Sure, we have a good system play here in the forum that says to play on teams that are dogs when they are '+' for the year vs. a team that is '-' for the season.
But, check this out for all the remaining 1 loss teams (Now, 10 with VT's loss Thursday night)
1) Virginia 2 turnovers vs. Wyoming (even for the year)
2) Missouri 4 turnovers vs. Oklahoma (+5 on the year)
3) Oklahoma 3 turnovers vs. Colorado (+4 on the year)
4) UConn 2 turnovers vs. Virginia (+11 on the year)
5) S. Florida 1 turnover vs. Rutgers (+10 on the year)
6) W. Virginia 6 turnovers vs. S. Florida (+7 on the year)
7) Oregon 4 turnovers vs. Cal (+5 on the year)
8) USC 5 turnovers vs. Stanford (-4 for the year)
9) LSU 1 turnover vs. Kentucky (+11 on the year)
10) Boise St. 4 turnovers vs. Washington (+1 on the year)
I'm fairly certain that a number of other good teams that are 'plus' for the year have that 1 or 2 bad games that have just kept them from winning and being unbeaten or only having one loss. Just another anamoly in this crazy (but exciting) season.
Duckman
All things being equal, when in doubt, take the underdog.