Since 2010, nine NFL teams started a season 8-0; none of them won the Super Bowl that year; last 8-0 team to go on to win a Super Bowl? The ’09 Saints.

This year’s 49ers are the ninth of those teams.

NFL Conference Championship Sunday is only four days away. While many bettors are laser focused on handicapping the spread and total for the two big games, it's important to remember that there are other ways to bet on the Final Four, including futures bets and exact outcome odds.

Here are the latest Super Bowl odds at the South Point

Chiefs plus 140

49ers plus 150

Packers plus 600

Titans plus 600

Exact Outcome Odds

Chiefs defeat 49ers plus 200

49ers defeat Chiefs plus 220

49ers defeat Titans plus 600

Chiefs defeat Packers plus 700

Packers defeat Chiefs plus 900

Titans defeat 49ers plus 1200

Packers defeat Titans plus 1800

Titans defeat Packers plus 3000

Why is this important? Because it gives bettors more wagering options, especially if you are confident in a team winning but not covering this weekend. For example, say you like the Chiefs or the 49ers to win the Super Bowl but are wary of laying the points (or a big moneyline) in the AFC or NFC title games. Both teams are -7.5 on the spread this weekend and roughly -350 on the moneyline.

Instead of betting either team at -350 on Sunday, you could place a plus 140 futures bet on the Chiefs to win it all or a plus 150 futures bet on the 49ers. Better yet, you could place an exact outcome bet on Chiefs over 49ers at plus 200 or 49ers over Chiefs at plus 220.

On the flip side, if you like either dog in an upset this weekend (Titans and Packers are both roughly plus 290 on the moneyline), you could instead place a plus 600 futures wager on either team.

Of course you would need Tennessee or Green Bay to then win the Super Bowl in order to cash the plus 600. However, this would also present a hedge opportunity. In other words, you could guarantee yourself a profit by betting the other side in the championship game.

Let's say you bet Packers plus 600 to win the Super Bowl. Green Bay beats San Francisco and then is a 3.5-point dog against the Chiefs in the championship. The moneyline would convert to roughly Chiefs -175, Packers plus 155. You could either "let it ride" with Packers plus 600 and hope they win the Super Bowl. Or you could hedge by betting Chiefs -175 on the moneyline, guaranteeing yourself a profit no matter the outcome.

Sunday 3:05 p.m. ET: Tennessee Titans (11-7) at Kansas City Chiefs (13-4)

The Titans have quickly become the top storyline of the playoffs. Tennessee snuck in as the 6th seed and then proceeded to upset the Patriots 20-13 as a 4.5-point road dog on wild-card weekend then take down the top-seeded Ravens 28-12 as a 10-point road dog in the divisional round. Tennessee cashed %plussign0 on the moneyline in Round 1 and then %plussign@0 in Round 2. The Titans have gone 11-7 ATS this season including 7-3 ATS on the road. Derrick Henry has been unstoppable this postseason, rushing 64 times for 377 yards and a touchdown. Kansas City enters as the 2nd seed. The Chiefs fell behind big to the Texans 24-0 early in the divisional round, but stormed back to win 51-31 as 10-point favorites. Kansas City has gone 12-5 ATS this season, including 6-3 ATS at home. At Circa Sports, the Chiefs are the favorite to win the Super Bowl at %plussign5 while the Titans have the longest odds of the four remaining teams at %plussignr5.

The AFC championship game, which kicks off at 3:05 p.m. ET, opened with Kansas City listed as a 7.5-point home favorite. The public is rushing to the window to lay the points with the Chiefs at Arrowhead. However, despite two-thirds of bets backing Kansas City the line has remained frozen at 7.5 and the juice is trending toward Tennessee (+7.5 at -115), signaling liability on the road dog and a possible move down to 7. Playoff dogs +7 or more are 37-26 ATS (59%) since 2003, including 6-2 ATS (75%) in conference title games. When the line stays the same or moves toward a dog they've gone 59-42 ATS (58%), including 3-1 ATS this postseason. Home favorites like the Chiefs are 14-12 ATS (53.8%) in conference title games.

The total opened at 51.5 and has risen to 52 behind two-thirds of bets taking the over. Conference championship overs are 18-11 (62%) since 2003. The forecast calls for frigid temperatures (20 degrees) but no precipitation and only 3-4 MPH winds. When the temperature is less than 30 degrees the over is 116-81 (58.9%), including 24-14 (63.2%) in the postseason. Outdoor playoff unders are 4-2 this postseason and 77-58 (57%) since 2003. Tony Corrente, the lead ref, has historically favored unders (56.7%). Both teams have been profitable to the over this season, with the Titans 10-8 and Chiefs 9-8. The Titans beat the Chiefs 35-32 in Week 10, winning straight up as 5-point home dogs.

Titans at Chiefs: This line opened with Kansas City listed as 7.5-point home favorites. The public is all over the Chiefs with two-thirds of bets laying the points. All week, this line has remained frozen at 7.5. The fact that oddsmakers refused to raise it to 8 despite the lopsided Chiefs betting signaled sharp liability on the road dog Titans. Yesterday we saw sharps make their move on Tennessee, hitting the Titans plus the hook (+ 7.5), moving the line down to 7. We now have a true sharp reverse line move on Tennessee plus the points.

Playoff dogs that see the line stay the same or move in their direction (think + 7.5 to + 7) are 3-1 ATS this postseason and 59-42 ATS (58%) since 2003 according to Bet Labs Sports. Big playoff dogs of + 7 or more are 37-26 ATS (59%), including 6-2 ATS in conference title games. Jimmy Vaccaro took a $44,000 bet on the Titans + 7.5 at the South Point yesterday.

Packers at 49ers: The NFC Championship game line opened San Francisco -7, quickly moved to -7.5 and hasn't budged since. However, the over has taken in sharp money over the last 24 hours, rising from 45 to 46.5. AFC and NFC Championship overs are 18-11 (62%) since 2003. The weather looks perfect for Sunday with temperatures in the high 50s, overcast with little-to-no wind.

Since 2016 all playoff games involving a 6 seed have gone under the total (14-0.)

A streak the Packers hope to keep alive: there have been 3 instances in which a team won at least 13 regular season games and was then a 7+ point underdog in the conference championship game. Those 3 teams all went on to win the conference championship.

NFL Conference Championship Moneyline Betting Strategy
If history is any indication, the answer is yes.

Both the Titans and Packers are roughly in the +280 range across the market, which would suggest that they’d need to win about 27% of the time in order to break a profit. And in the playoffs, the winning percentage for such teams has been higher.

Teams that closed +7 or higher in a playoff game have gone 28-44 (31.3%) straight up since the 2003-04 season, and since many of them were greater than 7-point dogs, that winning percentage has returned a profit of 24.2 units and a 37.9% return on investment (ROI).

And with the jump from +7 to +7.5 being such a significant one in football betting, it’s worth filtering out the teams that closed right on the key number (in other words, testing only teams that closed +7.5 or higher).

Doing so returns an even better 16-33 (32.7%) record, good for 24.5 units and a 50.1% ROI.

This is not to suggest blindly betting both dogs to win outright, and if you don’t see them as having at least a 27% chance to win, you’d be contradicting yourself if you did.

Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes
Over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns: -120
Over 2.5 Passing Touchdowns: +120

In the 26 full games Mahomes and wide receiver Tyreek Hill have played together, the quarterback has passed for more than 1.5 touchdowns in 20 games (76.9%) and more than 2.5 touchdowns in 14 games (53.8%).

With Hill, Mahomes has had a mean of 2.73 touchdowns and median of three.

Against the Titans in Week 10, Mahomes passed for three touchdowns.

Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill
Under 76.5 Receiving Yards: -118

In his 26 full games with Mahomes, Hill has a mean of 84.2 yards but a median of 69.5.

And in their eight games together this year, Hill has a mean of 74.4 yards and a median of 64.5.

Hill could have a big game, but his matchup isn’t great

Titans RB Derrick Henry
Over 106.5 Rushing Yards: -120

Since Tannehill became the starter in Week 7, Henry has had a median of 22 carries and 149 yards rushing.

And over the past three weeks, Henry has had a median of 32 carries and 195 yards rushing in must-win games.

The Chiefs might be without Pro-Bowl run-stuffing defensive tackle Chris Jones (calf), and they were No. 29 in run defense DVOA in the regular season (per Football Outsiders).

Against the Chiefs in Week 10, Henry rushed for 188 yards on 23 carries.

favorites tend to win conference championship games. Since 2003, they've gone 22-10 straight up (68.8%), with home favorites 19-7 straight up (73.1%). However, they don't always cover. Conference title game favorites are just 17-15 ATS (53.1%), with home favorites only slightly better at 14-12 ATS (53.8%).

You can also draw a line at 7 points. Favorites of -6.5 or less have gone 15-9 ATS (62.5%) on Championship Sunday, while favorites of -7 or more are just 2-6 ATS (25%). In other words, while it may be a small sample size, dogs + 7 or more have covered at a 75% clip this round.

Following line movement has also been profitable in conference title games. Teams that see at least a half point of line movement in their favor (think a favorite going from -7 to -7.5 or a dog going from + 7.5 to + 7) have gone 16-9 ATS (64%).

This has also been the most profitable round of the NFL Playoffs to bet overs. They've gone 18-11 (62.1%) since 2003.