4 NCAAF games this week, including a best bet in the night game as we start to get into the meat of the schedule. I am now in the top 5 of Prosportsmonitor NCAAF football handicappers. So far this season in NCAAF, I am hitting 57.7% (13-9), including 80% (4-1) on best bets.

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NCAAF Free Pick

Alabama vs. Kentucky
PLAY ON: Kentucky +27.5

Despite the record, Kentucky has played some decent football against some really good teams (Florida, South Carolina, and Louisville). They do get the short end of the schedule having to play a 3rd straight tough physical game against a very good Alabama team. Obviously, the talent level is a mismatch, with the Crimson Tide's potent offense and a defense that is starting to roll. But, that is why there is a 4 TD spread. The up tempo offense Kentucky has employed this season has produced some decent results: 5.0 ypc and 7.5 ypa. But they need to get better converting on 3rd down. The main concern with the Wildcat defense is they do give up some big plays. If they can limit those, they should be in decent shape as they only give up 36% on 3rd down. Surprisingly, the potent Alabama offense is only converting 42% on 3rd down. With an advantage in the kicking game, Kentucky should be able to stay within 4 TDs in front of an inspired home crowd this weekend.

Also, check my articles on "The Line", "Flat Bets" and "Measuring the Success of a Handicapper"

http://goarticles.com/article/Handicapping-101-The-Line/7648290/
http://goarticles.com/article/Handicapping-101-Flat-Bets/7560077/
http://goarticles.com/article/Measuring-the-Success-of-a-Handicapper/7353398/

Or visit my BLOG at www.acdinero.com