StatFox.com - Sports Handicapping Community

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping

StatSharp.com - Advanced Sports Betting Analytics

StatSharp.com - Advanced Sports Betting Analytics StatSharp.com - Advanced Sports Betting Analytics StatSharp.com - Advanced Sports Betting Analytics

The FoxDen Forum : Powered by vBulletin version 2.3.0 The FoxDen Forum > Sports Handicapping, Trends, and Stats > Would appreciate confirmation (Nick? someone else?) that I am doing this correctly
StatSharp.com - Advanced Sports Betting Analytics
Search The Fox Den Forum:

Subscribe to this Thread


Last Message   Next Message
    
Author
Message    Post A Reply
qs185
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 1866

Would appreciate confirmation (Nick? someone else?) that I am doing this correctly

Thanks in advance to anyone taking the time to look over this for me.

I am a new member, and I figure the game is over, so hopefully it's okay to discuss openly - if not, I apologize in advance.

I think I am doing this correctly, but would appreciate someone verifying that. Also, there seems to be confusion (at least I'm a little confused) as to whether or not a play is an "official" play if the star difference is less than 20.

I thought I saw in another thread that Nick said that he would still play it, but at 5% instead of 10%. So,

Question 1)
Is the following correct?
If the biggest difference is less than 20 stars, and the game estimator agrees, play it at 5%. If the difference is more than 20 stars, and the game estimator agrees, play it at 10%.

Question 2)
Is it only an "official" Nick system star play if the difference is more than 20 stars?


Question 3)
Is there 1 and only 1 game per day, even if there are more plays with high star rating differences?
For example, if there is a game with a 25 star difference and a game with a 28 star difference, and the game estimator agrees with both plays, ONLY the 28 star game would be played.



For tonight's Tampa Bay / Baltimore game, here is what I came up with:


For Baltimore (all against the money line) :

StatFox Super Situations
There are 5 situations with a total rating of 17 stars.

StatFox Matchup Power Trends against similar type opponents
There are 7 trends with a total rating of 6 stars.

StatFox Situational Power Trends
There are 5 trends with a total rating of 2 stars.


Total for Baltimore: 17+6+2 = 25


For Tampa Bay:

StatFox Super Situations favoring
There are 1 situations with a total rating of 2 stars.

StatFox Situational Power Trends
There are 5 trends with a total rating of 9 stars.

Total for Tampa Bay: 2+9 = 11

Difference: 14 in favor of Baltimore

The game estimator shows Baltimore winning 4.6 to 3.9, so it favors Baltimore.

Thus, Baltimore was a play (still not sure if it was an "official" play)


Thanks and good luck,
Bart

Old Post 04-22-03 06:38 AM
qs185 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for qs185 Click here to Send qs185 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
jeffn86
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2003
Posts: 1724

Baltimore was the top play today, so yes, it was the official play.
The system allows for only one "TOP" play each day which has been documented at 20-2 this season. Play the others at your own risk, they are not part of the "TOP PLAY SYSTEM".

You have done everything right so far, concerning the STAR SYSTEM.

Keep playing the TOP Play each day, and also explore other ways to win.

Good luck.

Old Post 04-22-03 06:47 AM
jeffn86 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for jeffn86 Edit post   Report post
nasche


Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 70

yes on the 5%

Nick did post earlier if under 20 stars and agrees with estimator he would play a 5% bet not 10%.

Old Post 04-22-03 07:13 AM
nasche is offline Click Here to See the Profile for nasche Edit post   Report post
qs185
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 1866

Thanks

Thanks for the replies.

Now let's win some (well, for you folks, some more) MONEY!!!

I will be looking into other ways to make good use of the data, will let everyone know what (if anything) I find.

Good Luck,
Bart

Old Post 04-22-03 07:49 AM
qs185 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for qs185 Click here to Send qs185 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
z24skibum
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 3465

another question...

This is a follow up to the original question with a question of my own. I just joined the forum after finding out about it from covers.com where Nick got booted...

In regards to Nick's Star System, I thought the difference between two teams had to be at least 20 stars?

In the previous example, the difference is only 14 stars and that's a top play? I just wanted to confirm the top play has to be a team that has more than 20+ stars, or a difference of 20 or more stars. I apologize for any confusion and if the answer is posted somewhere else that I haven't found yet, I apologize again!

Thanks!

Old Post 04-27-03 01:22 AM
z24skibum is offline Click Here to See the Profile for z24skibum Click here to Send z24skibum a Private Message Edit post   Report post
qs185
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 1866

Welcome aboard.

My current understanding ...

If the total amount of differences in the stars is less than 20, Nick will play it at 5% and it will NOT be considered to be a "Nick system play".

If the difference is 20 or more, then Nick will play it at 10% and it WILL be considered to be a system play.

Good Luck,
Bart

Old Post 04-27-03 01:44 AM
qs185 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for qs185 Click here to Send qs185 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Murdock


Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 351

I think it is a system play, as long as it is the biggest play of the day (even under 20 stars and 5% bankroll). Im not an expert but thats my take.

Old Post 04-27-03 01:51 AM
Murdock is offline Click Here to See the Profile for Murdock Click here to Send Murdock a Private Message Edit post   Report post
z24skibum
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 3465

awesome!

You guys are the best! As we speak, I am signing up for the statfox sheets and follow this system to the bank! Thanks for all of your help!

Old Post 04-27-03 02:05 AM
z24skibum is offline Click Here to See the Profile for z24skibum Click here to Send z24skibum a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Post A Reply
  
  Last Message   Next Message

Quick Links: