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cdog112


Registered: Dec 2006
Posts: 24

Moneyline Superbowl

Anyone have any idea why the moneyline is so far out of the norm for the superbowl? I always thought a 7 point favorite should be -320 or -330. On Sportsinteraction the colts are -200 on the moneyline. While the bears are only +170 ml . Seems like they want us to take the colts. Any thoughts?

Old Post 02-04-07 07:32 PM
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dvp95
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Aug 2005
Posts: 2358

Thats exactly why im all over the bears.

Old Post 02-04-07 07:33 PM
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bigdadi
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 8931

You brought up a very good point : WHY THE ML is so LOW?

-7 ML should be around -330/+250

76% ML on the Bears... sportsbook.com

Old Post 02-04-07 07:48 PM
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cdog112


Registered: Dec 2006
Posts: 24

worth it?

It almost seems that its not worth it to take the bears ml then. Anyone have any pointers?

Old Post 02-04-07 07:52 PM
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sportsradio
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2004
Posts: 295

Moneyline is represented appropriately

for the Super Bowl. You cannot compare to status quo or normal ML's during the regular season. This has been the case in major public sports wagering events for years.
Oddly enough, the betting pattern of squares IS the ML in these games so the "burden of proof" is shifted. Bottom line, the +ev players, true sharps, are on Colts -205/-210 as they are shopping while I type. They also played Bears +7- (-05) or ev days ago.

Old Post 02-04-07 08:41 PM
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