The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
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msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
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The Preakness, Pimlico, Race #13
As you can tell from above, I am against the Derby winner Mystik Dan here. He got a perfect trip in the Derby and was 20-1. He will go off at his shortest price ever in a stakes race today, and I am not willing to jump on board again at that number. The other Baffert horse before the scratch was #9 Imagination. With his stablemate’s scratch, he now takes over the tag as lone speed in this race. If he clears from the outside post, we are looking at a slower pace and a great setup for him to go from gate to wire. He’s got loads of talent but allows horses to run with him. He needs to learn to put horses away, and when he does, watch out.
#8 Tuscan Gold comes into the race lightly raced with the opportunity to improve. Chad Brown has proven to be proficient when skipping the Derby to run a horse in the Preakness, and he’s taking the same path here.
#3 Catching Freedom ran a good fourth in the Derby and beat Tuscan Gold in the Louisana Derby but comes in off short rest compared to Tuscan Gold. Cox wheeling back off two weeks is a good sign, and the Derby most likely took less out of him than any of the horses that ran at Churchill.
The longshot I like is #2 Uncle Heavy. His trip last time out was a nightmare after having to break from the far outside. He adds the services of Irad Ortiz today and is second off the layoff. He can handle an off track as well and should get a good ground-saving trip.
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05-18-24 04:40 PM |
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