No need for a crystal ball here.

I absolutely hate playing HUGE favorites... but Detroit on the west coast... Fahgetaboutit.

Let's just say that Detroit is set as a -300 dog for each of the 6 games on the trip. Does anybody really think they can win more than 1 of those?

If you bet 5 units on each of the favorites and Detroit loses them all... you're up 30 units.

If Detroit wins a game... you'd still be up 5 units.

If they win 2... yeah right. They've won 1 out of 17 so far. They will not win 2 on this trip.

Should be interesting.

100%. I will not be betting on Detroit when they play Oakland. One of the potential to be the best teams in Baseball this year vs. one of the potential to be one of the worst teams in the history. The lines could get ugly quick.

looks like tomorrow line is 330

"Potential" to be the worst team in history of the game. They are the worst team I've ever seen play.

By the end of this road trip the Books will be asking you to put your house up to win a $100 bucks.

I bet we'll see some -400 or more this road trip.

Best of Luck cash Money

I guess this is where the value is going to be found. Problem is... if this game is the TOP STAR play, run lines aren't 20-2... money lines are!

The last 12 games in the star system last year, I layed a lot for the moneyline win. The maximum was -280. I risked up to $14,000 to win $5000 per game, which is Canbet's max payout in MLB unless you have speacial arrangements. I will only take the moneyline for that kind of change. No sense in losing because of 1 stinking run.

Assuming Oakland -330 is the top play tomorrow... would you lay off it because the line is too high? Is there a number you just won't go over?

I've bet NBA moneylines at -1750 at Bet365 so I guess not ;)

I can't imagine too many -1750 dogs pull the upset very often.

The star system will soon be known as the Detroit system. I think the time has come to think about the next best top play not involving Detroit otherwise we will reach a point it would take a couple hundred wins to double our bankroll.

Nick, you are laying some serious KaChingo's on these games. Like $14k per game? All I can say is your bankroll is something to be envied of! Damn, if I make $14k in the s. market, it would be considered a great month. Personally, I can't make the case for betting three to get one, but everyone has their tolerances. I wish you continued success in your endeavors. :)

just a note on your run line comment. A few days ago someone posted the the top star play was 6-0 when the moneyline was
-200 or larger. just some info i thought i would throw at ya.

yeah, that someone was defcon. I remember his post. He said he saw a pattern there and was experimenting with it.

Each season per sport I set aside a $100 bankroll and build it for each sport. At the end of the season the serious change will be layed becuase the bankroll will build it that high. Once I reach the end of the season, I take out everything but the $100 and start over.

Nick, I know you bet approx. 10% of bankroll on each bet, but do you raise the bet only after you reached a plateau. Say $10 when you start and $20 when you reach $200 and so on. Are you still betting the other sports now or strictly baseball.

I raise the bet daily and I'm only playing the TOP star MLB play each day. I've set a goal of $100,000 for it this season. If I go over that BONUS! If not I won't cry over it. I'm going to try though.

Nick,

Where are you now? If I may ask.

Not location. With your 100 dollar bankroll?

And are those Canadian Dollars?

I'm at $847 & change which is on target, since at 80% accuracy at an average of -220 lines you should make 8x your money per month, until you reach limit units, then I'll just bet those. The money at Canbet is Canadian. The money at Betcris is US. The only two books that I've known to pay higher limits. Not to put a damper on a certain book that begins with a P but I'm still waiting from last season for them to pay me a large amount so be wary.