Here is my starting point when considering to play either a home or road underdog.
1. Can the dog win the game outright? If so, the dog with the points becomes more appealing. From here, I look deeper into the stats and trends provided on foxsheets.
2. The public loves the favorite. Perfect example would be Detroit tonight. The line opened at Pacers +3 and moved to +5 before tip-off. The public was pounding detroit all day long, thereby increasing the value on Indiana at the end.
3. If you consistently play favorites, you will consistently lose money.
There us incredible value to be had with dogs, especially when they are home.