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msudogs
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MLB Lagniappe 7/21

Philadelphia (62-36) @ Pittsburgh (50-48)
— Phillips gave up 4 runs in 6 IP in his first ’24 start.
— Phillies are 1-0 in his starts.
— over 1-0
— allowed run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 1-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Pittsburgh.

— Phillies are 4-6 in their last ten games.
— They’re 25-20 on road.
— over 9-6 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 37-98
— record in first 5 innings: 61-29-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-2.1

— Gonzales is 1-0, 2.45 in four starts.
— Pittsburgh is 3-1 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1
— He is 1-0, 2.45 in two starts vs Philly.

— Pirates are 8-1 in their last nine games.
— They’re 24-24 at home.
— under 4-2 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 19-98
— record in first 5 innings: 42-37-19
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-5.1-2

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Cincinnati (47-52) @ Washington (46-53)
— Abbott is 4-0, 3.29 in his last five starts.
— Cincinnati is 12-7 in his starts.
— under 14-5
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 11-6-2
— He gave up 6 runs in 5.2 IP, in his one start vs Washington.

— Reds are 5-4 in their last nine games.
— They’re 22-24 on road.
— over 7-1 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 26-99
— record in first 5 innings: 44-43-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-1.2

— Irvin is is 0-2, 11.70 in his last two starts.
— Washington is 6-3 in his last nine starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-20
— record in first 5 innings: 6-10-4
— He is 0-1, 5.28 in three starts vs Cincinnati.

— Nationals are 4-6 in their last ten games.
— They’re 22-24 at home.
— over 8-4 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 16-99
— record in first 5 innings: 41-50-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-7

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NY Mets (50-47) @ Miami (34-64)
— Scott is 0-0, 4.39 in his last five starts.
— Mets are 2-6 in his starts.
— over 5-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1
— He gave up 4 runs in 4 IP at Miami May 17th.

— New York is 8-3 in its last 11 games.
— Mets are 24-21 on road.
— over 6-3 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 25-97
— record in first 5 innings: 42-39-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-3

— Rogers is 0-3, 3.65 in his last eight starts.
— Miami is 4-15 in his starts.
— under 6-3 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 6-19
— record in first 5 innings: 4-13-2
— He is 2-3, 3.52 in eight starts against the Mets.

— Marlins are 4-11 in their last 15 games.
— Miami is 19-32 at home.
— over 10-5 last 15 games.
— scored run in first inning: 22-98
— record in first 5 innings: 29-59-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.1-4

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St Louis (51-47) @ Atlanta (54-43)
— Mikolas is 1-1, 4.08 in his last three starts.
— St Louis is 6-5 in his road starts.
— over 4-1 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-20
— record in first 5 innings: 5-13-2
— He is 2-4, 3.89 in six starts vs Atlanta

— Cardinals are 9-6 in their last 15 games.
— They’re 25-25 on road.
— over 10-4 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 21-98
— record in first 5 innings: 36-46-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-5.2

— Schwellenbach is 2-2, 3.68 in four home starts.
— Atlanta is 3-5 in his starts.
— under 7-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-5
— He is gave up 4 runs in 5 IP at St Louis June 24th.

— Braves are 6-4 in their last 10 games.
— They’re 30-18 at home.
— under 17-6 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 27-97
— record in first 5 innings: 46-37-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-7

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Arizona (51-48) @ Cubs (47-53)
— Pfaadt is 2-0, 1.10 in his last three starts.
— Arizona is 8-3 in his last 11 starts.
— over 5-3 last eight starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-7-4
— He is 1-1, 2.95 in two starts vs Chicago

— Arizona is 10-4 in its last 14 games.
— Diamondbacks are 25-24 on road.
— over 11-4 last 15 games
— scored run in first inning: 31-99
— record in first 5 innings: 46-36-17
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-4

— Imanaga is 1-0, 3.00 in his last three starts.
— Chicago is 13-4 in his starts.
— over 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-4-4
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Cubs are 8-5 in their last 13 games.
— They’re 25-23 at home.
— over 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 21-100
— record in first 5 innings: 39-45-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.1-4

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San Francisco (47-52) @ Colorado (36-63)
— Birdsong is 1-0, 4.19 in four starts.
— Giants are 2-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Colorado

— San Francisco is 3-7 in its last ten games.
— Giants are 19-30 on road.
— under 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 21-99
— record in first 5 innings: 38-46-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-2

— Gomber is 1-1, 4.50 in his last three starts.
— Colorado is 2-6 in his last eight starts.
— under 4-3 home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 8-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-6-2
— He is 2-4, 7.27 in six starts vs San Francisco.

— Rockies won their last three games.
— They’re 22-27 at home.
— under 8-2 last ten home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-99
— record in first 5 innings: 39-48-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-3

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Tampa Bay (49-49) @ Bronx (59-41)
— Baz is 0-1, 5.23 in two starts.
— Tampa Bay is 1-1 in his starts.
— under 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1
— He is 0-0, 3.86 in three starts vs New York.

— Tampa Bay is 5-3 in its last eight games.
— Rays are 22-22 on road.
— under 5-2 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 25-98
— record in first 5 innings: 35-48-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-2

— Stroman is 0-1, 5.93 in his last three starts.
— New York is 7-2 in his last nine starts.
— over 7-1 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-3
— He is 6-8, 4.49 in 18 starts vs Tampa Bay

— New York is 3-2 in its last five games.
— They’re 26-20 at home.
— over 17-8 last 25 games
— scored run in first inning: 33-100
— record in first 5 innings: 52-36-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-4.2

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Detroit (49-50) @ Toronto (44-54)
— Montero is 1-0, 3.57 in his last three starts.
— Detroit is 3-1 in his starts.
— over 3-1
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Toronto.

— Detroit is 10-2 in its last 12 games.
— Tigers are 25-26 on road.
— over 8-2 last ten road games
— scored run in first inning: 30-99
— record in first 5 innings: 41-42-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-7

— Gausman is 1-1, 2.77 in his last two starts.
— Toronto is 3-5 in his last eight starts.
— over 10-3 last 13 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-19
— record in first 5 innings: 10-9
— He is 3-3, 3.22 in 12 starts vs Detroit.

— Toronto is 5-5 in its last ten games.
— Blue Jays are 21-26 at home.
— over 19-4 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 20-98
— record in first 5 innings: 41-45-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2.1-4

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Baltimore (60-38) @ Texas (46-52)
— Kremer is 1-1, 5.93 in his last three starts.
— Baltimore is 3-3 in his road starts.
— over 9-3
— allowed run in first inning: 1-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1
— He is 0-1, 5.17 in three starts vs Texas.

— Baltimore won its last three games.
— Orioles are 30-16 on road.
— over 3-0 last three games
— scored run in first inning: 22-98
— record in first 5 innings: 53-34-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-3

— Heaney is 1-1, 2.65 in his last three starts.
— Texas is 5-13 in his starts.
— under 7-2 last nine
— allowed run in first inning: 5-18
— record in first 5 innings: 4-12-2
— He is 3-3, 6.69 in seven starts vs Baltimore

— Rangers are 7-4 in last 11 games.
— They’re 24-23 at home.
— under 7-5 last 12 home games
— scored run in first inning: 32-98
— record in first 5 innings: 41-41-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-7

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White Sox (27-73) @ Kansas City (54-45)
— Thorpe is 3-0, 1.85 in his last four starts.
— Chicago is 3-3 in his starts.
— under 4-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Kansas City

— White Sox are 1-9 in last ten games.
— Chicago is 10-39 on road.
— under 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 19-100
— record in first 5 innings: 42-46-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-2

— Lugo is 1-2, 3.13 in his last four starts.
— Kansas City is 4-5 in his home starts.
— under 5-0 last five starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-20
— record in first 5 innings: 13-5-2
— He is 2-0, 0.63 in two starts vs Chicago

— Royals won six of last eight games.
— Royals are 33-18 at home.
— under 10-3 last 13 home games
— scored run in first inning: 27-99
— record in first 5 innings: 46-39-14
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-2

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LA Angels (41-57) @ Oakland (39-61)
— bullpen game

— Angels are 4-3 in last seven games.
— They’re 19-28 on road.
— under 5-2 last seven road games
— scored run in first inning: 22-98
— record in first 5 innings: 32-56-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.2-4

— Estes is 2-0, 3.84 in his last three home starts.
— Oakland is 6-6 in his starts.
— over 4-2 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 5-12
— record in first 5 innings: 6-5-1
— He is 1-1, 1.23 in two starts vs Anaheim TY.

— A’s are 9-5 in last 14 games.
— Oakland is 9-5 in last 14 home games.
— over 4-0 last four games
— A’s scored 39 runs in their last three games.
— scored run in first inning: 20-100
— record in first 5 innings: 35-60-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-3.2

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Houston (51-47) @ Seattle (53-47)
— Blanco is 1-1, 2.89 in his last three starts.
— Houston is 5-2 in his last seven starts.
— under 14-4
— allowed run in first inning: 7-18
— record in first 5 innings: 10-5-3
— He is 0-1, 5.65 in two starts vs Seattle.

— Houston is 6-2 in its last eight games.
— Astros are 24-25 on road.
— under 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 32-98
— record in first 5 innings: 47-39-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3-3.1

— Woo is 1-1, 4.41 in his last four starts.
— Seattle is 6-3 in his starts.
— over 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 2-9
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1-2
— He gave up 2 runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs Houston.

— Seattle lost their last five games.
— Mariners are 30-20 at home.
— under 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 26-100
— record in first 5 innings: 42-42-16
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-3

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San Diego (51-50) @ Cleveland (59-37)
— King is 2-1, 2.08 in his last three starts.
— San Diego is 6-4 in his road starts.
— over 11-8
— allowed run in first inning: 2-19
— record in first 5 innings: 9-7-3
— This is his first start vs Cleveland.

— Padres lost seven of last nine games.
— They’re 25-22 on road.
— over 15-8 last 23 games
— scored run in first inning: 29-101
— record in first 5 innings: 41-45-15
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-2

— Lively is 1-1, 5.94 in his last three starts.
— Cleveland is 8-3 in his last 11 starts.
— over 4-2 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 1-16
— record in first 5 innings: 10-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against San Diego.

— Cleveland lost six of last nine games.
— Guardians are 10-3 in last 13 home games.
— under 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 26-97
— record in first 5 innings: 46-38-13
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-3.1-5.1

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Boston (53-44) @ Los Angeles (58-41)
— Crawford is 3-0, 0.45 in his last three starts.
— Boston is 4-5 in his road starts.
— under 11-5 last 16 starts
— allowed run in first inning: 6-20
— record in first 5 innings: 7-7-6
— He gave up 2 runs in 5 IP in his one start against Dodgers.

— Red Sox won 10 of last 15 games.
— They’re 29-19 on road.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 29-97
— record in first 5 innings: 52-35-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-2-4.2

— Paxton is 1-1, 5.47 in his last five starts.
— Dodgers are 5-1 in his last six starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 5-17
— record in first 5 innings: 9-6-2
— He is 6-1, 3.41 in 10 starts vs Boston.
— He pitched for the Red Sox last year.

— Dodgers are 7-10 in their last 17 games.
— Dodgers are 30-21 at home.
— under 5-2 last seven games.
— scored run in first inning: 34-99
— record in first 5 innings: 48-41-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4-7.2

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Milwaukee (56-42) @ Minnesota (54-43)
— Civale is 0-1, 3.97 in two starts for Milwaukee.
— Milwaukee is 0-2 in his starts
— over 1-1
— allowed run in first inning: 4-19 (1-2)
— record in first 5 innings: 6-8-5 (1-0-1)
— He is 1-4, 4.19 in ten starts vs Minnesota.

— Brewers are 4-7 in their last 11 games.
— They’re 27-25 on road.
— over 6-2 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 26-98
— record in first 5 innings: 48-38-12
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-6

— Ryan is 1-1, 4.82 in his last five starts.
— Minnesota is 4-5 in his home starts
— over 5-1 last six starts
— allowed run in first inning: 7-19
— record in first 5 innings: 8-8-3
— He gave up a run in 5.1 IP, in his one start vs Milwaukee.

— Twins are 11-7 in their last 18 games.
— Twins are 27-19 at home.
— under 4-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 26-97
— record in first 5 innings: 41-45-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-x-5

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Umpires
— Az-Chi- Underdogs are 11-9 in Barrett games.
— Phil-Pitt- Underdogs are 10-9 in Emil Jimenez games.
— Cin-Wsh- Road teams are 10-7 in Muchlinski games.
— NY-Mia- Over is 11-7 in Hoye games
— StL-Atl- Over is 11-6 in Thomas games.
— SF-Colo- Home teams are 14-5 in Mackay games.

— TB-NYY- Underdogs are 9-9 in Edwin Jimenez games.
— Det-Tor- Underdogs are 6-4 in Riggs games.
— Balt-Tex- Home underdogs are 4-3 in Moore games.
— Chi-KC- Road underdogs are 10-6 in Clemons games.
— LAA-A’s- Under is 11-7 in Torres games.
— Hst-Sea- Favorites are 12-8 in Walsh games.

— SD-Clev- Over is 11-7 in Hanahan games.
— Bos-LA- Home favorites are 10-3 in Gibson games.
— Mil-Minn- Under is 9-5 in Barber games.

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Trend: MIA is 10-32 (-18.87 units) as an underdog within line range -109 to +154 with Trevor Rogers since 2020
System Match: FADE MIAMI (+124 vs. NYM)

Trend: Kevin Gausman is 8-18 (-20.79 units) at home within the line range of -135 to -180 in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE TORONTO (-162 vs. DET)

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(951) CINCINNATI (47-52) at (952) WASHINGTON (46-53)
Trend: WSH slightly better vs. LH starters (15-14, +5.90 units)
System Match: PLAY WASHINGTON (-115 vs CIN)

(955) ST LOUIS (51-47) at (956) ATLANTA (54-43)
Trend: ATL trending Under at home (16-30 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(957) NEW YORK-NL (50-47) at (958) MIAMI (34-64)
Trend: MIA trending Over at home (33-15 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 8.5)

(961) SAN FRANCISCO (47-52) at (962) COLORADO (36-63)
Trend: SF trending Over during the day (27-15 O/U)
System Match: PLAY OVER the total (o/u at 10.5)

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(963) TAMPA BAY (49-49) at (964) NEW YORK-AL (59-41)
Trend: NYY good vs. RH starters (48-28, +10.68 units)
System Match: PLAY NY YANKEES (-162 vs TB)

(967) CHICAGO-AL (27-73) at (968) KANSAS CITY (54-45)
Trend: KC better at home (33-18, +13.67 units)
System Match: PLAY KANSAS CITY (-225 vs CWS)

(973) HOUSTON (52-46) at (974) SEATTLE (52-48)
Trend: Under the total is 8-1 this season in head-to-head series
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 7)

(979) BOSTON (53-44) at (980) LOS ANGELES-NL (58-41)
Trend: LAD slight Under against AL teams (9-16 O/U)
System Match: PLAY UNDER the total (o/u at 9)

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(957) NEW YORK-NL (50-47) at (958) MIAMI (34-64)
Trend: MIA is 10-32 (-18.87 units) as an underdog within line range -109 to +154 with Trevor Rogers since 2020
System Match: FADE MIAMI (+124 vs. NYM)

(959) ARIZONA (51-48) at (960) CHICAGO-NL (47-53)
Trend: AZ is 11-5 (+5.64 units) in Day games with start by Brandon Pfaadt in the last two seasons
System Match: PLAY ARIZONA (+105 at CHC)

(961) SAN FRANCISCO (47-52) at (962) COLORADO (36-63)
Trend: COL is 9-9 (+3.70 units) during the day with starter Austin Gomber in the last two season
System Match: CONSIDER PLAYING COLORADO (+124 vs. SF)

(963) TAMPA BAY (49-49) at (964) NEW YORK-AL (59-41)
Trend: Marcus Stroman is 7-4 (+1.75 units) in the last 11 home day game starts
System Match: PLAY NY YANKEES (-162 vs. TB)

(965) DETROIT (49-50) at (966) TORONTO (44-54)
Trend: Kevin Gausman is 8-18 (-20.79 units) at home within the line range of -135 to -180 in the last five seasons
System Match: FADE TORONTO (-162 vs. DET)

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