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burytheb
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2005
Posts: 1977

ncaabb what has been working for last two weeks

I have had an amazing run over the last two weeks in ncaabb playing the first half only.

I start with double digit favorites and when the statfox powerline is = to or >
(equal to or greater than) the spread.

I then look at the road team net pf and pa. (FIRST HALF ONLY). and good example would be arkansas lr -11 1/2 with a sf powerline of 13.

new orleans net pf - pa was -6 (they gave up six more points than scored on the road) arkansas lr was +3 (they score 3 points more than give up at home). This gives a +9 (THIS IS FOR FIRST HALF ONLY NUMBERS).

The +9 is greater than the first half spread of -6. AR lr was cover the first half at a +17.

the next calculation is first half pf for visitnig team no and pa comared to pa for ar lr. this was +8 for ar lr (pf) and +1 pa for ar lr.

when both these calculations are greater than the first half line it is a play.

last nights plays were 7-2 and actually i went against gonzaga who actually had - numbers.

i will post saturday plays under this system.

lets call this FIRST HALF POWERLINE PLAYS.

this can also be used for non double digit favorites. will save that one for some other time.


burytheb




Burytheb

Old Post 02-27-09 04:01 PM
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flipdog
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Registered: Oct 2008
Posts: 1475

Thanks for the share. Have you back tested this at all, or is it just based off of the past two weeks? Either way looking forward to Sat. plays, seems interesting. BOL

Old Post 02-27-09 04:06 PM
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burytheb
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2005
Posts: 1977

have not

have not back tested. i may pick this week last year and see if it works last year at this time


burytheb




Burytheb

Old Post 02-27-09 04:12 PM
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pshinnamon
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 6468

Re system

Looks very interesting. Glad you will post the plays, we all need them.

Pete




Terpman

Old Post 02-27-09 05:31 PM
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TheUnderdog


Registered: Feb 2009
Posts: 97

I like it. Thank u.

I have been doing great on 2nd half lines.




I don't use units. I play the same on everygame.

Old Post 02-27-09 05:47 PM
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eballard


Registered: Jul 2008
Posts: 313

RD Trains

Obviously you and RD Trains have a similar 1st Half system as a lot of his are those type of plays lately. Are both of you getting together to come up winning calls? Maybe system basics to share.

Old Post 02-27-09 11:28 PM
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burytheb
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Registered: Jan 2005
Posts: 1977

1st half plays

rd and i have emailed but not on first half plays.

will have to contact him and compare notes


burytheb




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Old Post 02-27-09 11:42 PM
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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

bury

thanks for this
GL

Old Post 02-27-09 11:55 PM
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RDTrains
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2003
Posts: 12050

eballard

btb & I have not communicated on our 1st half plays in NCAAB. In fact, I don't believe I've had one in at least a week.

Old Post 02-28-09 12:23 AM
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eballard


Registered: Jul 2008
Posts: 313

RD Trains

My bad. I thought wrong in my musings about a collaboration of Foxsheets systems. It won't happen again. Bol

Old Post 02-28-09 12:50 AM
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StatFox Jeff
Administrator

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 734

burytheb - Thanks for sharing your FoxSheets strategy. Detailed posts like these are important tools to helping subscribers use the product to its fullest.

Old Post 02-28-09 02:55 PM
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