The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
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msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
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Belmont Oaks Invitational, Belmont at the Big A, Race #9
The 3-year-olds take center stage on the turf today with two big money races—the latter of the two being the Belmont Oaks for fillies. In recent years, you have to keep an eye on shippers who come in from Europe and this is no exception. #8 Cinderella’s Dream highlights the European shippers flying in for Charlie Appleby, who has had success for the last couple of years with this move. One of the keys to who runs well for him is when William Buick, his top jock, ships in as well. That’s the case today with Cinderella, who has been very consistent in three starts this year. She’s shown tactical speed in Europe and should improve with the added distance. The morning line of 9/2 seems high to me, but I like her down to 3-1.
The favorite, #7 She Feels Pretty was awesome in her seasonal debut to back up the form she showed at two. The waters get deeper here today with a couple of horses in from Europe and a solid Chad Brown. The 2-1 price is what keeps me away, but she is a major player.
The aforementioned Chad Brown sends out #2 Dynamic Pricing, who was impressive in winning the Edgewood last time out. She has faced some of the best in the US in the last three starts and more than held her own, winning twice. She will need pace to run into, but she has the kick to get home.
#5 Secret Satire looks to be the other main European threat. She struggled last time out, but the race two back puts her in this. She is 8-1 on the morning line and is more likely to hold that price. She has early speed but has struggled to relax early in her last two. If she matures here, she could be tough at a price.
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07-06-24 06:38 PM |
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