I have a system in the NFL when the outright winner is predicted with at least 50%-49% edge and they are a dog. These plays are 15-4-1 ATS YTD. Tonight's game has Balitimore with a 60% chance and these plays are 2-0-1 this season with Houston the last outright winner vs the Jets in Week 11.
The Ravens have disappointed this year going 3-7 SU and 1-7-2 ATS. Yet they have been in every game, their worst loss this year was by 8. Sure they are missing their starting QB & RB but what has Cleveland done exactly? The Browns cannot run the ball, their rushing offense is 31st and their rush defense is 29th. Harbaugh is 13-2 SU in this series (6-1 in Cleve) and Balt is 10-2 SU in their last MNF appearances.
And then there is this ...
Ravens-Browns is biggest Monday night decision of year
Tonight's matchup between the Baltimore Ravens and Cleveland Browns may lack national interest, but it's drawing big money in Las Vegas. The Browns opened as 1.5-point favorites, but have been bet all the way up to -3.5 (-115) at the MGM. Rood said Sunday night that he had taken less than $500 in bets on the underdog Ravens. One hundred times more money had been bet on the Browns, he added.
"It'll easily bet the biggest Monday night decision of the year," Rood said. "It's just a huge, huge decision. " CG Technology was in a similar position and reported taking a six-figure bet on the Browns on Sunday morning. "We have a ton of money on Cleveland," Simbal said Sunday night. "In fact, 99.3 percent of the money is on Cleveland so far."
very confusing....why is this dog the highest betting game on MNF so far this year. i wouldn't bet this game with counterfeit money. no wonder i'm losing my a$$ on NFL plays.
I think what he's trying to say is that it's the biggest game in terms of how one sided the money has been coming into the books. Why everyone is unloading on the Brownies is only a question the sharps can answer.
You are reading it wrong. In the system I use it has Baltimore with a 60% chance to win. That has nothing to do with any betting percentages on this game.
And tonyvegas, I dont care what the actual betting precentages were in Carolina/Dallas, my system had Carolina winning 65% of the time so the system got it right. That's all I'm counting on this time.