Welcome to Bowl Season, one of the most profitable times of the season. 2 Plays today, including a best bet. Also having an excellent season with the FREE plays at 67% (27-13)

#4 NCAAF Handicapper on prosportsmonitor
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NCAAF record over past 2 seasons:
58% overall: 73-52
73% Best Bets: 22-8

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NCAAF FREE PLAY

Syracuse vs Minnesota
PLAY ON: Syracuse +5

Minnesota played in this bowl last season, which is always a downer, from the fans to the team. Syracuse was solid in its ACC debut this season. They should be able to run the ball successfully agains tthe Golden Gopher defense. They are particularly strong up the middle on defense, which has led to an impressive 34% on 3rd down. The one concern with the offense is they don't hit many big plays in the passing game. If they get behind, they could be in trouble. One thing that concerns me abount Minnesota is they do have the ability to hit some big plays in the passing game. Nevertheless, take the points with the better defense in just about every bowl game.

NFL FREE PLAY

Buffalo vs. New England
PLAY ON: Under 47

Pretty big number for a late division December game in Foxboro. Buffalo has QB issues, as the have all season, so lokk for them to try and run the ball. Actually look for New England to try too as well (both average 4.2 ypc). Neither is great at stopping the run, giving up over 4.2 ypc. Neither passing game is explosive. in fact, Buffalo averages less than 6.0 ypa. The Patriot pass is is OK, but Buffalo is pretty good, giving up less than 6.0 ypa. Neither team excels at converting 3rd down at less than 38%. New England isn't great defending 3rd down, but they are playing a sub par offense. Neither team turns the ball over, so the Under looks like a nice play.


Key points to a successful season:
· Never bet above your means
· Never bet with your heart
· Never bet more than 5% of bankroll on a single event
· Straight and flat bets only
· Measure success using ROI: Return per unit of risk (units earned/units risked)

Key Statistics to remember:
· 52.2% - Breakeven
· 54% - Good year (ROI – 4.4%)
· 56% - Very good year (ROI – 8.2%)
· 60% - Best bets (approximately 20% of plays)

My stats for 2012:
· 56.2% Overall - (68 – 53)
· 72.2% Best Bets – (13-5)
· ROI – 11.2%

I Run a Flat Bet Unit System to Maximize Profit per Unit of Risk

E-Mail me at Admin@acdinero.com with any questions