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raypedro
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 1910

Working on a system, and a Question for you guys

Hey guys, I am currently working on a streak system, that seems great. Its not just betting w/ the best and against the worst in baseball, its much more than that. Giving it a few more days before I post some results.

Anyways, I have 4 games today w/ Nicks star system

+60
+45
+30
+25

are we still going w/ all of them above 20 or just the top play. Not to mention we all know who the top play is, so are we passing that up and going to the 45 as the highest.

Some thoughts would be great. Thanks

Old Post 04-23-03 08:25 PM
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rookie
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 626

estimator

The 30* and the 25* don't have the game estimator on their side.
So I think you are supposed to pass on those.

Old Post 04-23-03 08:29 PM
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Pete Rose
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 1084

I've decided to split my bankroll in 2.

One roll is simply for the top play -- and the top play only each day. Making a killing here... cut off by my local guy.

Other roll is for other plays including other 20+ star plays and selections I make using my normal capping strategies. Winning at about 65% for the year but doesn't compare with the Nicks system.

Old Post 04-23-03 08:32 PM
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raypedro
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Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 1910

the 30* has the estimator on its side I think

Old Post 04-23-03 08:32 PM
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Pete Rose
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 1084

I should say... 65% for the baseball season.

Football kicked me in the sack this year :(

Old Post 04-23-03 08:33 PM
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Pete Rose
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Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 1084

Yes... the 30* has the Estimator advantage.

Old Post 04-23-03 08:34 PM
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raypedro
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Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 1910

Does the Game Estimator have to have a star, or just a difference in Runs.

Also, what do you think we should do about the 60 vs the 45

What are you guys putting at #1

Old Post 04-23-03 08:38 PM
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v-horn
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 299

Here is what all the plays have done from 4/14 - 4/22 (25 + stars)

14-Apr
GIANTS 34w


15-Apr
twins (72)w


16-Apr
twins (60)w
giants (51)l

17-Apr
twins (80)w

18-Apr
royals (52) w
cards (25) w

19-Apr
royals (51) w
cardinals (41) l

20-Apr
royals(58) w
cards (40) l
bluejays(26) l

21-Apr
orioles (14) w

22-Apr
a's (84) w

This might help some who wanted to know how stars over 25 have been doing.

Old Post 04-23-03 08:56 PM
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Pete Rose
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Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 1084

I doesn't have to have the star... but if it does, I make a note of that and sometimes adjust my play accordingly.

Old Post 04-23-03 08:56 PM
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rookie
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 626

You are both right. I mixed them up when I wrote them down. Thanks

Old Post 04-23-03 09:16 PM
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rookie
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 626

I personally have two BR one for the top play and the other for trying different things or other bets I like. Of course the second br is smaller and so are the bets. So to answer your question I am betting them both but the top play for 10%.

Old Post 04-23-03 09:21 PM
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jeffn86
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Registered: Mar 2003
Posts: 1724

V-horn

Are the plays you listed in agreement w/ the Estimator?

Old Post 04-23-03 09:40 PM
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Nick
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Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 1786

Not to throw a monkey wrench in but for additional validation my pitcher system has L.A at a77% chance of winning and Oakland at 85% chance of winning. Other plays over 70% chance of winning Cubs 77% and Boston 76%. I haven't tracked for the year yet just starting since the pitchers are starting to get about 4 or 5 games under their belt.

Old Post 04-23-03 09:44 PM
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v-horn
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Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 299

yes

Old Post 04-23-03 09:45 PM
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