ANALYSIS: We are getting excellent line value here with Pennsylvania. Cornell is sitting at .500 with only 2 of their 7 wins against legitimate opponents. Penn is averaging 7ppg. More than Cornell while playing significantly more difficult schedule. These teams have played each other 4 times since 2/12/2005 and Penn has won by an avg. >20 pts. The Penn lineup is also much more experienced, starting 3 Sr. 1 Jr. and 1 So, to Cornell’s 2 Sr. 1 So and 2 Fr. Every angle I have looked at shows me a 11-13 point victory for Penn here.
CONCLUSION: I will place 1 unit on Pennsylvania -5 over Cornell. Pennsylvania 83, Cornell 71.
Trends:
1.) PENNSYLVANIA is 2-0 against the spread versus CORNELL over the last 3 seasons
2.) PENNSYLVANIA is 25-12 ATS in road games versus slow-down teams averaging 53 or less shots/game since 1997.
3.) PENNSYLVANIA is 27-13 ATS in road games versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season since 1997.