Nuggets-Timberwolves Game 6 betting at BetMGM

Timberwolves open -2.5, no movement
▪️ 25% of bets, 23% of money on Timberwolves

Total open 204.5, no movement
▪️ 91% of bets, 80% of money on Over

Nuggets open +120, now +110
▪️ 88% of bets, 92% of money on Nuggets

Nuggets-Timberwolves series odds at BetMGM

Open
▪️ Nuggets -225
▪️ Timberwolves +180

Game 3 (MIN up 2-0)
▪️ Nuggets +400
▪️ Timberwolves -550

Game 6 (DEN up 3-2)
▪️ Nuggets -500
▪️ Timberwolves +375

68% of money is on Nuggets to win series.

99% of bets are on Michael Porter Jr. OVER 13.5 points at BetMGM

MPJ only scored 6 points in Game 5.

Minnesota has been resistant to changing their scheme of putting a power forward on Jokic and Rudy Gobert on Aaron Gordon to serve as a help defender. That likely doesn’t change much tonight, but what we could see is the frequency of double-teams Jokic sees. The Timberwolves have not done it at all throughout this series, but they have to try something. With this being a home game, Minnesota could ask the rest of Denver’s role players to beat them.

One of those role players could be Jamal Murray. Murray has been quiet in this series. He’s averaged just 16.2 points per game, and he has surpassed 20 points just once. The betting market has adjusted as a result, and his point total prop of 19.5 for tonight is the lowest of the series. Fewer opportunities for Jokic should mean more for Murray, and at a low point total prop it’s worth looking at him to go over his number.