5 pm ET on FOX

Stallions -3 -175 10-1 SU // 7-4 ATS // O/U 5-6
Brahmas +3 +142 8-3 SU // 7-4 ATS // O/U 1-10
Total: 42

The storylines are endless with this matchup. On one end you have the historical juggernaut in Birmingham who’s been the shortest shot to win the championship since the preseason and is eyeing a third straight spring football title. On the other end, it’s the overlooked Brahmas who were tied with Michigan at 12/1 for the longest odds to win it all at the season’s start.

There’s also only one team that’s topped Birmingham in the last calendar year: San Antonio. The Brahmas ended what was a 15-game win streak for the Stallions in Week 9 with an 18-9 home win. That week, San Antonio held Birmingham to a season low in total yards, first downs and a new franchise low for points (they were on a 23-game stretch of scoring at least 20 points prior).

With a healthy Chase Garbers back under center and a stout defense, the Brahmas appear to be peaking at the right time, while the Stallions, at least on paper, have taken a step back.

That said, a “step back” for Birmingham is still pretty darn good. Outside of that game, they’ve continued to win. It just hasn’t been in as dominant fashion as we saw earlier in the season.

Even last week, when the MVP of the league, Adrian Martinez, struggled mightily through three quarters, Matt Corral stepped in to lead the Stallions to 28 unanswered points and a win against Michigan.

Martinez will start this week, but I wouldn’t be surprised in the slightest to see Corral step in again for a large chunk of the game. That in itself is another thing the Brahmas will need to prepare for.

While I’m in a unique situation as a bettor with futures on both teams, the drum I’ve been beating from Day 1 and will continue to beat is Birmingham to win. Even last week, I wrote about the “buy low” spot on Skip Holtz’s squad at -115, which is now -175 to -190 range.

Death, taxes and Wade Phillips Unders. The Brahmas are 10-1 to the Under this season hitting in eight-straight games. That’s pretty hard to argue with.

San Antonio has only allowed more than 20 points once this season, and it was Week 3 vs. St. Louis. They also haven’t scored more than 20 points in a game since Week 5 vs. Arlington, who had one of the worst defenses in the UFL.

The Brahmas have the best pass rush in the league and have only allowed 12 total TDs for the entire season so whichever QB is on the field for Birmingham will feel the pressure.

The Stallions too have been a monster defensively with the two teams going 1-2 in the league in PPG allowed, total yards per game allowed and TDs.