I am going with Orlando today. I think they match up well against Detroit at both ends. Tracy McGrady is just too good a shooter. I question Ben Wallace's health. If Wallace is not 100%, I don't think that Detroit will be able to control the glass. Look for T-Mac to get quite a few second chance shots.
As for the over, Orlando has a real bad habit of letting teams match them jumper for jumper. I think Detroit will win a close high scoring game. This is one of those that could end up in overtime. I am picking Detroit to win 99-96. That score could easily end up in Orlando's favor though.
I have to disagree on this game. I don't normally fade the estimator on my NBA plays, but I think that the 4 points is just way too few for a #1 vs #8 matchup. Orlando is such a paper thin team with only McGrady capable of making a difference in a game. Don't think Detroit won't be ready for him.
I don't want to make the same mistake I made yesterday with Milwaukee. Defense is turned up a notch in the playoffs and from that standpoint this series is a mismatch. If anything was proven yesterday in the Mil/NJ game, its that there is a reason one team was seeded higher than the other.
In the other Eastern conference game, I like New Orleans +5. The Hornets and Sixers are way more evenly matched than Orlando and Detroit, and the dog is getting more points. This is one I think will be decided in the final minute and could go either way.
In the west, staying away today. I want to see how the early action in the Min/LA series shakes out before I play anything.
GL though...if McGrady can have a Paul Pierce like performance, Orlando could hang in it.
I love the NO pick this may very well be one to push the grain unless BOSTON is for real which is unlikely but a good effort yesterday.
I wont chose in the LA game but the OVER is so prevalant I will prolly play second half numbers when presented. But curious what is on the MINNY team you like? KG? I mean is he enough? LA has stepped it up....
Played Minny for a few reasons.
1- The Lakers would take this game lightly being the better talent and would win in seven anyways.
2- Thought Minny would give it their all to keep the advantage that they busted their ass all year to get and not give it up the 1st game.
3- Thought Minny might have more than one game-plan of attack for a victory. Lakers have the best assistant coaches (I've seen their results in the past) and took Minny out of their game. They seemed lost on their home court.
4- Whole net on LA and this has been a crazy playoffs so far.
5- Closing lines for the 1st day of the playoffs were 3-5 against the opening line. I know it's a small sample. So far today 1-1 with NO being the third play.
5- Minny previously dominating at home, dogs to a Laker team that not that strong on the road.
6- Another line move trend that I follow dictated Minny.
7- Minny cashed 5 of 6 as home dogs and 11 of its last 13 as home dogs of three points or less.