The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
|
|
|
|
|
|
msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
|
Kentucky Derby, Churchill Downs, Race #12
We have made it with a full field of 20 heading to the gate in the Run for the Roses. The conversation has to start with #17 Fierceness, who will break as the favorite. He has run two races that are simply better than the rest of this field, but he has also run very poorly twice in his 5 career starts. In both of those bad efforts, he had trip trouble in the race so there are excuses, but in a field of 20, it seems unlikely he won’t face some adversity. That being said, he drew very well in this spot. He should have the opportunity to sit just off the pace outside in the clear. That’s the spot where he has run his best races in the past and, like I said, he’s simply faster then this bunch if he brings his best.
|
05-04-24 04:52 PM |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
|