THE THEORY IS BASED ON SVERAL ASSUMPTIONS.......THERE ARE SEVERAL GOOD TEAMS THAT GET OFF TO SLOW STARTS...SOME VERY BAD TEAMS START OFF UNEXPECTDLY GOOD....THIS HAPPENS TO GOOD & BAD PITCHERS ALSO....ADD THAT TO VEGAS PUTTING LINES BASED ON LAST YEARS PERFORMANCES......BY PLAY THE DOGS OF +110 OR GREATER UNTIL MAY 1 OR UNTIL YOU HAVE REACHED THE DOLLAR FIGURE YOU SET FOR YOURSELF.....THIS SHOULD GIVE YOU SOME EARLY SEASON VALUE AND A CUSHION FOR ACTUAL BASEBALL HANDICAPPING....I HAVE ONLY PERSONALLY DONE THIS FOR A COUPLE YEARS, HOWEVER LAST YEAR MY GOAL OF 1500 WAS REACHED BY THE MIDDLE OF APRIL....THE OLD TIMER THAT GAVE THIS TO ME, SAYS IT WORKS EVERY YEAR.....I PERSONALLY CAN'T VERIFY THAT.....MY GOAL THIS YEAR IS 3000.....HOPE THIS CLARIFIES FOR THOSE INTERESTED.....GLTA