten starts.
— under 8-2 last ten starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-1
— He is 6-3, 2.96 in 11 starts vs Arizona.

— Phillies are 3-6 in their last nine games.
— They’re 29-12 at home.
— under 13-3 last 16 home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-75
— record in first 5 innings: 47-21-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-5

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Washington (37-38) @ Colorado (26-50)
— Parker is 1-1, 4.56 in his last four starts.
— Washington is 6-5 in his starts.
— over 6-5
— allowed run in first inning: 3-11
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado.

— Nationals won 10 of their last 13 games.
— They’re 20-19 on road.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 11-75
— record in first 5 innings: 32-36-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-5.1

— Quantrill is 2-1, 1.69 in his last three starts.
— Colorado is 6-3 in his last nine starts.
— under 3-2 home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 5-6-4
— He gave up 3 runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs Washington.

— Rockies lost 15 of last 20 games.
— They’re 15-23 at home.
— over 10-4 last 14 home games
— scored run in first inning: 23-76
— record in first 5 innings: 28-37-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5-6

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Milwaukee (44-32) @ San Diego (40-40)
— Rodriguez is 0-2, 8.22 in two starts.
— Milwaukee is 0-2 in his starts.
— under 2-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 0-2
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.

— Brewers are 8-6 in their last 14 games.
— They’re 22-20 on road.
— under 7-4 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-76
— record in first 5 innings: 37-31-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-2.2

— Vasquez is 1-1, 5.57 in his last four starts.
— Padres are 2-7 in his starts.
— under 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 6-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Milwaukee.

— Padres won their last three games.
— They’re 20-21 at home.
— over 6-2 last eight home games
— scored run in first inning: 25-80
— record in first 5 innings: 31-35-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-4.1-4.1

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Tampa Bay (37-39) @ Pittsburgh (36-39)
— Eflin is 0-0, 5.06 in his last four starts.
— Rays won his last six starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-2
— He is 2-1, 1.35 in three starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Tampa Bay is 4-1 in its last five games.
— Rays are 18-16 on road.
— over 9-2 last 11 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-76
— record in first 5 innings: 26-39-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-5-5.2

— Jones is 1-1, 5.17 in his last three starts.
— Pittsburgh is 5-9 in his starts.
— over 6-1 last seven starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-14
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-3
— He hasn’t pitched against Tampa Bay.

— Pirates are 4-3 in last seven games.
— They’re 18-19 at home.
— under 10-3 last 13 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-75
— record in first 5 innings: 32-31-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-5

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Atlanta (42-31) @ Bronx (51-27)
— Morton is 1-1, 3.18 in his last three starts.
— Braves are 3-6 in his last nine starts.
— over 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 4-13
— record in first 5 innings: 7-4-2
— He is 5-3, 3.54 in 13 starts vs New York.

— Braves won seven of last eight games.
— They’re 18-18 on road.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 21-73
— record in first 5 innings: 37-26-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-4

— Stroman is 3-1, 3.45 in his last five starts.
— New York is 9-3 in his last 12 starts.
— over 5-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-5-3
— He is 4-3, 2.61 in eight starts vs Atlanta.

— New York is 2-6 in its last eight games.
— They’re 23-13 at home.
— over 15-4 last 19 home games
— scored run in first inning: 28-78
— record in first 5 innings: 44-22-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-6.2-5.1

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Seattle (44-33) @ Miami (26-49)
— Gilbert is 1-1, 2.08 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 4-4 in his road starts
— under 11-4
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-4
— He gave up a run in 5.2 IP, in his one start vs Miami.

— Seattle lost its last three games.
— Mariners are 17-22 on road.
— over 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 21-78
— record in first 5 innings: 35-32-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-2

— Anderson allowed 7 runs in 2 IP, in his first ’24 start.
— Miami is 0-1 in his starts
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Seattle.

— Marlins won last four games, last three on walk-offs.
— Miami is 15-26 at home.
— under 3-0 last three games.
— scored run in first inning: 17-75
— record in first 5 innings: 24-41-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-3.2

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LA Angels (29-45) @ Los Angeles (47-30)
— Plesac gave up 3 runs in 6 IP, in his first ‘24 start.
— Angels are 1-0 in his starts.
— under 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He gave up a run in 6 IP, in his one start against the Dodgers.

— Angels are 6-7 in their last 13 games.
— They’re 18-20 on road.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 18-75
— record in first 5 innings: 26-43-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-7.2

— Glasnow is 1-2, 2.77 in his last four starts.
— Dodgers are 2-5 in his last seven starts.
— under 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-15
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-1
— He is 1-1, 4.00 in four starts against the Angels

— Dodgers are 9-6 in their last 15 games.
— Dodgers are 24-16 at home.
— under 9-2 last 11 home games.
— scored run in first inning: 27-78
— record in first 5 innings: 41-30-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-3.2-5

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(901) SAN FRANCISCO (36-40) at (902) ST LOUIS (37-37)
Trend: STL heavy Under during the day (8-21 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 9)

(903) NEW YORK-NL (36-38) at (904) CHICAGO-NL (36-40)
Trend: NYM heavy Over on the road (22-8 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 11.5)

(905) ARIZONA (38-38) at (906) PHILADELPHIA (49-26)
Trend: PHI good at home (29-11, +12.46 units)
System Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA (-238 vs AZ)

(907) MILWAUKEE (44-32) at (908) SAN DIEGO (40-40)
Trend: MIL trending Over vs. RH starters (34-20 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 9)

(911) CHICAGO-AL (20-57) at (912) DETROIT (35-40)
Trend: CWS awful on the road (7-32, -20.87 units)
System Match: FADE CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+136 at DET)

(913) KANSAS CITY (42-35) at (914) TEXAS (35-40)
Trend: TEX trending Under vs. AL Central/East (6-12 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(915) MINNESOTA (41-35) at (916) OAKLAND (29-49)
Trend: OAK not good vs. RH starters (21-39, -10.98 units)
System Match: FADE OAKLAND (+136 vs MIN)

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(917) TORONTO (35-40) at (918) CLEVELAND (47-26)
Trend: TOR trending Under vs. AL Central/West (10-22 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 9)

(919) BALTIMORE (49-26) at (920) HOUSTON (36-40)
Trend: BAL good during the day (23-10, +10.02 units)
System Match: PLAY BALTIMORE (-155 at HOU)

(921) TAMPA BAY (37-39) at (922) PITTSBURGH (36-39)
Trend: PIT worse start in interleague play (8-15, -9.38 units)
System Match: FADE PITTSBURGH (-110 vs TB)

(923) SEATTLE (44-34) at (924) MIAMI (26-49)
Trend: SEA trending Under vs. NL teams (5-16 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 7.5)

(925) BOSTON (40-36) at (926) CINCINNATI (36-39)
Trend: CIN more Under at home (14-22 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 9.5)

(927) ATLANTA (42-31) at (928) NEW YORK-AL (51-27)
Trend: ATL trending Under vs. AL teams (7-20 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 9)

(929) LOS ANGELES-AL (30-45) at (930) LOS ANGELES-NL (47-31)
Trend: LAA bad vs. RH starters (22-38, -11.48 units)
System Match: FADE LA ANGELS (+300 at LAD)

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(905) ARIZONA (38-38) at (906) PHILADELPHIA (49-26)
Trend: PHI is 20-6 (+10.92 units) in last 26 day game starts by Zach Wheeler
System Match: PLAY PHILADELPHIA (-238 vs. AZ)

(911) CHICAGO-AL (20-57) at (912) DETROIT (35-40)
Trend: Kenta Maeda has been bad during the day, going 9-23 (-20.84 units) since 2020
System Match: FADE DETROIT (-162 vs. CWS)

(913) KANSAS CITY (42-35) at (914) TEXAS (35-40)
Trend: TEX is 8-3 (+3.75 units) in home day games with Jon Gray in the last 2+ seasons
System Match: PLAY TEXAS (-135 vs. KC)

(915) MINNESOTA (41-35) at (916) OAKLAND (29-49)
Trend: OAK is 7-18 (-7.40 units) in day game starts by JP Sears in the last two years
System Match: FADE OAKLAND (+136 vs MIN)

(917) TORONTO (35-40) at (918) CLEVELAND (47-26)
Trend: Jose Berrios is 3-8 (-8.25 units) vs. Cleveland in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE TORONTO (+124 at CLE)

(921) TAMPA BAY (37-39) at (922) PITTSBURGH (36-39)
Trend: Zach Eflin is 15-4 (+10.23 units) in the last five seasons as a road pick ’em/short favorite between -110 to -140 line range (including 8-1 (+6.70 units) last season with TB)
System Match: PLAY TAMPA BAY (-110 at PIT)

(927) ATLANTA (42-31) at (928) NEW YORK-AL (51-27)
Trend: Marcus Stroman is 7-3 (+3.60 units) in the last 10 home day game starts
System Match: PLAY NY YANKEES (-142 vs. ATL)

(929) LOS ANGELES-AL (30-45) at (930) LOS ANGELES-NL (47-31)
Trend: Tyler Glasnow is 32-8 (+11.63 units) as a favorite of -166 or higher in the last five seasons (including 19-4 (+6.70 units) in home starts)
System Match: PLAY LA DODGERS (-380 vs. LAA)

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