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primetime24K
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2007
Posts: 5522

Primetime NBA PLAYOFFS 5/18

3-0 yesterday, lets get this rolling once again

5* Phoenix Suns +3 ( If the line moves to 3.5, I will buy it to 4 and make this a 5*+ play)

I also may have a ML play later in the day as well.

First off let me start by saying that Oskiem's writeup on the Phoenix Suns is outstanding. I will try to pitch in with information, but if you read this, make sure you check Oskiem's post as well; there is truly some valuable information included.

As we all know, the Suns were without Stoudemire and Diaw in game 5. Despite the suspensions, they were in control of the game nearly the entire time.

Those of us who watched game 5 know how much the Suns truly missed Amare Stoudemire. Although Kurt Thomas played extremely well, the Suns are not the same without Amare. His ability to finish near the basket is an invaluable asset to the Phoenix Suns.

Not only do I think Phoenix WILL win this game, I believe they are the better team, and will ultimately win this series.

In game 4, the Spurs shot 48% from the field, made 9 threes while shooting 39% from beyond the arc, and shot 93% from the free throw line. In addition, they turned the ball over less than the Phoenix Suns. Despite all of these aspects, The Phoenix Suns came out on top.

'Every time you go through some tough times, and we have this year, we've snapped back from it,' D'Antoni said.

Coach D'Antoni is right on point with this statement. The Suns are an impressive 6-1 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent, and 19-7 ATS revenging a loss vs an opponent.

In addition, the Phoenix Suns are 4-1 ATS in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points this year and 14-3 ATS over the past 3 years.

All of the scenarios the Phoenix Suns are in today favor them as well. They are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, and 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 playoff games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.

I have a lean on the UNDER in this game as well, but will probably lay off.

I will most likely have a ML play later on in the day as well.

Take Phoenix +3 and enjoy the Outright WINNER




Record
2006-07 NCAAB: 111-78-4
2006-07 NBA: 110-90-2
Boxing: 4-1, +13 units
NCAA Baseball:3-0

2007-08 NFL: 70-90-3, -28.6 units
2007 NCAAF: 129-100-3, +154.9 units
2007-08 NBA: 68-72-3, +.6 units
2007-2008 NCAAB: 97-78 +34.6 units
2007-2008 NCAAF Bowls: 16-12 +8 units

2008 NCAAF: 48-38-3, +27.3 units
2008-2009 NFL: 28-17 +44 units

2009 NCCAF: 53-40, +64.37 units
2008-2009 NFL: 32-21, +41.96 units

Old Post 05-18-07 07:35 PM
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brian_n_bama
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: May 2005
Posts: 20449

Excellent writeup as always. I'm riding with you and Jeff on this one, buddy.

Old Post 05-18-07 07:38 PM
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osk
StatFox Hall Of Famer

Registered: May 2005
Posts: 4175

Paul, great analysis. So good, in fact, that I added a few extra coins on Steve Nash & Co.

GO SUNS!!

Good luck tonight.




"Don't give up. . .Don't Ever Give Up!" --Jimmy Valvano

Old Post 05-18-07 07:40 PM
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redwingxix


Registered: Jan 2007
Posts: 502

I was going to sit this one out, but I don't think I can now. GL.




Some, they may go for cocaine.But I'm sure that if I took even one sniff, it would bore me terrifically, too.

Old Post 05-18-07 07:49 PM
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mattk
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 858

pt24k

Excellent job not only last night, but throughout the entire playoffs!! Always enjoy your take on things. You are a true asset to the Den. Would love to see the Suns throw it back in Commissioner Stern's face and force a Game 7. How can you not root for Nash & Co.?? GL Tonight!!

Old Post 05-18-07 09:19 PM
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primetime24K
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2007
Posts: 5522

Adding:

3* Suns/Spurs UNDER 201

As many of you know, I already had a lean on the UNDER. There are many convincing trends and reports out there that pushed me over the edge.

For info on the UNDER I recommend viewing MSUdogs, Oskiems, or Mattk's thread. All three have provided EXCELLENT writeups




Record
2006-07 NCAAB: 111-78-4
2006-07 NBA: 110-90-2
Boxing: 4-1, +13 units
NCAA Baseball:3-0

2007-08 NFL: 70-90-3, -28.6 units
2007 NCAAF: 129-100-3, +154.9 units
2007-08 NBA: 68-72-3, +.6 units
2007-2008 NCAAB: 97-78 +34.6 units
2007-2008 NCAAF Bowls: 16-12 +8 units

2008 NCAAF: 48-38-3, +27.3 units
2008-2009 NFL: 28-17 +44 units

2009 NCCAF: 53-40, +64.37 units
2008-2009 NFL: 32-21, +41.96 units

Old Post 05-18-07 10:47 PM
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msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

pt

let's do it tonight
GL

Old Post 05-18-07 10:50 PM
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wojo12212
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jul 2006
Posts: 12317

PT

Good luck tonight

Wojo

Old Post 05-18-07 10:59 PM
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KCFAN68
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 5437

Primetime

Good Luck tonight

Ron

Old Post 05-18-07 11:02 PM
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primetime24K
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2007
Posts: 5522

LETS GO SUNS!!!




Record
2006-07 NCAAB: 111-78-4
2006-07 NBA: 110-90-2
Boxing: 4-1, +13 units
NCAA Baseball:3-0

2007-08 NFL: 70-90-3, -28.6 units
2007 NCAAF: 129-100-3, +154.9 units
2007-08 NBA: 68-72-3, +.6 units
2007-2008 NCAAB: 97-78 +34.6 units
2007-2008 NCAAF Bowls: 16-12 +8 units

2008 NCAAF: 48-38-3, +27.3 units
2008-2009 NFL: 28-17 +44 units

2009 NCCAF: 53-40, +64.37 units
2008-2009 NFL: 32-21, +41.96 units

Old Post 05-19-07 04:16 AM
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primetime24K
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2007
Posts: 5522

Ouch

0-2 today

5* Suns +3= WINNER
3* UNDER 201= LOSER




Record
2006-07 NCAAB: 111-78-4
2006-07 NBA: 110-90-2
Boxing: 4-1, +13 units
NCAA Baseball:3-0

2007-08 NFL: 70-90-3, -28.6 units
2007 NCAAF: 129-100-3, +154.9 units
2007-08 NBA: 68-72-3, +.6 units
2007-2008 NCAAB: 97-78 +34.6 units
2007-2008 NCAAF Bowls: 16-12 +8 units

2008 NCAAF: 48-38-3, +27.3 units
2008-2009 NFL: 28-17 +44 units

2009 NCCAF: 53-40, +64.37 units
2008-2009 NFL: 32-21, +41.96 units

Old Post 05-19-07 06:29 AM
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