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KCFAN68
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 5437

Smokeys Wrong Team Favorite System 28-3 Ncaa/nba

If you read the earlier thread by SmokeyLA, You will see that this new system is on fire

Here are the specifics

Using StatFOX Power Ratings,
Look at a team that should not be favored but are ( do not figure HOME COURT) Now if that team that is a dog is higher PR Play the Favorite.
1st Stipulation line cannot exceed 3.5
2nd Stipulation Team must be in Major Conference

21-2 NCAA since 15 JAN
7-1 NBA since 15 JAn

Texas 84
Tex Tch 80 PLAY Tex Tech -2'

Wisc 88
Indiana 85 PLAY Indiana -1

Georgia 82
Tenn 81 Play Tenn -2

Gonzaga 79
Stanford 78 Play Stanford -3

Lets keep it tracking and see if it holds

NBA

Golden State 91
Atlanta 89 Play Atlanta -2

Chicago 99
LA Clips 94 Play LA Clips -3

G/L

KC

Old Post 02-01-07 01:49 AM
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hightimes
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Dec 2006
Posts: 6828

kc

System looks solid. Its definately holding its own tonight as well
Indiana (winner)
Tennessee (winning)
Atlanta Hawks (blowout winner)

I look forward to tracking this keep the picks coming.

Old Post 02-01-07 03:14 AM
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FireMillen
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Registered: Jan 2007
Posts: 3665

definitely promising

I'm getting my ass handed to me by the hawks for going against this.




Regrets, I've had a few;
But then again, too few to mention.
I did what I had to do
And saw it through without exemption.

Old Post 02-01-07 03:17 AM
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KCFAN68
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Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 5437

Sean

Clear your Mail boxes I cant send PM

Old Post 02-01-07 03:20 AM
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Smokey La


Registered: Jan 2007
Posts: 139

Further tracking request

KC if you can PM or post the "wrong" team picks using statfox data so I can compare against my subjective "wrong". Should be interesting, though Statfox numbers would be a great consistent base to use if this holds.

Old Post 02-01-07 05:59 AM
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pdub111


Registered: Jan 2007
Posts: 52

Please post this data KC, this system looks promising, and after my horrid day, I need all the help I can get.

Old Post 02-01-07 06:06 AM
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nouseforotacon
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2007
Posts: 660

Interesting. How do you figure out who's a favorite when they shouldn't be though, isn't that kind of subjective? Or do you guys have some criteria?

Old Post 02-01-07 06:36 AM
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FireMillen
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Registered: Jan 2007
Posts: 3665

so no nba plays for thursday, right?

Cleveland and Miami are both at 96, and phoenix is rightly favored.




Regrets, I've had a few;
But then again, too few to mention.
I did what I had to do
And saw it through without exemption.

Old Post 02-01-07 02:37 PM
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KCFAN68
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Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 5437

Smokey System Plays for Thursday

NO PLAYS TODAY

Old Post 02-01-07 03:27 PM
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Riverfish
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Registered: Dec 2006
Posts: 2913

kc

thx for the play update, i was definately curious!




My YouTube Channel

Old Post 02-01-07 03:45 PM
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KCFAN68
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 5437

System Update

NBA Now 11-1
NCAAB Now 23-4

G/L

KC

Old Post 02-01-07 05:06 PM
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KCFAN68
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Posts: 5437

NHL?????? 3-0 since 15 Jan

I found 1 play in the NHL Tonight. I will see if it works here too

Chicago 2.2
LA Kings 2.0 Play LA Kings -120


G/L
KC

Old Post 02-01-07 05:58 PM
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KCFAN68
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Posts: 5437

Found 1 More

Tampa Bay 3.1
Carolina 2.7 PLAY Carolina -132

G/L

KC

Old Post 02-01-07 06:05 PM
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Smokey La


Registered: Jan 2007
Posts: 139

No subjective plays for me on this system today, but..

Friday looking ok.

Tonight liking the Suns in NBA (for other reasons) but still checking, gl guys.

Old Post 02-01-07 07:28 PM
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nouseforotacon
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2007
Posts: 660

Just PM'd this to KC, but now I realize it doesn't follow your "major conference" guideline. Maybe it'd be worth tracking some of these anyway... San Jose St. looks like a good pick tonight.

New Orleans - 2 (67) vs. S Alabama (69)
San Jose St. - 1 (64) @ Idaho St. (65)
Morehead St. -3 (61) vs. E Kentucky (66)
E. Illinois -3.5 (59) vs. Jacksonville St. (61)
Murray St. -2.5 (69) vs. Austin Peay (70)
Idaho St. -3.5 (65) vs. N Arizona (66)

I'd like to get in on this system.

-- P

Old Post 02-01-07 07:41 PM
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cisco
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Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 8898

What's with all of the PM's?
Lay it out for the forum KC. I don't think the sportsbooks will change the lines because of the system. :)

Old Post 02-01-07 08:31 PM
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cisco
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Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 8898

KC-
I already played the Pittsburg Penguins. What's the game look like with the system?

Old Post 02-01-07 08:37 PM
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FireMillen
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2007
Posts: 3665

nhl

I haven't seen the pm's but I don't think that the nhl data has been looked at very hard. At any rate, the pens do not fit the system for tonight. If the habs were favored, that would fit it, with the latter being the correct play.




Regrets, I've had a few;
But then again, too few to mention.
I did what I had to do
And saw it through without exemption.

Old Post 02-01-07 09:18 PM
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KCFAN68
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Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 5437

cicso

All the PM s I am getting have nothing really to show about that system. People are just asking questions about how it works. We are all here trying to bury the books so lets do it. Not trying to hide anything from anyone I think it should be known to all. I will post all system plays tonight I just want to know that some don't fit the criteria Lets give it a shot guys I say we got nothing to lose and everything to gain.

G/L
KC

Old Post 02-01-07 09:32 PM
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KCFAN68
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 5437

System Plays in NCAAB

New Orleans - 2 (67) vs. S Alabama (69)
San Jose St. - 1 (64) @ Idaho St. (65)
Morehead St. -3 (61) vs. E Kentucky (66)
E. Illinois -3.5 (59) vs. Jacksonville St. (61)
Murray St. -2.5 (69) vs. Austin Peay (70)
Idaho St. -3.5 (65) vs. N Arizona (66)

Sorry to cut and paste nouse but you are correct on these.

*** Remember these are not MAJOR CONFERENCES so go at your own risk.***********

However if I was to play any it would be UNO and Murray ST. These 2 Power Ratings are in comparison to the Major Conferences.

Lets Break em

KC

Old Post 02-01-07 09:40 PM
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