This one could boil down to the following information:

5 Times this season the Noles have been held to < 50 yards rushing.

UCLA is the Pac 10's number 1 rush defense.

This should allow UCLA to run a tight ship on Defense and limit the Noles scorring ability. In addition, the Bruins are ranked third in the nation in tackles for loss and third-down conversions, and have given up only 24 touchdowns this
season, compared with 48 last season.

2 Key Factors are Justin Hickman and Bruce Davis, who are tied for second in the nation with 12 1/2 sacks each.

The Noles are no slug on D either. This one looks like a low scoring contest to me.

It would seem that the break in play from the last game of the season to the bowl game affects the Offense (timing and so forth) more than the Defense.

TRENDS:
NOLES:

# Seminoles are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

# Seminoles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

# Seminoles are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

# Seminoles are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 night games.

# Seminoles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.

BRUINS

* Bruins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

* Bruins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

* Bruins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

* Bruins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games on Grass.

* Bruins are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games.

* Bruins are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 night games.

* Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.

* Bruins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.

UCLA @ -3.5 +101 at Pinnacle for a 1 unit play

Under 37.5 -101 at Pinnacle for a 1 unit play

Season Bowl Record 06/07

ATS 3-1-0
2nd Half ATS 0-0-1
O/U 0-0-0

GLTA

Good luck tonight to you. Always enjoy your post here at the foxden!

took fsu and the over... gl

You can never count on the turnovers! UCLA certainly will make the under and the cover very difficult if they continue to handle the ball like it is a hot potato

That has been my problem all year long in football, I always get the team that turns the ball over. Probably just bad luck this year

Looks like you get the over in this one without a hitch, at this rate the final will be in the freakin 60's.

fsu defensive not looking good right now...

ucla looks like the better team so far...

2 more quarters to go

Started playing on the new PS3, turned the game back on and that's it, game set match

UCLA just pisses me off! Especially since I am a huge Trojan fan. Should have know these weak sucks couldn't pull of a win like this.

Ok I feel better now.

UCLA -3.5 LOSER
UNDER 37.5 LOSER

Bowl Record

ATS 3-2-0
O/U 0-1-0
2nd Halfs 0-0-1