In case someone missed this, ESPN is running a poll for the super bowl. I know how everyone loves to fade the public, myself included, so far the results are as follows.
A) Bears by 7 or more 14%
B) Bears by 7 or less 23%
C) Colts by 7 or more 43%
D) Colts by 7 or less 20%
We all know that ESPN is the most obvious people to fade, so then their viewers would pry also be a good target to fade. The play as of now would be Bears +7.
i agree the public is on the colts according to the poll, but is that the "public" we want to fade? what i'm saying is, is that the gambling public or does it even matter? according to SI
at 107,055 bets, 52% is on the Colts, 48% on the bears.
In my opinion that is the public we want to fade, as most people voting are casual fans who are the ones that are losing when they do place bets. Also I would like to add that when I began gambling I always listened to what ESPN analysts had to say and based my opinion on that, needless to say I should have been fading myself because I probably hit about 40% of my plays.