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trapgame
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 366
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Services~ Will Update later
***Service Plays***
Search News:
2/3/07 @ 08:48:10 A.M.
INSIDER SPORTS
By: Steve
Matchup: Eastern Michigan vs. Kent State
Selection: Kent State -15
Explanation: We will lay the points with Kent State as they face-off against Eastern Michigan in Saturday's College Basketball contest.
Kent State has the better offense, however, the key to a Kent State victory comes down to the fact that they have the superior defense. In fact, Eastern Michigan (on the road) is allowing opponents to score an average of 73.7 points per game, while Kent State (at home) is allowing opponents to score an average of only 55.8 points per game. This means the Kent State defense is 17.9 points per game better then the Eastern Michigan defense.
We also see some trends that point to an ATS Kent State victory:
Trend #1: Kent State is 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games against Mid-American Conference teams.
Trend #2: Kent State is 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games.
We will lay the points with the superior home team!
Take Kent State -15
Comments?
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2/3/07 @ 08:09:06 A.M.
Jeff BENTON
By: Steve
10* NORTH CAROLINA to win by 20 pt BLOWOUT
Comments?
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2/3/07 @ 08:07:31 A.M.
JAKE TIMLIN
By: Steve
The Air Force Falcons.
The Cowboys 6 straight covers over Air Force is in big time trouble today.
Real simple back the Falcons as I am a bit surprise Vegas even put out an overnight line on this MWC match up. The Cowboys playing without four main players are going to be very hard pressed to score any points and thus stay close to a very good Air Force team. You see not only is Wyoming down a few guys they are down their back court that accounts for 48% of their scoring. With Ewing & Jones both suspended for fighting last game out look for Wyoming to struggle from the tip and just not have enough scorers or a deep enough bench to slow down a very disciplined and tough Air Force.
Go with the Falcons!
Comments?
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2/3/07 @ 08:07:06 A.M.
Lou Diamond
By: Steve
Take Akron
Zips are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater. Zips are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite of 13.0 or greater. Zips are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Zips are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Zips are 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 games following a ATS loss. Zips are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 home games. Zips are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 games as a home favorite. Zips are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Zips are 24-11-1 ATS in their last 36 games as a favorite.Cardinals are 7-15-2 ATS in their last 24 games as an underdog. Cardinals are 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 games following a S.U. loss. Cardinals are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 vs. Mid-American. Cardinals are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. Cardinals are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Cardinals are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 Saturday games. Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Comments?
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2/3/07 @ 08:06:42 A.M.
MIGHTY QUINN
By: Steve
Today it's N.C. State.
Comments?
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2/3/07 @ 08:06:13 A.M.
Dave Cokin
By: Steve
Take TCU
It's been rough sledding for both Utah and TCU, with the Utes standing out as a major flop this season. I can't see this as a great spot for Utah, even though they're trying to avenge a shocking home loss to the Horned Frogs. Utah has been awful on the road, and I have to think the number is where it is for this game almost solely because of the frequently overrated revenge scenario. Utah just played and lost to arch rival BYU and I believe TCU may be the more interested entry tonight.
TCU
Comments?
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2/3/07 @ 08:05:50 A.M.
Sports Gambling Hotline
By: Steve
Today we will ride the Marquette Golden Eagles minus the number to post the double-digit win and cover in revenge over Providence.
The Friars have been dynamite at home where they are 13-2, but on the road it has been a totally different story as they are allowing a whopping 81 points-per-game, and are just 1-4 against the spread!
Marquette shot a woeful 4-for-23 from behind the arc in 74-59 blowout loss at Providence back on January 4th. Look for the Golden Eagles to enjoy the friendly rims at home where they are 12-3 straight up.
Tom Crean's team enters riding a 6-game winning streak that has seen them cover in 4 of those 6. Last season Marquette won by 10 at home against Providence as the 8-point choice.
We see a similar outcome this afternoon at the Bradley Center.
5♦ MARQUETTE
Comments?
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2/3/07 @ 08:05:25 A.M.
VEGAS EXPERTS
By: Steve
Denver Nuggets at Sacramento Kings
Saturday, February 3rd, 10:05 PM EST
Denver plays its third in four nights here while the rested Kings return home following a road trip that ended with a solid win in Minnesota Wednesday. Denver played that same night in Portland then had a return match with the Trail Blazers last night in Denver that they won in overtime but did not cover as a 10-pt. chalk. The club played without Allen Iverson in both contests and may not have him for this one. That will make the Kings task that much easier though in the last meeting Iverson was outshined by former teammate John Salmons who recorded his first career triple-double for the Kings. The Nuggets have lost 19 of the last 20 in Sacramento, going 7-12-1 ATS.
Play on: Sacramento
Comments?
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2/3/07 @ 08:05:03 A.M.
JIMMY BOYD
By: Steve
Take Indiana Hoosiers
1 Unit on Indiana -3 Iowa is a good home team at 10-2 on the season, but I don’t see their home court holding up today against the red hot Hoosiers. Indiana beat the Hawkeyes by 7 points in Bloomington back on January 16th. Since then Iowa has continued to take some Big 10 lumps while the Hoosiers have upped their level of play taking care of Michigan and mighty Wisconsin. Usually this could be a spot where the Hoosiers are susceptible to an emotional breakdown, but in this case, the Hoosiers feel they still have a shot at the Big 10 title if they can keep winning. I don’t read much into Iowa’s win over Michigan as the Wolverines are struggling. Indiana is the better team on any floor so we’ll lay the small number here.
Comments?
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2/3/07 @ 08:04:25 A.M.
MIKE WYNN
By: Steve
Guaranteed Big10 Lock/Year
Michigan St +2 Over Ohio St
Should Be A Nice Spot Revenge Here At The Breslin Center. Just 1 Week Ago Ohio St Defeated This Michigan St Club By 2 Points After Blowing a Big First Half Lead. Spartans Should Have a Lot Of Confidence Here And They'll Get Over The Hump With The Home Crowd Behind Them. Michigan St Badly In Need Of A Big Win And A Win Here Over Ohio St Would Certainly Qualify. Time For The Young Spartans To Grow Up And Get It Done At Home.
Best Bet
Auburn -2 Over Mississippi
Iowa +3½ Over Indiana
Marquette -8½ Over Providence
Tennessee +16 Over Florida
Oregon +3 Over USC
St Louis -4½ Over George Washington
Comments?
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2/3/07 @ 08:03:52 A.M.
GATOR REPORT
By: Steve
Gator's 70% Situations (E-Report "Free Newsletter" since Nov 28th thru Jan 8th NBA 14-7 ATS +6.30 units) (Combined NBA, NFL, CFB, CBB 34-19 ATS +13.10 Units on our E-Report)
NBA (Saturday): Play Under NBA teams when the total is 210+ when both teams involved have a winning record on the season.
(40-8 Under since 1996.) (83.3%) PLAY: LA Lakers / Washington UNDER 217.5
Comments?
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2/3/07 @ 08:03:16 A.M.
TOM SCOTT'S
By: Steve
6 STAR CBB GAME OF THE YEAR
Ohio State at MICHIGAN STATE - 4:00 PM EST
PLAY ON: #594 MICHIGAN STATE plus the points
Michigan State is 142-12 SU at home in its last 154 games, including an amazing 38-2 SU off a loss and 25-1 SU off a loss against Big Ten teams. The Spartans are also 29-4 SU at home with revenge in their last 33 tries and 72-8 SU at home against opponents who are off a win. With Ohio State at 13-42 SU in its last 55 road games against .738 or better, we have to take the underdog Spartans. With last week's heartbreaking loss at Ohio State still fresh in their minds, the Spartans will play their most intense game of the season. I have to be there.
PREDICTION: MICHIGAN STATE 72 - Ohio State 62
Comments?
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2/3/07 @ 08:02:45 A.M.
SPORTS REPORTERS
By: Steve
BEST BET
*FLORIDA over TENNESSEE by 24
BEST BET
*HOFSTRA over NORTHEASTERN by 25
RECOMMENDED
*CALIFORNIA over STANFORD by 11
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02-03-07 04:06 PM |
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trapgame
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 366
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Saturday Service Plays
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And down the stretch they come!!!!
GULFSTREAM PARK
Saturday, February 3, 20071st (Post time 1:10)
1 Mile | Open | 3 Year Olds Maiden Claiming ($25,000 - $20,000) | Purse: $18,500
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Kosmic Concorde Fuentes R D Pinnock Hubert 122 $25,000 L 8-1
2 2 Secret Spirit Cruz M R Gomez Frank 122 $25,000 L 3-1
3 3 Elninodemisojos Leyva J C Arias Juan D 122 $25,000 L 2-1
4 4 Intelligent Thief Maragh R Maragh Collin 122 $25,000 L 6-1
5 5 Fortunately Bold Scocca D Wasilewski C 122 $25,000 L 6-1
6 6 Cable Island Trujillo E Fennessy Daniel 122 $25,000 10-1
7 7 Collect the Purse Homeister R B Jr Tarrant Amy 122 $25,000 L 4-1
Battagliaspicks 2-3-7 Alternate 4
#2 Secret Spirit- Will show plenty of speed coming off a sprint, gets a big jock change and should break his maiden today.
Pick three play 2-3-7 with 1-5-7 with 1-4-5
Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 1&2) / Bet 3 (Races 1-2-3)
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2nd (1:41)
7 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds Allowance | Purse: $46,000
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Boogie Boggs Castellano J J Zito Nicholas P 118 L 4-1
2 2 Spin Master Guidry M Romans Dale 120 L 8-1
3 3 Green Secret Jara F McLaughlin Kiaran P 122 L 6-1
4 4 Definitely True Cruz M R Calascibetta J G 118 L 15-1
5 5 Longley Prado E S Motion H Graham 118 L 3-1
6 6 Laser Nunez E O Jolley Leroy 122 L 8-1
7 7 Soaring By Velazquez J R Sciametta, Jr. A J 118 L 8-5
Battagliaspicks 1-7-5 Alternate 2
#1 Boogie Boggs- 650k yearling closed like a rocket to win his debut in a short sprint at SAR. This highly regarded Zito trained colt is suppose to figure in the spring classics.
Pick three play 1-5-7 with 1-4-5 with 3-4-7
Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races2&3) / Bet 3 (Races 2-3-4)
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3rd (2:12)
Deputy Minister H. (G3)
6 1/2 Furlongs | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $100,000
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Keyed Entry Velazquez J R Sciametta, Jr. A J 113 L 4-1
2 2 Nar Castellano J J Zito Nicholas P 113 L 10-1
3 3 High Finance Bejarano R Violette, Jr. R A 113 L 3-1
4 4 Kelly's Landing Prado E S Kenneally Eddie 119 L 8-5
5 5 Sir Greeley Desormeaux K J Jerkens James A 117 L 2-1
Battagliaspicks 1-4-5 Alternate 3
#1 Keyed Entry- Just like last year this Pletcher runner made his first start back here and he won by 6. He then came back and won the Hutcheson in February breaking the track record. This one will be fit and ready for a big effort.
Pick three play 1-4-5 with 3-4-7 with 4-6-7
Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 3&4) / Bet 3 (Races 3-4-5)
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4th (2:44)
7 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds Maiden Special Weight | Purse: $44,000
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Caught Stealing Sierra J E Serpe Philip M 122 FTL 10-1
2 2 Curlin Bejarano R Pitts Helen 122 FTL 3-1
3 3 San Geronimo Castellano J J Zito Nicholas P 122 Blk-On L 5-2
4 4 Winstrella Velazquez J R Sciametta, Jr. A J 122 FTL 6-1
5 5 Lisselan Muse Rivera J A II Nazareth John A 122 L 12-1
6 6 Include the Dude Desormeaux K J Romans Dale 122 FTL 8-1
7 7 Senor Enrico Bravo J Jolley Leroy 122 L 4-1
8 8 Marnesia's Big Boy Nunez E O Rossi Albino A 122 L 8-1
Battagliaspicks 3-4-7 Alternate 2
#3 San Geronimo- Another Zito three year old colt who could be pointing to the Everglades depending on today's outcome. His pedigree and works are great and he will be tough.
Pick three play 3-4-7 with 4-6-7 with 2-4-8
Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 4&5) / Bet 3 (Races 4-5-6)
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5th (3:17)
Swale S. (G2)
6 1/2 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $150,000
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Gunfight Prado E S Asmussen Steven M 116 L 6-1
2 2 Adore the Gold Velasquez C Gorham Michael E 118 L 3-1
3 3 First Cavalry Trujillo E Mogge Wayne D 116 L 20-1
4 4 Cowtown Cat Velazquez J R Sciametta, Jr. A J 116 L 5-2
5 5 Reata's Rocket Douglas R R Orseno Joseph 120 L 4-1
6 6 Forefathers Cruz M R Zito Nicholas P 116 L 4-1
7 7 Storm Trust Decarlo C P Sciametta, Jr. A J 116 L 6-1
Battagliaspicks 6-7-4 Alternate 2
#6 Forefathers- Came in September from England and won both US starts with complete ease at Calder. This three year old son of Gone West is being pointed to the Florida Derby. He is bred to run all day and the clocker's can't quit talking about his talent
Pick three play 4-6-7 with 2-4-8 with 2-6-8
Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 5&6) Bet 3 (Races 5-6-7) / Pick 6 (Races 5-10)
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6th (3:50)
Canadian Turf H. (G3)
1 1/16 Miles (Turf) | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $100,000
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Better Than Bonds Prado E S Motion H Graham 114 L 10-1
2 2 Jambalaya Bejarano R Day Phillips C 117 L 5-1
3 3 Giant Wrecker Castellano J J Hennig Mark 114 L 15-1
4 4 Host (CHI) Velazquez J R Sciametta, Jr. A J 117 L 3-1
5 5 Jet Propulsion Trujillo E Hurtak Daniel C 114 L 8-1
6 6 Kiss the Kid Homeister R B Jr Tarrant Amy 114 L 10-1
7 7 Demeteor Guidry M Hoffman Kenneth E 113 L 20-1
8 8 Miesque's Approval Castro E Wolfson Martin D 123 L 6-5
Battagliaspicks 8-4-2 Alternate 5
#8 Miesque's Approval- Started the year last year by winning the 500k Sunshine Million here on the turf at 50-1. He then went on to win 5 out of 7 for 2 million in purse money. Martin Wolfson will have him cranked up and ready for another huge effort.
Pick three play 2-4-8 with 2-6-8 with 1-2-9
Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 6&7) / Bet 3 (Races 6-7-8)
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7th (4:21)
Holy Bull S. (G3)
1 Mile | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $150,000
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Pop Goes the Tiger Trujillo E Potter Douglas 116 L 20-1
2 2 Scat Daddy Velazquez J R Sciametta, Jr. A J 120 L 2-1
3 3 Sam P. Bejarano R Sciametta, Jr. A J 118 L 6-1
4 4 One of the Best Coa E M Olivares Luis 116 20-1
5 5 Drums of Thunder Cruz M R Kaplan William A 120 L 6-1
6 6 Bold Start Desormeaux K J McPeek Kenneth G 118 L 6-1
7 7 Dukes Flying Tiger Nunez E O Potter Douglas 116 L 20-1
8 8 Nobiz Like Shobiz Velasquez C Tagg Barclay 120 L 8-5
Battagliaspicks 8-2-6 Alternate 3
#8 Nobiz Like Shobiz- Won two races in NY breaking his maiden by 10 and the Remsen by 6. He just missed in the grade I Champagne. He is training great and loves this distance.
Pick three play 2-6-8 with 1-2-9 with 1-4-7
Pick four play 2-6-8 with 1-2-9 with 1-4-7 with 5-7-9
Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 7&8) Bet 3 (Races 7-8-9) / Pick 4 (Races 7-8-9-10)
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8th (4:53)
Suwannee River H. (G3)
1 1/8 Miles (Turf) | Fillies and Mares | 4 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $100,000
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Naissance Royale (IRE) Prado E S Clement Christophe 119 L 5-2
2 2 La Dolce Vita Guidry M Hennig Mark 114 L 15-1
3 3 Nottawasaga Castellano J J Coatrieux Eric 114 L 8-1
4 4 Jacaranda Jane (SAF) Velasquez C Kimmel John C 114 L 20-1
5 5 Potra Clasica (ARG) Bejarano R Wolfson Martin D 115 L 5-1
6 6 Brazilian Castro E Wolfson Martin D 115 L 6-1
7 7 Cursora (ARG) Desormeaux K J McPeek Kenneth G 114 L 10-1
8 8 Silversider Cruz M R Medina Angel M 114 L 12-1
9 9 J'ray Velazquez J R Sciametta, Jr. A J 119 L 3-1
10 10 Baleriana (PER) Nunez E O Castro Marcelo 113 L 15-1
Battagliaspicks 9-1-2 Alternate 6
#9 J'ray-Was flying in the Genter but ran out of ground and missed by a head. He is dead fit and will come running to take this one.
Pick three play 1-2-9 with 1-4-7 with 5-7-9
Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 8&9) / Bet 3 (Races 8-9-10)
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9th (5:23)
Donn H. (G1)
1 1/8 Miles | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $500,000
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Invasor (ARG) Jara F McLaughlin Kiaran P 123 L 6-5
2 2 Halos Sailing Sain Bravo J Orseno Joseph 112 L 20-1
3 3 A. P. Arrow Desormeaux K J Sciametta, Jr. A J 112 L 8-1
4 4 Chatain Velasquez C Penna Angel Jr 114 L 6-1
5 5 Tap Dancing Mauk Nunez E O Caramori Eduardo 112 L 30-1
6 6 Hesanoldsalt Bejarano R Zito Nicholas P 114 L 10-1
7 7 Magna Graduate Velazquez J R Sciametta, Jr. A J 118 L 4-1
8 8 Barcola Castellano J J Hennig Mark 110 L 15-1
9 9 Strong Contender Prado E S Ward John T Jr 117 L 6-1
Battagliaspicks 1-7-4 Alternate 3
#1 Invasor- Last years champ was a perfect 4 for 4 in the US winning the PIM Special, the Suburban, the Whitney and the Breeders Cup Classic for 3.8 million. He worked faster then the feature race went on Wednesday in hand and at 6-5 this looks easy.
Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (Races 9&10)
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10th (5:53)
1 1/8 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds Allowance | Purse: $46,000
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Seaside Links Velasquez C Casse Mark 118 L 10-1
2 2 Roman's Run Guidry M Romans Dale 120 L 8-1
3 3 High Act Castellano J J Lynch Brian A 118 L 6-1
4 4 Divine Master Castro E Plesa Edward Jr 118 L 20-1
5 5 Rutledge Cat Prado E S Motion H Graham 118 L 5-2
6 6 Brisco N Logan Velazquez J R Barbara Robert 120 L 6-1
7 7 Torini Bejarano R Ward John T Jr 118 L 4-1
8 8 Hal's My Hope Rivera J A II Rose Barry R 118 L 30-1
9 9 Silver Express Bravo J Zito Nicholas P 118 Blk-On L 5-1
10 10 Highest Degree Desormeaux K J McPeek Kenneth G 118 L 12-1
Battagliaspicks 5-7-9 Alternate 3
#5 Rutledge Cat- Broke his maiden easily at KEE then was second in the Laurel FUT and fourth in the Tropical Park Derby. He looks like a stand out today and another gift at 5-2
Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta
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#2 02-02-2007, 08:29 PM
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Do I look fat in this? Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 408
AQUEDUCT
Saturday, February 3, 2007
1st (Post time 12:30)
6 Furlongs | Fillies and Mares | 4 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($30,000 - $25,000) | Purse: $34,000
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 3 Embraceable You Luzzi M J Lake Scott A 120 $30,000 L 5-1
1A 4 Jersey Gia Lopez C C Lake Scott A 121 $30,000 L 5-1
2 1 Fighting Speedy Fragoso P Contessa Gary C 120 $30,000 L 5-2
3 2 Chunk of Love Hill C Hushion Michael E 120 $30,000 L 3-1
4 5 For What Its Worth Ponce J Parker Joseph 1117 $25,000 L 30-1
5 6 Sunshine Johanne Rodriguez R R Quick Patrick J 121 $30,000 L 12-1
6 7 Miss Park Place Arroyo N Jr Miceli Michael 118 $25,000 L 8-1
7 8 Life Savior Coa E M Domino Carl J 120 $30,000 L 2-1
Battagliaspicks 7-2-1a Alternate 6
#7 Life Savior- Back class mare drew away to a 15 length win and was totally in hand. She should have little trouble repeating over this field.
A-Coupled: Embraceable You and Jersey Gia
Exacta, Trifecta, Daily Double Wagers
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02-03-07 04:11 PM |
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trapgame
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 366
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2nd (12:58)
1 1/16 Miles | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Maiden Special Weight | Purse: $42,000
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Love Abroad Ponce J Hertler John O 1157 Blk-On L 5-1
2 2 Nine Positives Arroyo N Jr DeMola Joseph 122 L 2-1
3 3 Ty's Ridge Samyn J L Turner, Jr. W H 122 L 7-2
4 4 Northern Blue Martin E M Jr Contessa Gary C 122 L 3-1
5 5 Charrick Espinoza J L Pantaleo Joseph 122 L 20-1
6 6 Capstoneclearance Leon F Miller Edward G 122 L 8-1
7 7 Anxious Contender Lopez C C Pellegrino Kenneth 122 L 10-1
Battagliaspicks 4-2-3 Alternate 1
#4 Northern Blue- Put blinkers on three races back and she really improved. She figures to get the lead and keep on going.
Pick three play 4-2-3 with 1-2-3 with 2-4-5
Pick four play 4-2-3 with 1-2-3 with 2-4-5 with 1a-2-3
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta, Pick 3 Races (2-4), Pick 4 Races (2-5) Wagers
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3rd (1:26)
6 Furlongs | Open | 3 Year Olds Allowance | Purse: $43,000
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 3 Trust Nobody Smith M E Rodriguez Juan 118 L 2-1
1A 6 Bad Boy Rising Fragoso P Rodriguez Juan 118 L 2-1
2 1 Premier Perfection Luzzi M J Benzel Seth 118 L 4-1
3 2 Zipperoo Garcia Alan Bond Harold James 122 L 7-5
4 4 Foose Lopez C C Contessa Gary C 120 L 8-1
5 5 Tomorrow the World Coa E M Galluscio Dominic G 118 L 12-1
6 7 Smokin Lu Hill C De Stefano, Jr. J M 118 L 8-1
Battagliaspicks 3-2-1 Alternate 4
#3 Zipperoo- Is easily the speed of this race and will prove hard to catch on an uncontested lead.
Pick three play 1-2-3 with 2-4-5 with 1a-2-3
A-Coupled: Trust Nobody and Bad Boy Rising
Exacta, Trifecta, Pick 3 Races (3-5) Wagers
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4th (1:55)
1 1/16 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds Maiden Special Weight | Purse: $44,000
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Regal Officer Martin E M Jr Klanfer Alan 120 L 15-1
1A 6 Mighty Thor Martin E M Jr Klanfer Alan 120 L 15-1
2 2 How Sweet He Is Castellano A Jr Ritvo Timothy 120 L 10-1
3 3 Call for Backup Garcia Alan Ryerson James T 120 L 20-1
4 4 Libertarian Coa E M Albertrani Thomas 120 L 6-1
5 5 Mariano Arroyo N Jr Hushion Michael E 120 L 6-5
6 7 Westsideaptitude Lopez C C Contessa Gary C 120 L 12-1
7 8 Sir Gallovic Fragoso P Miceli Michael 120 Blk-Off L 15-1
8 9 Johnny Bright Eyes Luzzi M J Sciacca Gary 120 L 5-2
Battagliaspicks 2-4-5 Alternate 8
#2 How Sweet He Is- Comes up from FLA showing plenty of speed and will prove tough to catch at a big price.
Pick three play 2-4-5 with 1a-2-3 with 1-2-3
A-Coupled: Regal Officer and Mighty Thor
Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta, Pick 3 Races (4-6), Pick 6 Races (4-9) Wagers
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5th (2:23)
1 1/16 Miles | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($7,500) | Purse: $16,000
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 3 Cadillac Cruiser Arroyo N Jr Araya Rene A 120 $7,500 L 8-5
1A 5 Valiant King Arroyo N Jr Araya Rene A 120 $7,500 L 8-5
2 1 Cool N Collective Coa E M Levine Bruce N 120 $7,500 L 4-1
3 2 Fire Hero Lopez C C Lake Scott A 118 $7,500 L 5-1
4 4 Fighting Roy Kelly Castellano A Jr Campo John P Jr 118 $7,500 L 8-1
5 6 Naragansett Luzzi M J Sciacca Gary 118 $7,500 L 20-1
6 7 Cosmos Mariner Hill C Hushion Michael E 118 $7,500 L 7-2
7 8 Thanasi Ponce J Carroll Del W II 1117 $7,500 L 20-1
8 9 Jimmy O Martin E M Jr Schettino Dominick A 118 $7,500 L 12-1
Battagliaspicks 2-3-1 Alternate 4
#2 Cool N Collective- Classy 10 year old gelding has banked 550k and is coming off a win. He has beaten much better and can repeat at a decent price.
Pick three play 1a-2-3 with 1-2-3 with 2-4-6
A-Coupled: Cadillac Cruiser and Valiant King
Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Pick 3 Races (5-7), Grand Slam Races (5-8) Wagers
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6th (2:51)
6 Furlongs | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($15,000) | Purse: $17,000
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 2 Private Town Castellano A Jr Russo Frank J 118 $15,000 L 15-1
1A 6 Bright Weekend Ponce J Russo Frank J 1117 $15,000 L 15-1
2 1 Little Cherokee Coa E M Galluscio Dominic G 118 $15,000 L 4-1
3 3 Mr. Tater Luzzi M J Weaver George 120 $15,000 L 7-2
4 4 Houston Request Lopez C C Gullo Gary P 118 $15,000 L 3-1
5 5 Mister Alimony Garcia Alan Ryerson James T 118 $15,000 L 8-1
6 7 Silver Forest Hill C Imperio Joseph 118 $15,000 L 12-1
7 8 Maastricht Fragoso P Parisella John 118 $15,000 L 8-1
8 9 Rappers Deelite Martin E M Jr Rice Linda 118 $15,000 L 10-1
9 10 Patriarch Pops Rodriguez R R Schwartz Scott M 120 $15,000 L 30-1
10 11 Whenluvcomestotown Arroyo N Jr Destasio Richard A 118 $15,000 L 10-1
11 12 Preflight Bermudez J E O'Brien Leo 118 $15,000 L 50-1
12 AE Of All Times McNeil B Shevy Michael J 1117 $15,000 L 30-1
13 AE Bettor to Receive Garcia Alan Lalman Dennis 118 $15,000 L 20-1
Battagliaspicks 2-1-3 Alternate 4
#2 Little Cherokee- Broke poorley but still ran a game race to finish second only a neck behind. He looks ready to payoff with a clean trip today.
Pick three play 1-2-3 with 2-4-6 with 1-5-8 with 5-3-11
A-Coupled: Private Town and Bright Weekend
Exacta, Trifecta, Pick 4 Races (6-9), Daily Double Wagers
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7th (3:19)
6 Furlongs | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Allowance | Purse: $43,000
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 River Squire Bridgmohan S X Tesher Howard M 118 L 30-1
2 2 Energico Lopez C C Baker Charlton 118 L 7-2
3 3 Eastside Jet Garcia Alan Servis Jason 118 L 6-1
4 4 Phillip X. Luzzi M J Carroll Del W II 118 L 5-1
5 5 Win for Gold Castellano A Jr Contessa Gary C 118 L 3-1
6 6 Positive Gold Fragoso P Stoklosa Richard 118 L 15-1
7 7 Ernie's Choice Hill C Morrison John 118 L 20-1
8 8 Karakorum Thunder Rodriguez R R Odintz Jeff 118 L 15-1
9 9 Mr Sam I Am Coa E M Benzel Seth 118 L 8-1
10 10 Helene's Dream Smith M E Pregman John S Jr 118 L 12-1
11 11 Woodmere Arroyo N Jr Schwartz Scott M 118 L 10-1
Battagliaspicks 2-4-6 Alternate 9
#2 Energico-Came up from FLA and ran a solid second, he only needs to improve slightly to bring home the money today.
Pick three play 2-4-6 with 1-5-8 with 5-3-11
Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta, Pick 3 Races (7-9) Wagers
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8th (3:48)
1 Mile 70 Yards | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Allowance Optional Claiming ($75,000) | Purse: $46,000
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 4 Fly So Far Coa E M Albertrani Thomas 118 L 5-1
1A 9 Pulpiteer Coa E M Albertrani Thomas 118 L 5-1
2 1 Wing Man Arroyo N Jr Jerkens James A 118 L 3-1
3 2 Omaha Beach Luzzi M J Rodriguez Juan 118 $75,000 L 6-1
4 3 Three in the Bag Hill C Contessa Gary C 118 L 7-2
5 5 Oh My Stars Lopez C C Persaud Atreo 118 $75,000 L 15-1
6 6 Again and Again Bridgmohan S X McLaughlin Kiaran P 118 $75,000 L 5-1
7 7 Go Fernando Go Garcia Alan Volk Scott 123 L 10-1
8 8 Interior Designer Martin E M Jr Klanfer Alan 118 L 5-1
Battagliaspicks 5-1-8 Alternate 4
#5 Oh My Stars-Fast sprinter has a ton of speed and will be on an easy lead at a huge price.
A-Coupled: Fly So Far and Pulpiteer
Exacta, Trifecta, Daily Double Wagers
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9th (4:17)
6 Furlongs | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($15,000) | Purse: $15,000
Prg. # PP Horse Jockey Trainer Wt. Claim $ Equip. Med. ML
1 1 Southern Prospect Lopez C C Rice Linda 120 $15,000 L 15-1
1A 13 Splendid Virtue Martin E M Jr Rice Linda 115 $15,000 L 15-1
2 2 In the Service Ponce J Lake Scott A 1137 $15,000 L 12-1
3 3 Sail the Mystic Morales P Arroyo Enrique 120 $15,000 L 7-2
4 4 Billy's Way Bridgmohan S X Sedlacek Roy 120 $15,000 L 4-1
5 5 Mister Zee Coa E M Martin Frank 120 $15,000 L 5-1
6 6 War Scandal Hill C Contessa Gary C 120 $15,000 L 6-1
7 7 Sir Speedator Luzzi M J Sciacca Gary 120 $15,000 L 30-1
8 8 Firstsonofibexa Espinoza J L Destasio Richard A 120 $15,000 L 50-1
9 9 Koba Fragoso P Kazamias Peter 120 $15,000 L 20-1
10 10 Mark the Trick McNeil B Terrill Robert 1167 $15,000 L 20-1
11 11 Notable Tiger Arroyo N Jr Klesaris Robert P 120 $15,000 L 9-2
12 12 Path of Perfection Castellano A Jr O'Brien Keith 120 $15,000 Blk-On L 15-1
Battagliaspicks 5-3-11 Alternate 4
#5 Mister Zee- Has been on the improve and looks ready to score.
A-Coupled: Southern Prospect and Splendid Virtue
Exacta, Trifecta, Superfecta Wagers
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#3 02-03-2007, 12:45 AM
solons
Registered User Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 243
KIKISPORTS (Free Pick):
They have been solid with their free plays.
CAL +1
RINKPLAY SPORTS (1-0 last night):
New York Rangers/Tampa Bay Lightning Under 6 2*
Philadelphia +1.5 2*
Carolina ML 3*
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#4 02-03-2007, 12:54 AM
solons
Registered User Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 243
Tony Mathew's Free College Basketball Selection for February 3, 2007.
Matchup: Eastern Michigan vs. Kent State
Selection: Kent State -15 (-110)
Explanation: We will lay the points with Kent State as they face-off against Eastern Michigan in Saturday's College Basketball contest.
Kent State has the better offense, however, the key to a Kent State victory comes down to the fact that they have the superior defense. In fact, Eastern Michigan (on the road) is allowing opponents to score an average of 73.7 points per game, while Kent State (at home) is allowing opponents to score an average of only 55.8 points per game. This means the Kent State defense is 17.9 points per game better then the Eastern Michigan defense.
We also see some trends that point to an ATS Kent State victory:
Trend #1: Kent State is 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games against Mid-American Conference teams.
Trend #2: Kent State is 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games.
We will lay the points with the superior home team!
Take Kent State -15!
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02-03-07 04:13 PM |
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trapgame
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 366
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John Fina's Free College Basketball Selection for Saturday!
Selection: Stanford -1.5 (-110)
Reason: Put us down on Stanford -1.5 for our Free College Basketball Selection on Saturday. Today Stanford will be on the road as they take on California. We will lay the points with Stanford! Yes (it's true), California has already beat Stanford once this season, however, Stanford will get some well earned revenge tonight! California has been struggling as of late (0-3 in their last 3 games), and California being at home tonight will be an advantage for Stanford. That's because Stanford plays great basketball on the road. In fact, Stanford is a perfect 7-0 ATS in their 7 lined road games this season, as well as 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games on the road. In addition, Stanford has already proven they are the superior team when compared with California. This is shown by Stanford being 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings (as well as 6-2 SU in their last 8 meetings) against California. The bottom line, Stanford brings more talent to the game and will find a way to beat California tonight! Take Stanford -1.5!
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#5 02-03-2007, 04:37 AM
govjim
Registered User Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 322
JEFF BENTON
Today's Complimentary Play
My second straight comp-play winner last night, as the Bucks held on for the spread-cover against the Pistons. With that, the free-pick run is now an incredible 146-106-3, including 17-7 with the last 24.
Now it’s back to the college hardwood, where I’ve just been unstoppable with the freebies, going 28-9-1, including 8-3 with the last 11. Today, we’ll lay the big price with North Carolina at N.C. State.
Digest these numbers, folks:
The Tar Heels are coming off a 41-point win over Miami (Fla.).
They’ve won and covered five consecutive games, by margins of 41, 28, 28, 17 and 22 points, with three of those wins coming on the road.
They’re 6-1 SU and ATS in ACC play this season, winning those six games by an average of 24 points per game.
They’re on a 14-2 ATS run, going an amazing 10-0 ATS as a double-digit favorite.
And they’ve beaten N.C. State six straight times (5-1 ATS), with the last four wins coming by double digits, including last year’s 24-point win in Raleigh as a three-point underdog.
Wait, there’s more: N.C. State enters this game with an 0-4 SU and ATS record at home against ACC opponents, and the games weren’t even close, as the Wolfpack lost 71-58 to Virginia, 79-56 to Duke, 87-76 to Clemson and 74-58 to Boston College.
Honestly, guys, the only reason North Carolina didn’t make the cut as one of today’s premium plays is that they’ve got that enormous game at Duke on deck on Wednesday night. But even if the Tar Heels do look ahead to that showdown, they’ve still got way too much talent not to pummel a really bad N.C. State squad today. Besides, prior to last year’s two games against Duke, North Carolina destroyed Virginia by 55 points and Clemson by 15, covering the spread in both contests.
Another 20-point blowout win for Roy Williams’ youngsters in this one!
(based on a 1 to a 10 ♦ Rating)
10♦ NORTH CAROLINA
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#6 02-03-2007, 04:50 AM
wacco
Master of all Nonsense Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 774
SPORTSADVISORS: (Comps)
Matt Rivers- TOWSON
Trace Adams- AUBURN
Jake Timlin- AIR FORCE
Joel Tyson- 3* PHILADELPHIA 76ers
** And as stated above **
Jeff BENTON ( Highest Comp Play rating 10* )
10* NORTH CAROLINA to win by 20 pt BLOWOUT !
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#7 02-03-2007, 04:56 AM
RIPPLE
Free Forums are #1 Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 26,193
glad i wasnt around last night to post bob a plays
he lost on the nets last night
10-2 for the week
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#8 02-03-2007, 05:00 AM
RIPPLE
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Posts: 26,193
30 second thank you very much for the horses..definetly appreciate them ..Awesome bud and good luck
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#9 02-03-2007, 05:16 AM
RIPPLE
Free Forums are #1 Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 26,193
TOM SCOTT'S 6 STAR CBB GAME OF THE YEAR - 67-6!
Ohio State at MICHIGAN STATE - 4:00 PM EST
PLAY ON: #594 MICHIGAN STATE plus the points
Michigan State is 142-12 SU at home in its last 154 games, including an amazing 38-2 SU off a loss and 25-1 SU off a loss against Big Ten teams. The Spartans are also 29-4 SU at home with revenge in their last 33 tries and 72-8 SU at home against opponents who are off a win. With Ohio State at 13-42 SU in its last 55 road games against .738 or better, we have to take the underdog Spartans. With last week's heartbreaking loss at Ohio State still fresh in their minds, the Spartans will play their most intense game of the season. I have to be there.
PREDICTION: MICHIGAN STATE 72 - Ohio State 62
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#10 02-03-2007, 05:17 AM
RIPPLE
Free Forums are #1 Join Date: Jan 2005
Posts: 26,193
mike wynn
Guaranteed Big10 Lock/Year
Michigan St +2 Over Ohio St
Should Be A Nice Spot Revenge Here At The Breslin Center. Just 1 Week Ago Ohio St Defeated This Michigan St Club By 2 Points After Blowing a Big First Half Lead. Spartans Should Have a Lot Of Confidence Here And They'll Get Over The Hump With The Home Crowd Behind Them. Michigan St Badly In Need Of A Big Win And A Win Here Over Ohio St Would Certainly Qualify. Time For The Young Spartans To Grow Up And Get It Done At Home.
Best Bet
Auburn -2 Over Mississippi
Iowa +3½ Over Indiana
Marquette -8½ Over Providence
Tennessee +16 Over Florida
Oregon +3 Over USC
St Louis -4½ Over George Washington
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#11 02-03-2007, 05:17 AM
RIPPLE
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linemover
West Va -4
Va Tech +1.5
Ark -1.5
Auburn -1
Iowa +3.5
South Car +9
Kansas St +7.5
Usc -3
Mich St +2
Georgia +6
Maryland -4.5
A&m +6
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#12 02-03-2007, 05:19 AM
RIPPLE
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cto
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
a 11* going today
feb 3
*SYRACUSE over DePaul (Day Game)....Big East scouts report still-erratic sr. PG Mejia (nearly as many TOs as assists pg; only 59% FTs)
hasn’t been the expected catalyst on a sliding DePaul squad (3 straight losses before UConn Jan. 31) that has surpassed 60 pts. only once
in last 6 games. Consequently, Syracuse’s confounding 2-3 zone (64 ppg, 37% FGs) should be problematic for offensively-stodgy Blue
Demons. And Orange easily sustains high intensity for the full 40 mins. remembering nightmarish 39-pt. crushing in Chicago year ago.
*SYRACUSE 77 - DePaul 59 RATING - 10
*ILLINOIS over Minnesota...Even if C Tollackson (has missed recent games with hand injury) back for Minnesota, don’t like Gophers’
chances on the road vs. quicker, defensively-conscientious Illinois. Illini, who lost the NCAA Final to North Carolina just two seasons ago,
currently fighting hard just to finish in top half of Big Ten standings and boost TY’s tourney prospects. HC Bruce Weber has set a 9-7
conference mark as a goal, even with 6-7 slasher Bryan Randle (check status) nursing a sore ankle. But with 6-10 C Shaun Pruitt now
producing double-doubles with frequency, IU extends Minny’s road woes. *ILLINOIS 76 - Minnesota 50 RATING - 11
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#13 02-03-2007, 05:19 AM
RIPPLE
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Gold Sheet Key Releases
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LOUISVILLE by 7 over Villanova (Saturday, February 3, Day)
WYOMING by 2 over Air Force (Saturday, February 3, Day)
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02-03-07 04:13 PM |
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trapgame
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 366
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Gold Sheet Release on Wyoming
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Guys:
Be careful about that one. That pick was made before this happened on Tuesday. Wyo missing a couple guys today against AF.
Mountain West suspends five for Wyoming/New Mexico fight
Colorado Springs, CO (Sports Network) - The Mountain West Conference suspended five players for their roles in a brawl at the end of New Mexico's 91-83 win over Wyoming in Albuquerque on Tuesday.
Wyoming's Joseph Taylor suffered the most severe punishment, as he will sit indefinitely for his participation in the fight, which broke out with 1:10 left in the game.
Taylor, a junior forward for the Cowboys, has averaged five points and 5.9 rebounds per game in 22 games this season.
Wyoming's top two scorers, Brandon Ewing, who leads the MWC with 19.7 points per game, and Brad Jones, who is averaging 16.7 ppg, were both ejected from the game, which draws an automatic one-game suspension. The MWC added a second game to Jones' suspension, which the league specified will be served on March 3 when the two teams meet again in Wyoming.
New Mexico's Jamaal Smith was also ejected from the game, and the MWC also added a second game to his suspension, also for the rematch. The junior guard is averaging 8.1 ppg for the Lobos.
New Mexico's Darren Prentice was also suspended for one game. Prentice is averaging 7.7 ppg for the Lobos.
New Mexico will be shorthanded for its February 3 game at Colorado State. Wyoming will play without Ewing and Jones at No. 17 Air Force on February 3.
======================================
Sebastian:
Comp-UConn
10* Vanderbilt
10* Georgia Tech
10* Miami
10* Louisiana Tech
10* Arizona State
20* Marquette
20* Florida
20* Hofstra
100* Syracuse
200* Nevada (He and the whole wiseguy world )
=====================================
tom stryker 5*
nevada
billy coleman
oregon 5*
jb sports 5*
charlotte bobcats
==================
Brandon Lang
30 Dime - Nevada
25 Dime - Auburn and Byu
20 Dime - Texas, Air Force and Phoenix Suns
15 Dime - Seton Hall and Northern Iowa
free pick.- Delaware
====================
Chris Ado for Santa Anita Saturday
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Ado's picks for today. He usually hits one or two of these at a price that is sufficient to show a profit for the day. Last week, he had a 10-1 shot that won and then he finished out of the money on the others. GL
Christopher Ado’s Santa Anita Handicap
Spot Play Selections, Analysis, and Wagering Strategies
Santa Anita, February 3, 2006
Today’s Action from Santa Anita: I will highlight and play races 5, 6, 7, and 8. In addition, I
will put together $48 into the Pick 4 (Races 7-10)
Race 5: Claiming $10,000 to $9,000, 6 Furlongs, Four year olds and upward NEIMAN THE
SAINT (#8, 8-1) could be grossly overlooked because he is being trained by Keith
Craigmyle and ridden by ten pound apprentice Eulices Gomez and exit’s a third place finish
beaten four and half lengths tiring through the third in his most recent start over the Santa
Anita main track. What separates this horse from the rest is the fact that this Western Fame
gelding has run fast enough that exceeds the par for this class level, has a versatile
running style that can allow him to duel for the lead or sit just off the expected quick pace
and won, and now stretches out to six furlongs where he is three for seven in his career
while he is zero for four at other distances. Despite being winless in four starts over the
Santa Anita main track, he was very unlucky not to win on October 27 during the Oak Tree
meeting. He was inside of a three horse speed duel with long shot Excessatory and Desert
Smoke through fractions of 21.29 and 44.32 seconds.
He was able to win the fight for the early lead opening a two length lead at mid stretch, and
it required the entire length of the stretch for the eventual winner, Espresso Love, to catch
this dark bay at the wire. What made that defeat so impressive was not only did his two
pace rivals weaken to cross the finish line fourth and seventh respectively but also the
opening quarter and half mile fractions he set under pressure were the fastest of the four
sprints on that card making his effort look even more impressive. He made his next start for
new trainer Keith Craigmyle stretching back out to six furlongs and was able to win the
battle for the lead disposing of his pace rival Rockin Rambo approaching the quarter pole
and drawing away defeating subsequent next time out winner Switzerland earning a Beyer
Speed Figure of 80 that is very close to par for this class level (Beyer par 83). He eclipsed
that effort with an even more impressive victory on December 7 proving that he is not just aone dimensional front runner earning a Beyer Speed Figure of 86 that exceeds par for this
class level showing a new dimension. He was allowed to settle off the pace racing along
the rail through a 22.48 second opening quarter. He moved up along the rail around the
turn, angled off it entering the stretch, and worn down the loose leader while exchanging
bumps with him to win by a neck proving that he is more than just a pace presser or front
runner. He cut back to five and half furlongs last time out dropping in class to face
California bred only $10,000 claiming company and did not run as bad as his four and half
length margin of defeat would indicate. He was forced to chase the fastest opening quarter
and second half mile fraction of the five sprints on the program set by Mud Light. He moved
up to challenge and rightfully tired after chasing such an enervating pace in a excusable
effort. He stretches out to his best distance and can patiently sit just off the pace off the
plethora of cheap early speed by the likes of Whata Soldier, High Z, Senator Matty, and
The Missile Came. If his rider allows those speed types to battle them into submission,
patiently bide his time, he can make that winning move to get the jump on Lite Man and
prove a stubborn foe to beat as he is meets the profile of the morning line favorite with the
exception that he is 8-1 on the morning line while Lite Man is the morning line favorite.
Wagering Strategies:
Play the (8) NEIMAN THE SAINT to WIN (Minimum fair odds of 4-1 or better) Trifecta partwheel:
8 over 2, 3, 6, 10 over 2, 3, 6, 10 = $12 for a $1 Wager Trifecta part-wheel: 2, 3, 6,
10 over 8 over 2, 3, 6, 10 = $12 for a $1 Wager
Race 6: Maiden Special Weight, 6-½ Furlongs Turf, Four year olds and upward
WESTERLY MAGIC (#7, 8-1) is making his first start off a layoff of three hundred and ten
days but this Way West gelding does not exit the January 6 maiden special weight event
down the hillside that earned a sub par Beyer Speed Figure of 75 making this race ripe for
a horse returning off a layoff for the meet’s hottest trainer, John Sadler and with the likes of
Father Sky and World Asunder, he should be able to sit back and make one patent late run
under Julien Leparoux. Though he has failed to hit the board in his two most recent starts
over the Santa Anita turf course he has had legitimate excuses where he was unable to be
competitive. He managed to split his twelve horse field on March 4 here at Santa Anita but
had no chance as he was forced wide around the first turn and was unable to get over to
the inside to save ground continuing to race wide down the backstretch as the eventual
winner, Thunder Bluff, was able to get away through a pedestrian early fractions of 50.04
seconds for half mile and six furlongs in 1:14.86 seconds. Losing valuable ground from
start to finish, racing over a good turf course, and not getting a sufficient amount of pace to
run at he managed to split his twelve horse field in a inconclusive performance. He
returned twenty-six days later in a one mile maiden event on the turf and once again fell
victim of the lack of sufficient amount of pace to set it up for his late kick finishing fourth in a
better than looked performance. He was hard held off the pace to save ground into the first
turn and down the backstretch sitting on the rail as the eventual winner, Corey County, was
allowed to walk on a leisurely early lead through walking fractions of a half mile in 49.27
seconds and six furlongs in a snail like 1:13.54 seconds.
He came off the rail while wide into the stretch and finished as best as he could under the
circumstances to be a good fourth in a race where the horses that crossed the finish line
first and third were one-two after the first half mile in a productive “key” race that saw the
winner and the runner up both returned to win in this productive event. He makes his first
start with blinkers for a trainer that has won only 12 of his last 93 starters returning off a
layoff of more than one hundred and twenty days but comes into this race having trained
exceptionally well according to National Turf’s John Wilson who covers Santa Anita for
National Turf. He caught this bay gelding working six furlongs in 1:13 that was the second
fastest of nineteen where he “caught the eye here while kicking 10 lengths clear of One
Last Graf striding with some late purpose in 47.4, 1:12.4. Comes back well,”
and came back to conclude preparations with a five furlong work out in 1:01 flat where he
this was a “Nice looking drill working solo this morning under some late restraint while
going the last 4 in 23.3, 47.1. Quite nice off the break.” Training splendidly for his return
and if allowed to settle to make one last run under Eclipse Award winning apprentice in the
irons looks set to graduate as the only time this rider hooked up with Sadler they won
scoring with Count Orange (December 18, $12.80) and hopefully they can continue their
success at what could be a very generous price considering the lack of a stand out in this
event.
Wagering Strategies:
Play the (7) WESTERLY MAGIC to WIN (Minimum fair odds of 5-1 or better) Trifecta partwheel:
7 over 3, 6, 9, 10, 12 over 3, 6, 9, 10, 12 = $20 for a
$1 Wager
Trifecta part-wheel: 3, 6, 9, 10, 12 over 7 over 3, 6, 9, 10, 12 = $20 for a
$1 Wager
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02-03-07 09:31 PM |
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trapgame
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 366
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Race 7: G3 Sham, 1-1/8 Miles, Three year olds KOLO (#7, 12-1) will make his first start on
the main track but is drawn perfectly towards the outside to stay away from getting kick
back in his face and should fall into a perfect trip stalking either Liquidity from his inside and
Song Navarone and get first run on Ravel and Pirate Deputy where he comes into this
event having won his last two starts going long on the turf and is much better than his
speed figures would suggest. After finding trouble in his first two starts, he made his third
career start a winning one with a visually impressive maiden win under a perfect trip and
ride from jockey Jose Valdivia Jr. In that race, he was allowed to patiently sit just off the
pace stalking the pace in third along the rail in the perfect spot down the backstretch. He
swung out for room into the stretch, split horses at the top of the lane, hit the front past mid
stretch, and drew away impressively in a strong victory that saw the fourth place finisher,
Fast Corredor, come back to break his maiden in his next race proving it to be productive
event. He took on winners for the first time in the Eddie Logan Stakes while being reeled
back in only sixteen days and plenty of gameness to defeat a strong field in what has
returned to be a productive “key” race event. He got a perfect trip as he was able to use his
early speed to sit just off the flank of the expected pacesetter Law Breaker pressing him in
the two path through walking early fractions for the first half mile in
24.18 seconds and a half mile in 49.60 seconds. He continued pressing the leader in the
two path around the far turn, then fought on gamely with that rival to grab the lead past mid
stretch, and held off the late rally of long shot Mystery Island to win. The final speed figure
this race earned was the result of the walking fractions and the strength of his win in the
Eddie Logan was validated when the third place finisher, Law Breaker, came back to win
Allowance N1X on the main track on January 19 and the seventh place finisher Hot Wired
came back to win $40,000 claiming event on the main track on January 18 making this
event a productive “key” event. After two races in a span of less than three weeks, this dark
bay colt by Dynaformer has wisely been given time off to recuperate explaining the thirty
five day hiatus and has continued to hold his form according to National Turf’s Andy
Harrington who covers Hollywood Park. He work five furlongs over their Cushion Track in
1:01 flat where he “moved up one a horse going in another drill finishing in his usual steady
manner, light restraint while going the last 4 furlongs in 48.3. Holding course fine.” The
stalking or pace pressing style will ensure he is all over what appears to be a moderate to
tepid early pace to ensure a clean trip and note from two mounts for trainer Carla Gaines
jockey Jose Valdivia is perfect from as many starts and hopefully that trend can continue as
this dark bay colt has the potential to continue to improve to be good enough to be on the
road to the 2007 Kentucky Derby. If he wins then hop aboard the band wagon with me.
Wagering Strategies:
Play the (7) KOLO to WIN (Minimum fair odds of 5-1 or better) Main Exactas: 7-3 and 7-6.
Small reverse.
Race 8: Thunder Road Handicap, 1-Mile Turf, Four year olds and upward BAYEUX (#8,10-1) is a horse that has found new lease on life after failing to hit the board in his first six
starts last year he went on two win four of ten starts last year including three Handicap
event over three different surfaces and concluded this excellent year by winning the G3
River City Handicap at 23-1 and makes his Southern California debut for trainer Patrick
Biancone with a good pace scenario to set up for his late kick that was so affectively in his
only victory in North America. He is adaptable to any surface or race course as evidenced
by his four wins last year. He won over the all weather surface in Wolverhampton and Ling
Field in his first two wins of last year. He came back and a six furlong sprint down a straight
at Hamilton on the turf course in his third win of last year and narrowly missed his fourth
win by a neck over at Goodwood over a right handed course to be second carrying one
hundred thirty three pounds spotting the winner nine pounds. Though he failed to capture
or finish in the money in a Group Stakes in Europe, he had solid form coming into his U.S.
debut in the G3 River City Handicap and overcame a less than ideal trip to score the length
and a half victory at 23-1 in what has returned to be a strong race. In that event, the Red
Ransom gelding found himself in congestion early racing between Erronous ID and
Courtnall tracking the leisurely early pace set by long shot Chief Export. Continuing to race
between those two horses down the backstretch and around the far turn, he angled off
them towards the outside entering the stretch spotting the leader a length and half
advantage and worn down that rival in deep stretch to pull clear covering his final three
furlongs in a excellent 35.38 seconds and covering his final furlong in
11.73 seconds. The strength of his G3 victory was validated when the third place finisher,
Ballast, captured the G3 Tropical Turf Handicap on December
2 at Calder Race Course earning a Beyer Speed Figure of 98 in the process.
Though he is making his first start off a layoff of ninety two days, he won in the River City
Handicap off a layoff of two months and finished fourth beaten only two and quarter lengths
in a twenty seven horse field off a layoff of more than six weeks back in June at Ascot.
Moreover, National Turf’s Andy Harrington has been impressed by what this bay turned in
his morning work outs to put him on his Ready to Roll list for this event. He worked five
furlongs in 59.4 on January 23 over Hollywood Park’s Cushion Track where he recorded a
“Monster drill best over Kitty Hawk (48.0) to the wire going 35.4, 59.1 finishing huge while
working 6 furlongs on out watch in 111.1. Terrific prospect,” and concluded with a sharp
half mile move in
46.4 that was the best of 31 that morning where he “Was reaching out like a good thing in
this solo 1/2 mile over looking right on edge in 35.3, 47.2.
Doing well.” Though he is winless in six starts at the one mile distance, he will receive
plenty of pace to set up for his late kick with Cervelo being forwardly placed on or close to
the pace likely set by Sweet Return with Night Chapter being forwardly placed sitting this
race ripe for a closer with class and a excellent late at Bayeux fits that profile as our long
shot most probable winner and BEST BET on the card but do not expect to get close to his
10-1 on the morning line as he is my second choice on my morning line.
Wagering Strategies:
Play the (8) BAYEUX to WIN (Minimum fair odds of 7-2 or better) Trifecta part-wheel: 8
over 1, 4, 5, 9 over 1, 4, 5, 9 = $12 for a $1 Wager Trifecta part-wheel: 1, 4, 5, 9 over 8
over 1, 4, 5, 9 = $12 for a $1 Wager
Santa Anita Race 7 Pick 4
Race 7: (1) Ravel, (3) Time Squared, (6) Liquidity, (7) Kolo Race 8: (1a) Charmo, (4) Boule
d’ Or, (8) Bayeux, (9) Toasted Race 9: (6) MIDNIGHT LUTE Race 10: (3) Jake La Gold, (7)
Hurry Home Warren, (10) Beyond the Rain
Main Ticket: 1, 3, 6, 7 / 1, 4, 8, 9 / 6 / 3, 7, 10 = 4 x 4 x 1 x 3 x $1 =
$48
PICK SIX SINGLES
BAYEUX (Race Eight, 10-1)
MIDNIGHT LUTE (Race Nine, 9-5)
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02-03-07 09:35 PM |
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trapgame
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 366
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ATS LOCK CLUB
20 units on Nevada (-10) over Hawaii, 8:00
8 units on Iowa (+3) over Indiana, 2:00
8 units on Colorado (+11 1/2) over Oklahoma State, 4:00
6 units on Arkansas (-2) over Kentucky, 1:00
6 units on Oregon (+3) over USC, 3:30
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GATOR REPORT
Gator's 70% Situations (E-Report "Free Newsletter" since Nov 28th thru Jan 8th NBA 14-7 ATS +6.30 units) (Combined NBA, NFL, CFB, CBB 34-19 ATS +13.10 Units on our E-Report)
NBA (Saturday): Play Under NBA teams when the total is 210+ when both teams involved have a winning record on the season.
(40-8 Under since 1996.) (83.3%) PLAY: LA Lakers / Washington UNDER 217.5
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Guaranteed Pick: Ben Burns
MAIN EVENT *13-1 L14
Game: Washington St. at Arizona St. Feb 3 2007 7:30PM
Prediction: Arizona St.
Reason: I'm taking the points with ARIZONA STATE. The Sun Devils fell way behind against Washington on Thursday. They fought hard though and almost completely erased a 44-21 halftime deficit, pulling within three points in the final minute and eventually losing by only five. I expect the Sun Devils to carry momentum from that strong second half into this evening's game. The Cougars typically operate at a much slower pace than the Huskies and that's generally to Arizona State's liking. The Sun Devils are 3-0 ATS the last three times they faced a team which allows 64 points or less and are now 6-1 ATS against teams which allow 64 points or less after having played at least 15 games of the season. The Cougars, who have a revenge game vs. Stanford on deck, may be ripe for a letdown after their upset win at Arizona. Note that they are just 10-30 SU the last 40 times they were coming off a win vs. a conference rival. The Cougars have been profitable against top tier teams but tend to struggle with weaker teams. In fact, they ware just 1-6 ATS against teams with a losing record this season. Look for them to struggle this evening, falling to 6-14 ATS their last 20 games against teams with a losing record.
WAC Conference GAME OF THE YEAR *6-1 L7
Game: Boise St. at Louisiana Tech Feb 3 2007 8:00PM
Prediction: Louisiana Tech
Reason: I'm taking the points with LOUISANA TECH. After posting back to back victories over Idaho and New Mexico State, the Bulldogs have dropped their last three games. Despite coming up short in the win/loss column, the Bulldogs battled hard in each of the losses though. Three games ago they were tied at halftime at Nevada. Two games ago they lost by just six (as 12 point underdogs) at Fresno State. Last game, they lost by single digits (79-71) vs. Nevada. The Broncos represent a step down in class from the Wolfpack and they've really struggled away from home. In fact, after losing by double-digits at New Mexico State on Wednesday, they are just 2-8 in 10 road games this season. Making matters worse for the Broncos is the fact that they'll be playing their third game in a row away from home. Regardless of the travel schedule, winning in Ruston, La., never has been easy for the Broncos. Indeed, BSU has only one win at the Thomas Assembly Center and set a school record for fewest points in a game (36) in a loss there in the 2001-02 season. The Bulldogs will be highly motivated to avenge an ugly 26-point loss at Boise State three weeks ago. Look for them to rise to the occasion and score the upset, improving to 6-2 the last eight times they were attempting to avenge a loss of 20 or more points. *WAC Conference Game of the Year
PERSONAL FAVORITE (12-3 YTD!)
Game: Miami (FL) at Virginia Feb 3 2007 8:00PM
Prediction: Miami (FL)
Reason: I'm taking the points with MIAMI. The Hurricanes have been struggling. They were crushed by North Carolina last time out and have now lost five straight. This should be a good spot for a Miami "cover" though as their recent losses have helped create a nice generous number. The Cavaliers have been playing very well at home all season. However, they should be ripe for a "letdown," after back to back thrilling comeback victories. Two games ago, Virginia erased a 16-point deficit and scored the game's final 15 points to beat #19 Clemson by one point. They followed that up by coming back to force OT en route to a two-point victory over Duke. While the Cavs have been able to rise to the occasion against elite teams, they are just 1-6 ATS their last seven lined games against teams with losing records and 9-23 ATS their last 32. Looking back at the Cavs' last eight games and we find that they haven't beaten anyone by more than 13 points. Expect another relatively close affair with the Hurricanes improving to 6-1 ATS the last seven times they were road underdogs of +12 to +15 points.
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02-03-07 09:39 PM |
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trapgame
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 366
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DR BOB
4 Star Selection
****Northwestern (+20) over WISCONSIN
11:00 AM Pacific - Rotation 557
Wisconsin is coming off an emotionally draining loss at Indiana and big home favorites have a tendency to letdown after losing to a good team on the road. The Badgers apply to a very negative 14-63-1 ATS situation that is based on that premise while Northwestern applies to an incredible 42-5-1 ATS subset of a 98-38-4 ATS big road underdog situation that won for me a few weeks ago when lowly Arizona State stayed within a huge number at UCLA. Wisconsin is an incredible 52-28-2 ATS at home under coach Bo Ryan, but the Badgers are just 7-10 ATS as a home favorite of more than 17 points and the slow pace of this game will make it tough for Wisconsin to cover such a big number. Taking the slow pace into account my ratings favor the Badgers by just 18 points and I’ll take Northwestern in a 4-Star Best Bet at +20 points or more, for 3-Stars from +19 ½ to +18 and for 2-Stars at +17 ½ or +17 points.
3 Star Selection
***Duquesne (+2) over SAINT BONAVENTURE
11:00 AM Pacific - Rotation 563
Duquesne is 11-4 ATS under first year coach Ron Everhart, and he’s looking like a genius lately. Everhart doesn’t have a ton of talent but he decided that his team could compete better if he used all 10 players in a full court pressure defensive. Everhart used a week off between games on the 14th and 21st of January to install the new offensive and defensive systems and the results have been immediate. All 10 players are playing about 20 minutes per game and the fresh bodies and constant pressure have flustered even superior teams, as consecutive upset wins over Dayton, Temple, and Xavier would attest. In 4 games using full court defensive pressure the Dukes have forced an average of 24.3 turnovers per game and are 4-0 ATS and I’d favor Duquesne by 7 points in this game if they continue to play at the level that they’ve played the last 4 games. Of course, 4 games isn’t enough of a sample to suggest that the Dukes are really that much better than before the new defensive system was installed, but my ratings favor Duquesne by 1 points using all games for the season and St. Bonaventure applies to a negative 34-94-6 ATS weak home court situation. I certainly don’t mind going against a Bonnies team that is just 37-54-1 ATS in all games in 4 seasons under coach Anthony Solomon, including 14-27 ATS at home. I’ll take Duquesne in a 3-Star Best Bet at pick or underdog and for 2-Stars at -1.
2 Star Selection
**TEXAS (-7 ½) over Kansas State
12:30 PM Pacific - Rotation 582
Kansas State has won 6 straight games while going 5-0 ATS in those contests. However, the Wildcats are due for a letdown based on a very negative 31-102-6 ATS situation that plays against teams on a win streak. Texas has also picked up their level of play since conference play began and the Longhorns have a history of success in Big 12 games under coach Barnes – especially against teams that they can beat. Texas is now 48-19-2 ATS in regular season conference games against teams with a win percentage of .750 or less as long as they’re not favored by more than 13 points. My ratings only favor Texas by 7 points, but I’m willing to give up some line value to play the Longhorns in a very good situation, especially since Barnes’ young team is improving. I’ll take Texas in a 2-Star Best Bet at -8 points or less and I’ll make Texas a 3-Star Best Bet at -7 points or less.
3 Star Selection
***Oregon State (+22) over UCLA
02:30 PM Pacific - Rotation 603
UCLA reclaimed 1st place in the Pac-10 with a win over Oregon on Sunday and I don’t see the Bruins getting pumped up to face an Oregon State team that is just 1-9 in conference play. Oregon State applies to a very good 212-107-7 ATS huge road underdog situation and the fact that the Bruins already beat the Beavers by 15 points in Corvallis is another reason for UCLA to relax today. My ratings favor UCLA by 20 points, but the situation only applies at +21 points or more, so that’s what my cutoff will be. I’ll take Oregon State in a 3-Star Best Bet at +22 points or more and for 2- Stars at +21 ½ or +21 points.
3 Star Selection
***Ball State (+16) over AKRON
01:00 PM Pacific - Rotation 615
Ball State is just 6-12 ATS this season but the line has adjusted and the Cardinals are actually 3-2 ATS their last 5 games and the line is fair in this game (my ratings favor Akron by 15 ½ points). Ball State applies to a very strong 42-5-1 ATS subset of a 98-38-4 ATS big road underdog situation and I’ll take Ball State in a 3- Star Best Bet at +15 points or more and for 2-Stars at +14 ½ points.
Opinions/Possible Best Bets
PENN STATE (+1 ½) over Purdue
9 am Pacific Rotation #532
Purdue has lost 29 consecutive road games and the Boilermakers are 0-16-2 ATS in those games when they are not getting more than 13 points. This is the 3rd time that Purdue has been favored on the road during that span and they are obviously 0-2 straight up in those games. Both of those games as a road favorite were actually this season, a 70-89 loss at Indiana State and a 59-65 loss at Minnesota. The line has obviously been adjusted somewhat for Purdue’s long road losing streak, but I would favor Penn State by 0.3 points after adjusting for Purdue’s additional road disadvantage. If Penn State by 0.3 points is the true line then Penn State would have a profitable 56.2% chance of covering at +2 points, 53.8% at +1 ½ points and a break-even 52.3% at +1. I’ll lean with Penn State at +1 ½ or more.
Nebraska (+7) over MISSOURI
10:30 am Pacific Rotation #545
Nebraska is just 1-5 straight up and 1-5 ATS in Big 12 play, including 0-3 SU and ATS in their last 3 games. However, the Cornhuskers apply to an 18-1 ATS subset of an 80-36-4 ATS road underdog bounce-back situation and Missouri has also struggled in conference play (2-5 straight up). My ratings would favor Missouri by just 6 ½ points using a standard home court advantage, but Nebraska has struggled on the road this year and my ratings favor Missouri by 8 points after applying an additional home court advantage. I’ll lean with the Cornhuskers at +7 or +7 ½ and I’ll take Nebraska in a 2-Star Best Bet if the line goes back up to +8 points or more.
Georgia State (+18 ½) over VIRGINIA COMMONWEALTH
11 am Pacific Rotation #565
VCU had a 10 game win streak snapped at Hofstra on Wednesday and they are likely to be a bit flat for this game. Georgia State, meanwhile, is coming off an impressive home win over NC Wilmington and that win sets the Panthers up in a very good 40-9-1 ATS subset of an 162-83-6 ATS road underdog momentum situation. My ratings favor VCU by 19 ½ points so I’ll just lean with Georgia State at +18 ½ and I’ll take Georgia State in a 2-Star Best Bet at +19 points or more and for 3-Stars at +20 points or more.
Gonzaga (-9 ½) over PEPPERDINE
12:30 pm Pacific Rotation #579 Gonzaga is coming off an impressive upset win at Stanford and that win actually sets the Zags up in a very good 24-2-1 ATS subset of an 86-39-2 ATS road favorite momentum situation. Pepperdine is just 1-5 ATS at home this season (compared to 12-4 ATS away from home), but my ratings only favor Gonzaga by 8 ½ points. Despite the very good situation I’m not thrilled with giving up a full point of line value, so I’ll just consider the Zags an opinion at -9 ½ or -10. I’ll take Gonzaga in a 2-Star Best Bet if the line drops to -9 points or less.
GEORGE MASON (-3 ½) over Old Dominion
3 pm Pacific Rotation #614
Old Dominion beat me the other night with their win at Drexel, but the Monarchs are still just 13-30-1 ATS after a conference win when facing a .500 team or better and George Mason has a long history of success in conference home games under coach Larranaga. The Patriots are 50-30-1 ATS in conference home games in Larranaga’s tenure, including 21-9 ATS when not favored by more than 6 points. Old Dominion’s upset win at Drexel actually sets up the Monarchs in a negative 57-117-5 ATS letdown situation, so there is a good general situation to go along with the favorable team trends. Unfortunately, my ratings favor George Mason by only 2 ½ points and I’m not willing to give up a full point of line value to make the Patriots a Best Bet. I’ll consider George Mason an opinion at -3 ½ or -4, but I’ll take George Mason in a 2-Star Best Bet at -3 points or less.
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Alatec>>> 20* Ark
Lt Profits>> S.hall
Blazer>>4*s.ill
Sports Reporter >> 4*'s Vcu////lou
Pacf.star>>> 5*t.am
Mike Rose>>5*t.am////5* Over Suns
Aplay>>> Top S.ill
Fiest>>> Inner Circle Louv.????heat
Scott Spritzer>> Insider Bobcats//// Tko G.o.y. Syr////// 5*hammer S.alb??wizards
Stevens>>>> 20* Wizards
Cokin>>>under The Hat Penn.st//suns//virg
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02-03-07 09:41 PM |
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