Seattle (57-52) @ Boston (56-50)
Kirby is 2-2, 2.17 in his last six starts.
Seattle is 7-4 in his last 11 starts.
under 5-2 last seven starts
allowed run in first inning: 3-22
record in first 5 innings: 9-9-4
He is 2-1, 3.18 in five starts vs Boston.
Seattle won four of last five games.
Mariners are 26-29 on road.
over 7-2 last nine road games
scored run in first inning: 30-109
record in first 5 innings: 49-44-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-5.1-3
Bello is 3-0, 4.60 in his last five starts.
Boston is 5-2 in his last seven starts.
over 5-1 last six
allowed run in first inning: 6-19
record in first 5 innings: 13-6
He is 3-0, 3.94 in three starts vs Seattle.
Red Sox lost eight of last 11 games.
Theyre 26-28 at home.
over 9-1 last ten games
scored run in first inning: 33-106
record in first 5 innings: 56-39-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.1-4.2
Colorado (38-70) @ LA Angels (47-60)
Freeland is 2-1, 3.79 in his last six starts.
Colorado is 2-4 in his road starts.
over 6-4
allowed run in first inning: 5-10
record in first 5 innings: 4-6
He is 1-0, 3.18 in three starts vs Anaheim.
Rockies lost six of last seven games.
Theyre 14-41 on road.
over 8-2 last ten road games
scored run in first inning: 29-108
record in first 5 innings: 40-55-13
bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-x-4.1
Daniel is 1-2, 6.35 in three starts.
Angels are 1-2 in his starts.
under 2-1
allowed run in first inning: 2-3
record in first 5 innings: 1-2
He hasnt pitched against Colorado
Angels lost three of last five games.
Theyre 24-32 at home.
under 5-3 last eight games
scored run in first inning: 24-107
record in first 5 innings: 36-61-10
bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-6.1-3
Oakland (45-64) @ San Francisco (53-56)
Stripling is 1-4, 8.41 in his last five starts.
As are 3-9 in his starts.
over 4-1 last five starts
allowed run in first inning: 5-12
record in first 5 innings: 2-10
He is 2-3, 3.20 in 15 games (5 starts) vs San Francisco.
As are 15-8 in last 23 games.
Oakland is 9-20 in last 29 road games.
over 9-4 last 13 games
scored run in first inning: 23-109
record in first 5 innings: 41-63-5
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-4.1-2
Webb is 0-2, 8.44 in his last three starts.
Giants are 2-5 in his last seven starts.
over 4-0 last four home starts
allowed run in first inning: 8-22
record in first 5 innings: 8-10-4
He is 1-2, 5.68 in five starts vs Oakland.
San Francisco is 5-2 in its last seven games.
Giants are 32-23 at home.
under 10-4 last 14 games
scored run in first inning: 25-109
record in first 5 innings: 44-49-16
bullpen IP last 3 days: 9-x-4.2
Cubs (51-58) @ Cincinnati (52-55)
Hendricks is 1-5, 6.07 in his last six starts.
Chicago is 4-10 in his starts.
under 5-1 last six starts
allowed run in first inning: 2-14
record in first 5 innings: 4-10
He is 3-6, 5.82 in 13 starts at Cincinnati.
Cubs are 5-9 in their last 14 games.
Theyre 24-33 on road.
under 9-2 last eleven games
scored run in first inning: 23-109
record in first 5 innings: 42-50-17
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-4-3
Lodolo is 0-0, 5.06 in his last four starts.
Reds are 7-3 in his last ten starts.
under 11-5
allowed run in first inning: 6-16
record in first 5 innings: 8-6-2
He is 2-1, 3.32 in four starts vs Chicago
Reds are 5-2 in their last seven games.
Theyre 27-28 at home.
under 7-1 last eight games
scored run in first inning: 30-107
record in first 5 innings: 49-44-14
bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-4-5
Los Angeles (63-45) @ San Diego (58-51)
Kershaw gave up two runs in 4 IP, in his first 24 start.
Dodgers are 1-0 in his starts.
over 1-0
allowed run in first inning: 0-1
record in first 5 innings: 1-0
He is 11-5, 2.08 in 21 starts at San Diego.
Dodgers are 1-3 in last four games.
Dodgers are 29-25 on road.
under 6-3 last nine road games.
scored run in first inning: 37-108
record in first 5 innings: 54-43-11
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.1-x-2.2
Cease is 3-0, 0.00 in his last three starts (22 IP).
He pitched a no-hitter in Washington last week.
San Diego is 5-2 in his last seven starts.
under 4-1 last five starts
allowed run in first inning: 9-22
record in first 5 innings: 10-9-3
He is 0-1, 1.80 in two starts against the Dodgers.
Padres won eight of last nine games.
Theyre 27-28 at home.
over 5-1 last six games
scored run in first inning: 30-109
record in first 5 innings: 46-48-15
bullpen IP last 3 days: 6-x-6
Pittsburgh (55-52) @ Houston (55-52)
bullpen game
Pirates are 12-5 in their last 17 games.
Theyre 29-26 on road.
under 10-5 last 15 games
scored run in first inning: 21-107
record in first 5 innings: 45-42-20
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-3.2
Valdez is 4-0, 3.19 in his last six starts.
Houston is 11-3 in his last 14 starts.
over 4-2 last six
allowed run in first inning: 2-18
record in first 5 innings: 11-6-1
He is 1-1, 7.20 in two starts vs Pittsburgh.
Houston lost its last three games.
Astros are 30-24 at home.
over 6-4 last ten games
scored run in first inning: 33-107
record in first 5 innings: 50-45-12
bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-6-3.1
Trend: Over the total is 15-1 (93.8%, +14.00 units) since 2019 in SEA-BOS head-to-head games in Boston
The ROI on this trend is 87.5%
System Matches: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 9.5)
Trend: Kyle Hendricks not good in the short underdog role, +100 to +128 range, 3-14 (-10.75 units)
System Match: FADE CHICAGO CUBS (+124 at CIN)
(975) COLORADO (38-70) at (976) LOS ANGELES-AL (47-60)
Trend: COL bad on the road (14-41, -15.50 units)
System Match: FADE COLORADO (+120 at LAA)
(977) OAKLAND (45-64) at (978) SAN FRANCISCO (53-56)
Trend: OAK not as good vs. RH starters (32-53, -11.62 units)
System Match: FADE OAKLAND (+180 at SF)
(975) COLORADO (38-70) at (976) LOS ANGELES-AL (47-60)
Trend: COL is 5-15 (-6.26 units) on the road with starter Kyle Freeland in the last two seasons
System Match: FADE COLORADO (+120 at LAA)
(977) OAKLAND (45-64) at (978) SAN FRANCISCO (53-56)
Trend: Ross Stripling is 5-13 (-5.95 units) as a night underdog in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE OAKLAND (+180 at SF)
Trend: SF is 14-4 (+6.42 units) as a night favorite of -160 or higher with starter Logan Webb in the last five seasons (including 11-1 (+9.38 units) at home)
System Match: PLAY SAN FRANCISCO (-218 vs. OAK)