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cisco
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 8898

5RC off to a hot start

Two winners tonight with Milwaukee and the Giants!

17-0
gm1..12
gm2..4
gm3..0
gm4..1

5 games Thursday

http://tinyurl.com/74m9hfg

@5runMLBchase

Old Post 04-19-12 07:38 AM
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JaymzPhoenix


Registered: Mar 2011
Posts: 170

Loving this system. Keep it up Cisco!




NBA Strong Unders: 28-18 (60.86% +7.48)
NBA Medium Unders: 15-18 (45.45% -1.19) OFFLINE
NBA Sides/Totals: 39-34-2 (53.42% +3.68)

"FoxDen - The one and only betting Forum!"

Old Post 04-19-12 07:42 AM
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Hal Coldvice
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2010
Posts: 1592

I just posted a thread, didn't see this one.

cisco, I have us at 13 game 1 wins!

3 game 2 wins, and a game 4.

Old Post 04-19-12 03:56 PM
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James10778


Registered: Sep 2009
Posts: 251

Cisco or anyone, could you explain the chase because i would like to follow along. I looked at the worksheet but it doesnt help because i dont know how the chase works.

Thanks




SIMPLE OVER/UNDER CHASE & TEAM TOTAL CHASE
...............................................
I follow all the teams and when a team has gone 4 OVERS in a row i CHASE the team until i HIT an UNDER, OR, when a team has gone 4 UNDERS in a row i CHASE the team until i HIT an OVER.
If a PUSH occurs in GAME1 i decide by looking at the pitchers whether to continue the chase BUT if it occurs in GAME2, 3, OR 4 the chase continues.

OVER/UNDER CHASE APRIL 23RD TO MAY 31ST= 51-0 51 UNITS
........................................................
JKAUL'S DOG CHASE

1. Is Team Playing ON projected to be a dog for the entire three or four game series?

2. Is Team Playing AGAINST on 3 Game Winning Streak? (If YES, PASS)
Is Team Playing ON on 3 Game Losing Streak? (If YES, PASS)

3. Is Team Playing ON At Least .400 Over Their Last 10 Games? (If NO, PASS)
Is Team Playing AGAINST .600 or Worse Over Last 10 Games? (If NO, PASS)

4. Is Team Playing ON At Least a .400 Road Team? (If NO, PASS)
Is Team Playing Against .600 or Worse At Home? (If NO, PASS)

5. Is Team Playing ON .400 or Better vs The Opponent Last 3 Years, period? (If NO, PASS)
Is Team Playing ON .400 or Better vs The Opponent Last 3 Years at the site of series? (If NO, PASS)
http://www.baseball-reference.com/games/head2head.shtml

Secondary filter:
If only one of last two filters (4-5) is sub .400 (over .600), go to secondary filter. Add the two records under 4) (i.e. road record of Play-On Team plus reverse home record of Play-against team). And add to this the two records under 5). Use the L3 years to date; not the L3 seasons. This total has to be .450 or more for the play to stand.

Step 4 - no, a 32-24 road record would be 32/56 for .571

Step 5 - 3 yr history is taken from baseball-reference.com, you can plug each combination of teams in and select which years you want to cover.

Secondary Filter: This filter comes into play to determine if a team can still be a play when one of the following records is sub .400 or above .600.

Play on teams current season road or home record
Play against teams current season home or road record
Play on teams last 3 years record vs opponent
Play on teams last 3 years record at opponent

If Team A is your play on team and they have a 20-31 road record (sub 400), but none of the other records are sub 400, the secondary filter is used to see if we can still play them.

Example:
Team A road record 20-31
Team B home record 25-24
Team A record vs Team B last 3 yrs 12-8
Team A record at Team B last 3 yrs 8-4

Add up the records and find the winning pct. The one catch is you have to reverse the Team B home record, since their opponents record is 24-25
20-31
24-25
12-8
8-4
64-68 (.485)
Team A would still be a play despite their poor road record, since they have had success against Team B in the past. Now, if 2 of those records are sub 400, then it is immediately a no play and you dont have to use the secondary filter.

Old Post 04-19-12 04:40 PM
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Hal Coldvice
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2010
Posts: 1592

look at the rules tab in there.

or just follow along on twitter. I make it easy enough where you don't really need a brain to follow along.

Old Post 04-19-12 05:10 PM
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cisco
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 8898

Found it. Det 4/12 s/b g1


13-3-0-1

Old Post 04-19-12 05:23 PM
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NinersFan


Registered: Nov 2011
Posts: 274

Simply amazing!!

Old Post 04-19-12 05:23 PM
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cisco
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 8898

Pretty simple Jimmy.

Ex: Yesterday Miami won by more than 5 runs (9-1)

Now we wait two games. We will bet against Miami.

April 21 they play Washington.
If Washington is favored we play Was ML
If Was is a dog we play Was RL+1.5
If we win the chase is over and we win one unit.

If we lose gm1 we go to gm 2. We will continue up to 4 games. If we lose gm4 the chase is over and we lost a bunch of money.

There's more, you need to read the rules or ask at twitter.

Old Post 04-19-12 05:41 PM
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James10778


Registered: Sep 2009
Posts: 251

I checked the worksheet and couldnt find any rules. I seen that there is 5 games posted, does that mean each one is a 4 game chase providing bad luck? Can u give me an abbreviated look at the rules.

Thx

Old Post 04-19-12 05:42 PM
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cisco
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 8898

There are 5 tabs at the bottom of the sheet. One of them says rules.

Old Post 04-19-12 05:44 PM
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Hal Coldvice
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Registered: Feb 2010
Posts: 1592

go to twitter, follow along. hit submit. 5 games, all a part of Game 1 of the chase.

I put the rules in the twitter bio too cisco. refer people to that.

Old Post 04-19-12 05:45 PM
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cisco
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 8898

Just bet on the White Sox this afternoon.

Old Post 04-19-12 05:45 PM
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cisco
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Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 8898

HOW DO I FIND THE TWITTER BIO?

Old Post 04-19-12 05:47 PM
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kanapad


Registered: Apr 2011
Posts: 341

Great system! I have been following all along so far:-). Thx. Good luck

Old Post 04-19-12 06:32 PM
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Hal Coldvice
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Registered: Feb 2010
Posts: 1592

Don't yell at me cisco. lol

Every twitter user has a profile or bio. That's where I put the rules.

Old Post 04-19-12 08:02 PM
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cisco
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 8898

Taking LAA/Oak RL+1.5 out of the chase. Baltimore won today and plays LAA tomorrow. Baltimore owes me money . LAA doesn't.

Old Post 04-20-12 12:32 AM
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cisco
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Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 8898

2-2 tonight. Seattle died in the 9th.

Looks like Oakland may win this one. Cant count it.

Old Post 04-20-12 07:01 AM
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FEDEX


Registered: Apr 2004
Posts: 818

Have you tweeted any in the last 14 hours? I followed you on your twitter page but have gotten any tweets of yours texted to me like others on twitter I follow

Old Post 04-20-12 02:08 PM
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Hal Coldvice
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2010
Posts: 1592

I'm doing the tweeting FedEx. At @5runMLBchase

I tweet all the time. Lol

Old Post 04-20-12 09:31 PM
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FEDEX


Registered: Apr 2004
Posts: 818

Yea I followed you but wasn't getting any of your tweets via text. I figured out that I had to activate your handle's mobile notifications

Old Post 04-20-12 09:36 PM
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