San Francisco (55-57) @ Cincinnati (53-57)
Ray is 1-1, 4.82 in two starts.
Giants are 1-1 in his starts.
over 1-1
allowed run in first inning: 0-2
record in first 5 innings: 1-1
He is 1-2, 4.44 in five starts vs Cincinnati.
San Francisco is 6-2 in its last eight games.
Giants are 22-34 on road.
under 12-5 last 17 games
scored run in first inning: 25-112
record in first 5 innings: 46-50-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-4.1
Spiers is 2-0, 2.70 in his last two starts.
Reds are 4-2 in his starts.
over 4-2
allowed run in first inning: 1-6
record in first 5 innings: 4-2
He hasnt pitched against San Francisco.
Reds are 6-4 in their last ten games.
Theyre 28-30 at home.
under 8-3 last eleven games
scored run in first inning: 30-110
record in first 5 innings: 50-46-14
bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.2-3
Arizona (59-52) @ Pittsburgh (56-54)
Nelson is 3-0, 2.51 in his last five starts.
Arizona is 6-1 in his last seven starts.
over 5-1 last six starts
allowed run in first inning: 1-19
record in first 5 innings: 8-8-3
He hasnt pitched against Pittsburgh
Arizona is 14-5 in its last 19 games.
Diamondbacks are 28-27 on road.
over 8-3 last eleven games
scored run in first inning: 35-111
record in first 5 innings: 51-40-20
bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-5
Skenes is 3-1, 1.51 in his last eight starts.
Pittsburgh is 9-4 in his starts.
under 6-2 last eight
allowed run in first inning: 3-13
record in first 5 innings: 7-2-4
He hasnt pitched against Arizona.
Pirates are 13-7 in their last 20 games.
Theyre 27-27 at home.
over 5-2 last seven games
scored run in first inning: 21-110
record in first 5 innings: 46-43-21
bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.2-5
Milwaukee (62-47) @ Washington (49-61)
Myers is 1-1, 2.35 in his last three starts.
Brewers are 7-3 in his last 10 starts.
over 9-5-1
allowed run in first inning: 7-15
record in first 5 innings: 6-6-3
This is his first start vs Washington
Brewers are 3-5 in their last eight games.
Theyre 31-27 on road.
over 6-1-1 last eight games
scored run in first inning: 29-110
record in first 5 innings: 50-45-15
bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-4
Parker is 0-1, 13.50 in his last three starts.
Washington is 2-5 in his last seven starts.
over 4-1 last five starts
allowed run in first inning: 5-19
record in first 5 innings: 7-10-2
He gave up 5 runs in less than an inning at Milwaukee July 13.
Nationals are 3-8 in last 11 games.
Theyre 24-28 at home.
over 7-1 last eight games
scored run in first inning: 19-111
record in first 5 innings: 44-55-12
bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-4
Miami (41-70) @ Atlanta (60-50)
Cabrera is 0-0, 4.30 in his last three starts.
Marlins are 1-3 in his road starts.
over 9-1
allowed run in first inning: 1-10
record in first 5 innings: 4-5-1
He is 0-1, 4.85 in three starts vs Atlanta
Marlins are 2-4 in their last six games.
Miami is 19-36 on road.
over 18-9-1 last 28 games.
scored run in first inning: 26-111
record in first 5 innings: 36-64-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4-6.2
Fried is 0-2, 3.50 in his last three starts.
His last start was July 11th.
Atlanta is 12-6 in his starts.
under 5-1 last six
allowed run in first inning: 4-18
record in first 5 innings: 6-7-5
He is 5-3, 4.03 in 14 starts vs Miami
Braves are 6-2 in their last eight games.
Theyre 32-22 at home.
under 25-11 last 36 games
scored run in first inning: 30-110
record in first 5 innings: 51-43-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2-4.2
Colorado (41-71) @ San Diego (59-52)
Quantrill is 1-1, 9.17 in his last four starts.
Colorado is 11-7 in his last 18 starts.
over 7-2 last nine
allowed run in first inning: 3-22
record in first 5 innings: 9-9-4
He is 2-0, 1.89 in three starts vs San Diego.
Rockies won three of last four games.
Theyre 17-42 on road.
over 9-5 last 14 road games
scored run in first inning: 30-112
record in first 5 innings: 40-56-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-2-2
Waldron is 1-2, 5.09 in his last four starts.
San Diego is 4-6 in his home starts.
over 4-1 last five home starts
allowed run in first inning: 10-22
record in first 5 innings: 6-13-3
He gave up a run in 6 IP, in his one start vs Colorado.
Padres won 10 of last 12 games.
Theyre 29-29 at home.
over 6-3 last nine games
scored run in first inning: 30-112
record in first 5 innings: 48-48-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-4-3
St Louis (57-54) @ Cubs (54-59)
Mikolas is 2-1, 3.99 in his last five starts
Cardinals are 9-5 in his last 14 starts.
under 3-1 last four starts
allowed run in first inning: 5-22
record in first 5 innings: 6-14-2
He is 1-1, 5.09 in three starts vs the Cubs TY.
Cardinals are 4-6 in last ten games.
Theyre 28-29 on road.
over 8-1 last nine games
scored run in first inning: 25-111
record in first 5 innings: 41-51-19
bullpen IP last 3 days: 1.2-3-2
Steele is 0-2, 7.20 in his last three starts.
Chicago is 5-12 in his starts.
under 5-0 last five starts.
allowed run in first inning: 3-17
record in first 5 innings: 5-6-6
He is 4-1, 3.47 in six starts vs St Louis.
Cubs are 5-3 in their last eight games.
Theyre 29-26 at home.
under 9-6 last 15 games
scored run in first inning: 24-113
record in first 5 innings: 45-50-18
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-5-3
Baltimore (66-46) @ Cleveland (67-43)
Burnes is 2-0, 2.70 in his last three starts.
Orioles are 10-3 in his last 13 starts.
over 9-4 last 13
allowed run in first inning: 5-22
record in first 5 innings: 15-5-2
He is 2-0, 1.83 in three starts vs Cleveland.
Baltimore is 5-3 in its last eight games.
Orioles are 32-21 on road.
over 15-2 last 17 games
scored run in first inning: 29-112
record in first 5 innings: 60-41-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3-2.2
Williams is 1-3, 4.03 in six starts.
Cleveland is 2-4 in his starts.
under 5-1
allowed run in first inning: 1-6
record in first 5 innings: 1-3-2
He hasnt pitched against Baltimore.
Cleveland is 8-3 in its last 11 games.
Guardians are 35-16 at home.
under 12-6 last 18 games
scored run in first inning: 29-110
record in first 5 innings: 52-43-15
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.2-5
Kansas City (62-50) @ Detroit (53-59)
Wacha is 4-0, 3.03 in his last five starts.
Royals are 5-1 in his last six starts.
under 5-2 last seven starts
allowed run in first inning: 4-19
record in first 5 innings: 7-8-4
He is 2-1, 3.21 in five starts vs Detroit.
Royals won five of last six games.
Royals are 26-28 on road
over 7-3 last ten games
scored run in first inning: 31-112
record in first 5 innings: 53-42-17
bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-3.1-5
bullpen game
Detroit is 4-9 in its last 13 games.
Tigers are 26-30 at home.
over 10-5 last 15 games
scored run in first inning: 34-112
record in first 5 innings: 43-50-19
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-2.2-7.1
Toronto lost four of its last six games.
Blue Jays are 25-32 on road.
over 30-6 last 36 games
scored run in first inning: 28-111
record in first 5 innings: 46-52-13
bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.1-3
Cole is 2-1, 4.91 in his last four starts.
New York is 4-3 in his starts.
over 5-2
allowed run in first inning: 2-7
record in first 5 innings: 4-3
He is 9-2, 2.73 in 17 starts vs Toronto.
New York won six of its last seven games.
Theyre 28-24 at home.
over 28-9 last 37 games
scored run in first inning: 39-112
record in first 5 innings: 57-42-13
bullpen IP last 3 days: x-6.1-3.2
Boston (58-51) @ Texas (53-58)
Pivetta is 1-1, 6.46 in his last three starts.
Boston is 2-4 in his last six starts.
over 6-3 last nine
allowed run in first inning: 5-17
record in first 5 innings: 9-7-1
He is 1-0, 1.84 in three starts vs Texas.
Red Sox are 5-9 since All-Star break.
Theyre 31-23 on road.
over 11-2 last 13 games
scored run in first inning: 35-109
record in first 5 innings: 58-40-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.2-3
Eovaldi is 2-1, 4.32 in his last four starts.
Texas is 5-1 in his last six starts.
over 8-2 last ten
allowed run in first inning: 5-19
record in first 5 innings: 7-6-6
He is 3-0, 4.85 in eight starts vs Boston.
He pitched for the Red Sox from 2018-22.
Rangers lost six of last eight games.
Texas is 9-3 in last 12 home games.
over 9-1 last ten games
scored run in first inning: 37-111
record in first 5 innings: 48-46-17
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-5-5.2
White Sox (27-86) @ Minnesota (61-48)
Flexen is 0-3, 5.91 in his last four starts.
Chicago lost his last 15 starts.
over 4-2 last six
allowed run in first inning: 7-21
record in first 5 innings: 6-11-4
He is 1-2, 3.79 in six starts vs Minnesota.
White Sox have lost 19 games in a row.
Chicago is 10-46 on road.
over 8-2 last ten games
scored run in first inning: 22-113
record in first 5 innings: 43-55-15
bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.1-4
Woods-Richardson is 0-1, 4.62 in his last five starts.
Twins are 8-4 in his last 12 starts.
under 3-1 last four
allowed run in first inning: 1-18
record in first 5 innings: 7-5-6
He is 0-0, 4.15 in two starts vs Chicago TY.
Twins are 7-5 in their last 12 games.
Twins are 31-21 at home.
over 10-3 last 13 games.
scored run in first inning: 30-109
record in first 5 innings: 49-47-13
bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2.2-2
Tampa Bay (56-54) @ Houston (57-53)
bullpen game
Tampa Bay is 12-8 in its last 20 games.
Rays are 26-25 on road.
over 5-3 last eight road games.
scored run in first inning: 28-110
record in first 5 innings: 40-53-17
bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2.2-3.1
Arrighetti is 0-3, 5.67 in his last five starts.
Astros are 2-7 in his last seven starts.
under 6-1 last seven starts
allowed run in first inning: 7-19
record in first 5 innings: 4-12-3
This is his first start vs Tampa Bay.
Houston lost four of last six games.
Astros are 31-26 at home.
under 7-3 last ten home games
scored run in first inning: 33-110
record in first 5 innings: 50-47-13
bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-4
NY Mets (58-52) @ LA Angels (48-63)
Quintana is 3-1, 2.05 in his last five starts.
Mets are 7-2 in his last nine starts.
over 5-2 last seven
allowed run in first inning: 8-21
record in first 5 innings: 8-8-5
He is 1-3, 4.18 in five starts vs Anaheim
New York is 16-8 in its last 24 games.
Mets are 28-23 on road.
under 4-3 last seven road games
scored run in first inning: 27-110
record in first 5 innings: 48-45-17
bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-2
Canning is 0-2, 7.43 in his last five starts.
Angels are 5-2 in his last seven starts.
under 8-4 last 12
allowed run in first inning: 12-22
record in first 5 innings: 8-13-1
He gave up a run in 7 IP, in his first start against the Mets.
Angels lost six of last nine games.
Theyre 25-35 at home.
under 3-1 last four games
scored run in first inning: 25-111
record in first 5 innings: 37-62-12
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4-3
Los Angeles (64-47) @ Oakland (46-66)
Ryan is 1-0, 2.45 in his first two starts.
Dodgers are 2-0 in his starts.
under 2-0
allowed run in first inning: 0-2
record in first 5 innings: 1-0-1
He hasnt pitched against Oakland.
Dodgers are 2-5 in last seven games.
Dodgers are 3-11 in last 14 road games.
over 7-2 last nine games.
scored run in first inning: 38-111
record in first 5 innings: 55-45-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-3
bullpen game
As are 16-10 in last 26 games.
Oakland is 9-5 in last 13 home games.
under 4-3 last seven games
scored run in first inning: 23-112
record in first 5 innings: 42-65-5
bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-3.1
Philadelphia (65-45) @ Seattle (59-53)
Wheeler is 1-1, 3.64 in his last five starts.
Phillies are 12-5 in his last 17 starts.
over 5-2 last seven
allowed run in first inning: 3-21
record in first 5 innings: 13-6-2
He hasnt pitched against Seattle.
Phillies are 4-13 in their last 17 games.
Theyre 27-24 on road.
over 5-0 last five games
scored run in first inning: 41-110
record in first 5 innings: 65-34-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: x-6.1-5.2
Gilbert is 0-2, 11.58 in his last two starts.
Seattle is 1-4 in his last five starts.
under 8-4 last 12
allowed run in first inning: 2-22
record in first 5 innings: 9-8-5
He is 0-1, 7.20 in two starts against the Phillies.
Seattle won six of last eight games.
Mariners are 33-23 at home.
over 7-1 last eight games
scored run in first inning: 31-112
record in first 5 innings: 51-45-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-2-4.2
Umpires
StL-Chi- Over is 14-9 in Vondrak games.
Az-Pitt- Over is 12-8 in Baker games.
Mil-Wsh- Favorites are 15-7 in Iassogna games.
SF-Cin- Road underdogs are 10-9 in Miller games.
Mia-Atl- Over is 11-5 in Ceja games.
Col-SD- Road underdogs are 10-4 in Segal games.
KC-Det- Over is 13-6 in Blakney games.
Tor-NYY- Home favorites are 13-3 in Gibson games
Balt-Clev- Home favorites are 10-2 in Blaser games
Bos-Tex- Home favorites are 10-4 in Hoye games.
Chi-Minn- Road underdogs are 11-9 in Barrett games.
TB-Hst- Road underdogs are 9-8 in Emil Jimenez games.
NYM-LAA- Home underdogs are 4-2 in Mackay games.
LA-As- Over is 12-8 in Bellino games.
Phil-Sea- Favorites are 12-8 in Fairchild games.
Trend: Home teams are 15-7 (68.2%, +5.58 units) since 2021 in TEX-BOS h2h series
The ROI on this trend is 25.4%
System Matches: PLAY TEXAS (-125 vs. BOS)
Trend: CLE was 1-6 (-4.90 units) against teams with a win percentage of 55% or higher by starter Gavin Williams last year
System Match: FADE CLEVELAND (+110 vs. BAL)
(951) SAN FRANCISCO (55-57) at (952) CINCINNATI (53-57)
Trend: CIN not as good during the day (18-28, -13.05 units)
System Match: FADE CINCINNATI (+100 vs SF)
(953) MIAMI (41-70) at (954) ATLANTA (60-50)
Trend: ATL leads the head-to-head season series 7-2 (including 5-1 at home)
System Match: PLAY ATLANTA (-278 vs MIA)
(957) MILWAUKEE (62-48) at (958) WASHINGTON (50-61)
Trend: MIL not as good vs. NL East/West (13-21, -13.57 units)
System Match: FADE MILWAUKEE (-130 at WSH)
(961) COLORADO (41-71) at (962) SAN DIEGO (60-52)
Trend: COL not good on the road (17-42, -12.71 units)
System Match: FADE COLORADO (+170 at SD)
(963) TORONTO (51-60) at (964) NEW YORK-AL (66-46)
Trend: TOR trending Over during the day (30-18 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 9.5)
(965) KANSAS CITY (62-50) at (966) DETROIT (53-59)
Trend: KC slight Under on the road (21-30 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8.5)
(967) BALTIMORE (66-46) at (968) CLEVELAND (67-43)
Trend: Over the total is 6-1 when CLE has been a home underdog this season
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8)
(969) CHICAGO-AL (27-86) at (970) MINNESOTA (61-48)
Trend: CWS awful on the road (10-46, -30.85 units)
System Match: FADE CHICAGO WHITE SOX (+230 at MIN)
(973) BOSTON (58-51) at (974) TEXAS (53-58)
Trend: TEX more Under at home (18-34 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8.5)
(977) LOS ANGELES-NL (64-47) at (978) OAKLAND (46-66)
Trend: OAK more Over during the day (28-20 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)
(979) PHILADELPHIA (65-45) at (980) SEATTLE (59-53)
Trend: Under the total is 7-3 when SEA is home underdog this season
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 7)
(953) MIAMI (41-70) at (954) ATLANTA (60-50)
Trend: MIA is 0-6 (-6.00 units) on the ROAD vs. ATL/NYM with starter Edward Cabrera in the last three seasons
System Match: FADE MIAMI (+225 at ATL)
(961) COLORADO (41-71) at (962) SAN DIEGO (60-52)
Trend: Cal Quantrill is profitable in +135 to +145 line range (9-5 record, +7.55 units) in the last four seasons
System Match: CONSIDER PLAYING COLORADO (+145 at SD)
(963) TORONTO (51-60) at (964) NEW YORK-AL (66-46)
Trend: Gerrit Cole is 27-7 (+6.45 units) at home vs teams with a losing record in the last five seasons
System Match: PLAY NY YANKEES (-238 vs. TOR)
(967) BALTIMORE (66-46) at (968) CLEVELAND (67-43)
Trend: CLE was 1-6 (-4.90 units) against teams with a win percentage of 55% or higher by starter Gavin Williams last year
System Match: FADE CLEVELAND (+110 vs. BAL)