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richieg


Registered: Feb 2008
Posts: 149

FREE 2015 NFL and NCAA Football tips and trends ATS

BIO:
Rich Green is the editor of http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com , a free sports handicapping and information service. He has been a top ranked handicapper for over 40 years. He specializes in Football, Basketball and Baseball, all the major sports, and has won numerous contests in each.



YOU CAN GET THE COMPLETE 2015 NFL AND NCAA FOOTBALL ATS TRENDS BY GOING HERE: https://tinyurl.com/px7m92x This is the shortened version for statfox.com


(SCROLL DOWN FOR NFL TRENDS)



2015 NFL and NCAA Football Against The Spread (ATS) Trends

Here is a look before the 2015 College Football season starts on lined teams and some basic ATS trends:

Air Force -- 12-3 ATS vs Army, 0-6 ATS vs Wyoming

Akron -- 5-1 ATS with Rest off a win, 0-7 ATS vs Bowling Green

Alabama -- 8-0 ATS as non-Conf Favs <28.,5 pts, 0-5 ATS off back-to-back Straight Up losses

Appalachian State -- 4-1 ATS after scoring at least 28 points, 0-2 ATS vs non-Conference foes

Arizona -- 4-1 ATS vs Utah, 1-7 ATS off a Straight Up Dog win

Arizona State -- 9-0 ATS vs Washington, 2-8 ATS as beaten Favs

Arkansas -- 5-1 ATS off a Straight Up Dog win, 2-9 ATS before playing Alabama

Arkansas State -- 7-1 ATS as non-Conf Home Dogs, 1-6 ATS vs UL-Lafayette

Army -- 5-1 ATS as Home Favs, 0-14 ATS on the Road

Auburn -- 8-2 ATS after allowing >34.5 points, 1-6 ATS at Home after allowing <10.5 pts

Ball State -- 9-0 ATS after playing Eastern Michigan, 1-6 ATS in first of back-to-back Home Games

Baylor -- 5-0 ATS versus Texas, 1-7 ATS versus Tcu

Boise State -- 9-0 ATS in second of back-to-back Road games, 0-4 ATS vs New Mexico

Boston College -- 7-1 ATS before playing Wake Forest, 1-9 ATS as Road Favs >3.5 pts

Bowling Green -- 6-1 ATS on Weekdays, 0-7 ATS at Home with Rest

Buffalo -- New Head Coach, 4-0 ATS after playing Kent, 0-5 ATS as Weekday Road Dogs

BYU -- 6-0 ATS at Home as beaten Favs, 0-5 ATS vs Mountain West Conf

California -- 5-1 ATS after playing Oregon State, 1-5 ATS vs Usc

Central Michigan -- New Head Coach, 17-3 ATS as Conf Favs less than a TD, 0-5 ATS vs Toledo

Charlotte -- First lined year, out of the C-USA East Div

Cincinnati -- 4-0 ATS vs UConn, 0-6 ATS vs Miami

Clemson -- 6-1 ATS after playing Florida State, 0-3 ATS at South Carolina

Colorado -- 5-0 ATS at Home as beaten Favs, 0-9 ATS as Favs versus the Pac 12

Colorado State -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS vs poor opponents, 1-9 ATS before playing San Diego State

Connecticut -- 5-1 ATS as Road Favs vs poor opponents, 1-8 ATS vs Temple

Duke -- 7-0 ATS vs Virginia, 2-7 ATS vs Georgia Tech

East Carolina -- 6-1 ATS after playing Tulsa, 1-9 ATS with Rest

Eastern Michigan -- 5-0 ATS after playing Toledo, 0-7 ATS off Double-Digit Straight Up win

Florida -- New Head Coach, 7-1 ATS vs Kentucky, 0-7 ATS after scoring < a Touchdown

Florida Atlantic -- New Head Coach, 7-0 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games, 0-4 ATS vs Florida International

Florida International -- 6-1 ATS on the Road after scoring 35 or more points, 1-5 ATS off Weekday Play

Florida State -- 5-1 ATS vs Wake Forest, 0-7 ATS after a SU Dog win

Fresno State -- 4-0 ATS as beaten Favs, 1-5 ATS in the first of back-to-back Road events

Georgia -- 6-0 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win, 1-9 ATS with Rest

Georgia Southern -- 5-1 ATS after scoring at least 35 points, 1-3 ATS on the Road off back-to-back SU wins

Georgia State -- 5-0 ATS in non-Conference Play, 1-4 ATS as Home Dogs

Georgia Tech -- 5-0 ATS vs Florida State, 0-8 ATS on the Road vs opponents off a SU Dog win

Hawaii -- 4-0 ATS vs Air Force, 1-7 ATS in second of back-to-back Road Games

Houston -- New Head Coach, 9-1 ATS vs Tulane, 0-5 ATS after scoring 3 or less points

Idaho -- 7-3 ATS in first lined game, 0-5 ATS with Rest

Illinois -- 6-0 ATS at Penn State, 0-4 ATS vs Nebraska

Indiana -- 6-1 ATS as beaten Favs, 0-5 ATS at Michigan State

Iowa -- 12-1 ATS before playing Indiana, 0-8 ATS off 3+ ATS wins

Iowa State -- 7-0 ATS as Home Favs <10.5 pts, 1-10 ATS after playing Texas Tech

Kansas -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS vs Tcu, 1-13 ATS after playing Oklahoma

Kansas State -- 8-0 ATS after allowing >34.5 pts, 1-5 ATS at Home vs Oklahoma

Kent State -- 6-0 ATS after playing Bowling Green, 1-8 ATS as Home Favs off SU loss


Here is a look before the 2015 NFL Football season starts on teams and some basic ATS trends:


Arizona -- Coach is 11-0 ATS as Dog <4.5 points and 9-1 ATS off non-Division Play vs above avg rivals, 0-5 ATS on MNF, 1-8 ATS after allowing <10.5 pts

Atlanta -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS on Thursdays, 6-1 ATS off MNF, 0-5 ATS on the Road after scoring at least 35 pts, 1-7 ATS in the first of back-to-back Home games

Baltimore -- 5-0 ATS vs Miami, 6-1 ATS with Rest, 0-5 ATS as Dogs of at least a Touchdown, 1-6 ATS before playing Cleveland

Buffalo -- New Head Coach, 10-2 ATS versus Cincinnati, 9-2 ATS as Div Favs of at least a Field Goal, 1-8 ATS after playing New England, 0-6 ATS on the Road off a SU Dog win

Carolina -- 9-1 ATS with Conf Revenge, 11-3 ATS at New Orleans, 0-5 ATS before their Bye Week, 0-7 ATS after playing New Orleans

Chicago -- New Head Coach, 12-2 ATS before playing Detroit, 8-1 ATS as Road Favs off a SU Dog win, 1-14 ATS off non-Conference Play, 1-7 ATS before playing Minnesota

Cincinnati -- 9-0 ATS as non-Conference Home Dogs, 9-1 ATS after scoring <10.5 pts, 1-6 ATS vs opponents with Rest, 2-10 ATS vs Buffalo

Cleveland -- 5-0 ATS on Thursdays, 5-0 ATS after scoring <13.5 pts, 1-6 ATS at Home vs Baltimore, 2-7 ATS after playing Cincinnati

Dallas -- 10-0 ATS as non-Conference Dogs, 5-0 ATS with Rest and Revenge, 1-9 ATS as Home Favs TD or greater, 0-5 ATS on MNF

Denver -- New Head Coach, 6-0 ATS vs Oakland, 5-0 ATS with Rest, 1-5 ATS on MNF, 0-8 ATS vs Indianapolis

Detroit -- 8-1 ATS with Rest vs better than avg opponents, 7-1 ATS as MNF Favs, 0-8 ATS as Thursday Dogs, 0-5 ATS vs New Orleans

Green Bay -- 7-0 ATS before playing on MNF, 9-0 ATS with Rest, 0-6 ATS as two TD Favs or >, 0-5 ATS off MNF

Houston -- 9-1 ATS after playing Jacksonville, 7-1 ATS vs Tennessee, 0-4 ATS on Thursdays, 2-9 ATS after playing Tennessee

Indianapolis -- 11-1 ATS on Thursdays, 8-0 ATS vs Denver, 3-17 ATS at Home vs. New England, 0-6 ATS as Road Dogs with Revenge

Jacksonville -- 4-1 ATS with Rest, 4-1 ATS after playing Houston, 0-5 ATS as Favs of at least a TD, 0-5 ATS before playing Indianapolis

Kansas City -- 5-0 ATS vs AFC East, 9-0 ATS as non-Division Favs >7.5 pts, 1-11 ATS as Division Favs <6.5 points, 0-6 ATS after playing Oakland

Miami -- 7-1 ATS vs AFC West, 7-2 ATS vs San Diego, 0-6 ATS on MNF, 1-10 ATS as Home Favs >6.5 pts

Minnesota -- 6-0 ATS before Bye Week, 12-3 ATS as Home Dogs, 0-5 ATS with Rest, 0-6 ATS on MNF

New England -- 9-3 ATS vs Pittsburgh, 10-0 ATS as Dogs off a Double Digit SU loss, 1-5 ATS vs Jets, 2-16 ATS as Favs >11.5 pts

New Orleans -- 9-0 ATS vs NFC North, 6-1 ATS after playing Tampa Bay, 1-6 ATS vs NFC West, 0-6 ATS in 2nd of back-to-back Road games

NY Giants -- 6-1 ATS vs NFC North, 5-0 ATS vs Jets, 1-7 ATS in first of back-to-back Home games, 1-5 ATS as Home Dogs

NY Jets -- New Head Coach, 5-1 ATS before Bye Week, 8-2 ATS as Dogs vs AFC South, 1-6 ATS with Rest, 0-11 ATS as beaten Favs

Oakland -- New Head Coach, 5-0 ATS after scoring a TD or less, 5-1 ATS vs poor Conf rivals, 0-5 ATS before playing San Diego, 0-4 ATS before Bye Week

Philadelphia -- 6-1 ATS on the Road on MNF, 9-4 ATS vs Atlanta, 1-8 ATS vs NFC West, 1-8 ATS before playing Giants

Pittsburgh -- 9-1 ATS vs above avg opponents, 6-1 ATS before playing Cleveland, 1-7 ATS before playing Cincinnati, 1-6 ATS vs AFC West

St. Louis -- 6-1 ATS vs Washington, 13-0 ATS as Favs after scoring 35 or > points, 1-7 ATS on Thursdays, 1-8 ATS at Home vs NFC North

San Diego -- 11-0 ATS vs AFC South, 7-1 ATS at Denver, 0-7 ATS vs rivals with Rest, 1-6 ATS before playing Denver

San Francisco -- New Head Coach, 9-1 ATS on MNF, 8-2 ATS at Arizona, 0-8 ATS after allowing >27.5 pts, 1-6 ATS before playing St. Louis

Seattle -- 8-1 ATS on MNF, 11-0 ATS before playing San Francisco, 7-0 ATS vs San Francisco, 2-9 ATS on the Road in non-Conf Play, 0-3 ATS at St. Louis

Tampa Bay -- 5-1 ATS of Thursday Play, 7-0 ATS as Road Dogs after scoring at least 35 pts, 0-7 ATS before Bye Week, 1-7 ATS after playing New Orleans

Tennessee -- 5-1 ATS of Thursday Play, 5-0 ATS on MNF, 0-6 ATS before Thursday Play, 0-7 ATS after scoring at least 35 pts

Washington -- 12-3 ATS before playing Giants, 5-1 ATS before playing Dallas, 1-13 ATS at Home on MNF, 1-6 ATS with Rest




2015 NFL AND NCAA Football Wagering Tips

Emotion— The most important betting edge to know about in football wagering isn't statistics or numbers. The most important edge is emotion. Find the team that desires to win more than their opponent and they'll cover a high percentage of those events. This is true in all sports. But it is even more significant in a physical game like NCAA and NFL Football. Certain Coaches are much better than others in getting their teams ready for games by providing the impetus for emotion. Such Coaches as Frank Beamer, Paul Johnson, Bill Belichick and anyone named Harbaugh among others have all shown their worth in this area over the years.

Sandwich Games— Be careful of ‘sandwich' games. That is the game for a team that's in between two other more important games. The NFL split into different Divisions recently, with fewer teams in each Division. Since then we have both the AFC and NFC broken down into four Divisions consisting of four teams each. They are called the East, North, South and West. So now Division games are of even greater significance than in the past with fewer teams in each Division. When it comes to determining the Playoff picture, these games are the most important to each competing team.

If Seattle for example, early in the season, plays Arizona this week and San Francisco in two weeks, you know they're going to be focused on those two inter-Divisional games. But if the in-between game is against say Atlanta, a lesser out of Division team, be careful! Seattle will have most likely played a tough game the week before, and have an important tough game the following week. Starters may be pulled early against Atlanta, and those hurting from the previous game might not even play in this one.

Too many bettors jump on a team that has been covering on the ‘sandwich' game, laying way too much ‘wood'. The team usually wins, but fails to cover. Then the bettor jumps off of Seattle the following week against San Francisco because the bettor got burnt the week before in the sandwich game!

Line Movement— Sometimes line movement means nothing, and sometimes it means everything. When I wager (my favorite recreation), I want the line to be bet dead or move ˝ to one point with me. Not a lot of movement, but slightly in agreement with me. When a line moves more than one point, especially in the NFL, it can be a dangerous play. This can denote injuries or other late information such as weather, etc. But be careful, NFL teams are notorious for giving out misleading disinformation more so than any other sport.

Quite often with big line movement in the NFL, the final score falls in between the original line and the final line. This opens the door for ‘middlers', those who bet early one way and late the other way on the same game. I know several gamblers who make their living on this, and i have been successful myself at it. They give up the 10% ‘juice' in hopes of winning both ways. The most they can lose is 5% of their total bet. They clean up if one play pushes or wins and the other play wins.

NCAA football can be different though. With so many lined college games nowadays, big line movement can be bet on. For two years in a row in the early 1990's, the Ivy League football team that got the most line movement during the week won every single game those years. Every week! For games like these with fewer wagers on them, the line can easily move 3 to 5 points. Sometimes it can move even more. Beware of betting against this line movement, it generally is right. In the Colleges, stay away from wagering against consistent and massive line movement in one direction.

Here's wishing all Football bettors a great 2015 Football Wagering Season! Make sure to stop by the http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com site for tons of FREE Wagering Information, Contests, Lines, Scores, and more importantly, FREE Winners!

--Rich Green

Editor@FreeSportsLetter.com

http://www.FreeSportsLetter.com

Old Post 07-13-15 02:27 AM
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