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Bowl record since 2012: 27-16 (62%) including 12-5 (70%) on best bets

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This week I'll tell you the two most important things to consider when handicapping bowl games

[b]NCAAF FREE Play:[/b]

UConn vs Marshall
Play on: UConn +5

[b]St Pete Bowl[/b]

The opening line caught my attentionat 3.5. _It has since gone up. _I think the public bought into something that looked to easy. _If its two good to be true, it probably is. _I wouldn't be surprised to see it come down a bit when the sharps jump back in. _Marshall had a good season at 9-3, despite all the losses in personnel from last years monster team. _I think the public still thinks those guys are there. _The offense is a mirror image of last years team. _This year they win with defense, which was pretty good against the pass. _UConn had a great season at 6-6. _You may look at that and think how can 6-6 be a great season. _Well, when you look at the past several seasons, you'll understand why. _This team is estatic to be in this bowl; Marshall? Not so much. _UConn plays pretty good defense. _They don't run it great, but the motivation factor will keep this a tight game, so take the points


[b]NFL FREE Play[/b]

Carolina vs Atlanta
Play On: Atlanta +7

These two met just 2 weeks ago which saw the Panthers pound the Falcons 38-0. _Rematches are tough when they come only a couple of weeks apart. _Carolina is a solid team. _You don't go 14-0 totally by luck. _But they could be a little flat with the wild win last week at NY and the fact they clinched homefield throughout the playoffs. _Atlanta got a badly needed win last week to keep their slim playoff hopes alive. _I look for them to play well in this game which should come down to the last possession