Saturday, 02/11/2023 (665) BOWLING GREEN vs. (666) BALL ST
Favoring: BALL ST against the spread.
Play Against - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (BOWLING GREEN) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 85 points or more
(40-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.4%, +27.9 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-1 +4.9 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (1657) HOUSTON CHRISTIAN vs. (1658) INCARNATE WORD
Favoring: INCARNATE WORD against the spread.
Play Against - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON CHRISTIAN) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 85 points or more
(40-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.4%, +27.9 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-1 +4.9 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (617) GEORGE WASHINGTON vs. (618) ST JOSEPHS
Favoring: ST JOSEPHS against the spread.
Play Against - Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (GEORGE WASHINGTON) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 85 points or more
(40-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.4%, +27.9 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-1 +4.9 units)

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (731) APPALACHIAN ST vs. (732) S ALABAMA
Favoring: APPALACHIAN ST against the spread.
Play On - Any team (APPALACHIAN ST) - in a game involving two average free throw shooting teams (65-69%), cold shooting team - 3 straight games making <=40% of their shots
(92-39 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.2%, +49.1 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (10-3 +6.7 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (759) DETROIT vs. (760) WI-GREEN BAY
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Neutral court teams against the total (DETROIT) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games
(26-2 over the last 5 seasons.) (92.9%, +23.8 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0 +2 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (759) DETROIT vs. (760) WI-GREEN BAY
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Neutral court teams against the total (WI-GREEN BAY) - in a game involving two poor defensive teams (74-78 PPG) after 15+ games
(26-2 over the last 5 seasons.) (92.9%, +23.8 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0 +2 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (805) BYU vs. (806) GONZAGA
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - All teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (GONZAGA) - after a home game where both teams scored 75 points or more against opponent off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a road favorite
(30-5 since 1997.) (85.7%, +24.5 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1 +1.9 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (743) E WASHINGTON vs. (744) IDAHO
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is between 150 and 159.5 points (E WASHINGTON) - after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better against opponent after a game where a team made 60% of their shots or better
(41-10 since 1997.) (80.4%, +30 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0 +3 units).

West Virginia @ Texas
— West Virginia (15-9, 4-7) ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #112
— Experience: #79
— Continuity: #330
— West Virginia won five of its last seven games.
— West Virginia is 1-4 SU/2-3 ATS as a Big X road underdog.
— WVU is getting 23% of its points on foul line (#10)
— West Virginia is forcing turnovers 21.3% of time (#46)
— WVU is 2-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— West Virginia’s schedule, to this point: #6
— bench minutes: #116
— West Virginia’s best win: 76-71 over #18 Iowa State

— Texas (19-5, 8-3) ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #79
— Experience: #7
— Continuity: #144
— Texas won seven of its last ten games.
— Longhorns are 4-1 SU/2-3 ATS as a Big X home favorite.
— Texas is forcing turnovers 22.2% of time (#28)
— Texas is shooting 56% inside arc (#18), 33% on arc (#222)
— Longhorns are 7-1 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Texas’ schedule, to this point: #13
— bench minutes: #144
— Texas’ best win: 72-67 over #9 Creighton

— Texas (+1) won 69-61 in Morgantown January 21.
— Longhorns won five of last six series games.
— WVU lost four of its last five visits to Austin.
— Big X home favorites of 6+ points are 8-9 ATS

Alabama @ Auburn
— Alabama (21-3, 11-0) ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #1
— Experience: #254
— Continuity: #282
— Alabama won 12 of its last 13 games.
— Alabama is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS as an SEC road favorite.
— Opponents are #47 team in country on offensive boards.
— In its three losses, Crimson Tide gave up 100-82-93 points.
— Crimson Tide is 4-0 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #10
— bench minutes: #65
— Alabama’s best win: 71-65 at #1 Houston.

— Auburn (17-7, 7-4) ranked #27 by KenPom
— Tempo: #144
— Experience: #85
— Continuity: #56
— Auburn lost four of last five games, after a 16-3 start.
— Auburn won four of its five SEC home games.
— Tigers are shooting 29.2% on arc (#345), 52.6% inside arc (#76).
— Auburn has #5 eFG% defense in country.
— Tigers are #22 team in country on offensive boards.
— Auburn’s schedule, to this point: #42
— bench minutes: #36
— Auburn’s best win: 72-59 over #19 Arkansas

— Teams split their last six meetings.
— Alabama lost six of its last seven visits to Auburn.
— SEC home underdogs of 3 or less points are 2-5 ATS.

UConn @ Creighton
— UConn (19-6, 8-6) ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #179
— Experience: #114
— Continuity: #253
— UConn won four of its last five games.
— UConn is 3-4 SU on Big East road this season.
— Huskies have #13 eFG% defense in country.
— Huskies are #5 team on offensive boards.
— Opponents get 24.7% of their points on foul line (#360)
— UConn’s schedule, to this point: #35
— bench minutes: #192
— UConn’s best win: 82-67 over #2 Alabama

— Creighton (16-8, 10-3) ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #141
— Experience: #160
— Continuity: #85
— Creighton won its last seven games.
— Bluejays are 7-0 SU/4-2-1 ATS as Big East home favorites.
— Creighton is shooting 55.7% inside arc (#21), 35.4% on arc (#101)
— Opponents are shooting 45.5% inside arc (#25)
— Creighton is #12 team in country on defensive boards.
— Creighton’s schedule, to this point: #19
— bench minutes: #350
— Creighton’s best win: 90-87 over #19 Arkansas

— UConn (-6.5) beat Creighton 69-60 at home January 7,
— Bluejays are 5-1 vs UConn as Big East rivals.
— Huskies lost last two visits to Omaha, by 8-2 points,
— Big East home favorites of 4 or less points are 8-5 ATS.

Rutgers @ Illinois
— Rutgers (16-8, 8-5) ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #242
— Experience: #106
— Continuity: #52
— Rutgers lost its last three road games, by 13-13-6 points.
— Knights are 2-4 SU/2-3 ATS as a Big 14 road underdog.
— Rutgers is shooting 48.7% inside arc (#244), 32.2% on arc (#269)
— Knights have #7 eFG% defense in country.
— Rutgers is forcing turnovers 22.6% of time (#24)
— Rutgers schedule, to this point: #52
— bench minutes: #195
— Rutgers best win: 65-64 at #5 Purdue

— Illinois (16-7, 7-5) ranked #25 by KenPom
— Tempo: #82
— Experience: #295
— Continuity: #345
— Illinois won seven of its last nine games
— Illini 4-2 SU/ATS as a Big 14 home favorite.
— Illini #12 eFG% defense in country.
— Illinois is shooting 31.7% on arc (#289), 55.9% inside arc (#19)
— Illinois is #35 team in country on offensive boards.
— Illinois’ schedule, to this point: #55
— bench minutes: #163
— Illinois’ best win: 79-70 over #3 UCLA

— Illinois won six of last nine series games.
— Rutgers lost its last six visits to Champaign.
— Big 14 home favorites of 5 or less points are 28-9 ATS.

Clemson @ North Carolina
— Clemson (18-6, 10-3) ranked #72 by KenPom
— Tempo: #132
— Experience: #179
— Continuity: #147
— Clemson lost its last two games, after an 18-4 start.
— Clemson is 3-3 SU/2-1 ATS as ACC road underdogs.
— Tigers are shooting 36.4% on arc (#56), 52.5% inside arc (#78)
— Opponents are shooting 44.9% inside arc (#18)
— Tigers are #36 team in country on defensive boards.
— Clemson’s schedule, to this point: #114
— bench minutes: #89
— Clemson’s best win: 72-64 over #33 Duke.

— North Carolina (15-9, 7-6) ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #81
— Experience: #25
— Continuity: #14
— Carolina lost its last three games, by 1-6-7 points.
— Tar Heels are 5-1 SU/3-3 ATS as ACC home favorites.
— Carolina is shooting 51.6% inside arc (#116), 30.5% on arc (#329)
— Tar Heels are getting 22.6% of points on foul line (#18)
— Carolina is #19 team in country on defensive boards.
— Carolina’s schedule, to this point: #26
— bench minutes: #356
— Carolina’s best win: 80-69 over #47 NC State

— Teams split their last six meetings.
— Clemson won its last visit to UNC in 2020, their first win there.
— ACC home favorites of 7+ points are 12-16 ATS.

Duke @ Virginia
— Duke (17-7, 8-5) ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #270
— Experience: #290
— Continuity: #339
— Duke won three of its last four games.
— Blue Devils are 2-5 SU/0-2 ATS as an ACC road underdog.
— Duke has #29 eFG% defense in country.
— Duke is #3 team in country on offensive boards.
— Blue Devils are 6-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Duke’s schedule, to this point: #47
— bench minutes: #141
— Duke’s best win: 71-64 over #26 Xavier.

— Virginia (18-4, 10-3) ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #361
— Experience: #4
— Continuity: #13
— Virginia won eight of its last nine games.
— Virginia is 6-0 SU/4-2 ATS as an ACC home favorite.
— Cavaliers are shooting 38% on arc (#18)
— Opponents are shooting 45.8% inside arc (#31)
— Virginia is 7-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Virginia’s schedule, to this point: #50
— bench minutes: #249
— Virginia’s best win: 86-79 over #13 Baylor

— Duke is 4-3 in last seven series games.
— Blue Devils are 4-1 in last five visits to Charlottesville.
— ACC home favorites of 6 or less points are 14-12 ATS.

Baylor @ TCU
— Baylor (18-6, 7-4) ranked #13 by KenPom
— Tempo: #172
— Experience: #207
— Continuity: #198
— Baylor
— Baylor is 3-2 SU/2-3 ATS as a MAAC road favorite.
— Bears have #21 eFG% defense in country.
— Baylor is #293 team in country on defensive boards.
— Bears are 3-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Baylor’s schedule, to this point: #9
— bench minutes: #175
— Baylor’s best win: 80-75 over #3 UCLA

— TCU (17-7, 6-5) ranked #23 by KenPom
— Tempo: #37
— Experience: #71
— Continuity: #3
— TCU’s best player Miles missed last three games (check status)
— TCU lost three of its last four games.
— TCU is 2-4 SU/3-3 ATS as a Big X road underdog.
— Frogs are shooting 53.2% inside arc (#62), 28.7% on arc (#356)
— Frogs have #38 eFG% defense in country.
— TCU’s schedule, to this point: #35
— bench minutes: #12
— TCU’s best win: 83-60 at #12 Kansas.

— TCU (+5.5) won 88-87 at Baylor January 4.
— Baylor won five of last seven series games.
— Bears won 67-49/76-64 in last two visits to TCU.
— Big X home teams are 13-9 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points

Missouri @ Tennessee
— Missouri (18-6, 6-5) ranked #55 by KenPom
— Tempo: #43
— Experience: #16
— Continuity: #323
— Missouri won four of its last five games.
— Tigers are 1-4 SU/1-3 ATS as an SEC road underdog.
— Missouri is forcing turnovers 24.7% of time (#7)
— Missouri is #362 team in country on defensive boards.
— Tigers are shooting 57.3% inside arc (#9)
— Missouri’s schedule, to this point: #77
— bench minutes: #81
— Missouri’s best win: 78-61 over #18 Iowa State

— Tennessee (19-5, 8-3) ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #229
— Experience: #132
— Continuity: #120
— Tennessee lost two of last three games, after an 18-3 start.
— Last three games, Vols scored 54-46-65 points.
— Tennessee is 4-1 SU/2-3 ATS as an SEC home favorite.
— Vols have #1 eFG% defense in country.
— Vols are #2 team in country on offensive boards.
— Tennessee’s schedule, to this point: #54
— bench minutes: #106
— Tennessee’s best win: 82-71 over #10 Texas

— Tennessee won five of last six series games.
— Mizzou lost five of its last six visits to Knoxville.
— SEC double digit home favorites are 10-8 ATS.

Indiana @ Michigan
— Indiana (17-7, 8-5) ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #126
— Experience: #66
— Continuity: #37
— Indiana won seven of its last eight games
— Indiana is 2-4 SU/1-3 ATS as a Big 14 road underdog.
— Hoosiers are shooting 54.3% inside arc (#41), 38.2% on arc (#16)
— Hoosiers have #49 eFG% defense in country.
— Indiana is 4-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Indiana’s schedule, to this point: #28
— bench minutes: #136
— Indiana’s best win: 79-74 over #5 Purdue

— Michigan (14-10, 8-5) ranked #51 by KenPom
— Tempo: #137
— Experience: #307
— Continuity: #274
— Michigan won its last three games, scoring 79.3 ppg. .
— Michigan is 6-1 SU/5-1 ATS as Big 14 home favorites.
— Wolverines have #92 eFG% defense in country.
— Wolverines are 4-7 against top 50 teams.
— Michigan is 4-8 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Michigan’s schedule, to this point: #37
— bench minutes: #324
— Michigan’s best win: 81-46 over #24 Maryland.

— Michigan won nine of last ten series games.
— Hoosiers lost last four visits to Ann Arbor, by 20-14-11-24 points.
— Big 14 home favorites of 3 or less points are 18-5 ATS.

Mississippi State @ Arkansas
— Mississippi State (16-8, 4-7) ranked #45 by KenPom
— Tempo: #331
— Experience: #75
— Continuity: #187
— Miss State won its last four games, giving up 52 ppg in last three.
— Miss State is 1-4 SU/2-1 ATS as an SEC road underdog.
— Bulldogs are shooting 27.9% on arc (#358), 62.4% on line (#353)
— Miss State is forcing turnovers 23.6% of time (#11)
— Bulldogs are shooting 36.5% on arc (#52)
— Miss State’s schedule, to this point: #72
— bench minutes: #121
— Miss State’s best win: 58-55 over #11 Marquette.

— Arkansas (17-7, 6-5) ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #78
— Experience: #256
— Continuity: #332
— Arkansas won five of its last six games.
— Hogs are 4-1 SU/3-1 ATS as an SEC home favorite.
— Arkansas is shooting 31% on arc (#315), 54.5% inside arc (#35)
— Hogs are forcing turnovers 21.3% of time (#45)
— Arkansas has #22 eFG% defense.
— Arkansas’ schedule, to this point: #43
— bench minutes: #314
— Arkansas’ best win: 78-74 in OT over #22 San Diego State

— Miss State won six of last eight series games.
— Bulldogs lost 61-45/63-55 in last two visits to Arkansas.
— SEC home favorites of 8 or less points are 11-13 ATS.

LMU @ Santa Clara
— LMU (17-9, 7-5) ranked #91 by KenPom
— Tempo: #170
— Experience: #33
— Continuity: #109
— LMU won five of its last seven games.
— Lions are 2-4 SU/2-2 ATS as a WCC road underdog.
— LMU is shooting 52.4% inside arc (#83), 37.1% on arc (#35)
— Lions are #45 team in country on defensive boards.
— LMU is 6-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— LMU’s schedule, to this point: #89
— bench minutes: #143
— LMU’s best win: 78-74 in OT over #7 Saint Mary’s Thursday

— Santa Clara (18-8, 6-5) ranked #90 by KenPom
— Tempo: #50
— Experience: #180
— Continuity: #133
— Santa Clara split its last ten games, after a 13-3 start.
— Broncos are 3-3 SU/1-2 ATS as a WCC home favorite.
— Broncos are shooting 36.3% on arc (#60), 49.5% inside arc (#210)
— Santa Clara has #249 eFG% defense in country.
— Santa Clara is #21 team in country on defensive boards.
— Santa Clara’s schedule, to this point: #87
— bench minutes: #341
— Santa Clara’s best win: 73-58 over #28 Boise State.

— Santa Clara won three of last four series games.
— LMU won three of its last four visits to Santa Clara.
— WCC home favorites of 6 or less points are 9-5 ATS

UCLA @ Oregon
— UCLA (20-4, 11-2) ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #254
— Experience: #105
— Continuity: #151
— UCLA won its last three games, giving up 53.3 ppg.
— Bruins are 5-2 SU/4-2 ATS as Pac-12 road favorite.
— UCLA is #18 team in country on offensive boards.
— Bruins are forcing turnovers 25% of time (#4)
— UCLA has #46 eFG% defense in country.
— UCLA’s schedule, to this point: #39
— bench minutes: #272
— UCLA’s best win: 87-60 at #24 Maryland.

— Oregon (15-10, 9-5) ranked #43 by KenPom
— Tempo: #215
— Experience: #122
— Continuity: #134
— Oregon won six of its last eight games
— Ducks won six of seven Pac-12 home games
— Oregon is 3-2 ATS as a Pac-12 underdog.
— Oregon is shooting 54.7% inside arc (#30), 31.3% on arc (#307)
— Ducks are 3-5 when playing a top 50 team.
— Oregon’s schedule, to this point: #14
— bench minutes: #123
— Oregon’s best win: 87-68 over #8 Arizona

— UCLA (-10) beat Oregon 65-56 at home December 4th.
— Ducks won four of last five series games.
— Bruins lost 96-75/82-74 in last two visits to Eugene.
— Pac-12 home underdogs of 5 or less points are 4-5 ATS.

Cal-Riverside @ Cal-Irvine
— Cal-Riverside (16-9, 9-4) ranked #154 by KenPom
— Tempo: #191
— Experience: #130
— Continuity: #161
— Riverside lost three of its last five games.
— Riverside is 4-2 SU/3-1 ATS as a Big West road favorite.
— Riverside is shooting 47.9% inside arc (#272), 35.3% on arc (#111)
— UCR is #6 team in country on defensive boards.
— Their last nine games were decided by 7 or less points.
— Riverside’s schedule, to this point: #147
— bench minutes: #101
— Riverside’s best win: 81-79 at #91 LMU.

— Cal-Irvine (16-8, 9-3) ranked #98 by KenPom
— Tempo: #85
— Experience: #222
— Continuity: #131
— Cal-Irvine won nine of its last 12 games.
— Cal-Irvine is 4-2 SU/3-3 ATS as a Big West home favorite.
— Anteaters are shooting 49.7% inside arc (#44), 37.6% on arc (#24)
— Anteaters have #23 eFG% defense.
— Cal-Irvine is 4-5 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Cal-Irvine’s schedule, to this point: #163
— bench minutes: #17
— Cal-Irvine’s best win: 69-56 at #43 Oregon.

— Anteaters won 17 of last 18 series games.
— Riverside lost its last 10 games in Irvine.
— Big West home favorites of 7 or less points are 8-12 ATS.

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (669) WM & MARY vs. (670) ELON
Favoring: WM & MARY on the first half line.
Play Against - A home team vs. the 1rst half line (ELON) - average defensive team (42.5-45%) against a poor defensive team (45-47.5%) after 15+ games, after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent
(71-26 since 1997.) (73.2%, +42.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0 +1 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (809) LONG BEACH ST vs. (810) CS-BAKERSFIELD
Favoring: CS-BAKERSFIELD on the first half line.
Play Against - Road favorites vs. the 1rst half line (LONG BEACH ST) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a horrible offensive team (<=63 PPG)
(30-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.3%, +23.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-2 +2.8 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (633) HOFSTRA vs. (634) MONMOUTH
Favoring: MONMOUTH on the first half line.
Play Against - Favorites of 6 or more points vs. the first half line (HOFSTRA) - average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a horrible offensive team (<=63 PPG), after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more
(31-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.6%, +23.3 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1 +1.9 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (809) LONG BEACH ST vs. (810) CS-BAKERSFIELD
Favoring: CS-BAKERSFIELD on the first half line.
Play Against - A road team vs. the 1rst half line (LONG BEACH ST) - after 2 or more consecutive overs, a good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against a horrible offensive team (<=63 PPG)
(33-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.5%, +24.2 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-2 +2.8 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (717) ARK-LITTLE ROCK vs. (718) TENN-MARTIN
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is >=75.5 (ARK-LITTLE ROCK) - in a game involving two good FT shooting teams (69-73%) after 15+ games
(60-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.9%, +40.2 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2 +1.8 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (717) ARK-LITTLE ROCK vs. (718) TENN-MARTIN
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is >=75.5 (TENN-MARTIN) - in a game involving two good FT shooting teams (69-73%) after 15+ games
(60-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.9%, +40.2 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2 +1.8 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (1641) ALABAMA ST vs. (1642) ARK-PINE BLUFF
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 (ARK-PINE BLUFF) - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more against opponent off a win over a conference rival as an underdog of 6 points or more
(31-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.8%, +24.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (1629) MORGAN ST vs. (1630) NC CENTRAL
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 (MORGAN ST) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45-47.5%), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-17.5 TO's)
(52-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.5%, +34.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-3 +1.7 units).

The Texas Longhorns strive to rebound from their recent loss at Allen Fieldhouse when they host the West Virginia Mountaineers on Saturday.

The Longhorns are currently atop the Big 12 standings with an 8-3 record in conference play, but there are four teams behind them at 7-4. Texas defeated West Virginia in Morgantown in the last meeting and has played really well in Austin; Texas has only lost at home once this season.

West Virginia had a tough start to conference play, losing its first five games. However, the team has won four of its last six — including back-to-back wins at home against Oklahoma and Iowa State.

Head coach Bob Huggins’ team is currently projected to be a 9-seed in the NCAA Tournament, and a win in Austin would help solidify West Virginia’s resume.

The Mountaineers went through a rough stretch to begin Big 12 play, but it seems as if they have finally turned a corner.

The problems for Huggins’ team have not been on the offensive end of the court. The Mountaineers are 17th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency, per KenPom.

However, West Virginia really is a bad shooting team. In conference play, WVU ranks ninth in effective field goal percentage (eFG%) and averages a paltry 48.4% from 2-point range — the worst mark in the Big 12.

The Mountaineers compensate for these shooting difficulties by crashing the offensive glass at an incredibly high level. West Virginia boasts the second-highest offensive rebounding percentage during conference play.

The team’s other path to offensive success comes via the charity stripe. West Virginia gets to the free throw line at the eighth-highest rate in the country.

The last time these teams faced off in Morgantown, Texas limited West Virginia to 18 free throw attempts and eight offensive rebounds, effectively neutralizing two of the Mountaineers’ greatest strengths. Moreover, Texas did what it does best on defense, forcing 20 turnovers.

Nevertheless, defense has been the real issue for West Virginia this season. The Mountaineers rank 38th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, per KenPom.

They have defended the 3-point line at an elite level during conference play, allowing only 31.7% — but Texas is not a high-volume 3-point shooting team.

In order to slow down the Longhorns offense, opponents must defend well in transition.

Texas spend 15% of its possessions in transition, which is the third-highest rate in Division-I basketball. The last time Texas faced West Virginia, it put up 1.46 points per possession (PPP) in transition, which is well above its season average.

Texas’ shot distribution is heavily oriented towards shots at the rim and in the midrange. That is where Texas has attempted 64% of its shots this season.

The Longhorns have been shooting lights-out from the midrange — boasting a 46% team shooting percentage from that spot. Texas also ranks top-10 in PPP on shot attempts at the rim.

In the previous meeting, 40 of the Longhorns’ 55 field goal attempts came at the rim or from the midrange. That is also where they scored 42 of their 69 points. (Nice.)

Despite giving up 88 points to Kansas on Monday, the Longhorns defense has been good this season. It’s important to acknowledge the pace of Monday’s game, which featured 76 possessions. So, Texas only allowed 1.05 PPP — which is still bad, but not as bad as it seems in the final box score.

The Longhorns are seventh in the Big 12 in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency, but they do two things very well that are imperative againstWest Virginia:

Texas forces turnovers at a top-30 rate in Division-I.
Texas is an outstanding rebounding team.
These two qualities are the main reasons why Texas defeated West Virginia in Morgantown earlier this season.

This is a really good spot for the Longhorns. Texas returns home after its loss to Kansas and has a rest advantage over West Virginia.

The Mountaineers may be riding high after its back-to-back wins in Morgantown, but the road has not been kind to them. West Virginia has only won two road games all season, whereas Texas has only lost at home once.

If Texas is able to keep West Virginia off the offensive glass, keep them off the free throw line, and turn the Mountaineers over at high rate — then West Virginia is unlikely to exceed its mark of 0.85 PPP in the previous matchup between these teams.

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (769) TULSA vs. (770) UCF
Favoring: UCF against the spread.
TULSA is 0-13 ATS (-14.3 Units) after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds this season.
The average score was TULSA 63.5, OPPONENT 80.9 - (Rating = 7*)

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (641) VIRGINIA TECH vs. (642) NOTRE DAME
Favoring: VIRGINIA TECH against the spread.
NOTRE DAME is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.
The average score was NOTRE DAME 68.6, OPPONENT 77.2 - (Rating = 6*)

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (769) TULSA vs. (770) UCF
Favoring: UCF against the spread.
TULSA is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
The average score was TULSA 63.6, OPPONENT 82.9 - (Rating = 6*)

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (769) TULSA vs. (770) UCF
Favoring: UCF against the spread.
TULSA is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders this season.
The average score was TULSA 63.4, OPPONENT 75.8 - (Rating = 6*)

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (1619) ALBANY vs. (1620) BINGHAMTON
Favoring: BINGHAMTON against the spread.
ALBANY is 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds this season.
The average score was ALBANY 60.9, OPPONENT 77 - (Rating = 5*)

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (623) S ILLINOIS vs. (624) DRAKE
Favoring: S ILLINOIS against the spread.
DRAKE is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
The average score was DRAKE 71.9, OPPONENT 71.3 - (Rating = 5*)

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (631) NEBRASKA-OMAHA vs. (632) N DAKOTA
Favoring: Over on the total.
N DAKOTA is 12-0 OVER (+12 Units) after one or more consecutive overs this season.
The average score was N DAKOTA 78.2, OPPONENT 76.4 - (Rating = 7*)

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (815) GRAND CANYON vs. (816) SEATTLE
Favoring: Over on the total.
GRAND CANYON is 12-0 OVER (+12 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.
The average score was GRAND CANYON 74.9, OPPONENT 71.5 - (Rating = 7*)

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (815) GRAND CANYON vs. (816) SEATTLE
Favoring: Over on the total.
GRAND CANYON is 13-0 OVER (+13 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs this season.
The average score was GRAND CANYON 75.5, OPPONENT 71.6 - (Rating = 7*)

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (1631) MERRIMACK vs. (1632) ST FRANCIS-PA
Favoring: Under on the total.
MERRIMACK is 12-0 UNDER (+12 Units) after 2 straight games with 12 or less assists this season.
The average score was MERRIMACK 56.9, OPPONENT 62.1 - (Rating = 7*)

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (739) MISSISSIPPI ST vs. (740) ARKANSAS
Favoring: Under on the total.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 14-1 UNDER (+12.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive wins this season.
The average score was MISSISSIPPI ST 66.6, OPPONENT 53.4 - (Rating = 6*)

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (635) MURRAY ST vs. (636) BRADLEY
Favoring: Over on the total.
MURRAY ST is 10-0 OVER (+10 Units) after 3 consecutive conference games this season.
The average score was MURRAY ST 70.4, OPPONENT 78.6 - (Rating = 6*)

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (1657) HOUSTON CHRISTIAN vs. (1658) INCARNATE WORD
Favoring: Over on the total.
INCARNATE WORD is 10-0 OVER (+10 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses this season.
The average score was INCARNATE WORD 76.5, OPPONENT 76.8 - (Rating = 6*)

Saturday, 02/11/2023 (815) GRAND CANYON vs. (816) SEATTLE
Favoring: Over on the total.
GRAND CANYON is 11-0 OVER (+11 Units) against conference opponents this season.
The average score was GRAND CANYON 75.5, OPPONENT 72 - (Rating = 6*)