NFL WEEK 6 SPOT BETS TO KNOW

LETDOWN SPOT: Arizona at Green Bay -5

The Cardinals are coming off a huge comeback win as +7 dogs over the 49ers in Week 5, outscoring Niners 13-0 in second half to beat San Fran for first time since Nov. 2021.

Arizona now travels to Green Bay, where Sunday's forecast calls for temps below 60 and gusts of 20+ mph.

The Cardinals are an incredible 0-9 SU and 3-6 ATS off a win going back to the 2022 season.

LOOKAHEAD SPOT: Houston at New England +7

Not that you need more reasons to fade the Patriots, but New England has a busy week ahead.

It's getting ready for the Texans in Week 6 but also ironing out the logistics for its trip to London in Week 7, facing the Jaguars at Wembley Stadium.

This Patriots team is busted on both sides of the ball, especially on the offensive line and defense. The health status and travel availability of certain players will be a mess.

Since 2021, teams playing an international game are a collective 9-15-1 ATS the week prior to leaving.

SCHEDULE SPOT: Cleveland at Philadelphia -8.5

The Browns are living out of a suitcase this month, playing their third straight road game at Philly in Week 6. This will also be the team's fourth road game in the past five weeks.

Cleveland has been outscored 47-67 as a visitor this year and going back to last season, the Browns are 4-8 SU and 3-7-1 ATS on the road. Also, the team is sticking with QB Deshaun Watson for Week 6. Soooooo...

The Eagles have a significant rest edge having enjoyed a bye in Week 5, giving them time to tighten the bolts and get WRs AJ Brown and DeVonta Smith back in action.

Underdogs of 5 or more points are 19-6-1 (76%) ATS this season

Big NFL Week 6 Dogs

Cardinals +5 at GB
Patriots +7 vs. HOU
Browns +8.5 at PHI
Commanders +6.5 at BAL
Panthers +6 vs. ATL

Broncos-Chargers total 35.5 points - lowest total this season.

UNDERs are 8-4 in games with totals under 40 points this year

Popular (+60% of bets) NFL Week 6 bets at BetMGM

81% on Lions -3
81% on Steelers -3
79% on Falcons -6
76% on Bills -2.5
74% on Commanders +6.5
71% on Bears -1.5
69% on Broncos +3
68% on Buccaneers -3.5

Week 6 NFL lopsided sides (by total bets) at ESPNBET


85% on Steelers -3
80% on Falcons -6
76% on Bucs -3.5
74% on Bengals -4
72% on Commanders +7
70% on Bills -2.5
68% on Lions -3
66% on Texans -6.5

Week 6 NFL lopsided sides (by total bets) at FanaticsBook


90% on Bucs -3.5
88% on Lions -3
82% on Steelers -3
82% on Falcons -6
75% on Broncos +3
72% on Bills -2.5
71% on Colts +2.5
69% on Bengals -3.5

Jaguars vs Bears (-2.5) (@ London)
Jaguars (1-4)
Jaguars got first win LW; Lawrence threw for 371 yards.
In five games, Jaguars are 14-54 on third down.
Last four games, Jaguars were outscored 74-32 in first half.
Team total: under 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-1

Jacksonville has been outscored 35-9 in last 2:00 of each half.
Jaguars are 6-2 ATS last eight games as a dog on the road.
QB Lawrence is 22-35 as an NFL starter.
Last 10 years, Jaguars are 9-30 ATS vs NFC opponents.
Jaguars won three of their last four games in England.
Jaguars are 12-19 ATS in last 31 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Bears (3-2)
Bears scored 24-24-36 points in their wins, 13-16 in losses.
Last two games, Chicago scored eight TD’s on 20 drives.
Bears have outscored opponents 63-32 in second half.
Team total: under 2-2-1
Opponents’ team total: under 5-0

Under Eberflus, Bears are 5-3-1 ATS as favorites.
Chicago is 10-7-1 ATS in last 18 games vs AFC teams.
Bears are 7-9 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Last two games, Chicago was +5 in turnovers.
Last nine years, Bears are 6-3 ATS in pre-bye games.

Bears won four of six series games.
Five of the six games were decided by 13+ points.

Texans (-7) @ Patriots
Texans (4-1)
Texans have wins by 2-6-4-3 points.
Their only loss was 34-7 at 5-0 Minnesota.
Last three games, Texans were outscored 44-20 in 2nd half.
Team total: under 4-1
Opponents’ team total: over 3-2

Since 2016, Texans are 2-9-2 ATS as road favorites (0-2 TY).
Houston is 5-9 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
2nd-year QB Stroud is 14-8 as an NFL starter.
Houston doesn’t have a takeaway in last three games (minus-5 TO’s).
Under is 4-0 in their last four games.

Patriots (1-4)
New England lost last four games, outscored 54-26 in first half.
Patriots have scored only five TD’s on their first 50 drives.
Patriots are 30-43 since Tom Brady left town.
Team total: under 3-1-1
Opponents’ team total: over 3-2

NE is 1-9-1 ATS in last ten games as a home underdog.
New England scored total of 26 points in their last three games.
Patriots were 11-40 on third down in those games.
Patriots are 4-11 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
Rookie QB Maye gets his first NFL start here.

New England won seven of last nine series games.
This is Texans’ first visit to Foxboro since 2018.
Over is 8-4 in last 12 meetings.

Commanders @ Ravens (-6.5)
Commanders (4-1)
Commanders won/covered last four games, scoring 38-42-34 points in last three.
First time since 1991 that Washington scored 38+ points in consecutive games.
Last four games, Commanders scored 14 TD’s, kicked 12 FG’s on 34 drives.
Team total: over 4-1
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2

Commanders are 8-3 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog (2-1 TY).
Washington converted 29 of last 52 third down plays.
Commanders are 19-9-1 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.
Washington is 8-4 ATS in last 12 games vs AFC opponents.
Over is 4-1 in Washington games this year.

Ravens (3-2)
Baltimore won last three games, scoring 28-35-41 points.
Ravens have outscored opponents 75-45 in first half.
Ravens have run ball for 211.1 yards/game.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1

Ravens are 6-3 ATS in last nine games as a home favorite.
Over is 4-1 in Baltimore’s games this year.
QB Jackson is 63-25 as an NFL starter.
Baltimore is 16-17 ATS in last 33 games coming off a win.
Ravens are 9-4 ATS in last 13 games vs NFC teams.

Teams split their last six series games.
Teams split their two meetings in Baltimore.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.

Browns @ Eagles (-8.5)
Browns (1-4)
Cleveland scored 17-18-15-16-13 points in its 1-4 start.
Browns are 12-66 on 3rd down so far, 9-15 on 4th down.
Browns have gained 230-297-217-152-215 yards so far.
Team total: under 5-0
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1

Browns are 5-10-1 ATS last 16 games as a road underdog.
QB Watson is 38-35 as an NFL starter, 9-8 with Browns.
Cleveland is 11-4-1 ATS in last 15 games coming off a loss.
Cleveland is 13-8-1 ATS in last 22 games vs NFC teams (0-3 TY).
Browns have averaged 2.7/4.8/3.3/4.3/3.0 yards/pass attempt.

Eagles (2-2)
Eagles have turned ball over eight times in four games (minus-6).
Eagles lost their only home game, 22-21 to Atlanta.
Philly has outscored opponents 24-10 in last 2:00 of each half.
Team total: under 3-1
Opponents’ team total: over 3-1

Philly won/covered its last three post-bye games.
Under Sirianni, Eagles are 11-8-1 ATS as a home favorite.
QB Hurts is 38-22 as an NFL starter.
Eagles are 2-7 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss.
Philly converted 18 of last 40 third down plays.

Eagles won four of last five series games.
Browns lost 29-10/30-10 in last two visits to Philly.
Under is 3-0-1 in last four meetings.

Cardinals @ Packers (-5)
Cardinals (2-3)
Arizona scored 28-24 points in splitting two road games (2-0 ATS)
Cardinals are 3-7 ATS last 10 games coming off a win.
In its two wins, Arizona outscored foes 31-7 in second half.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2

QB Murray is 30-40-1 SU as an NFL starter.
Cardinals are 16-8 ATS last 24 games as a road underdog.
Last three games, Arizona converted 8-30 on third down (14-24 first two games).
Last three games, opponents are 21-35 on third down.
Over is 4-1 in Arizona games this year.

Packers (3-2)
Green Bay’s two losses were 34-29/31-29.
Packers have 14 takeaways in five games (+7 turnovers)
Green Bay outscored last three foes 46-16 in second half.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2

Green Bay is 5-7-1 ATS in last 13 games as a home favorite.
Green Bay is 16-12-1 ATS in last 29 games coming off a win.
Last two games, Packers were 5-20 on third down.
Green Bay is 26-16-1 ATS in last 43 home games.
Over is 3-2 in their first five games.

Teams split their last eight meetings.
This is Cardinals’ first visit to Lambeau since 2018.
Under is 6-2-1 in last nine series games.

Buccaneers @ Saints (-2)
Buccaneers (3-2)
Buccaneers went to New Orleans on Tuesday to avoid a hurricane.
Bucs scored 33-30 points in their last two games (7 TD’s/19 drives).
Bucs are 6-4 ATS in last nine NFC South road games.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: over 3-2

Bucs are 8-2 ATS last ten games as a road underdog.
QB Mayfield is 45-50 as an NFL starter, 13-11 with Buccaneers.
Tampa Bay is 11-9-2 in last 22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Under is 17-10 in last 27 Tampa Bay road games.
Bucs are 5-2-1 ATS in last eight games coming off a loss.

Saints (2-3)
New Orleans lost its last two games, by 3-2-13 points.
Saints scored 47-44 points in wins, 12-24-13 in losses.
New Orleans has outscored opponents 89-52 in first half.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2

Saints are 7-9 ATS last 16 games as a home favorite.
Last week, Saints ran ball only 15 times, for 46 yards.
Last 5+ years, New Orleans is 20-13-1 ATS coming off a loss.
QB Carr is 74-91 as an NFL starter.
Saints are 9-11-2 ATS in las t22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points,

Tampa Bay won three of last four series games.
Bucs are 4-3 SU/ATS in last nine trips to Bourbon Street.
Under is 7-2 in last nine meetings.

Colts (-1) @ Titans
Colts (2-3)
All six Colts games were decided by 6 or fewer points.
Indy lost its two road games, 16-10 at Packers, 37-34 at Jaguars.
Just like LY, Indy is better off with its backup QB than Richardson.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: over 3-2

Last two weeks, Colts converted 15-29 third down plays.
Indy is 6-2 ATS in last eight games coming off a loss.
Flacco is 113-89 as an NFL starter, 5-10 since 2020.
Colts are 8-5 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.
Under Steichen, Colts are 10-5-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.

Titans (1-3)
QB Rudolph came off bench, led Titans to win in last game.
Tennessee is minus-7 in turnovers, have had two punts blocked.
Titans are 12-10-2 ATS in last 24 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Team total: under 3-1
Opponents’ team total: over 2-1-1

Tennessee won its last eight post-bye games (7-0-1 ATS)
Titans outgained three of four opponents, led three games at half.
Tennessee was 0-5 ATS LY in games coming off a win.
QB Levis is 4-9 as an NFL starter; Rudolph is 8-5-1.
Tennessee has averaged 5.3/5.3/4.9/4.6 yards/pass attempt.

Tennessee is 5-3 in last eight meetings.
Colts are 9-3 SU/ATS in last 12 visits to Nashville.
Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

Chargers (-3) @ Broncos
Chargers (2-2)
Chargers lost their last two games, scoring 10-10 points.
QB Herbert has had a sore ankle; check status.
Bolts are 18-25-2 ATS in last 45 games coming off a loss.
Team total: over 2-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-1

Chargers are 6-3-2 ATS last 11 games as road favorites.
Chargers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five post-bye games.
Chargers are 2-6-1 ATS in last nine AFC West road games.
QB Herbert is 32-35 as an NFL starter.
Under is 4-0 in their first four games.

Broncos (3-2)
Denver won last three games, giving up 7-9-18 points.
Broncos outscored last four opponents 43-14 in second half.
Denver is only 17-69 on third down conversions.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2

Denver is 6-2 ATS last eight games as a home underdog.
Last four opponents scored four TD’s on 45 drives.
Denver is 8-4-1 ATS in last 13 AFC West home games.
Broncos are 10-16 ATS in last 26 games coming off a win.
Three of Denver’s last four games stayed under the total.

Broncos are 8-3 in last eleven series games.
Chargers lost their last five visits to Denver (0-4-1 ATS).
Under is 4-1 in last five series games.

Steelers (-3) @ Raiders
Steelers (3-2)
Steelers allowed 10-6-10 points in wins, 27-20 in losses.
Last two games, Pittsburgh was outscored 23-6 in first half.
Since 2021, Steelers are 3-2 ATS as a road favorite.
Team total: under 4-1
Opponents’ team total: under 4-1

Last two games, opponents converted 17-30 on third down.
QB Fields is 13-30 as an NFL starter (3-2 with Steelers).
Pittsburgh is 14-9 in its last 23 games coming off a loss.
Steelers are 14-8-1 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or less points.
Under is 4-1 in their games this season.

Raiders (2-3)
Raiders have nine turnovers in five games (minus-7).
Las Vegas is 10-8-1 ATS in last 19 games following a loss.
Raiders’ two wins were by 3-4 points, losses by 12-14-16.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: over 3-2

Since 2019, Raiders are 9-9-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Overall, Raiders are 12-6-1 ATS in last 19 home games.
Opponents have converted only 18 of 60 third down plays.
QB Minshew is 17-25 as an NFL starter; Raiders are his 4th team.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.

Teams split their last eight meetings.
Steelers won 23-18 in Vegas LY; they lost last four visits to Oakland.
Under is 4-0 in last four series games.

Lions (-3.5) @ Cowboys
Lions (3-1)
Lions are 8-4 SU/10-2 ATS in last 12 post-bye games.
Detroit has converted 22 of 44 third down plays.
Opponents have converted 13 of 41 third down plays.
Team total: under 3-1
Opponents’ team total: under 3-1

Lions outscored last two opponents 46-17 in first half.
Detroit won its only road game 20-13 (-3) at Arizona.
Under Campbell, Detroit is 15-8 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under is 3-1 in their games this season.
Lions have outscored opponents 17-3 in last 2:00 of each half.

Cowboys (3-2)
Cowboys gave up 17-15-17 points in wins, 44-28 in losses.
Road team won/covered all five of their games.
Dallas is 21-15 ATS in last 36 games coming off a win.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2

Since 2018, Dallas is 6-2 ATS as a home underdog.
QB Prescott is 78-48 as an NFL starter.
Cowboys allowed 14.2/12.1 yards/pass attempt in their losses.
Cowboys allowed 2.7/6.8/4.3 yards/pass attempt in their wins.
Over is 3-2 in Dallas games this season.

Cowboys last five meetings (3-2 ATS).
Lions are 2-7 SU/4-5 ATS in last nine visits to Dallas.
Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

Falcons (-6) @ Panthers
Falcons (3-2)
Atlanta’s three wins are by 1-2-6 points.
Falcons scored 22-26-36 points in wins, 10-17 in losses.
Falcons won their only road game, 22-21 at Philly.
Team total: over 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2

Last two years, Atlanta was 1-4 ATS as a road favorite.
Falcons are 2-7 ATS last nine games coming off a win.
Atlanta is 11-6 ATS in last 17 NFC South road games.
QB Cousins is 80-72-2 as an NFL starter.
Falcons are 16-52 on third down, opponents 33-68.

Panthers (1-4)
Carolina’s four losses are by 37-23-10-26 points.
Carolina is 0-2 at home (26-3 to Chargers, 34-24 to Bengals)
Panthers have been outscored 105-45 in first half.
Team total: under 3-2
Opponents’ team total: over 4-1

Carolina is 3-6-1 ATS in last 10 games as a home underdog.
Panthers are 4-1-1 ATS in last six NFC South home games.
Over is 4-1 in Carolina games this year.
Panthers opponents are 30-64 on third down.
Dalton is 84-84-2 as an NFL starter, mostly with Cincinnati.

Teams split their last eight meetings.
Falcons lost 9-7/25-15 in last two visits to Charlotte.
Under is 7-2 in last nine series games.

Bengals (-3.5) @ Giants
Bengals (1-4)
Cincy is 1-4, with losses by 6-1-5-3 points.
Last four games, Bengals scored 25-33-34-38 points.
Last two games, Bengals scored 13 TD’s on 29 drives.
Team total: over 4-1
Opponents’ team total: over 3-1-1

Bengals are 10-6 ATS in last 16 games as a road favorite.
QB Burrow is 35-28-1 as an NFL starter.
Cincinnati is 19-11-1 ATS in last 31 games coming off a loss
Last four games, Bengal defense has allowed 26-38-24-41 points.
Bengals are 9-2-2 ATS last 13 games vs NFC teams.

Giants (2-3)
Giants are 0-2 at home (28-6 Vikings, 20-15 Cowboys)
Giants didn’t score a TD on 19 drives in their two home games.
Big Blue blocked FG for a TD to clinch last week’s win in Seattle.
Team total: under 3-2
Opponents’ team total: under 3-2

Four of their five games stayed under the total.
Under Daboll, Giants are 9-5-1 ATS coming off a win
Under Daboll, Giants are 8-4-1 ATS as a home underdog.
QB Jones is 25-40-1 as an NFL starter.
Opponents are only 20-59 on third down.

Giants won three of last four series games (wins by 2-1-3 points).
Bengals lost 21-20/26-23 in last two meetings in New Jersey.
Under is 5-1 in last six series games.